hector Posted December 24, 2018 Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 Extremely tricky few days around the Christmas break - will be interesting to see where all the pieces end up in 4-5 days time. Gold extremely encouraging. Not as bullish on the cryptos right now. == following section was added in edit by DrBubb == Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H : : : : : :: : 3d : ag : au / Btc / 8yr: 12mo : 5m : 2m : 1m : 25 10 5d 2d / spiral Goldstock : HK-2840 : GBS.L : GLD : GDX : NUGT : tza/faz -- HKpeg : DXY : StkX : 10-d : SPX : sjw : img : HK 3081: 2899: 1051: hs / UK: POG / ABX : Sil : IAG : dba-etc. ... lot : PB : CVN : CC2 : BTC 1m 2d : SLV-lv ========================================== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 The stock market just booked its ugliest Christmas Eve plunge — ever Dow skids to end down 2.9%; S&P 500 on cusp of bear market U.S. oil suffers worst 1-day decline in about three months as risk assets get bludgeoned (WTI -$ $3.06, or 6.7%, to $42.53 ) Oil Service - Bells are Not ringing yet ... OIH etc : The S&P 500 index SPX, -2.71% fell by 2.7% Monday, marking the first session before Christmas that the broad-market benchmark has booked a loss of 1% or greater — ever. That statistic has been confirmed by Dow Jones Market Data, which said the largest decline in the index on the trading day before Christmas was Dec. 23 in 1933. All three indexes have fallen for four straight sessions. The Nasdaq has skidded 8.7% in that time, while the Dow has lost 8% and the S&P 7.7%. The trio is on track for the ugliest monthly drop since October of 2008, during the heart of the 2008-09 financial crisis. Last week was the worst week of trading since the financial crisis of 2008. The Nasdaq officially entered bear-market territory on Friday, and has now plunged 23.6% from its record close set Aug. 29. The S&P has slumped 19.8% from its Sept. 20 record close, and the Dow has slid 18.8% from its Oct. 3 record close. . . . Crude-oil futures on Monday logged their worst one-day drop in about three months and closed at the lowest level in about two years. February West Texas Intermediate CLG9, -6.38% crude oil shed $3.06, or 6.7%, to settle at $42.53 a barrel. That close represents the lowest for WTI since around 2016, and the worst single-session decline for the U.S. oil benchmark since Nov. 23, according to FactSet data. Nagging concerns about global crude output and fears of an economic slowdown internationally have eroded appetite for crude, which has gotten swept up in a broad unraveling of demand for assets perceived as risky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 24, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2018 3 hours ago, hector said: Extremely tricky few days around the Christmas break - will be interesting to see where all the pieces end up in 4-5 days time. Gold extremely encouraging. Not as bullish on the cryptos right now. I do hope that the GLD rally has not gone tp $120 to die there - since it is a resistance level GLD https://i.imgur.com/T3JUBdD.gif A breakout with rising volume, perhaps in the new year would be the most bullish scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 25, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2018 Dems cannot see their own shadow(s)... They blame all chaos on Trump Zen master explains : VIDEO Dems Accuse Trump Of "Plunging Country Into Chaos," End Of Shutdown "Hard To See" ... the Democrats just couldn't resist kicking sand in the President's face as the majority of Americans tune out for the holiday. In a joint statement from Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic leaders chided Trump for "plunging the country into chaos" by obeying the whims of conservative talk radio hosts, repeatedly lashing out at the Federal Reserve and "firing" the Secretary of Defense. Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5aj4IoIjm / 2 / President Trump Wins Back Ann Coulter with Golden Words: ‘The Complete Wall Will Be Built with Shutdown Money Plus Funds Already in Hand’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 Too late for Santa... A big post-Xmas rally in Stocks, lifts my Oil Service stocks by 6-14% in just one day's trading. OIH etc ... update : Daily from 6.19 : : Daily from 6.19 : An interesting EXPERIMENTAL PORTFOLIO of Oil Service stocks I sold a deep in the money PUT on OIH, to finance the purchase of Deep in-the-money Calls on Drillers. My Out-of-pocket on creating this portfolio was virtually zero, But It should perfom like a $50K+ Portfolio My UPSIDE is on the higher beta stocks, while the downside risk I take is on OIH, which may have greater downside protection Sym./ Price: %change: Opt.Mo.-Stk: $Prem, %stkV = Basis: Gn/Ls: Orig. : Gn/Ls: xQty: Gn/Ls : Calls: T19.54: $2475 RDC : $ 9.02: +11.2%: April'19-$6.0C: $3.30* 36.6% = $2.85 +$0.45: $8.25 : +9.33% x25: +1125 MDR : $ 6.78: +6.27%: May'19-$5.0C: $2.60* 38.3% = $2.50 +$0.10: $6.65 : +1.95% x25: +$250 ESV : $ 3.74: +14.4%: June'19-$2.0C: $1.80, 46.1% = $1.58 +$0.22: $3.58 : +4.45% x50: +1100 Put -: +$5.37: (1665) = $810 OIH : $14.17: +6.38%: Jan.'20-$20.P : $6.15, 38.3% = $5.70 - $0.45: 14.90 : - 7.89% x37: - 1665 ====B/ev : $13.95: - 0.22 = +$ 810/3700 x14.17= $52,429 The Overall portfolio is now in profit (+$810), for the first time, and equivalent breakeven on OIH is $13.95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 26, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2018 SPX - a beautiful Upturn - right on 987d MA spx index ... update Is this 5% rally a trend reversal or bear market rally? By: alexmark / 2 / Dow jumps 1,086 points to post its biggest point gain on record as stocks storm back from worst-ever Christmas Eve By: newsguy76 / 3 / vivelaamo says: December 28, 2018 at 5:16 am Looks likes a bottom to me…but then I guess it would. 200 weekly sma was always going to hold. / 4 / fionamargaret says: December 27, 2018 at 8:13 pm Thanks Chris Kimble / 5 / For the optimist, Cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2018 Surprizing Correlation: SLV/ Silver & Hang Lung properties "they are not expected to correlate - But they do!" Chart : All-data : 10-yr : 5-yr : from 1/2007 , w/hk10 : Back into a Cyclical upturn? Is Chinese investment the reason? Trade Dollar, 1912 Great Britain-China, minted in Silver In history, Silver was more of a monetary factor in China than Gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 27, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 27, 2018 After Wed's Big 8% Gain, Oil needed to do some "backing & filling" USO / USoil etf - etc ... update : WED : THU OIH : $14.17: +6.38%: Jan.'20-$20.P : $6.15, 38.3% = $5.70 - $0.45: 14.90 : - 7.89% x37: - 1665 USO- : $ 9.90: +6.57%: 143% : WTI.cr : $46.22: 83.7% BrBrent $55.24: +8.80% / OILB: $23.77 : 3.90xOIH : 59.6%=OIH/OilBXLE-: $57.19: +6.22% /brent 103.5% : 4.04xOIH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2018 GCM Coiled Spring maybe... & ready to move up with many other mining stocks But gold needs to keep rising, as the Dollar weakens maybe GCM + MUX.t + CCO.t ... update : C $2.80, 2.52, 15.10 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2018 I added even more HK10 today, shifting funds out of HK3081 / Value Gold, as it jumped recently and opened up a Gap to HK. I like HK10 because of: + the huge discount to NAV + the stable & predictable cash flows from first class shopping malls + the possibility or probability that China related shares will jump in 2019, if there is a resolution to the (needed) Trade War between the USA & China HK3081 versus HK10 : fr. 12/20/15 : #3081: $31.00 sold: xxxx @ $31.00 = +12/28 HK#10: $20.00 BOT- yyyy @ $20.00 = - 12/27 HK#10: $19.85 BOT- yyyy @ $19.85 = - 12/26 ===== HK#10: 12/04- sold zzzz @ $15.78 = $? HK101: 12/04- sold zzzz @ $21.70 = $? HSI-in Gold looks like it may have hit a potential Support level just below 20.0 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2018 Fresnillo back up to Key Resistance FRES.L ... update : == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2018 WATCH! SIL may be about to breakout of its downward channel SIL (just?) needs to follow SLV higher SIL / etf for Silver shares ... update : 10d , w/jnug-ugld : SIL back up to Key Resistance SIL ... update : == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 Gold may end the year at about $1,280. Let's see what happens on Monday GLD / Gold etf ... 10d : w/SLV : Last $1280.4 / $121.08 : ratio: 10.57 Ratio : Gold to-GLD xx Silver has recently broken out SLV / Silver etf ... 6-mos : w/GLD : Last $15.35 / $14.42 : ratio: 106.4% == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 According to Kitco... > more: https://www.kitco.com/news/2018-12-28/Top-Mining-Gainers-and-Decliners-in-2018.html About what about this one, with 200,000 oz+ production?: Symbol/Mining stock---- : 12/20/17: 12/21/18: change GCM.t / Gran Columbia-- : C $1.87 : C $2.73 : + 46.0% x 48.2M shs: C$131.6M TPRFF / Gran Col.in US$ : $ 1.46 : $ 2.03 : + 39.0% x 48.2M shs: $ 97.8M GDXJ / JuniorGoldMiners: $32.72 : $28.94 : - 11.6% CAD / in uS Dollars---------: x $0.779 : x $0.735 : - 5.65% Even after the 2018 Gain, it may be one of the very cheapest Gold miners Obviously, it is not over $500M MktCap. Maybe it will be someday LOSER? the biggest Loser was NGD : -73.1% NGD / Newgold ... update : 6-mo : 3-mo : last $0.7735 : 6-mo : 3-mo : last $0.7735 : Options : NGD-website : presentations : New Gold (NGD) -73% - The Canadian miner struggled with operational challenges at its Rainy River Mine in Ontario. The company cut its forecast production while increasing cost estimates for 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 Sarah Benali Friday December 28, 2018 09:28 (Kitco News) - It is week 3 of Kitco’s Outlook Invest Like The Experts series, and according to U.S. Global Investors’ CEO Frank Holmes, there are still a lot of potential sectors for investors to gain in 2019 – if they do it the right way. However, despite the optimism, Holmes warned that investors should be prepared for a “potential seven-year bear market.” The 2019 Outlook Experts Series continues so be sure to check back every Friday on Kitco to find out where the experts are looking to invest next year. PART I: Hold Even More Cash In 2019 - RBC's Gero PART II: Investors Brace Yourselves, It's Time To Hold Cash - Doug Casey PART III: Invest The Warren Buffet Way In 2019 Says This Expert Frank Holmes Expert: Frank Holmes Claim to Fame: CEO, U.S. Global Investors, “I recommend the 10 percent ‘golden rule,’ but also remember to diversify with stocks and bonds, their ratio being dependent on your age and risk tolerance,” Holmes says. If an average homeowner has disposable income, what percentage do you think they should invest in 2019? And why? “Emerging markets look attractive as they’re oversold,” he says, adding that these markets will likely “find a bottom when U.S. interest rates peak.” Where should someone invest in 2019 – which sectors are likely to boom in 2019? Diversify with savings and investments, he says. “Remember to be disciplined in your approach and rebalance annually; maintain a balance between income and growth, with 10 percent in gold,” he adds. What are the first steps one should take before making any investment? For Holmes, the most important factor to consider when making a new investment is the “CEO track record.” “It’s also important to be aware of value traps – buying stocks just because they look cheap. I prefer GARP investing, or growth at a reasonable price, like Warren Buffett.” What is the biggest red flag for you when it comes to considering a new investment? According to Holmes, regulation has pushed more investors towards passive investing. This, according to Holmes, has significantly, “altered the flow of funds to the cheapest indexes, not IPOs or active management.” “I think this passive push will create the next bubble,” he adds. Will 2019 be the year of the active or passive investor? “I would say our investment in gold jewelry disruptor, Mene Inc. Its business model has seemed to resonate with consumers and investors alike,” he says. Mene sells directly to the consumer and prices its merchandise fairly and transparently – based on the changing value of gold. Looking back, what was the best investment you made in 2018? “FAANG stocks were definitely a missed opportunity,” he says. What was one missed opportunity for you in 2018? One of the biggest surprises for Holmes was the push towards regulation of cryptocurrencies, which he thinks may “crush” the markets. “The global regulatory G20 strategy to crush the cryptocurrency industry came as a surprise,” he says. During the summit, G20 leaders announced their intention to develop regulation related to digital currencies in an attempt to fight against money laundering and to counter terrorism financing. The G20 summit took place in Buenos Aires, Argentina on December 1, 2018. What was the biggest market surprise for you in 2018? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
However, despite the optimism, Holmes warned that investors should be prepared for a “potential seven-year bear market.” The 2019 Outlook Experts Series continues so be sure to check back every Friday on Kitco to find out where the experts are looking to invest next year. PART I: Hold Even More Cash In 2019 - RBC's Gero PART II: Investors Brace Yourselves, It's Time To Hold Cash - Doug Casey PART III: Invest The Warren Buffet Way In 2019 Says This Expert Frank Holmes Expert: Frank Holmes Claim to Fame: CEO, U.S. Global Investors, “I recommend the 10 percent ‘golden rule,’ but also remember to diversify with stocks and bonds, their ratio being dependent on your age and risk tolerance,” Holmes says. If an average homeowner has disposable income, what percentage do you think they should invest in 2019? And why? “Emerging markets look attractive as they’re oversold,” he says, adding that these markets will likely “find a bottom when U.S. interest rates peak.” Where should someone invest in 2019 – which sectors are likely to boom in 2019? Diversify with savings and investments, he says. “Remember to be disciplined in your approach and rebalance annually; maintain a balance between income and growth, with 10 percent in gold,” he adds. What are the first steps one should take before making any investment? For Holmes, the most important factor to consider when making a new investment is the “CEO track record.” “It’s also important to be aware of value traps – buying stocks just because they look cheap. I prefer GARP investing, or growth at a reasonable price, like Warren Buffett.” What is the biggest red flag for you when it comes to considering a new investment? According to Holmes, regulation has pushed more investors towards passive investing. This, according to Holmes, has significantly, “altered the flow of funds to the cheapest indexes, not IPOs or active management.” “I think this passive push will create the next bubble,” he adds. Will 2019 be the year of the active or passive investor? “I would say our investment in gold jewelry disruptor, Mene Inc. Its business model has seemed to resonate with consumers and investors alike,” he says. Mene sells directly to the consumer and prices its merchandise fairly and transparently – based on the changing value of gold. Looking back, what was the best investment you made in 2018? “FAANG stocks were definitely a missed opportunity,” he says. What was one missed opportunity for you in 2018? One of the biggest surprises for Holmes was the push towards regulation of cryptocurrencies, which he thinks may “crush” the markets. “The global regulatory G20 strategy to crush the cryptocurrency industry came as a surprise,” he says. During the summit, G20 leaders announced their intention to develop regulation related to digital currencies in an attempt to fight against money laundering and to counter terrorism financing. The G20 summit took place in Buenos Aires, Argentina on December 1, 2018. What was the biggest market surprise for you in 2018?
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 Kitco articles RERUN: Wells Fargo Is Now Bullish Commodities Kitco Video NewsDec 28 Equity Market Weakness To Make Gold Shine In 2019 - Citi Kitco NewsDec 28 Gold Is An Attractive Diversifier For Investors and ... Kitco News Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 President Trump: ‘Big Progress Being Made’ in Trade Talks With China Donald J. Trump ✔ @realDonaldTrump Just had a long and very good call with President Xi of China. Deal is moving along very well. If made, it will be very comprehensive, covering all subjects, areas and points of dispute. Big progress being made! A deal could bring an end to what has been a back-and-forth trade war that has lasted for months. After campaigning on a platform to end China’s “unfair” trade practices with the U.S., Trump has gone on to tax billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods. The U.S. slapped the communist country with a 25 percent punitive tariff on $50 billion worth of their imports in June. The president upped the ante in September, imposing a 10 percent levy on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. Trump threatened to go even further, announcing his administration was ready to hike the tariff rate to 25 percent. However, during a G-20 summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina in early December, Trump and Xi reached an agreement, with the Chinese president submitting to a number of concessions in return for Trump agreeing to postpone the tariff hike. . . . Xi agreed to purchase more agricultural products from U.S. farmers, along with a pledge to buy more industrial and energy products. The Chinese leader also agreed to label the opioid fentanyl as a controlled substance — making any person who sells fentanyl to the U.S. subject to stricter penalties under Chinese law — and pledged to adhere to a number of cybersecurity and property theft concessions. In return, Trump is postponing the tariff hike for 90 days, giving U.S. and Chinese negotiators time to reach a permanent deal. (RELATED: China Lashes Out At ‘Global Economic Disruptor’ Trump As Trade War Escalates) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2018 (For Sparks): Christmas comes late, if it comes at all To the ultimate fools on Ultima Thule Ultima Thule Shines a Puzzling Light As New Horizons Spacecraft Approaches There's something weird going on with Ultima Thule, the distant object that NASA's New Horizons spacecraft will fly by just 10 days from now. New Horizons team members don't think the 23-mile-wide (37 kilometers) Ultima is spherical; rather, the available data suggest that it's elongated or is perhaps even composed of two close-orbiting bodies. So, mission scientists were expecting to see a substantial "light curve" from Ultima: significant changes in brightness corresponding to different orientations of the object as it rotates. But that's not what New Horizons observations in the lead-up to the epic New Year's Day encounter have shown. Instead, Ultima's brightness is relatively constant, like that of a spherical body. "It's really a puzzle," ... > https://www.space.com/42824-new-horizons-ultima-thule-mystery.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 WEEKLY Data - BOUNCE@ ==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg : 03/29 : 06/29 : 09/28 : 10/26 : 11/30 : 12/21 : 12/28 : Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1258.1 : 1283.0 : GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.79 : 118.65 : 112.76 : 116.77 : 115.54 : 118.72 : 121.06 : SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 263.15 : 271.28 : 290.72 : 265.33 : 275.65 : 240.70 : 247.75 : SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2691.3 : 2718.4 : 2914.0 : 2658.7 : 2760.2 : 2416.6 : 2485.7 : Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 219.0%: 216.7%: 243.6%: 215.3% : 226.2%: 192.1% : 193.7% :XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09% : $67.41: $75.94 : $75.74: $66.48 : $66.11 : $56.11 : $57.05 : WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $64.94 : $74.15 : $73.25 : $67.59 : $50.93 : $45.59 : $45.33 :OIH-: $33.35 : $26.05: -11.9% : $23.87 : $26.27 : $25.19 : $21.14: $18.80: $13.65 : $14.12 : OI/Wt: 62.1% : 43.1% : ====== : 36.76% : 35.43%: 34.39% : 31.28%: 36.91%: 29.94%: 31.15% : Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.730 : $2.920 : $3.010 : $3.220 : $4.600 : $3.750 : $3.303 : Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.030 : $2.970 : $2.810 : $2.740 : $2.790 : $2.670 : $2.680 : Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ---------------------------------------> 845.50 : 857.75 : 895.00 : 897.75 : 895.50 : Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47%: 451.00 : 501.25 : 509.00 : 505.25 : 516.00 : 514.00 : 511.50 : Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 387.75 : 371.25 : 356.25 : 367.75 : 378.00 : 378.50 : 375.50 : CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 195.36 : 200.39 : 195.16 : 195.51 : 181.74 : 172.13 : 170.97 :DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.18: $18.03: $16.91 : $17.72 : $17.29 : $17.00 : $16.97 : D/crb: 10.37% : 9.67% : ======: r9.31% : r8.99% : r8.66% : r9.06% : r9.51% : R9.88% : R9.93% : Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: R3.707 : R4.212 : R4.479 : R3.750 : r3.823 : R3.301 : R3.361 : DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $89.81 : $94.47 : $95.13 : $96.13 : $97.20 : $96.95 : $96.39 : TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.90 : 121.72 : 117.27 : 114.99 : 115.33 : 120.72 : 121.05 : ===== Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1258.1 : 1283.0 : Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.569 : r-1.532 : r-1.612 : r1.64E : R1.602 : R1.628 : R1.629 : Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 846.12 : 819.04 : 742.23 : 755est : 761.74 : 772.67 : 787.67 : WPM : $19.32 : $22.27: +15.3% : $20.37 : $22.06 : $17.50 : $16.40 : $15.64 : $18.91 : $19.35 : GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.98 : $22.31 :$18.52 : $19.06 : $19.09 : $20.44 : $20.60 : Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.15 : $32.70 : $27.36 : $28.27 : $26.59 : $28.94 : $29.44 : SIL-- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $30.72 : $28.88 : $24.23 : $23.91 : $23.05 : $24.74 : $24.96 : /SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.994 : R1.910 : r1.765 : R1.731 : R1.730 : R1.801 : R1.731 : SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.41 : $15.15 : $13.73 : $13.81 : $13.32 : $13.74 : $14.42 : Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% : 16.268 : 16.200 : 14.710 : 14.66? : 14.350 : 14.700 : 15.440 : PHM : $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $29.49 : $28.75 : $24.77 : $23.93 : $26.52 : $25.13 : $26.04 : EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $48.28 : $43.33 : $42.92 : $38.67 : $41.08 : $38.52 : $39.24 : ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3168.9: 2847.4 : 2821.3 : 2598.8 : 2588.2 : 2516.3 : 2493.9 : PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7979.8: 7193.7 : 7276.8 : 7076.2 : 7367.9 : 7479.7 : 7466.1 : XLF- : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $27.57: $26.59 : $27.58 : $25.26 : $26.83 : $22.79 : $23.59 : IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 151.83: 163.77 : 168.55 : 147.48 : 151.83 : 128.37 : 132.86 : F/iwm 17.24%: 17.84%: ===== : 18.16% : 16.24%: 16.36% : 17.13%: 17.67%: 17.75% : 17.76% : BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $7,401 : $5,883 : $6,652 : $6,396 : $3,979 : $4,035 : $3,611 : ==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg : 03/29 : 06/29 : 09/28 : 10/26 : 11/30 : 12/21 : 12/28 : Ratio: XLE to-OIH Ratio: OIH to-XLE -- You can BUY OIH without selling XLE. Maybe sell later, or buy Puts on XLE == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 2019 : Europe's Year of Change & Crisis (The likely news flow looks bad for the Euro, but the USD may be set-up for a drop now. Will we see a flight to Gold away from the US$?) QE might help the Euro, as European stocks continue their collapse. EUR in USD ... All-data : 5-yr : XX:SX5E / EURO STOXX 50 Index ... All-data : 5-yr : === 'The Euro is a suicide pact' Economist Prof. Steve Keen on Brexit & European Central Bank ending QE The dynamic is set-up... Tightening will collapse Stock prices QE might help the Euro, as European stocks collapse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 TURNING POINT in FX at hand? We get many at the Turn of the year. Big Traders clear out their books at the end of the year. And then initiate new positions for the new year. Often in the OPPOSITE direction. So we may see a weaker USD in 2019 FXFX ... update : == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 Time to Buy A$? Might be. Some other prices (Gold, XLE, DBA-Agri) tend to turn with, or a little ahead of the AUD. And they seem to have turned up... or look set to do so. Oil Next? AUD: $0.704, Gold: $1,281.: GLD: 121.06: XLE: $57.05: DBA: $16.96: InA$ $1.000, Gold: $1,820.: gld : 171.96 : xle : $81.04 : dba : $24.10: AUD -etc ... All-data : 5yr : 3yr : 1yr : 6mo / 10d vsDba: Aud / = $0.704 GOLD in A$ == NCM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2018 The Chickens came home to roost FAANG stocks ... since YrE-2015 : from FYE'16 : '17 : Still in a sharp down-channel Stock Market MADNESS as Computer Algorithms Go Haywire! Tech Stocks Lost Billions On Buybacks! Take a close look at the U.S. stock market. It’s a mess. Investors who have gone all in on the FANG stock rollercoaster have doubled down and bought the dip. They must believe that QE4 will begin soon, otherwise their behaviour is certainly short sided. It’s almost as if these individuals have traded on the waves of a trend. 2019 will certainly be interesting. Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5b4cDKf4I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 31, 2018 Not used to the Cold... in Florida https://imgur.com/gallery/BvQELJ8 https://imgur.com/gallery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted December 31, 2018 SILVER to DBA cycle - may be headed to 95% - Silver to $17.70 Ratio with cycle overlay : SLV / Silver ($14.42) to DBA ($16.97) = r-85% / Target: 9%, maybe March DBA---- : x 95% - : x 106.5% $16.50: $15.675 : $16.694 : $17.00: $16.150 : $17.200 : $17.50: $16.625 : $17.706 : Preferred case /$15.44 today: +14.7% by March $18.00: $17.100 : $18.211 : ====== SLV / Silver etf ... chart : Note - these kind of very precise targets rarely work out - will need revisiting == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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