Perishabull Posted February 6, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2013 Many brokers offer SIM / paper trade accounts so you can assess a strategy or practice execution and order entry types. I would avoid getting a Forex account since most are foxes offering absolutely ludicrous leverage (eg 400-1) to the many lambs out there. I trade futures through Mirus Futures but they are a futures only broker, their data provider Zen-Fire provide the SIM account feature. I wouldnt use a UK broker either, they are way overpriced compared to US brokers. I also have an old ThinkorSwim account but they no longer accept new UK customers, their platform is excellent and there is paper trade feature on that that I've used to test OCO brackets and trailing stop orders. I'm sure I posted something a while ago, something that allow access to their platform. I'll see if I can find it later. CBOE offer a free papertrading platform called paperTRADE - http://www.cboe.com/...rtrademain.aspx - You'll need to register first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cranberryDog46 Posted February 6, 2013 Report Share Posted February 6, 2013 thanks pd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 10, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2013 I've been on a bit of a mission lately upgrading my system to make it run at it's best. I started upgrading the 4GB memory to 8GB and that did speed things up a bit however the machine was running in 32 bit, rather than 64-bit and I only had Windows Home Premium 32-bit (however my processor is 64-bit). So I got Windows Ultimate 64-bit and a 160GB solid state drive, backed up all my important data, installed the Solid State Drive, set about re-installing Windows, then upgraded to the latest 64-bit version of Multicharts. What a fantastic difference it made upgrading to 64-bit and getting the Solid State Drive. It now runs as a computer should, silently, no hard drive access sounds. It's very quick, you start an application it starts up very quickly. For example in iTunes if you double click a song it plays immediately. It's essentially like I have a completely new machine, and I only spent a few hundred pounds. Multicharts, (trading system) starts up quicker and allows me to interrogate data/charts so much quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted February 10, 2013 Report Share Posted February 10, 2013 Yeah, it is well worthwhile to do the upgrade, if you use charts frequently. I did it a year or so ago, and never looked back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cranberryDog46 Posted February 10, 2013 Report Share Posted February 10, 2013 might have been the SSD that made most of the difference, would be interested to hear how your machine runs with the old HDD and the ram and 64 bit upgrades only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 14, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 14, 2013 Domestic Mutual Fund FLow; Stocks at new highs with declining earning estimates; Charts from www.sentimentrader.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 16, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 16, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 16, 2013 Not a bad time I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 17, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2013 Peter Campbell thinks markets are toppy right now; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 21, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2013 I finished an assessment of my futures pairs trading strategy, not only does it just show a minimal edge but there was also a flaw in the construction in the indicator, (this probably explains the minimal edge). When the indicator was reconfigured with the correct formula, the amount of trade signals given was very low, so I've put that strategy on the shelf for now, I may come back to it at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 21, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yesterday I started looking at a different type of analysis work that gives structure and context to a market, its called median line and involves using Andrews pitchforks and looks very interesting indeed. Indeed I noted what looked like a good position to short, 6 am yesterday then had other plans for the day and later saw it was an excellent point to have shorted equity markets. NASDAQ futures Interestingly it meshes well with another type of analysis I do that compares equity markets to currency markets. Highly intriguing for the positively deviant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 24, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2013 Sentiment has stalled on Platinum; Platinum Palladium COT Large specs in Palladium look very over extended; Ratio of Palladium to Platinum; The Palladium / Platinum ratio has continually stalled above 0.46 level If the ratio switches lower at the same level then short Palladium / long Platinum looks like a good trade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 25, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2013 I've just signed up for a introductory course on statistics offered by UC Berkeley via www.edx.org, from the website; "ABOUT edX EdX is a not-for-profit enterprise of its founding partners Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology that features learning designed specifically for interactive study via the web. Based on a long history of collaboration and their shared educational missions, the founders are creating a new online-learning experience with online courses that reflect their disciplinary breadth. Along with offering online courses, the institutions will use edX to research how students learn and how technology can transform learning–both on-campus and worldwide. Anant Agarwal, former Director of MIT's Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, serves as the first president of edX. EdX's goals combine the desire to reach out to students of all ages, means, and nations, and to deliver these teachings from a faculty who reflect the diversity of its audience. EdX is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts and is governed by MIT and Harvard." It's the first part of a 3 part course that initially goes into regression, standard deviation, scatter diagrams, and my goal here is to be able to pick up some techniques to be able to assess data (ie trading signals) in a scientific way that will lead to meaningful conclusions (ie Is there an edge present?) There are quite an eclectic mix of courses offered - you can check them out athttps://www.edx.org/courses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted February 27, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2013 More on Median Line analysis; Dow Jones futures big picture, large structure going back to July last year; And closer, showing recent bounce off median line; Meanwhile Peter Campbell of M3 financial sense thinks today's action has set a trap; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 3, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 3, 2013 Weekly chart of S&P 500 futures from 1997 to 2013 We're right at the historic trendline connecting the 2000 and 2007 tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazza Posted March 12, 2013 Report Share Posted March 12, 2013 Im sure you highlighted these PD... Cotton and DBA looking interesting in GBP now. Sorry cant post graphs from work. Both looking a touch overbought here so would like to see a pullback to purchase, however will step in if they breakout . Anyone know of the 'best' cotton ETF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chazza Posted March 15, 2013 Report Share Posted March 15, 2013 Thankfully I am blessed with a creative mind (and health)........ Thats gone over my head. Bought WEAT LN ETF y'day. Cotton on a tear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 15, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 15, 2013 Nice one chazza, I've edited my post and your quote. I hope you don't mind, I was tired yesterday and little bit stressed out...it was a long day yesterday. Cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 16, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 16, 2013 More from Peter Campbell of M3 Financial blog; Dumb money / smart money couldn't be clearer Chart from www.sentimentrader.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 27, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 27, 2013 Our perceptive friend, Peter Campbell over at M3 Financial Blog, posted this; "Everything is MORE Wronger…here is another time this happened... VIX UP Bonds Up Dollar Up Market Flat or Up and near highs Are we going way back to 2008? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 30, 2013 Report Share Posted March 30, 2013 Very nice chart, PD ! I shall add some trendlines later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 30, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 30, 2013 Very nice chart, PD ! I shall add some trendlines later Peter has now pulled that chart from his blog entry of 27th March and replaced it with this; "Today we had a condition that has only occured three times since 2007…VIX Up, Dollar Up, Bonds Up with markets making recent new highs…see chart below for these occurences: VIX UP = Market Rally Bonds Up = Market Rally Dollar Up = Market Rally Total European Banking System Failure = Market Up and near highs Currency Controls = party time for Ben BURNanke ECB Officials dazed and confused = Risk On Margin Debt increases for Feb = Margin Debt increase in March Central Bank = Over leveraged hedge fund" AFAIK he makes big money for his clients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 30, 2013 Report Share Posted March 30, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted March 30, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 30, 2013 Very many longs; www.sentimentrader.com Dr Copper does not correlate too well with equity markets right now, looks very weak; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perishabull Posted April 3, 2013 Author Report Share Posted April 3, 2013 This is from Albertarocks TA discussion blog; SPX / VIX - an interesting way of looking at things So he points out that SPX / VIX is at an all time high but also compared to the previous peak this is really an outlier; The current level is way above the bollinger bands right now, compared to the previous peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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