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Fresnillo / FRES.L, fnlpf - World's Top Silver Miner


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  • 2 weeks later...
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"Fres looks like it's starting to finally climb outside of its crater.

This may indicate that silver has bottomed, or within a couple of weeks at most. "

- Hector.

Yeah, I agree Hector.  I like the look of the FRES chart now

FRES.L / Fresnillo ... update : w/slv-sil:  Last: 768.00 +22.80, +3.06%

vavw1Pd.gif

: w/slv-sil:  The others may have bottomed too

n5TqnhJ.gif

==

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  • 1 month later...

Ugly Day ! -15%

FRES.L ... update :

s61rO1T.gif

 
GBP 672.20 / Change:
arrow -122.40

Fresnillo PLC posts sharp drop in sales and profits for first ...

5 hours ago - Fresnillo PLC (LON:FRES) - A cost cutting programme will be rolled out in the second half of 2019. ... Home · News · Newswires · LON:FRES. Fresnillo posts sharp drop in sales and profits for first half of 2019. Share. Facebook ...

 

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Silver Is Soaring, But Fresnillo Is Missing Out on the Ride ...

2 hours ago - Fresnillo Plc, a Mexican silver miner controlled by billionaire Alberto Bailleres, isn’t seeing many benefits from a surge in prices of the precious metal. ... Fresnillo has warned that 2019 will be a challenging year, pummeling the shares despite a rebound in gold and silver prices.
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  • 3 weeks later...
  • 2 months later...
7 hours ago, jerpy said:

Good luck to you, I think a lot of these silver plays fundamentally need a solid or ascending silver price to shine.

You seem to be implying that the silver price has further to fall. I can't blame you for seeing that, but I really think that the Fed's easy money policies have restarted with a vengeance and we're unlikely to return to the $14s or even $15s as in the last tightening cycle.

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A quite compelling technical narrative from ADVFN:

tradesmarterright.png 15 Nov '19 - 20:39 - 9008 of 9014
 
Been watching for a few days and entered this morning, couldn't get filled as the price kep moving price I wanted but loaded up quite a few at 615. I had 610 as support with secondary support at 600 and aware it could spike low to 575. For now I think this is in a long term downtrend BUT a counter trend bounce is due and whilst everything points to SELL, I think a trading bounce is on the cards and very soon this will become a very compelling investment as opposed to a trade...For now this is a short term trade BUT I will be keeping this "on radar" for investment.

Whilst the short term news has been negative and broker down grades etc it would appear to me that we are oversold, approaching double bottom, long term support and a whole load of other technical patterns that suggest that a short term bounce is due and that we are probably in the last phase of the long term downtrend

A lot of folk dont believe in technicals (and that is fine by me) but for now it does appear a good risk/reward set up in my book...I'll stay long above a 595 close and if wrong try again nearer 575.

Looking at long term weekly trend and short term trend they all point to decent returns if you buy below 625 (as usual shares can plummet as well as fall, but lets hope there is method in my madness...betting against the dominant trend)


Starting with the long term chart...below 625 looks good for a bounce?
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=Sz04lbBnzHt72Qzxx4HPO%2BqpnwPMBoPg0yomrScH1Yw%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Potential short term bounce target
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=XVWfkENL0YiLU0a7tc283XxFA9J5pHvt%2BogxmKSpJZ8%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Bearish Triangle...but counter trend bounce due?
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=CI26fuKY3c5%2B2ziVpdXbI8v8WoNOvFu68vdeEMpAP70%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



I'll be "flexible on approach to 650"...lets hope we get there and smash thru
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=afDKeiJzSDytbaGHeswbs%2Bcr7cUZklYzXPXslN4ogHs%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Looks like a bullish "W" bottom to me and as others have stated possible triple bottom...I see 600-610 as support zone and hope it holds (575 risk)
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=ZQEGJayEvMIyvCcea5vv8kBYlpRenAzy0IvxS0sdCKM%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Bearish long term vs the fight for bullish short term
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=go0QCmI%2B%2F2FjCkvlaDXRA6OQmX4hm%2BiGRzLcNLh9Emw%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Mr Bollinger agrees we are well due a bounce
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=ymPCZBqSRbEwzXngmYNX3w5eOs%2FOJk%2Fo1SjMbcwMvIw%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Buy signals below 625
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=ywgApLB8cK7ugJ580WFxQc6r8oD59Ui5iPYn8sVMjSQ%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Short term pivot points
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=%2FoUsYgAZmnG0QBmmR1i5FLRk9g6V9I302ar8QpdoXQE%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Below mean average...buy below the line sell above the line
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=m881r15Mn2oOmfI9uvTnEOdtbp8lhS8QdqVzVGoc%2BLw%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Oversold hints time to buy was today
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=OW2v2ecemSYB8GanDsSzT8%2Fz3jP11ybpFfIgBxzR2kc%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Bullish "hammer" candle...suggests buyers pilled in at bottom of range
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=xlEO1I2iI6WTSP5FLUqAUI%2B8tXFzTPH7V%2FEsy7%2BLims%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



Investors selling on approach to 100 day (bearish trend, but plenty of room to bounce and also to fall, but risk/reward is compelling)
p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=5P12L7ifKPoks5CqroZbVm6okN6EZz1JQGdpIxuakdg%3D
free stock charts from uk.advfn.com



So technically I hope we bounce short term, we really need some meaty director buys at these low levels to "turn the market view" but down 7% this week, around 20% in 3 months, -25% this year.....it appears we have under performed the sector by around 30% and with the share price down over 50% in the last few years but revenue is up that smells like an over reaction to me and the markdown and downgrades could just be the bottom of the trend. Not had time to do in depth analysis on the fundies but had to react quick this morning on the pullback and that long term bull wedge will give one hell of a meaty return once it breaks to the upside.

Best of Luck
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  • 4 weeks later...

FRES has been a dog for some time.

And mostly stayed a dog, without much recover, as we have seen in some other stocks like CDE and GORO

I have lightened up on those, and have recently been buying SLV calls.  I feel safer

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 12/20/2019 at 5:14 PM, hector said:

May have stayed down while FRES officially falls out of FTSE100 today. Looking for UK miners to outperform US miners over next few weeks.

Hi Hector,

No position here but was reading this on stockhouse earlier, just thought the comment on Fresnillo perhaps sums up their woes relative to other silver producers?

https://stockhouse.com/opinion/independent-reports/2019/12/13/silverbugs-is-it-time-for-silver-stocks-to-blast-higher

50% drop off in grades is bound to buck sentiment, question is what will reverse fortunes?

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40 minutes ago, jerpy said:

Hi Hector,

No position here but was reading this on stockhouse earlier, just thought the comment on Fresnillo perhaps sums up their woes relative to other silver producers?

https://stockhouse.com/opinion/independent-reports/2019/12/13/silverbugs-is-it-time-for-silver-stocks-to-blast-higher

50% drop off in grades is bound to buck sentiment, question is what will reverse fortunes?

FRES pays a dividend and they are constructing a new mine at Juanicipio with MAG. So a safe play here, already in slight profit.

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32 minutes ago, hector said:

FRES pays a dividend and they are constructing a new mine at Juanicipio with MAG. So a safe play here, already in slight profit.

Fair enough, I’m just looking around at Silver plays in general; hopefully you will be well rewarded 🙂

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