drbubb Posted November 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2019 TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts2 : Acore : Fringe : : : : 3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN : xx BTC all data: 8yr: 4yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d: 10d 5d / SLV-lv ===== GOLD prices have fallen to a Support Level - a rally may ensue any day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2019 READYING ?? for Crash? Trump declares economic 'boom' underway... How Stock Market Record Stacks Up...Rich Readying for Major Sell-Off...RON PAUL: Big Bubble Pop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2019 16 hours ago, drbubb said: GOLD vs Bonds, including TIPS (inflation protected bonds) Made valuable discovery today, on what drives Gold proce GLD ($125.15) versus TLT ($125.49) from 2.Jan.2018 : fr. 5.Jul.19 / GLD:$137.06 / TLT:$135.00= r-101.5% fr. 5.Jul.19 / GLD ($132.14) vs TLT ($132.44) from 5.Jul.19 start / RATIO: GLD:$137.06 / TLT:$135.00= r-101.5% The SWINGS IN GOLD, & cyclical Turns become even more obvious, when you also monitor TIPS prices TIPS (inflation protected securities) vs Bonds (TLT) & Gold (GLD) ... 5yr : mirror : fr. X-2014 : 1yr: IF TIP prices are the Key to Gold... anticipating CPI moves may be the key to TIPS How to play the US CPI (and Walmart) and what the data means to fears of recession. == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 13, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 13, 2019 The LTPZ etf is a better bellwether-proxy for Gold than the TIPS etf LTPZ / PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index vs. GLD & TLT... update : 3yr / Last: $71.71, gld-$137.43, tlt-$135.62 3yr / RATIO: GLD to-LTPZ : $137.43 / $71.71 = R-191% == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 Street Artist Sabo Skewers Adam Schiff’s Farce Impeachment Hearings as ‘Shifty Schiff’s Clown Show’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 NUNES RESPONDS ... to the Shiffy Clown Show Nunes Blasts Coup Plotters, 2828 Schiff-ster, looks like you and the Dems are going down. You played your last hand (it seems), and it is a weak one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 14, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 14, 2019 WHO HAS FLIPPED? Strzok & Page? Cardinal Comey? Trump – I Caught the Swamp!, 2827 Jerk Joker If Comey has flipped... HELLary may be going to the Gallows, god punish her rotten soul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 15, 2019 CPI ? Inflation? A Hodge-podge The Fed's 2.00% Inflation Target: An Absurd, Random Weighted Average Spaghetti Bowl Of Wildly Divergent Prices By: alexmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 15, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 15, 2019 Recession Warning: Freight Volumes Negative YoY For 11th Straight Month Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, The Cass Freight Index once again warns again of economic contraction. Donald Broughton, founder of Broughton Capital and author the Cass Freight Index says the index signals contraction, possibly by the end of the year. That's just one one month away. Six Key Points With the –5.9% decline in October, following the string of declines in May through September (ranging from -3.0% to -6.0%), we repeat our message from the previous five months: the shipments index has gone from “warning of a potential slowdown” to “signaling an economic contraction.” We acknowledge that: all of these negative percentages were against tough comparisons (some extremely tough), and the Cass Shipments Index has gone negative before without being followed by a negative GDP. However, demand is weaker across almost all modes of transportation, both domestically and internationally. / 2 / U.S. household debt rises for the 21st straight quarter By: alexmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2019 Trump-SANTA Rally coming? As Impeachment Fizzles, The Stock Market Soars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2019 Interesting comments "compression pattern on the VIX" Parallels to the Time Right Before the 2008 Financial Crisis (w/ Sven Henrich) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 17, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2019 LONELY New HIGHS for SOXX. Time to look at buying SOX Puts? SOXX / semiconductors vs.: SPY, IWM... fr. 11.15.18: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / SOXX: 236.98, SPY:311.79, IWM: 158.92 : 2yr: Ratio: SOXX-to-SPY ( Soxx: $235.76, TZA: $40.23. TNA: $63.78)Soxx: Call + Put = Dec : - pct. / Call + Put = J’20 : pct. / 250: $1.24+14.90=16.14: 6.81%/ $2.87+16.45=19.32: 8.16%/41.2%= 19.8% 240: $4.35+$8.05=12.40: 5.23%/ $6.70+10.20=16.90: 7.13%/41.2%= 17.3% 235: $7.00+$5.60=12.60: 5.31%/ $9.35+$7.90=17.25: 7.28%/41.2%= 17.7% 230: 10.25+$3.80=14.05: 5.93%/ 12.40+$5.85=18.25: 7.70%/41.2%= 18.7% Days: 34 days ( /30.5%: 17.4% )/ 62 days ( /41.2%: 17.7%) SUGGESTION: BUY: SOXX.jan.$235P @$7.90 /236.89= just 3.33%: cheap insurance? Prev: Soxx: $235.76, TZA: $40.23. TNA: $63.78)Soxx: Call + Put = Dec : - pct. / Call + Put = J’20 : pct. / 235: $7.65+$7.20=14.85: 6.30%/ $9.80+$9.35=20.15: 8.55%/230: 10.75+$5.25=16.00: 6.79%/ 12.70 +$7.35=21.05: 8.93%/43.8%= 19.5%Days: 41 days ( /33.5%: 18.8% )/ 69 days ( /43.8%: 19.5%) /Prev: Soxx: $229.50Soxx: Call + Put = Dec : - pct. / Call + Put = J’20 : pct. / 230: $6.85+$8.10=14.95: 6.51%/ $8.85+10.00=18.85: 8.21%/Days: 48 days ( /36.3%: 17.9% )/ 76 days ( /45.6%: 18.0%) / 167 days ( /67.6%: ???%) /=== How much Gas is left in the tank? As Impeachment Fizzles, The Stock Market Soars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 18, 2019 Billionaire Ray Dalio Predicts The Next Big Market Crash == Advice from "the 25th Richest Man in America" - and arguably the best living & active hedge fund manager Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 18, 2019 The "JAPAN LEG" to moving RMB - there might be a Manila leg too This Is How The Chinese Are Evading Capital Controls And Secretly Getting Money Out Of The Country Submitted by Eric Peters, CIO of One River Asset Management "The only way I know to get money out is to set up a Japanese company,” he whispered. “That’s why so many Chinese nationals are in Japan. First of all, you can get a visa and permanent residency. Second of all, Japan and China don’t exchange tax information because they’re still bent out of shape about WWII. And thirdly, China’s police can’t come get you. Chinese billionaires don’t get ‘disappeared’ in Japan like they do in HK and NY,” he explained. “That’s why they’re buying homes in Tokyo and Osaka." "Despite capital controls, you can settle renminbi transactions in Yen,” he continued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 BIG TEST? Coming for Major PH Property shares Ayalalnd at P 42 ... ALI: update / Last: P 44.00 Megaworld at P4.40 ... MEG: update / Last: P 4.56 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 22, 2019 Ukrainian Indictment Claims $7.4 Billion Obama-Linked Laundering, Puts Biden Group Take At $16.5 Million. Stay tuned. Funny how this hasn’t hit the MSM. Trump will have to tweet about it, with a spelling error so it gets covered. However, Schiff will claim he coordinated it with the Ukraine in a belated quid pro quo or delayed bribery or some other ridiculous bullsh*t.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2019 Trader Warns "The Rally Is Crumbling Below The Surface" ...another notable aggressive divergence is taking place underneath markets, a trend visibly similar to the lead up to the 2018 highs... / 2 / Ray Dalio Denies He Is Betting On A Market Crash: "You Can Believe Me Or You Can Believe The Wall Street Journal" "The Wall Street Journal wrote an article that said “Bridgewater Bets Big on Market Drop.” It’s wrong. I want to make clear that we don’t have any such net bet that the stock market will fall." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Dalio Denies He Is Betting On A Market Crash: "You Can Believe Me Or You Can Believe The Wall Street Journal" "The Wall Street Journal wrote an article that said “Bridgewater Bets Big on Market Drop.” It’s wrong. I want to make clear that we don’t have any such net bet that the stock market will fall."
drbubb Posted November 23, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 23, 2019 PH Property stocks, are leading the (likely) Rollover in PH & in China stocks too maybe Both PSEI and China Shares (China A50 Index, traded in HK)... May be ROLLING OVER together PSEI has been Leading the China index over the past 2-3 years, sometimes Months in advance HK:2823 (China A50 shares) vs. PSEI ... update : fr. 11.23.16 / Last: $14.84 / 7,825 : Ratio 0.19% == BIG TEST? Coming for Major PH Property shares Ayalalnd at P 42 ... ALI: update / Last: P 44.00 Megaworld at P4.40 ... MEG: update / Last: P 4.56 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 24, 2019 Charlie McElligott: "The Bull Market In Bonds Is Back On" "We’ve washed out that excess positioning. We had that big 40-plus basis point selloff in 10-years..." / 2 / Saxo Bank: "So Much Liquidity Has Been Injected In The Market, It Is Now Impossible To Withdraw It" "The only solution is to keep injecting liquidity, which explains why around 60% of central banks are easing globally. Higher interest rates and QT are virtually impossible in a world of debt." / 3 / OR THIS ?? 150 Years Of Bank Credit Expansion Is Near Its End Today, we face infinite monetary inflation as a final solution to 150 years of monetary failures. The coming systemic and monetary collapse will mark the final collapse of fiat currencies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 24, 2019 SOXX moved up from the level of SPY, to the level of FMC FMC-etc / fr. 2008 : Sep.2015 / FMC: $97.23, SOXX: $229.68, SPY: $310.96 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 27, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2019 In PHILLY... here is what Cutting Edge Solar looks like Solar Powered Apartment Building Arrives Next to the El Oct, 29, 2019 | 11 Comments | South Kensington You may have heard, fossil fuel dependence is a bit of a problem for our humble planet. That mass of incandescent gas up in the sky provides an endless source of energy, but humankind has only taken baby steps in tapping into solar power. We've been slow to adopt solar for many reasons (according to some articles we just read), with cost being a significant hurdle. Fortunately, solar prices have gone down considerably as the years [...] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2019 GOLD ready to move up soon? GOLD vs Bonds, including TIPS (inflation protected bonds) Made valuable discovery today, on what drives Gold price - Last week Tips Led?: GLD ($132.14) vs TLT ($132.44) from 5.Jul.19 : 10d / GLD:$137.06 / TLT:$135.00= Gap:$2.06, r-101.5% UPDATED: / GLD:$137.01 / TLT:$140.72= Gap:($3.71) r-97.41%... was: Gap:$2.06, r-101.5%, Gap swung by $5.76 ! RATIO & Gap:($3.71) r-97.41% But a GLD-TLT GAP Straddle: ie Buy GLD-Call / Sell TLT-Put ?? Such as: ... GLD:$137.01 / TLT:$140.72= Gap:($3.71) r-97.41% ======: 142C: 142P=strad / 140C: 140P=strad / 138C: 138P=strad / 136C: 136P= strad / GLD-Ja.: 0.66+ 5.35= $6.01 / 1.05+ 3.70= $4.75 / 1.67+ 2.31= $3.98 / 2.64+ 1.26= $3.90 / TLT -Ja1:1.28+ 2.83= $4.11 / 2.18+ 1.71= $3.89 / 3.42+ 0.95= $4.37 / 5.05+ 0.50= $5.55 / TLT -Ja. : 1.68+ 3.15= $4.83 / 2.61+ 2.03= $4.64 / 3.83+ 2.03= $5.86 / 5.30+ 0.74= $6.04 / G.c /T.p : 0.66+ 2.83= $3.49 / 1.05+ 2.03= $3.08 / 1.67+ 2.03= $3.70 / 2.64+ 0.74= $3.38 / GLD-Fb.: 1.32+ 5.80= $7.12 / 1.80+ 4.25= $6.05 / 2.47+ 2.88= $5.35 / 3.40+ 1.80= $5.20 / TLT -Fb.: 2.38+ 3.83= $6.21 / 3.33+ 2.74 = $6.07 / 4.55+ 1.93= $6.48 / 5.88+ 1.35= $7.23 / G.c /T.p : 1.32+ 3.83= $5.15 / 1.80+ 2.74 = $4.54 / 2.47+ 1.93= $4.40 / 3.40+ 1.35= $4.75 / ======:$139 strads: Jan./ exp. 1/17/20 : 51 days-/ Feb./ exp. 2/21/20: 86 days- / ======: 139C: 139P=strad / x sqrt. 37.3%/ 139C: 139P=strad / x sqrt. 48.5% / > GLD- : 1.32+ 2.97= $4.29 / 3.09%: 8.27%/ 2.11+ 3.53= $5.64/ 4.06%: 8.36%/ > TLT - : 2.78+ 1.28= $4.06 / 2.92%: 7.83%/ 3.88+ 2.33= $6.21/ 4.47%: 9.21%/ G.c /T.p: 1.32+ 1.28= $2.60/ 1.87%: 5.01%/ 2.11+ 2.33= $4.44/ 3.19%: 6.59%/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2019 "Putin says a DEEP DIVE in the DOLLAR is coming soon" Catherine Austin Fitts – Deceleration of Dollar Integrity Significant & Serious "you need the ability to withstand a 10-20% inflation rate" (She is right, She has been saying for YEARS that the USD would be strong. "But Putin is talking her book," she cautions. "But We have to be prepared...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2019 KILLER CHARTS ? This one, SOXX vs SPY, and IWM ... update: ... makes my Point mostly clearly - about this being a good time to BUY PUTS We are now at point C - a point which I think is very similar to points A & B, new high on SPY, but NOT SOXX. / 2 / The chart shows Fed interest rates and the NASDAQ for roughly the past 25 years - three huge rate cutting cycles, three massive bubbles; two of which have already popped. Think the third won't pop? > https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/the-chart-shows-fed-interest-rates-and-the-nasdaq-for-roughly-the-past-25-years-three-huge-rate-cutting-cycles-three-massive-bubbles-two-of-which-have-already-popped-think-the-third-wont-pop/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 29, 2019 Hong Kong Protesters Gather On Thanksgiving After Trump Signs Pro-Democracy Legislation On Thursday, demonstrators showed their appreciation to the president by waving American flags and holding copies of an image Trump tweeted that shows his head photoshopped onto fictional boxer Rocky Balboa’s body. Futures Tumble After Trump Signs Bill Backing Hong Kong Protesters, Defying China HSI : 26,340 - 553.31, - 2.06% (this morning, Friday morning) TRUMP SIGNS HONG KONG HUMAN RIGHTS BILL, IGNORING CHINA’S WARNINGS US President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed into law legislation that could bring diplomatic action and economic sanctions against Hong Kong, brushing off multiple warnings by China against such a move. “The Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act reaffirms and amends the United States-Hong Kong Policy Act of 1992, specifies United States policy towards Hong Kong and directs assessment of the political developments in Hong Kong,” the White House said in a statement. “Certain provisions of the act would interfere with the exercise of the president's constitutional authority to state the foreign policy of the United States.” The legislation has provoked a backlash from the Chinese government, which on Monday summoned US ambassador to China Terry Branstad to warn that Congress’ passage of the legislation last week constituted “meddling” in the country’s internal affairs and would result in “consequences”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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