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drbubb

SIL / SLV : Silver Miners vs. Silver etf = Ratio near 2.0

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Three Silver stocks ... update fr.t10d : GPR.v, FR.t, CDE

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In edit (after wed.) : FR.t-6mo : AG-6mo : AG-wed.close: $5.92 -0.01 / day range: $5.85 - 6.06

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Ratio: $26.13 / $123.37 = 21.2%

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==

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Looking at Coeur Mining again.

Have traded in & out with profits in prior months

CDE vs. SIL : 10 Days / Has pulled back more than SIL in recent days

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CDE / Coeur Mining... 6mo : 2yr : 4yr / Last: $4.68

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Yahoo Statistics @ 3/16/19
Sym : Price: MktCap: EntVal: Ebitda : EV/eb.: Earns : PER-: Div. : Yield : BkVal : P/BV :
AG- : $6.64: $1.30b : $1.46B: $52.3M: r27.86 : (1.11) : N/a- : $0.00: N/a- : $3.07: 216% :
CDE : $4.68: $951M : $1.34B: $123.M: r10.84 : (0.26): N/a- : $0.00: N/a- : $4.19: 112% :
Paas: 13.29: $2.78b : $1.82B: $222M : r: 8.21 : $0.07: 198. : $0.14 : 1.09%: $9.82 : 135%;
AUY : $2.55: $2.42b : $4.29b: $614M: r 6.99 : (0.30): N/a- : $0.00: N/a- : $4.20:   61% :
AEM : 43.69: $10.2b : $11.8B: $784M : r15.80 : (1.40): N/a- : $0.44 : 1.01%: 19.41: 225%:
Gold : 13.01: $22.7b : $29.4B: $3.06b: r:9.60 :  (1.32): N/a- : $0.16 : 1.22%: $6.50: 200%:
NEM : 33.15: $17.7b : $20.2B: $2.74b : r: 7.36 : $0.64: 51.8 : $0.56 : 1.68%: 19.70 : 168%:
Gcm.t $3.70: $17.7b : $179M: $95.7M : r:2.41 : (0.29): N/a-: $0.00 : 0.00%: $5.40:  69%:

Presentation : https://www.coeur.com/_resources/presentations/2019-02-24-BMO-GMM.pdf

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Coeur Mining started at buy with $6.25 stock price target at B. Riley FBR MarketWatch

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"LOW" broken? maybe not

- I am still looking for a SIL & GDXJ Low near where the market finished last night

SIL/Silver Stock etf  -etc ... chart : Last: $24.37 -1.14% / SLV: $14.08 +0.14% = Ratio: 1.731

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Ratio: SIL- to SLV: 173.1%

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Make Silver shares great again - with MAG & other Silver stocks

MAG Silver .... update / Last: $10.17 +0.84, +9.00%

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SIL / etf for Silver shares ... update / Last: $24.76 +$0.72, +3.00%  / SLV: $14.10 +0.71%

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Ratio: SIL -to-SLV : xx

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Close-Up

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Bought some Great Panther today, only value I could see myself to exploit the G/S ration being so high.

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On 4/28/2019 at 5:32 AM, drbubb said:

Make Silver shares great again - with MAG & other Silver stocks

MAG Silver .... update / Last: $10.17 +0.84, +9.00%

UHrWYJq.gif

SIL / etf for Silver shares ... update / Last: $24.76 +$0.72, +3.00%  / SLV: $14.10 +0.71%

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Ratio: SIL -to-SLV : xx

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Close-Up

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Your chart channels for Mag Silver and Sil etf seem to have broken out now Dr B.

Considering Great Panther again which I ditched for a few cent gain, it’s still barely moved!?

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Coeur Mining

CDE ... update / Last: $5.97 +0.16

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Update - a nice rally, at last

CDE / Coeur Mining ... 3yr / Last:  $6.79 - 0.45, -6.22%

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==

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On 7/13/2018 at 4:52 PM, drbubb said:

GPR / Great Panther ... all : fr.2016 :

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Market Cap at $ =

UPDATE - much cheaper now

GPR.v ... update / Last: C$0.58 +0.04, +7.41%

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GPR is the cheapest of three - based on historic prices

GPR + two: FR.t, CDE ... update : C$0.58, C$14.14, US$7.08

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SOLD my $10 Puts on silver stock CDE yesterday, for more than a Double

CDE / Coeur Mining ... 1 year / Last: $4.94, down for 12 mo. High of $8.29

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MIND the CYCLE ... in SILVER

SLV is the etf for Silver (which closed at $16.46) / $15.53 = 106% -> about $1.00 difference

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Anyone see a cycle here? (haha)

Silver, & silver shares ... still in an uptrend / update ::  SIL ($27.23) /$15.53 = R-175%

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Ratio: 175%= SIL ($27.23) /$15.53 ... was recently above 200%

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MIND THE GAPS !

I will show you one of my favorite gaps right now - and then explain it...

First, I need to SET THE TABLE...

As you might expect, there is a high degree of correlation between GLD (gold), & TLT (bonds). And even more with LTPZ (Tip Bonds).  It is clear in this chart

GLD -vs: TLT, LTPZ ... update : $140, -5.00, -3.65%, vs: $140 - 0.0%, $100 - 0.0%

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Notice that... on Friday, there was a BIG DROP (-3.65%) in GOLD, but not in TLT or LTPZ. 

this is unusual. and the GAP you see there may be telling us something important.  The drop in GLD may be temporary, &/or bond prices maybe be set to drop

Q: Perhaps bond prices are finalizing their rise which will lead to a top that won't be revisited for some time to come

Sure it could go either way... or maybe the GAP will not fade.

Let me tell you how I will play this "narrowing", ie my expectation that the Ratio of GLD-to-LTPZ will narrow

Q: Will you go long GLD short LTPZ outright or via options?

Valid ideas, (though LTPZ is much less liquid than GLD or TLT.)  But I will do something else...

SILVER!  Or actually, SLV, which is the etf for Silver.  I have added it to the chart / update: SLV & GLD, vs: TLT & LTPZ

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In fact, on Friday near the NY close, I bought $15 Calls on SLV: End-Mar. expiry at $0,77, and Mid-April at $0.91.

These are in-the-money Calls with a strike price below the Friday close of $15.53

Previously, back in mid-Dec., : I bought SLV Jan. $15.50 Calls at $0.48
A few weeks later, in three trades, I sold them at an average of $1.59 - for a 231% gain
(This is recorded in Real-time comments on my 2020 Tips thread😞

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On 3/14/2020 at 7:26 AM, drbubb said:

The drop is Gold & Silver stocks friday was one of the sharpest falls I have ever seen

SIL vs GDX ... All Data -W:  D :

SIL, Silver Miners Etf : $18.61 -3.84 -17.10% vs YrH: $33.75: -44.9%
GDX, Gold Miners Etf: $19.00 -3.31 -14.84% vs YrH: $31.84: -40.3%
Gdxj, Jr Gold Miners : $22.17 -2.50 -10.13% vs YrH: $46.42: -52.2%
GLD, SPRD Gold Etf : 143.28 -4.51 - 3.05% vs YrH: 159.17: -10.0%
SLV, Silver Trust Etf : $13.69 -0.93 - 6.36%  vs YrH: $18.35: -25.4%
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Notice the difference !

haha / Silver stocks now UP on the day! / 20.1359
    Change:+1.5259

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SILVER vs Silver shares

Junior Silver shares (like Aftermath & Defiance) run with "the fast boy" AGQ, 3x Bull etf on Silver

AAG.v & DEF.v vs. AGQ ($58.31) ... YTD: 2yr: 1yr: 10d/ AAG.v: C$0.88 (1.51% Agq), DEF.v: $0.61 (1.05% Agq),

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Ratio: AAG.v (C$0.88) to AGQ ($58.31): AAG.v: 1.51%

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Ratio: DEF.v (C$0.61) to AGQ ($58.31): DEF.v: 1.05%

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