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drbubb

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Everything posted by drbubb

  1. at the moment, gold traders are taking their cues from the oil market (and maybe some middle eastern oil wealth is doing so too) it is not always the case
  2. I think you should consider seeking some academic grants, through universities, etc. When i spoke with Prof. Perlmutter, his opinion was that this work is still highly theoretical, way too soon for practical business applications and investors You may find top Universities, even those in China- which are beginning to get some good funding, more responsive than investors and venture capitalists. It is very hard to find investors with more than a 2-3 year time span Prof.Perlmutter spent years struggling to get access to telescopes. Now that he has started winning prizes and renown, he is pushing for big projects, like a new tlescope to replace Hubble. But this is slow work, and takes good politicing, and loads of patience. If you started with something smaller, it may be easier to make some near-term progress = = THIS WEBSITE, and the contacts and conversations that it is fostering represents a very real way that i have found to advance my own agenda of alternative-energy-as-a-pathway-towards-peace-and-prosperity.
  3. these expire in 2009, i believe, so you have plenty of time to learn they are like options, they give you the right- but not the obligation- to buy stock at a fixed price. Since you got them free, they are like have some upside without risk. No need to exercise early, you can hold them until they are in the money (assuming they get there), and you are ready to sell the stock
  4. they don't need subsidy, provided the builders get some cheap land, and development rights alongside this is how they built the railways in the us over a century ago
  5. drbubb

    Jinshan Gold Mines (JIN.v)

    JINshan's Charts : Weekly : Daily : 15min./10day If Jinshan were quoted in Hongkong, what would it be worth? Not a completely fair comparison, because JIN is not yet in production. And both the major Chinese gold mining companies were producing when they were quoted in Hong kong. However, once production starts in early 2007, it will be a relevant and interesting question. Thus, some comparisons are in order: COMPARE CHARTS: All three, since early January 2006: 2899=Zijin / 3330=Lingbao ... update : to Oct.24 : intraday-10d COMPARE STATISTICS updated, now in first post
  6. OIL seems to be the key here: 1/ If it drops another $3-5, it may drag gold down to support at/ near $550, 2/ If it holds, and bounces from yesterday's low, we may be seeing the Gold lows too Gold shares (so far) seem to be telling us that we are seeing 2/, above
  7. MM, The world needs alternative energy sources. And soon, before we kill each other fighting over fossil fuels
  8. "They're just plonked down outside existing towns and so everyone pretty much relies on the car to get to/from." getting people OUT OF CARS and into quality street life, and effective mass transport will be a big theme of the future
  9. HISTORY OF SUBURBIA ====== Here, in a typical North American suburb, life seems to carrying on much as it has for the past fifty years. With every passing year, more and more streets like this one replace farmers?fields. As more and more people come here for their share of the good life. History, however, has proven itself indifferent to people hopes and dreams for a better life, even the best of intentions have often not been enough to avoid calamity. And suburbia began with the best of intentions. The dream of the suburbs was the antidote to city life, and, in particular, the life of the industrial city and the industrial town. And the antidote was going to be country living for everybody. And the suburbs was a way of delivering that to the masses. (Music) The industrial city and the industrial town were really things that had never been seen before. You know, they were new. Human beings didn have experience with them and with all the terrible things that they produced. So, you know, the towns and cities of North America grew up in tandem with the industrial processes and were very much products of industrialism. And what happens pretty early in the process, by the mid 19th century, is that the industrial city becomes a fairly horrible place. There all this noise and effluence and pollution and stenches and all these terrible byproducts of factories and people don want to live around that stuff anymore. And then you get the additional problems of, you know, you need armies of workers to toil in these factories which are assuming increasingly immense scale. The quarters they live in end up being these vast tenement slums. You know this idea establishes itself I think in the collective consciousness of all of us North Americans that the city is not really a very good place to live. And what is the alternative? Well, there the city and there the country. Certainly the first suburbs in the late 19th century enabled the better off upper-middle class to get away from these moiling and toiling workers and all their vulgar worker culture of the cities. In the 1870s and 80s and 90s, you get the first template, which is the suburb based on the idea of the manor in a park, the estate in a park. And these are subdivisions like Llewellyn Park in New Jersey and Riverside nine miles outside the Chicago Loop, which are basically large Victorian villas, deployed in a park-like setting. You know, in the beginning there must have been elements of it that were lovely, because the first people who were moving out there were pretty well-off. And they were moving to real countryside, there were no K-Marts in 1897. Then in the late 19th, early 20th century before World War I, you get something quite different, you get the street car suburb, which is based on this idea of the street car lines, now leaving the city and these new suburbs which are still fairly civic in their physical design. There were these stops and each one of these stops created a beautiful little Main Street, smaller higher-density housing, cottages, bungalows nearby, all very walkable in the most traditional sense. And they are some of the most wonderful neighborhoods in America, theye just outside the central cities. Then what happens is in the 1920s is that you get the mass motoring, democratization of suburbia and that results in the boom of the 1920s, largely based on creating these automobile suburbs and all their furnishings and accessories. And that project is interrupted by the Great Depression and the Second World War. No sir, all this can keep a fellow from putting down his ideas. Something is going to add up here. His own air-conditioned castle with a deep breeze, a cooler for beer, a great big lawn where Pet and Bugsy will welcome him home. The Veterans?Emergency Housing Program is launched to help solve the housing emergency in hundreds of cities. The target: 2,700,000 homes and apartments started by the end of 1947. This is the payoff to our soldiers who fought in World War II. You get to come home; you don have to live in a city anymore; you can live in a brand new home in the suburbs and youe going to have a wife who can stay at home and a family and that the payoff and that became a packaged American Dream. But it only a post World War II American Dream, it not the true American Dream of anybody can make it. Almost overnight, suburbia was born. A half million homes sprouting over the country in 1946. Nearly a million in 1947, a million in 1948, still more in 1949, 1950. The empty farmlands, the quiet towns and villages surrounding the city found themselves in the midst of a roaring housing boom. You get the full, real elaboration of the automobile suburb based on the idea of the cul-de-sac subdivision and that becomes the template for how wee going to build things. This is the only part of the world at that time where plumbers and pipefitters and sheetrock hangers can own their own home. The middle class is going to go basically from the wino level clear up to the doctors and the dentists. And everybody will be included. . . . One of the things that happens is that suburbia ends up being a false promise. The post-war suburbia is not what it promises to be, it not country living, it a cartoon of country living and a cartoon of a house. You know, it has none of the real amenities of country life. No connection with real, organic systems of other living things. Rivers, forests, fields, agriculture, none of that, you just get a lawn, which is an industrial produced artifact. So it has none of the amenities of country life and it has none of the amenities of the town. In effect, it has all the disadvantages of both. You know, all you really have is a six lane highway. ..MORE: http://www.globalpublicmedia.com/transcripts/231
  10. # # # Sequel: Escape from Suburbia The sequel to End of Suburbia is due for release in autumn of 2006, produced by Gregory Greene and Dara Rowland. See http://escapefromsuburbia.com - A trailer is available on the site for advance viewing. The advance description is that there will be a positive emphasis on what people in many countries are doing to meet the challenges of higher and higher oil prices. Suburbia, and all it promises, has become the American Dream. With brutal honesty and a touch of irony, The END of SUBURBIA explored the American Way of Life and its prospects as the planet enters the age of Peak Oil. In ESCAPE From SUBURBIA director Greg Greene once again takes us “through the looking glass” on a journey of discovery – a sobering yet vital and ultimately positive exploration of what the second half of the Oil Age has in store for us. Through personal stories and interviews we examine how declining world oil production has already begun to affect modern life in North America. Expert scientific opinion is balanced with “on the street” portraits from an emerging global movement of citizen’s groups who are confronting the challenges of Peak Oil in extraordinary ways. The clock is ticking. ESCAPE From SUBURBIA asks the tough questions: Are we approaching Peak Oil now? What are the controversies surrounding our future energy options? Why are a growing number of specialists and citizens skeptical of these options? What are ordinary people across North America doing in their own communities to prepare for Peak Oil? And what will YOU do as energy prices skyrocket and the Oil Age draws to a close? LINKS: http://escapefromsuburbia.com/hotlinks.html#1 = = = POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS = = 10 SOLUTIONS that are feasible, healthy, and sustainable: 1. An immediate and permanent moratorium on all new road construction and expansions. 2. An immediate and permanent moratorium on all new airport construction and expansions, as well as an end to all aviation subsidies. In addition, an end to the huge oil industry subsidies ($300 billion per year world wide). 3. A huge increase in funding for Amtrak and the immediate construction of a nationwide new train network across America connecting every city, town, and neighborhood with an efficient, state-of-the-art electric train network comparable to what is currently operating all across Europe and Japan. This should be built to transport both passengers and all the cargo now moved by very inefficient trucks. 4. An immediate tripling of minimum vehicle miles per gallon standards for all vehicles produced in America - accomplished by a quick and complete conversion of all factories to the building of only hybrid, solar, and fully electric vehicles. 5. An immediate moratorium on the construction of any new coal fired or nuclear power generating plants. 6. The immediate construction of massive new solar and wind power generating capacity all across America, including neighborhood scale and small wind turbines that can be incorporated inconspicuously into the roofs of buildings. Also, the immediate installation of new hydropower generating capacity in the form of coastal wave and tidal energy capture. 7. The immediate installation of full roof solar panels on every building in America. 8. An immediate moratorium on the building of any additional sprawl (which deepens auto/oil dependence). 9. A major focus of federal, state, and local governments on the revitalization and densification of all existing cities and towns across America into walkable, mixed-use communities, with pedestrians and bicycles given top priority over automobiles, and a serious focus on bicycles as a major form of transportation. Included would be millions of affordable housing units and high quality neighborhood schools located so all children can walk or bike to them. 10. The immediate installation of major organic farms at the edge of every city and town across America. In addition to this, the immediate planting of millions of trees across America. WAYS TO PAY FOR THESE SOLUTIONS -The $300 billion + spent so far on the Iraq war could have paid for a lot of this -A portion of the $430 billion United States annual defense budget -The hundreds of billions spent annually on road construction -The hundreds of billions currently spent on airport expansions -The hundreds of billions spent on constructing nuclear and coal fired power plants -The $300 billion each year spent subsidizing the oil industry -A new 'waste tax' imposed on waste and inefficiency It is imperative that we invest in the solutions as soon as possible for a smooth transition to a sustainable future. Right now, "unfortunately, we're investing in war, not in crash projects to develop new energy sources." The real problem is that after we conclude the Iraq war spending well in excess of $300 billion, we will still be just as dependent on oil as before the war - not one thing will be improved with our society and our dangerous oil addiction! "There is no more debate. We face a planetary emergency. The phrase sounds shrill but it is an accurate description of the climate crisis that we have to confront and solve." --Al Gore What we need now more than anything is unified leadership and committed, focused, emergency action on a massive scale to save the planet before it's too late @: http://www.newurbanism.org/
  11. "many UK suburbanites survive very well without cars" yes. true by contrast, the us suburbs are built around cars and huge malls, making for a cheap and nasty existence of consumerism, rather than neighborhood street life but americans are waking up to the nightmare they have creating, and starting to change it = = = Director Greg Greene speaks about The End of Suburbia Transcripts: Greg Greene on radio-KPFA's "Against the Grain" (2 August 2004) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ In Brief: As growing numbers of North Americans move to the suburbs, one of the challenges facing policy makers was how to get all these people from their homes to their shopping malls, to their workplaces, and their schools, and back again. The major American auto manufacturers were powerhouses of industrial might following the Second World War. And they had a plan for the masses. It relied, not surprisingly, on cars as America's future mass transit. C.S. Soong: Everyone dreams of having a large house with a large yard, surrounded by a white picket fence, removed from the dirt and crime of the city. Or at least, that's what most Americans seem to want. But the suburban way of life has a myriad of hidden costs and, according the makers of The End of Suburbia", may not be sustainable in the long term. Gregory Greene, director of The End of Suburbia, discusses the film with Against the Grain's C.S. Soong. Audio Interview [52:36] | mp3 Post Carbon Institute's campaign to raise energy awareness through End of Suburbia screenings @: http://www.globalpublicmedia.com/interviews/88
  12. The End of Suburbia (From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) The End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of The American Dream ...is a 2004 documentary film concerning peak oil and its implications on the suburban lifestyle. This film is critical of widespread use of "cheap energy" policies especially in the transportation sector and argues that technological fixes such as biofuels and hydrogen are infeasible. According to the film, a major reorganization of urban land use is needed to decrease transportation; also, some aspects of the global economy will have to be rolled back, such as long-distance shipping of food. Further, this film claims people and organizations will enter a counter-productive and damaging period of denial as the economy restructures to lower energy use. The documentary features footage from vintage films in the Prelinger Archives, primarily footage depicting the growth of suburbia and the interstate highway system in the United States after World War II. The film is hosted by Canadian broadcaster Barrie Zwicker and features discussion from James Howard Kunstler, Peter Calthorpe, Michael Klare, Richard Heinberg, Matthew Simmons, Michael C. Ruppert, Julian Darley, Colin Campbell, Kenneth Deffeyes, Ali Samsam Bakhtiari and Steve Andrews. The director is Gregory Greene and the producer is Barry Silverthorn. @: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_of_Suburbia = = = Running on Empty - The End of Suburbia and the future slums of Irvine By Greg Stacy Thursday, September 16, 2004 - 12:00 am It is the Southern California of some decades hence. Beneath a sky heavy with the lingering toxins of generations past, Irvine has fallen to ruin. The suburbs have become weedy slums, and streets once bustling with SUVs are now ominously quiet. Food is also in short supply, and desperate people are doing desperate things to feed their families. Is this the plot of some new, postapocalyptic thriller? Don’t we freaking wish. No, this is the far-too-likely future that all of us face. Apocalypse could just be coming to your neighborhood sooner than you think, and it won’t take World War III to make it happen. With a minimum of lefty hysterics, the new documentary The End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of the American Dream explains how America is about to go all Mad Max on us. The simple truth is we are literally running out of gas. It isn’t news to most of us that oil is a non-renewable resource. We all remember those scratchy movies they showed us in elementary school in which cheerful cartoon dinosaurs explain the basics of fossil fuels. Many of us are even vaguely aware that fossil fuels are supposed to run out sometime in our lifetimes, but we’ve always assumed the government will cook up some sort of viable alternative fuel before things get really dire. Well, we would do well to remember that the government was supposed to have brought peace to the Middle East by now. The End of Suburbia explains how hydrogen and ethanol, the two energy sources currently being widely touted as potential replacements for oil, simply won’t be able to keep up with the power demands of the world’s ever-increasing population; in fact, it takes more energy to create hydrogen than you’ll ever get from the stuff. Don’t believe W’s hype: there is really nothing in the works that will keep the world’s engines humming as loudly as oil has, and it’s unlikely we’ll come up with anything that will sustain us in the lifestyle to which we’ve grown accustomed. There will be a time of skyrocketing oil costs, increasingly bloody wars over resources and worldwide economic collapse, and eventually all the oil will dry up and the industrial age will grind to a halt. But hey, at least we won’t have to worry about those long commutes anymore, huh? Directed by Toronto filmmaker Gregory Greene, who leads a post-screening discussion locally, The End of Suburbia isn’t quite as glum as it perhaps sounds. The film has a certain dark wit, and we’re not left to think humanity’s doom is simply inevitable. We may be on the road to disaster, but at least we’re still in the driver’s seat. A few sensible ideas for how we can possibly save our selves from our gristly fate are presented. These ideas do involve a lot of hard choices, sacrifice and self-control—things we Americans seem to get worse at all the time—but there’s still room for optimism. Perhaps these dire circumstances will force us into that communal utopia the hippies were always babbling about, a new age of healthy, responsible living and consciousness expansion and lots of groovy loose sex. . . . Hmm. If you need me, I’ll be out in my garage, revving my car’s engine for a few hours. Just doing my part to burn off the last of that dinosaur sludge and get this goddamn Age of Aquarius started already. The End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion and the Collapse of the American Dream was directed by Gregory Greene. It screens at Orange Coast Unitarian Universalist Church, 1259 Victoria St., Costa Mesa, (949) 646-4652; ocuuc.org; endofsuburbia.com. Wed., 7:30 p.m. Free.
  13. "the new railway has been built to exploit the mineral wealth of Tibet" no doubt- but it may backfire, and wind up exporting tibetan culture as well more tibetan photos: http://www.beva.org/pilgrimage/robert/bgtown.htm
  14. drbubb

    Three Charts I Like

    purely on charts, i like CGG the best. The others are still "on the mat" It would be interesting to know more about the fundamentals, to see what potential catalysts could be identified to get these stocks moving abovetheir long term moving averages Once that happens, there is little (technically) to hold them back
  15. Here are some highlights from this weekend's interview: (A sort of update to an earlier interview) + Unbelievable volatility. But markets are still tight, and prices could quickly be back at where they were 8 weeks ago + Up to 80% of our oil goes towards transportation, and demand remains very high + Oil "experts" had strong opinions, about oil prices. But had they barely looked at the data. Simmons book looked at the myth of unlimited cheap oil in the Middle East. Once that bubble had been popped, people began to realise that oil was in short supply. The word is getting out. + US Dept. of Energy is doing an exhaustive study, and so is a congressional committee + But not enough is being done to fix
  16. drbubb

    The Coal Thread

    if coal is the only alternative, as the oil runs out, we will find a way. technology, once invented, can be made cheaper. south africa has gone well beyond nazi germany. meantime, coal stocks have jumped nicely : http://www.coalprice.com/
  17. low may be in place - $60 was reached after all
  18. nice looking turn in gold yesterday, confirming the uptrend + opening gap up + faded, and gap was fill, and hui even went negative + the dip was met with strong buying GLD : 59.81 + 1.07 / +1.82% HUI : 305.67 + 5.67 / +1.89% are we about to see a jump back over $600? that would look great on the charts my calls from last week: GFI, HMY, ASA : are all kicking a., helped also by weak rand i may take profits on a jump over $600, and buy some laggard juniors instead. i am close to a double on the calls, and they expire in october
  19. drbubb

    Set To Break Out?

    On March 13, 2006 the Company announced that it had entered into a definitive agreement with Lukoil to effect a merger into a wholly owned subsidiary of Lukoil. On the effective date of the merger, all issued and outstanding common stock of Chaparral would be exchanged for $5.80 per share in cash. The transaction had been expected to complete in June 2006. On May 1, 2006 the Company filed a Preliminary Proxy Statement on form PREM14A and details of the transaction on Schedule 13E3 as part of the merger process with the Securities Exchange Commission ("SEC"). Subsequent amendments to these forms were filed with the SEC on June 19, 2006. The SEC is continuing their review of these amended forms. Once this review process is complete the Company expects to circulate the proxy statements to all stockholders of record and announce the date of a formal stockholders meeting. The Company does not expect this date to be before the beginning of September 2006.
  20. drbubb

    Set To Break Out?

    looks like a takeover bid to me
  21. drbubb

    Jinshan Gold Mines (JIN.v)

    jinshan to be on rob-tv: http://www.jinshanmines.com/i/pdf/ROB_TV.pdf
  22. i think you can sell them wherever... but they may need to be re-registered. still, a strong price in oz, would help london too
  23. bedzed? the truth is... i do not know enough about it, to dismiss it or promote it the first look didnt excite me asa much as the large vision of dongtan. maybe if i knew more...
  24. the mid-price is about 8.5P, so that is near 3p on the old structure don't forget, you also have 2009 warrants, and they have value too = = the reverse split was designed to help narrow the spread. that hasnt worked so far, but trading in australia will give you an alternative place to sell the thing is, thor was spun-out of another company, tennant creek gold, partly at the suggestion of rab, who invested some early money. the london listing never worked that well. reasons: + remoteness of the project from london, + time until project is in production- and some scepticism, + lack of sustained promotional efforts in london an oz-quote is better
  25. Mayor will fail carbon test The Mayor of London will not even come close to hitting his key 2010 target for zero carbon development in the capital. Ken Livingstone has admitted that the London Development Agency (LDA) is a long way off delivering even a single zero carbon development, following pressure from the green party. It is almost two years since the mayor promised to back a series of flagship schemes across the city, as part of the Energy Strategy for London. @: http://www.nbsgreenconstruction.com/Archive/RoundUp121.asp === lots of relevant news on that site, btw: http://www.nbsgreenconstruction.com/ this, for example: Eco Conference 2006 A three-way conference and exhibition has been launched to drive forward environmental issues concerning good architectural design and building methods - all focused on sustainability. Ecobuild, Futurebuild and Regenex will share the spotlight at Earls Court in 2006. Ecobuild 2006 is a conference and exhibition dedicated to sustainable design and construction products and services. Futurebuild 2006 is a conference and exhibition dedicated to the commercial, construction and design aspects of Modern Methods of Construction when applied to housing, healthcare, education and commercial applications. Regenex 2006 is a new conference and exhibition dedicated to promoting and developing the business of urban regeneration and its critical role in the creation of Sustainable Communities. Tuesday 21st - Thursday 23rd February 2006. Earls Court 2, London. Contact: International Business Events Limited - 020 8822 6918, or for more information and to book places online visit the conference websites: Ecobuild 2006 - http://www.ecobuild.co.uk Futurebuild 2006 - http://www.futurebuild.co.uk Regenex 2006 - http://www.regenex.co.uk. ... let's hope they run them again in 2007
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