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DrBubb's Diary - Feb. 2018 Trading - v.109


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Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : 24hr-euro-small.gif : t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif : AuTD1.png?id=11409261605

idx24_russell_en_2.gif : t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif:: idx24_hui_en_2.gif : AgTD0.png?id=11409221912

3d : ag : au / Btc / 8yr: 12mo : 5m : 2m : 1m : 25 10 5d 2d :

China/SGE: 4,200 RMB/kg / 6.150 = $ 683 / 35.274 = $19.36 (discount of about 20-25 cents?)

Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img :

HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC 1m 2d : SLV-lv

==========================================

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WEEKLY Price Changes /

Oil falls (-9.6%). More than stocks (-5.1%) as people talk "Stock Crash".

But China stocks fall almost 9%.

==== : Fye'16  : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  01/12 :  01/19 :  01/26 :  02/02 :  02/09 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1334.5 : 1333.1 : 1352.1 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : - 1.62%
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.96 : 126.42 : 127.35 : 126.39 : 124.77 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 277.92 : 280.41 : 284.68 : 275.45 : 261.50 : - 5.07%
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2743.2 : 2786.2 : 2810.3 : 2872.9 : 2762.1 : 2619.6 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 207.5%: 208.5%: 210.8% : 212.5%: 206.5% : 199.1% :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  17.285 : 17.140 : 17.040 : 17.130 : 16.710 : 16.140 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $16.22 : $16.27 : $16.05 : $16.41 : $15.66 : $15.39 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $77.42 : $76.38: $77.51 : $72.46 : $66.67 : - 8.00%
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $64.30 : $63.31 : $66.14 : $65.45 : $59.20 : - 9.55%
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== :  r21.52 : r20.75 : r-21.06 : r-20.44 : r-20.43 : r-22.22 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.795 : $3.200 : $3.180 : $3.180 : $2.850 : $3.030 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.230 : $3.220 : $3.190 : $3.190 : $3.190 : $2.580 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 193.45 : 196.06 : 195.50 : 200.52 : 197.44 : 188.51 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 351.25 : 346.25 : 352.50 : 356.50 : 361.50 : 362.00 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 430.75 : 420.50 : 422.75 : 441.00 : 446.75 : 449.00 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.56: $18.63: $18.91 : $18.97 : $18.82 : - 0.79%
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== : 9.73%  :  9.47%  :  9.53% :  9.47% :  9.61% :  9.98% :
Xle/D : r- 3.77 : r- 3.85 :  +2.14% :  r- 3.98 :  r- 4.17 :  r- 4.10 : r- 4.10 :  r- 3.82 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $92.01 : $90.90 : $90.37 : $89.35 : $89.19 : $90.33 :
====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1334.5 : 1333.1 : 1352.1 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : - 1.62%
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.610 : r-1.575 : r-1.589 : r-1.589 : r-1.603 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 828.96 : 846.67 : 851.06 : 841.35 : 820.71 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $24.01 : $23.65 : $24.35 : $22.91 : $21.68 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.90 : $22.20 : $22.16 : $21.13 : $19.02 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $34.94 : $34.40 : $34.79 : $32.29 : $30.63 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $34.48 : $34.60 : $34.52 : $30.70 : $28.71 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.51 : $50.44 : $51.29 : $49.05 : $46.42 : - 5.36%
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3428.9 : 3487.8 : 3500.0 : 3462.1 : 3155.0 : - 8.88%
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8814.6 : 8915.9 : 9041.2 : 8810.8 : 8503.7 : - 3.49%
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 158.16 : 158.60 : 159.60 : 153.83 : 146.77 : - 4.59%
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.23 : $29.54 : $30.17 : $29.36 : $27.68 : - 5.73%
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : ====== : 0.1836 : 0.1848 : 0.1862 : 0.1909 : 0.1909 : 0.1886 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840  : 13,622 :  11,500 : 11,500 : $8,800 : $8,840 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  01/12 :   01/19 :   01/26 :  02/02 :  02/09 :

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Last week, Shanghai stocks fell (8.88%) - was more than SPX (-5.07%).

They touched support (987 d.AM) near 3,080 --- update : 3-mos : 10d :

AtoHAI8.gif

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Oil & Oil shares took a Hit - as the charts had anticipated

XLE -vs-DBA ... update

lhHxVa3.gif

WEEKLY Price Changes /

Oil falls (-9.6%). More than stocks (-5.1%) as people talk "Stock Crash".

But China stocks fall almost 9%.

==== : Fye'16  : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  01/12 :  01/19 :  01/26 :  02/02 :  02/09 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1334.5 : 1333.1 : 1352.1 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : - 1.62%
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.96 : 126.42 : 127.35 : 126.39 : 124.77 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 277.92 : 280.41 : 284.68 : 275.45 : 261.50 : - 5.07%
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $77.42 : $76.38: $77.51 : $72.46 : $66.67 : - 8.00%
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $64.30 : $63.31 : $66.14 : $65.45 : $59.20 : - 9.55%
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.56: $18.63: $18.91 : $18.97 : $18.82 : - 0.79%
====

RATIO : XLE -to-DBA

FDNjPXh.png

This drop in Oil, instead of a jump in Grains - suggests that Inflationary Pressures may ease - & maybe Bonds can rally after their recent drop

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Gotta Bucket of water? The witch must go!

Hillary-Clinton-AP_725118033484-940x545.

Hillary Clinton, a favorite GOP foil, plans discreet 2018 strategy

“The resistance is looking for the next savior of the Democratic Party and I don’t know how much demand [for Clinton appearances] there will be outside of the districts where she beat Trump,” said Patti Solis Doyle, who managed Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign.

A Clinton 2020 campaign has been ruled out, although Trump continues to tweet excitedly about the prospect and mentioned her during a January news conference with the prime minister of Norway.

LieStream = WashCompost > https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/hillary-clinton-a-favorite-gop-foil-plans-discreet-2018-strategy/2018/02/11/ec02d02e-0cd0-11e8-95a5-c396801049ef_story.html?utm_term=.468dc773d0aa

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Dow soars 410 points after its worst week in 2 years...

Investors brace for more swings...

Apps causing financial site glitches...

The Dow Jones industrial average closed 410.37 points higher at 24,601.27 and rose as much as 574.26. DowDuPont and Apple were the best-performing stocks in the Dow, advancing 3.4 percent and 4 percent, respectively.

The S&P 500 gained 1.4 percent to finish at 2,656, with materials and information technology as the best-performing sectors. The Nasdaq composite advanced 1.6 percent to close at 6,981.96.

Shares of Amazon, Bank of America and Apple — which fell sharply last week — all rose by at least 2.5 percent.

JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, said the market is trying to find its balance point after last week's wild swings. "There's more volatility ahead. These things take a few weeks to get worked out," he said.

"The market is trying to bounce here, but we have yields climbing and that could dampen enthusiasm," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at First Standard Financial.

The CPI numbers are scheduled for release Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse, told CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" the CPI number was important. "The expectations are that inflation is actually going to be coming down a tiny bit, both on the core and the headline," he said. "Unless we get a problematic surprise, I think Wednesday can actually be the event that calms the markets down."

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Added to Weekly Recap on DrBubb's Diary:

PH:PSei

ozIGdDc.gif

===
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1334.5 : 1333.1 : 1352.1 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : - 1.62%
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.610 : r-1.575 : r-1.589 : r-1.589 : r-1.603 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 828.96 : 846.67 : 851.06 : 841.35 : 820.71 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $24.01 : $23.65 : $24.35 : $22.91 : $21.68 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.90 : $22.20 : $22.16 : $21.13 : $19.02 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $34.94 : $34.40 : $34.79 : $32.29 : $30.63 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $34.48 : $34.60 : $34.52 : $30.70 : $28.71 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.51 : $50.44 : $51.29 : $49.05 : $46.42 : - 5.36%
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3428.9 : 3487.8 : 3500.0 : 3462.1 : 3155.0 : - 8.88%
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8814.6 : 8915.9 : 9041.2 : 8810.8 : 8503.7 : - 3.49%
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 158.16 : 158.60 : 159.60 : 153.83 : 146.77 : - 4.59%
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.23 : $29.54 : $30.17 : $29.36 : $27.68 : - 5.73%
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : ====== : 0.1836 : 0.1848 : 0.1862 : 0.1909 : 0.1909 : 0.1886 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840  : 13,622 :  11,500 : 11,500 : $8,800 : $8,840 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  01/12 :   01/19 :   01/26 :  02/02 :  02/09 :

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Something VERY Serious is Happening with Banks - they've almost stopped lending TO EACH OTHER

A little over three weeks ago, I became aware of a sudden and dramatic change in the US Banking System that made my stomach sick. I "sat" on this story for almost three weeks hoping what I found was some type of anomaly or data error. It's not.

Bankers have almost completely stopped lending . . . . TO EACH OTHER.

The plunge in "InterBank Lending" was so sudden and so substantial that it looks as though it is actually a PLAN, not happenstance or situationally appropriate.

It LOOKS like the Bankers are intentionally choking the US Economy and they're doing so at levels far FAR worse than what took place during the "Fiscal Crisis" of 2007-08.

For more than 45 years, the Federal Reserve has tracked virtually E V E R Y aspect of banking in the United States. They literally look at EVERY financial metric and provide incredible amounts of public reporting to anyone willing to spend time on the Federal Reserve Electronic Data (FRED) web site.

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BONDS might surprise almost everyone, and rally

TMF / leveraged Bull etf for TLT/ LT Treasuries ... update :

OpAYLCC.gif

TLT

GSqK452.gif

If TLT & TMF rally, then Precious metals may jump too

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"It's not uncommon to see gold down in a sharp correction," said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank. "In the first wave of a market correction, we would expect to see indiscriminate selling as investors raise cash. They are going to sell their profitable, liquid trades and that is gold."

Looking ahead, while gold prices could continue to push lower in the near term, Weinberg said that it wouldn't take much for gold to regain its safe-haven luster. He added that he expects long-term value investors to take advantage of lower prices in the near term.

"The longer the crisis in equities lasts, the more demand there will be for safe-haven assets," he said. "There should be reliable safe-haven demand at $1,300 an ounce."

Along with interest rates, commodity analysts say that gold investors also need to keep an eye on the U.S. Dollar Index, which has bounced 1.5% since hitting a three-year low two weeks ago.

"While the U.S. dollar shows signs of bottoming out against major currencies, gold will have a tough time breaking out," said Lawler.

While a stronger U.S. dollar will weigh on gold, some analysts think that the greenback is oversold.

gold-vs-USD-20180209.PNG

Peter Schiff's latest comments on it in Raising Rates Reflect Bigger Debt Not Faster Growth are well worth reading. Basically these people expect to "have their cake and eat it" and have gotten away with this up to now—rising bond market, rising stock market, rates low and stable, thanks to allowing uncontrolled expansion of debt and derivatives, but basically they are out of time, which is what the drop in bond markets and consequent plunge in the stock market is signaling.

usd4year090218.jpg

The dollar's modest post breakdown rally to the underside of its Broadening Top is a typical post breakdown occurrence, and only increases downside risk by unwinding the earlier oversold condition. With its moving averages in severely bearish alignment it looks set to drop away very soon, and the decline could become precipitous. The reason for this is that a continuation of the current course, where the Fed engages in QT (Quantitative Tightening) and also raises interest rates will quickly implode the debt-wracked economy, so they are likely to abandon the proposed rates rises, unless their intention is actually to crash the markets in order that the Deep State can pin the blame on Trump. Once they abandon the rate rises, the dollar is toast.

To conclude, this looks like an excellent point to short the dollar, which is expected to drop and probably accelerate away to the downside. This should provide a boost for the precious metals sector, which should not be troubled by a falling stock market over the short to medium-term, and even when the stock market does fall again, it should have less or no impact on the precious metals sector, which will increasingly be seen as a safe haven.

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(from the CryptoCats thread):

A NICE POP-UP in the BTC price over the last few hours, and the test of 10,000 seems to be underway. 

This is important resistance, and it may take some stronger volume to get through it (High Green lines are what I want to see in this chart)
BTC : 1yr : 2mo : 10d-B :

sqKcKbm.png

At this stage, I will give it at least a 50% chance of making it through $10,000.   If the volume grows (^green lines) as the test occurs, the odds rise

LqW7afr.png

If the volume flags as it tests resistance, then the odds shrink --- all IMHO, of course.

10d-B :

8EbH0zq.png

Before BTC can get to $10,000, the price will have to push thru likely near term resistance at/near $9700/

Bitcoin breaks back above $9000 as volume falls

MarketWatch-9 hours ago
Prices of digital currencies rallied early Wednesday with the No.1 cryptocurrency, bitcoin, trading through $9,000 a coin to an intraday high of $9,367.95—an 11 day high. After falling early February, bitcoin BTCUSD, +8.43% prices have steadily clawed back losses despite some negative press around its ...
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09: 261.50 +3.87 259.M: 29.06 : 21.68 +0.01 : 124.77 -0.21 13.8M: 1315.7 $59.20 : $90.33 +0.00 : 117.94 -0.75/
12: 265.34 +3.84 140.M: 25.61 : 21.97 +0.29 : 125.37 +0.60 6.93M: 1000,0 $00.00 : $90.14 -0.18 : 118.46 +0.52/ 00, 058 : 000, 634
13: 266.00 +0.66 000.M: 24.97 : 22.00 -0.03 : 126.08 +0.71 0.00M: 1330.4 $59.19 : $89.01 -1.13 : 118.99 +0.53/
14: 269.59 +3.59 113.M: 19.26 : 23.01 +1.01 : 128.23 +2.15 16.2M: 1358.6 $60.60 : $88.95 -0.06 : 117.67 -1.32/ 00, 000 :
15: 273.03 +3.44 000.M: 19.79 : 22.99 - 0.02 : 128.38 +0.15 0.00M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $88.62 -0.33 : 118.07 +0.40/
16: 273.11 +0.08 133.M: 19.46 : 22.51 - 0.48 : 127.96 -0.42 7.53M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $89.08 +0.46 : 118.71 +0.64/ 00, 065 : 000. 800

 

 

 

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KITCO articles

Bitcoin Rises Above $10,000, Strategist Sees New High By July/ Reuters

Ray Dalio has waded deeper into the gold market as his hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, increased its position in two of the world’s largest gold-backed exchange traded funds in the fourth quarter, according to filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Ray_Dalio.jpgThe filings show that the Hedge fund, which manages about $150 billion in global assets, increased its holdings in SPRD Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) by 14,091 shares, boosting its investment to around 3.91 million shares. At the same time, the hedge fund bought 34,792 shares of iShares Gold Trust (NSYE: IAU), increasing its total holding in the ETF to 11.32 million shares.

. . .

“What sparked gold’s price move today is the increase in inflation. I think that is boosting inflation expectations, and I think that’s giving some consideration into what the Fed is going to do this year,” Gold told Kitco News.
He added that higher inflation expectations provide tailwinds for all cyclical commodities, not just gold.
Spot gold was up 1.4 percent at $1,349.94 an ounce at 1:05 p.m. EST.
The ETF Securities director said that despite recent turbulence in the markets and with commodity prices, gold’s current rally can be sustained due to other macroeconomic factors.
“Beyond the inflation factor, we’re seeing the dollar remain weaker,” he said, “I think that we are structurally in a dollar bear market and I think that it could boost gold prices in this range.”

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 ==== : Fye'16  : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :  02/09 : 02/16 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : 1356.2 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.39 : 124.77 : 127.96 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 275.45 : 261.50 : 273.11 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2743.2 : 2762.1 : 2619.6 : 2732.2 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 207.5%: 206.5%: 199.1%: 201.5 %:
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  17.285 : 16.710 : 16.140 : 16.710 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $16.22 : $15.66 : $15.39 : $15.73 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $72.46 : $66.67 : $68.12 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $65.45 : $59.20 : $61.55 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== :  r21.52 : r-20.43 : r-22.22 : r22.03 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.795 : $2.850 : $3.030 : $2.560 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.230 : $3.190 : $2.580 : $3.250 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 193.45 : 197.44 : 188.51 : 193.58 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 351.25 : 361.50 : 362.00 : 367.50 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 430.75 : 446.75 : 449.00 : 457.75 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.97 : $18.82 : $18.97 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== : 9.73%  :  9.61% :  9.98% : 9.80% :
Xle/D : r- 3.77 : r- 3.85 :  +2.14% :  r- 3.98 :  r- 4.10 :  r- 3.82 :??
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $92.01 : $89.19 : $90.33 : $89.01 :
====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : 1356.2 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.589 : r-1.603 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 841.35 : 820.71 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $22.91 : $21.68 : $22.51 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.13 : $19.02 : $19.69 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $32.29 : $30.63 : $32.51 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $30.70 : $28.71 : $29.74 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.05 : $46.42 : $49.54 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3462.1 : 3155.0 : 3199.1 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8810.8 : 8503.7 : 8612.4 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.36 : $27.68 : $28.98 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 153.83 : 146.77 : 153.34 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : ====== : 0.1836 : 0.1909 : 0.1886 : 0.1890 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840 : $8,800 : $8,840 : 10.100 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :   02/09 : 02/16 :

 

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Bitcoin One Month chart - still in Downtrend?  ... update

x

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"There was a serious Attempt on Trump's Life in the Last week"

"They need to keep the Killary trials ... out of corrupt courts ... and away from braindead zombie juries"

Jerome Corsi: Endgame Is Military Tribunal For Clinton And Obama

"A special prosecutor at this point would be brilliant"

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  ==== : Fye'16  : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :  02/09 : 02/16 : 02/23 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : 1356.2 : 1330.3 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.39 : 124.77 : 127.96 : 126.14 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 275.45 : 261.50 : 273.11 : 274.71 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2743.2 : 2762.1 : 2619.6 : 2732.2 : 2747.3 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 207.5%: 206.5%: 199.1%: 201.5 %: 206.5% :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  17.285 : 16.710 : 16.140 : 16.710 : 16.480 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $16.22 : $15.66 : $15.39 : $15.73 : $15.59 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $72.46 : $66.67: $68.12 : $68.80 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $65.45 : $59.20 : $61.55 : $63.55 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== :  r21.52 : r-20.43 : r-22.22 : r22.03 : r20.93 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.795 : $2.850 : $3.030 : $2.560 : $2.660 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.230 : $3.190 : $2.580 : $3.250 : $3.210 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 193.45 : 197.44 : 188.51 : 193.58 : 195.99 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 351.25 : 361.50 : 362.00 : 367.50 : 374.50 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 430.75 : 446.75 : 449.00 : 457.75 : 464.25 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.97 : $18.82: $18.97 : $19.10 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== : 9.73%  :  9.61%  :  9.98% :  9.80% :  9.74% :
Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: r-3.981 : r-3.820 : r-3.543 : r-3.591 : r-3.600 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $92.01 : $89.19 : $90.33 : $89.01 : $89.81 :
====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1315.7 : 1356.2 : 1330.3 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.589 : r-1.603 : r1.603 : r-1.604 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 841.35 : 820.71 : 846.E. : 829.26 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $22.91 : $21.68 : $22.51 : $21.97 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.13 : $19.02 : $19.69 : $19.55 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $32.29 : $30.63 : $32.51 : $31.91 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $30.70 : $28.71 : $29.74 : $29.27 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.05 : $46.42 : $49.54 : $49.72 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3462.1 : 3155.0 : 3199.1 : 3289.0 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8810.8 : 8503.7 : 8612.4 : 8478.6 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.36 : $27.68 : $28.98 : $29.12 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 153.83 : 146.77 : 153.34 : 153.98 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : ====== : 0.1836 : 0.1909 : 0.1886 : 0.1890 : 0.1891 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840 : $8,800 : $8,840 : 10,100 : 10,200 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :   02/09 : 02/16 : 02/23 :
=======

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COMMENTS from the Viber Chat

10d chart : 15-min: 167x2106(21d)

rXmkeD5.png

Not many recently, as I wait patiently for a Buy signal (w/o buying yet)
(Feb.22)
+ The retest of $10,000 and the TRENDLINE, if it comes soon, could be setting up a nice Buy.
But I will wait to see the volume (lighter than the last drop is important), and also to see evidence
that it is actually bouncing off the Trendline.
BTW, there was a nice SELL signal inside the Red Circle - Did you see it??
+ SEE CHARTS on GEI - going with the signal above
+ BROKE HARD now ... $9880
+ But volume is lighter.  $9700 coming maybe
+ BOUNCED off $9,712... might nibble on a retest there (but set-up looked wrong)
(Feb.23)
+ As low as $9600 overnight. A bit higher now.  Presently, I am targeting $9200-9300, but may adjust that
(Feb.25)
+ Putting in some Buy orders now... near $9400 and lower on March

>

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(From the CryptoCats thread - see this section):

OVERNIGHT BUYING - with orders left in

Looking Good! - 1mo : 10d : 2d :

CmAnhq1.png

(posted this morning, 2/26):

+ Several BUY orders left in overnight got filled, and my Hedge position has come down. (Having said that, if I had been watching the market as it fell, I might have been buying more aggressively than the orders I had left in.)

+ Hedge reduced from near 26% to 18.5% Now. If BTC rallies from here, usdNAV will increase faster, with less hedge slowing it down. On the other hand, a price down now will mean a somewhat faster fall in NAV, since I have an 81.5% Unhedged position

+ Also, I have gained some profits in BTC terms.  Now around 0.625 BTC, up from about 0.600 BTC when the prices was last near $9500. That's a 4,2% gain in BTC. But huge, but it shows you can gain Bitcoins through trading, not just through mining. The Gain in BTC, worth just : 0.025x $238 at $9500

That is Not huge, Not impressive even as a percentage. But I am expecting these gains to get bigger when I gain more confidence in my Chart methods and MA choices - and trade more aggressively. So keep watching, and see how I go.

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Tony C : BULLISH on US Stocks

But: " a marginal new high may be all there is for now..."

MEDIUM TERM: uptrend probably underway

After the zigzag low at SPX 2533 the market rallied strongly and hit 2754 just one week later. This week the market consolidated after that gain ending at the high for the week. A positive sign. With a WROC already triggered it looks like the Intermediate v uptrend is underway.

spxdaily3.png?w=640&h=485 spxdaily4.png?w=640&h=485

With an Intermediate wave v uptrend probably underway the Major wave 1 bull market is likely a lot closer to its end than its beginning. Int. wave v could subdivide into five Minor waves, which would have been the preferred scenario if Int. iv would have only dropped about 5%. But with a 12% drop it seems a one trend Int. v is more likely.

If a subdividing Int. v was likely, then a bull market upside target might have been well into the SPX 3000’s. With only one trend, however, the likely high may not be all that impressive. If this uptrend struggles as it rises, a marginal new high may be all there is for now. If the uptrend accelerates to the upside, then SPX 3000 is easily within reach. Medium term support is at the 2731 and 2656 pivots, with resistance at the 2780 and 2798 pivots.

SHORT TERM

The short term count for this potential uptrend has been fairly clear thus far. A Minor wave 1: SPX 2754, a Minor wave 2: 2707-2748-2698, and a Minor wave 3 underway now. Minor wave 1 began with a +div, then topped with a -div. Minor wave 3 recently began with a +div too. Let’s see if this pattern continues.

spxhourly3.png?w=640&h=485

Looking ahead. Once the 2884 pivot is cleared, the next pivot is not until 3020. Short term support is at the 2731 and 2656 pivots, with resistance at the 2780 and 2798 pivots. Short term momentum ended the week overbought. Best to your trading!

> https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2018/02/24/weekend-update-642/

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AMZN etc. are At/near New highs ... update

tQcnUf5.gif

But SPX is at 2,779.60, just 3.25% below the Year's High of 2,872.87

My Jan.2019-$285 Calls are about Double the Low near $6 .... update / Last: $11.45 +1.55 ($11.58-11.72)

42kyQsv.gif

But well off the Year's high of $17.15 ($11.65-mid is 32% lower.) I have already recovered about 90% of the cost

of the SPX straddle I bought early in the year, but selling the Put side, and as the call rises, there is more and

more profit potential from selling off the Call.

Tony Caldaro thinks a New High is possible on SPX, within the first half of March, maybe.

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