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ziknik

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Everything posted by ziknik

  1. DrBubb, You are likely to switch off younger people the second you try to tell them anything. This is not because you’re handing out poor advice/opinion. It’s because you are older and they see you as boring and/or controlling. [i’m no saying this to be unkind] I suspect the people you spoke to were fully aware of the purpose of forums and were asking you silly questions so they would have enough material to parody you the second your back was turned. I say this because that is exactly what I do when someone tries to tell me anything. If you want to attract younger people, you need to sow the GEI seed in their heads. They need to think they found this place by themselves and then they will tell their friends about it. If you try to ram home the GEI message, you will lose them. Sow the seed and watch it grow. I don’t know a lot about Twitter and Facebook, but they sound like good ways for you to attract a younger audience. Join some groups and keep all your material short and snappy. Attack Mervyn King, Attack David Cameron etc. Promote Fred Harrison (in a short paragraph), Marc Faber etc Actually, Marc Faber is a really good example. He’s keeps if short, snappy, he’s easy to understand, he makes clear predictions, he puts his hands up when he is wrong, he is modest when he is right and he attacks people he doesn’t like (Bernanke, Obahma). It sounds like I have a strategy; I might sign up on that face book myself.
  2. I’m interested in picking up beaten down dividend paying shares that could be good for the long term too. I’m currently eying up BP TESCO PLC GLAXOSMITHKLINE EXXON MOBIL CP COSTAIN GROUP INTEL CORPORATION COCA COLA CO THE So far I have only bought KAZAKHMY What have you bought?
  3. Neil Woodford ramping his AstraZeneca shares http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/persona...ssion-ride.html
  4. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    I don't agree. Most people didn't work it out in the 70's. Why is it different this time? 'Real' can be calculated in many ways. C/RPI or gold or M4 or other money/credit supply measure. I'll need the gold prices to work out the real value of 'x'
  5. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    Yes, you would certainly get a dis-believing-type-reaction from me if you claimed houses would fall 80% in the next couple of years. BUT, I don't completely rule it out. It's not impossible I suppose. However, I think it is less likely than a 30% fall over the next 2/3 years
  6. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    Yes I agree. A negative RM index shows more than a positive one. Are the Haliwide indexes time shifted on them charts?
  7. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    I believe* the CML data includes re-mortgaging and therefore it should come as no surprise that people don’t want to re-mortgage on less favourable terms. The headline should read “People not dumb enough to pay more for the same thing”. * I can’t check to be 100% certain atm.
  8. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    RightMove is the ‘delusion’ index that ignores all the properties which have been on the market for more than 30 days. If you were designing an index of asking prices, would you ignore most of the asking prices? I accept it is an indicator of sentiment but nothing more than that. The Daily Mail is a better indicator of sentiment. In my experience of buying a house last year, a lot of properties did not have a HIP. Now that the HIP law has been pulled, most of these properties are being re-listed as ‘new’. Considering all the price cuts over the past year, this will pull the RightMove index down without any change to the asking prices of ALL the properties on RightMove. I accept your point about the RICS survey. This one is actually a reasonable piece of evidence. BTW, Have you seen my RightMove survey? http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index....st&p=183870
  9. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    Did you get any dividends payments in the 1/2 year(s) you held? http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=6192
  10. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    I love the way RightMove is seen as a flawed survey on the way UP and gospel on the way DOWN.
  11. The price of the futures are shown here http://www.cboe.com/DelayedQuote/DQBeta.aspx The time to buy VXX or VXZ is when the futures curve is a little flatter.
  12. DOUBLE POST Isn't it the wrong time to buy VXX when VIX futures are already pricing in a 33% increase http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-09-1...call-rally.html Because of http://www.financialsensearchive.com/fsu/e.../2009/0115.html ???
  13. On this day the 7th of April in the year 2025, I have made the final mortgage payment on my mansion. In 2010 money, the price of the mansion was circa £1m and way beyond my reaches. This thread details the investment choices that allowed me to buy and pay for my mansion within 15 years. It’s got 8 bedrooms and 6 bathrooms if anyone is interested in the details of the property itself. It’s in XXXXX and is more of a big house than a mansion. The gardens are fairly small for the size of the property as I don’t like gardening.
  14. Ta daaaaa Uploaded with ImageShack.us
  15. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    Are Kirsty, Phil & the Location team registered with the FSA to give investment advice? They are clearly dishing out investment advice week after week but I can't find them on the FSA register. Anyone know if they are breaking the law?
  16. I had another look at UU.l SSE.l & RDSB.l today. They're all looking tempting... but not quite tempting enough just yet. I'm hoping for a golden buying opportunity before xmas.
  17. I think I'm correct to keep holding my USDJPY long. Looks like the BofJ has a warchest for continued intervention. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/09/15...fake-movements/ Might not be plain sailing though (from the same article) With the potential for false starts from the same article)
  18. Japan intervened in the currency markets last night driving the Yen from 82.88 to 85. My position is slightly underwater. I have an opportunity to get out with a small loss at the moment. I wonder if interventions are like buses (you wait 6 years for one and then 3 come along at once). I will watch for a few days to see what happens. I do feel we will get to 86 ro 87 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-15/j...s-recovery.html
  19. I was lucky enough to be employed by generous pension paying companies for the first 5 years of my career and I was able to build up a relatively healthy pension pot without contributing much money myself. For the past 3 years, I have been quietly investing this money in various funds. I’ve made an occasional post on GEI about my fund choices, but most of it is scattered across various threads. The purpose of this thread is to bring together my pension trading in a single thread. I might pick out some of the past posts I have made and quote them in this thread to provide some back ground to my current position. I tend to keep my money in ‘pots’ and try to apply a different trading/investing technique to each pot of money. My other pots are 1. Dividends Paying Shares for the long term http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=6192 2. Pension (this thread) 3. My Mortgage http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index....showtopic=10117 4. General Investing (Gold, silver, Sterling & debt) 5. Trading (Gambling for fun with a small amount of money I can afford to loose) I generally only mention pots [4] & [5] in the main forums, so anything you see in another thread has nothing to do with this thread. All of my dividends paying shares are currently held in a SIPP so there can be cash transfers between pots [1] & [2] I am intending to trade with my Pension pot [2] similar to my Trading pot [5]. The difference is: I cannot afford to loose my pension. It’s a LOT of money to me (if I ever get it) I don’t intend to trade often, but I will review my holdings regularly to make sure I am doing OK.
  20. These are the current assets. Blackrock Gold & General - 117% up Allianz RCM Japan - 10% up JP Morgan Natural Resources - 153% up Schroder Japan Alpha Plus - 34% up Investec Global Energy - 48% up All the above are in a Personal Pension. It's really hard for me to buy & sell without incurring huge fee's so I am going to cash up and transfer to a new SIPP provider CF Ruffer Gold Fund - 166% up Kazakhmy - 593% up There's current no cash.
  21. I don't think there will be any "safe" trading. All of my trading will carry a risk. However, I am going to put a lot more thought into my pension trading than I do with my trading account where I pretty much gamble on coin tosses (because I can afford to lose and I enjoy the gamble).
  22. I've updated my sold prices chart to cover all relevant streets now. Uploaded with ImageShack.us
  23. ziknik

    UK House prices: News & Views

    Given that they are selling one for a similar price, it makes sense to put in an offer just below stamp duty and allow theirs to sell at the same price. Waiting for a 20% drop will mean theirs will drop 20% too so they’ve not got anything to gain by waiting. Get it over and done with.
  24. I'm not trading anything new this month. Instead I am going to beef up the margins on the USDJPY long I took on last month. 5 Months in, I am 20% down
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