Jump to content

DrBubb's Diary - Sep. 2018 Trading - v.116


Recommended Posts

TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe :

t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : idx24_russell_en_2.gif : idx24_hui_en_2.gif :

3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN :

chart.png?m=bitstampUSD&v=1&t=S&noheader

BTC all data: 8yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d 10d 5d / SLV-lv

rRVz8qT.png

NYXBT : 3yr : 3yr-377d : 1yr : 6mo :

TEsee5x.gif

02/28: 0.6100 x10950-(- 50) =6680: -100:10950Mar(-800):6680/( -750 :11.2%):+0100:11048 +025,-.007: 11.6
03/31: 0.6817 x$7091- +200 =4834 -050:$7041Jun(+403):4800/(+603+12.6%):
04/29: 0.6942 x$9407- +100 =6530 +010:$9417Jun(+203):6537/(+303+4.64%):+0000:$9,477 +070,-.000: 9.65
05/05: 0.6937 x$9846(+000) =6830 +238:10,084Jun(+003):6995/(+003+0.04%):+0000:10,131+285,-.000: 10.1H
05/10: 0.6937 x$9365(+000) =6497 +268:$9,533Jun(+003):6613/(+003+0.05%):+0000:$9,633+568,-.000: 9.90
07/22: 0.6932 x$7700(+000) =5337 +050:$7,750Sep(+000):5372/(+000+0.00%):+0000:$7,750+050,-.000: 9.38
09/09: 0.6842 x$6185(+000) =4204 -040:$6,145Sep(+000):4204/(+000+0.00%):+0000:$6,135-050,-.009: 9.02
09/30: 0.6940 x$6570(+000) =4460 -040:$6,530Dec(+000):4532/(+000+0.00%):+0000:$6,538-032,-.000: 8.98
======
-Bonus: 0.225 x12750=$3337; x$6,530= $1469: 3063: H:4762 /$1,699/.6940= 2448 = 8.98 to New High

CRYPTO---- : BTC &us$ - 09/30: 09/09- : 07/22- : 05/10- :
Bitcoin-- : US-Dollars  @6,570: 6,180: @7,737: @9,330:
Cardano-- : .00001338 : $0.080 : $0.075 : $0.180: $0.330 :
Bitc. cash : 0.0838---- : $0,550 : $0,470.: $0,840.: $1,761 :
Ethereum-: 0.0353---- : $ 232. : $  191. : $  472. :  $ 787. :
Litecoin--- : 0.00951---- : $62.5 : $ 52.6 : $  86.0  :  $ 169. :
Ripple------ : 0.0000924 : $0.600: $ 0.274: $ 0.46.: $ 0.85 :
TRON------- : 0.0000035: $0.020: $ 0.019: $ 0.03.:
EOS Token: 0.0008847:   $ 5.80.: $ 4.66.: $ 8.45.:
HIVE.c------------------9/07: C$60.0 : C$0.68 : C$ 0.81 : C$1.120 > Last 6/5
ATLEF / Atlas Cloud--- : $0.110 : $ 0.165 :  $ 0.120 : $0.225 >
RIOT---------------------------- : $3.650 : $ 4.300 :  $ 5.900 : $7.800 >

Crypto miners

ATLEF vs Hive ...from 1.1.2018 :HIVE 9/7/2018 (vs.7/20): C$0.81 (0.81): RIOT: $5.90 (5.90), ATLEF: $0.12 (0.12)

I3rjzME.gif

==

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 89
  • Created
  • Last Reply

End Of The Global Real Estate Boom - Australia Braces For Impact

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

OCTOBER: Stock Crash Whispers...

Why Are So Many People Talking About The Potential For A Stock Market Crash In October?

Without a doubt, the market is primed for another crash Stock valuations have been in crazytown territory for a very long time, and financial chaos has already begun to erupt in emerging markets all over the globe.  When the stock market does collapse, it won’t exactly be a surprise.  And a lot of people out there are pointing to October for historical reasons.  I did not know this, but it turns out that the month with the most market volatility since the Dow was first established has been the month of October

The difference is quite significant, as judged by a measure of volatility known as the standard deviation: For all Octobers since 1896, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average was created, the standard deviation of the Dow’s daily changes has been 1.44%. That compares to 1.05% for all months other than October.

Like me, you are probably tempted to think that the reason why October’s number is so high is because of what happened in 1987 and 2008.

But even if you pull out those two months, October is still the most volatile

You might think that this difference is caused by a few outliers, such as the 1987 crash (which, of course, occurred in October) or 2008 (the Dow suffered several thousand-point plunges that month as it reacted to the snowballing financial crisis). But you would be wrong: The standard deviation of daily Dow changes is much higher in October than other months even if we eliminate 1987 and 2008 from the sample.

Once we get to Thanksgiving, the market tends to get sleepy, and it usually doesn’t wake up again until the new year begins.

So if something big is going to happen in the market in 2018, it is probably going to happen in the coming weeks.

And it is inevitable that something big will happen at some point.  As Jesse Colombo has pointed out, stocks are more overvalued right now than they were just before the great stock market crash of 1929…

In a bubble, the stock market becomes overpriced relative to its underlying fundamentals such as earnings, revenues, assets, book value, etc. The current bubble cycle is no different: the U.S. stock market is as overvalued as it was at major generational peaks. According to the cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (a smoothed price-to-earnings ratio), the U.S. stock market is more overvalued than it was in 1929, right before the stock market crash and Great Depression

It is becoming increasingly obvious what we are heading for, and a growing chorus of market experts are issuing ominous declarations about this market.

For example, David Tice is warning that “we’re getting closer to a meltdown scenario”

According to investor David Tice, who made a name for himself in running the Prudent Bear Fund before selling it to Federated Investors in 2008, the current market is dangerous. Tice was quoted as saying he’s “nervous” because “we’re getting closer to a meltdown scenario.”

And John Hussman ultimately expects “two-thirds of market capitalization” to vanish…

I am aware of no plausible conditions under which current extremes are likely to work out well for investors. There are a few possibilities that could involve a smaller loss than the two-thirds of market capitalization that I expect to vanish, as the run-of-the-mill, baseline expectation for the S&P 500 over the completion of this cycle. Yet it’s worth recognizing that the completion of every market cycle in history has taken the most reliable valuation measures we identify (those best correlated with actual subsequent S&P 500 market returns) to less than half of current levels.

Could you imagine the chaos that would be unleashed if the stock market went down by two-thirds?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

"A NATIONAL DISGRACE... Frenzy on the Left" = Righteous Anger : beautiful, cleansing, necessary

Taking on the Insanity of the Scumocrats and the Unsubstantiated accusations of Crazy Women

/ 1 /

Kavanaugh's Emotional Opening Statement, 2394

/ 2 /

Sen. Lindsey Graham Goes BALLISTIC on Democrats’ Despicable Behavior at Kavanaugh Hearing:

‘The Most Despicable Thing I Have Seen in My Time in Politics’

On Thursday, Sen. Lindsay Graham, R-S.C., went ballistic on Senate Judiciary Committee Democrats for their coordinated smear campaign against Judge Brett Kavanaugh, calling it “the most unethical sham” he has ever seen in politics.

“Are you aware that at 9:23 on the night of July the 9th, the day you were nominated to the Supreme Court by President Trump, Senator Schumer said 23 minutes after your nomination, ‘I’ll oppose judge Kavanaugh’s nomination with everything I have,'” he asked Kavanaugh.

“Did you meet with Senator Dianne Feinstein on August 20th?” he later asked.

"Boy y'all want power I hope you never get it!” Lindsey Graham roars at Democrats. “This is not a job interview, this is hell!”

BREAKING: Sen. Graham breaks from letting the woman prosecutor do questioning for Republican senators, and delivers an angered and impassioned defense of Judge Kavanaugh. pic.twitter.com/Ql3aUUM8lQ

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bette Midler Loses It over Brett Kavanaugh: ‘Lock Up Your Daughters’

No, Bette.

More likely, Your sons need protection from Crazy Woman.

What Crazy Christine has done to Brett (damaging his reputation) is far worse than the Drunken Grope

she may have received & if she did, it was very probably from someone else.

DO VILE FEMALES have NO Empathy whatsoever to injured Men? (esp. if innocent ones)?

"Believe Women" => That's Sexist, says Stefan

Brett Kavanaugh Testimony: Final Thoughts

"Don't believe Women. Don't believe Men.  Believe EVIDENCE!"

"Believe the victim?  ... Well, in fact, we do not know who the victim is."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Silver and Silver shares - SIL Shares may be leading a rebound in Silver

SIL vs SLV ... 2yr : 1yr : 6mo : From 12/6/17 ... SIL-$30.21 / SLV-$15.78 / slv-sil: 5d :

j4mRmyV.gif

SAND / Sandstorm Gold vs GLD, GDX ... update :

83O3SyR.gif

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gold-Silver Ratio ... Big 2% Drop to 81.31 / on 42 cents, 2.95% : $14.71

3M1hZuc.png

Ratio : SIL -to-SLV

coZYS65.png

Close-Up of 2018

dKQr0xV.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

WEEKLY

 ==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :   03/29  : 06/29 :   07/27 :  08/31 :  09/07 :  09/14 :  09/21 : 09/28 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1223.0 : 1206.7 : 1200.4 : 1201.1 : 1201.3 : 1196.2 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.79 : 118.65 : 115.83 : 113.68 : 113.23 : 113.02 : 113.49 : 112.76 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 263.15 : 271.28 : 281.43 : 290.31 : 288.16 : 290.88 : 291.99 : 290.72 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2691.3 : 2718.4 : 2818.8 : 2901.5 : 2871.6 : 2904.9 : 2929.7 : 2914.0 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 219.0%: 216.7%: 230.4% : 240.4%: 239.2% : 241.9%: 243.9%: 243.6% :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09% : $67.41: $75.94 : $76.63 : $74.44: $72.80 : $74.28 : $75.10: $75.74 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $64.94 : $74.15 : $68.69 : $69.80 : $67.75 : $68.99 : $70.78 : $73.25 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== : r-20.44 : r16.92 : r-17.80 : r-17.29 : r-17.72 : r-17.41 : r-16.97 : r-16.33 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.730 : $2.920 : $2.780 : $2.920 : $2.780 : $2.770 : $2.970 : $3.010 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.030 : $2.970 : $2.800 : $2.670 : $2.620 : $2.650 : $2.860 : $2.810 :
Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ---------------------------------------------------->: 843.50 : 844.00 : 830.50 : 847.25 : 845.50 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 451.00 : 501.25 : 530.50 : 545.50 : 511.25 : 511.50 : 521.75 : 509.00 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 :- 0.36% : 387.75 : 371.25 : 376.25 : 365.00 : 367.00 : 351.75 : 357.25 : 356.25 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 195.36 : 200.39 : 194.16 : 192.96 : 190.36 : 190.48 : 193.98 : 195.16 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.18: $18.03: $17.47 : $17.06: $17.10 : $17.05 : $17.08 : $16.91 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== :  9.31% :   8.99% :  9.00% :  8.84% :   8.98% :   8.95% :   8.81% :  8.66% :
Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: r-3.707 : r-4.212 : r-4.386 : r-4.363 : r-4.257 : r-4.357 : r-4.400 : r-4.479 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $89.81 : $94.47 : $94.67 : $95.08 : $95.33 : $94.95 : $94.22 : $95.13 :
TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.90 : 121.72 : 119.46 : 121.00 : 119.13 : 118.55 : 117.10 : 117.27 :
=====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1223.0 : 1206.7 : 1200.4 : 1201.1 : 1201.3 : 1196.2 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.569 : r-1.532 : r1.528 : r-1.598 : r-1.610 : r-1.618 : r-1.619 : r-1.612 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 846.12 : 819.04 : 800.20 : 755.16 : 745.44 : 742.53 : 742.23 : 742.23 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $20.37 : $22.06 :$20.94 : $17.80 : $15.93 : $15.95 : $16.92 : $17.50 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.98 : $22.31 :$21.32 : $18.55 : $17.88 : $17.98 : $18.78 : $18.52 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.15 : $32.70 : $31.92 : $27.64 : $26.85 : $26.81 : $28.08 : $27.36 :
SIL - : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $30.72 :  $28.88 : $27.53 : $24.67 : $23.57 : $23.60 : $24.69 : $24.23 :
/SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.994 : R1.910 : R1.889 : r1.807 : r1.770 : R1.783 : R1.837 : R1.765 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.41 : $15.15 : $14.57 : $13.65 : $13.32 : $13.23 : $13.44 : $13.73 :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  16.268 :  16.200 : 15.490 : 14.440 : 14.070 : 14.140 : 14.360 : 14.710 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $29.49 : $28.75 : $28.13 : $27.95 : $26.90 : $26.93 : $26.26 : $24.77 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $48.28 : $43.33 : $44.69 : $43.17 : $41.55 : $41.96 : $43.23 : $42.92 :
ShCm : 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3168.9: 2847.4 : 2873.6 : 2725.2 : 2702.3 : 2681.6 : 2797.5 : 2821.3 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7979.8: 7193.7 : 7701.4 : 7855.7 : 7598.6 : 7413.2 : 7383.0 : 7276.8 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $27.57: $26.59 : $28.13 : $28.33 : $28.33 : $28.23 : $28.74 : $27.58 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 151.83 : 163.77 : 165.26 : 173.02 : 170.54 : 171.38 : 170.40 : 168.55 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : =====  : 0.1816 : 0.1624 : 0.1702 : 0.1637 : 0.1661 : 0.1647 : 0.1687 : 0.1636 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $7,401 :  $5,883  : $8,143 : $6,971 : $6,409 : $6,471 : $6,689 : $6,652 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  03/29  :  06/29 :   07/27 :  08/31 :   09/07 :  09/14 :  09/21 : 09/28 :

Link to comment
Share on other sites

After weeks of Quietude ... I have started buying BTC again

Small, at first, but I may ramp up soon

exKEtc3.png

==

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Silver's HUGE Cup & Handle Pattern

silverlargecupandhandlepatternjuly16-675

Worlds largest bullish "Cup & Handle" pattern in play? » Kimble Charting Solutions

Cup & Handle patterns are bullish patterns and take place in bull markets. (Click here for more Cup & Handle details) Could Silver be creating a huge...xx

As mentioned earlier, its been a FUGLY 4-years for Silver, as its lost two-thirds of its value, since creating a potential double top back in 2011.

With Silver down 65%, is it a stretch to say that Silver is still in an uptrend, where cup & handle patterns historically take place? Yes!

If the pattern would happen to be forming the handle, it would appear an almost “must” hold is in play at (1) above. Silver is now at its 23% Fibonacci level of the 10-year rally off the 2001 lows and 2011 highs and a 10-year support line is also in play right now.

When Silver was trading at $28, almost off 50% from its highs, I shared the chart below in 2012, suggesting the Silver could fall to the $15 level

Even though Silver was down almost 50% back in 2012, the measured move suggested Silver could fall to the $15 level, another 50% decline. So far the measured move has been correct over the past 3-years, as Silver has declined nearly 50% more since the posting in 2012.

Understandable it is hard to find Silver bulls right now, as bullish sentiment on Silver stands around 20%, a far cry from the levels back in 2011 (82% Silver bulls)!

If the monster cup & handle pattern read would happen to be correct, a big upside move in Silver would be in the cards.

Whether this read is correct or not, humbly I feel it’s critical for Silver on a long-term basis that it holds at (1) in the chart above or its 4-year bear market continues!

> Jul.2015

The X-Y-Z breaks at $25, 18, & $15 destroyed chart support

SLV-all ... update :

bmt5JsB.gif

Silver to DBA
MoovAkN.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Silver has many industrial and medical uses

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.


×
×
  • Create New...