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Perishabull

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Everything posted by Perishabull

  1. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    E-Mini Dow futures 1 trade late yesterday, 1 win Risk reward ratio 1 : 1.6
  2. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    No other trades last week
  3. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    E-Mini Dow futures 1 trade, 1 win Risk reward ratio 1 : 2.5
  4. Perishabull

    UK House prices: News & Views

    I away on my travels with work right now and in the gym this morning at 7am was some property programme on TV. I don't watch TV hence usually avoid these things. But really FFS 7am! Another reminder of how obsessed the British are with property. Given the governments perennial mandate for ever higher prices I wouldn't be surprised if they had an unseen hand in this diet of propaganda fed to the general public.
  5. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    E-Mini Dow futures 1 trade, 1 win Risk reward ratio 1 : 2.5 There are fewer opportunities with this strategy so some days there may be no trades
  6. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    Well it's been while since I posted on a regular basis, hopefully I can pick back up where I left off. In amongst the nappy changing and working I've been looking at different approaches to futures trading and aim to begin test trading a new strategy tomorrow. It also looks like a potentially interesting point in the markets with the precious metals appearing to have formed a low. Interesting chart on margin debt, may be a harbinger for stocks; Implied volatilities back to pre-2007 levels
  7. Perishabull

    SILVER

    Volume on SLV been exceptionally low of late - stark contrast to the top three years ago.
  8. Perishabull

    SILVER

    Silver futures Sentiment COT Seasonality Looks interesting at this point
  9. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    Seems it's been rather a while since I've posted. Still backtesting different strategies and looking at different variants currently. Would prefer to be more active in the markets but just not ready at this point.
  10. Perishabull

    GOLD

  11. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    It's mainly using order flow with an MA to identify points when there is a higher probability that the direction of order flow will mean revert toward the direction of the market. I'm looking for points where the order flow has moved far from the mean of the market, and then signs that it's swinging back. So it's order flow in context to the market. So yes it includes an MA although I've typically never used them, no crossovers. The way I treat volume is through the style of chart I use, so each bar is 400 contracts traded, so heavy periods of volume produce more bars, sequentially on the chart. So the charts are volume bound rather than time bound. This makes it easier to identify entry points, so the data my indicators use are price and volume, rather than price and time. I then have cumulative volume shown at the bottom, but since the charts are volume bound this means the days of higher volume extend further to the right. Example;
  12. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    Currently backtesting a new strategy, the results look pretty interesting and it's quite tempting to launch into trading it straight away. One of the metrics I'm looking at is the average yield per trade, it's a distance higher than my previous strategy, largely as a result of there being fewer trades, suggesting a more efficient strategy and a more clearly defined edge. It averages 2 trades for every 3 trading days. The potential yield available on the winning trades is consistently higher so I need to consider how best to capture that. It captures some nice large points moves, just less than a third of the trades are of those type, providing an argument for a trailing stop loss, as opposed to a fixed stop I was using previously. It may also be worthwhile zooming out to see how it performs on larger timescales, and on other stock index futures.
  13. Perishabull

    GOLD

    Gold sentiment;
  14. Perishabull

    SILVER

    Silver sentiment
  15. Perishabull

    SILVER

    3 years after the top... 2003 - present; And in log for the purists; ]
  16. Perishabull

    GOLD

    Gold 2003 onwards And in log for the purists;
  17. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    Thanks but I think that applies to someone that may be interested in betting on horses or something like that. It's clear that there are certainly many traders who approach trading from a gamblers mindset, those are the ones that provide the profits to the those that realise it's a business. What's described in the article is the gamblers lack of understanding in the basic laws of probability.
  18. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    No other trades last week. Currently working on an updated strategy which should be significantly better than the one I've been trading.
  19. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    No trades yesterday
  20. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    1 trade yesterday; 1 loss Currently in the process of evaluating a new strategy to switch over to which should address some of the key issues with the current one.
  21. Perishabull

    PositiveDev's trading journey

    5 trades yesterday; 2 wins and 3 losses (chart to follow)
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