drbubb Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 BOUNCEBACK for GOLD? : Comment after $100+ drop in GOLD this week to under $1800 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian 18hFor those of you who missed my many comments on PMs yesterday because they only look at my original tweets,not replies, I remain very bullish gold & silver & the miners.I expect a strong summer into fall.Targets remain gold $2500,silver $45-$50,GDX $60,GDXJ $100,SIL $75 & SILJ $35 Update: July 14th - Go for Gold shares! David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian: 15hrs ago (july 14th, 2021)"The melt-up is underway. Gold & silver poised for some catch-up. My 2021 targets are gold $2500, silver $45-$50, GDX $60, GDXJ $100, SIL $75 & SILJ $35. Big upside ahead." > https://twitter.com/DaveHcontrarian : DanPopescu : GDX ... update (w/500d ma😞 Last: $34.74, +72.7% upside? / GDXJ: $46.72, +114% upside David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian .. Jul 13 As I hinted at last week,I have raised my equity targets. My new targets are S&P 5000, DJIA 40,000 & Nasdaq 18,000. My target for RUT remains unchanged at 2900. The final melt-up run into the secular top is underway & should steepen in the weeks ahead. This bull is not done yet. SPX ... update (w/500d ma) : Last: $4,374, +14.3% upside? / Nasdaq: $14,645, +22.9% upside == Coming: A DECADE of Rising Commodities, and weak Stocks? === Pre-NY Opening indicators for Gold, Silver & Gold shares FRES.L, TLT, & GBS/Gold Bullion Securities (UK version of GLD) ... 10d / Kitco: AU: AG: mine news: StkW: Update: "The Precious Decade" chart > HUNTER's Twitter > https://twitter.com/davehcontrarian?lang=en ( Joined October 2013. 33 Following, 85.5K Followers ) > Jonathan Ravelas, EWaves > https://twitter.com/ravelasj Financial Literacy Advocate, Financial Market observer. Opinions expressed are my own & do not reflect my employer's view. ( Philippines, Joined May 2011. 913 Following, 8,294 Followers ) UDN vs-SLV, GLD, SPY : w/XLE... from 11/2019: YTD: 10d / SLV: $23.32 , GLD:157.49, SPY:381.72, XLE:53.09 @3.8.2021 2020" From the March Low, to the 2020's High. Silver was >3X Gold’s rise ! /GLD: SLV: +etc: 10d: UK 5d: AGQe:SLV Mar.L: $10.86> Aug.H: $27.39: Silver= +152% / Target: Slv: $30,00, silver: $35-40GLD L: 136.12, $1,451 > H: 194.45, 2,089 = +44.0% / Target: $240?, $2,500?SPY L: 216.42, $2,192 > H: 394.17, 3,950 = +80.2% / Target; 4,600XLE Mar.Low: $ 22.88 > H: $53.75, 3.9.21= +135% > Yr.H: Mar.9th, Target: $55 SLV, GLD, SPY : w/XLE... from 11/2019: shs: YTD: 10d/ SLV: $24.33 , GLD:171.04, SPY:436.24, XLE:50.81 @7.14.2021 previoua SLV: $25.53 , GLD:176.04, SPY:414.94, XLE:52.16 @5.21.2021 === Mining stock Podcast: Podcast List Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Melt-up, dann Kollaps (David Hunter) Interview with David Hunter “The stock market will correct 70-80%” 46,203 views. •Jun 18, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted June 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2021 Is Gold's one year slide Ending soon? GBS/ Gold Bullion (like GLD) ... All : Last: 165.90 x 10.00 = $1,780 GBS vs GLD, GDXJ ... update: GDXJ ($47.43) / GLD ($165.90) = 28.6% Ratio; xx Charles Neener's Gold cycle is bottoming at mid-year Interview Stock Market Cut in Half Soon – Charles Nenner By Greg Hunter On June 19, 2021 In Market Analysis 210 Comments By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com (Saturday Night Post) Renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner made a huge call at the end of January 2020. Nenner said, “I am more worried about the market going down 40% than making 5% more on the upside.” The market topped a few weeks later (2% higher) and then plunged 38% for the next several weeks. Spot on call. Nenner also said he was “more worried about domestic civil unrest than war in a foreign land.” We had Antifa and BLM rioting, looting and burning in Portland, Minneapolis, Chicago, New York and many other cities for most of 2020. This was, yet, another spot on call. What’s Nenner seeing now? Nenner says, “ I have a chart going back to the 1900’s, and if you connect all the tops, the tops of 1929, top in the 1960’s, 1987, . . . we are up to the trend line again. It seems very, very unusual to break a trend line that dates back for 100 years. So, risk is very high. . . .We are totally out of the market. . . .We have been out for three or four weeks. . . .We have the same thing as before. People are more afraid to miss 4% on the upside than 50% on the downside. That’s human nature.” How low can the market go from here? Nenner says, “20,000 or lower is my call.” I asked Nenner, “You think the market could get cut in half?” Nenner replied, “Yes.” The next big call is on inflation. The Federal Reserve keeps telling the markets that inflation is “transitory.” Nenner contends inflation is here and will get much worse. Nenner explains, “If the Fed keeps the policy unchanged, the market is not going to like it because they think the Fed is not paying enough attention. For the moment, I agree with the Fed that the inflation fear is overdone. But based on my cycles, we are going to soon start a whole new cycle of inflation. . . . There is a long term cycle on inflation. . . .In a year or so, we are going to have a lot of inflation.” Nenner says Bitcoin, at least for now, looks to be topped out. Nenner says, “I have no higher price target. We might have a new up cycle, but I don’t think the top ($64,000) is going to be taken out for a long time.” On oil and natural gas, Nenner says, “We are out of oil right now, but I don’t think the bull market in oil is over yet. I think natural gas will start a long term up move soon.” On gold and silver, Nenner says, “There is no bottom fishing in silver or gold. The bottom is weeks away. We might touch the bottom on gold at $1,670.” Longer term, Nenner still thinks gold will go past $2,500 an ounce, and silver will go up with it. LINK > https://usawatchdog.com/stock-market-cut-in-half-soon-charles-nenner-6-19-21/ After the Interview: Nenner added a warning about “fake news” issued by Wall Street. Nenner says, “Wall Street wants small investors on the wrong side of the market. They accomplish this by giving out fake news. They have to sell to somebody. Don’t fall for it. There is free information and analysis on CharlesNenner.com. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted June 28, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 28, 2021 Tweeted by Interviewer Natalie Brunell @natbrunell 1h. Tech stocks are leading and helping S&P and Nasdaq hit new record highs. Is this the melt up @DaveHcontrarian Forecasted? Don't miss my interview with macro strategist David about his analysis of the economy and the historic crash he expects, check it out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 9, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 9, 2021 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian 7h There's a narrative out there suggesting that 10yr yield falling to 1.25% today is a sign the economy & inflation have peaked & are rolling over & that would send the stock market sharply lower.Couldn't disagree more.I expect reacceleration in economy,inflation & mkt in 2nd half. == Lyn Alden on ‘the ‘unthinkable’: What happens if the U.S. defaults on debt? (Pt. 1/2) == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 15, 2021 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian: 15hrs ago"The melt-up is underway. Gold & silver poised for some catch-up. My 2021 targets are gold $2500, silver $45-$50, GDX $60, GDXJ $100, SIL $75 & SILJ $35. Big upside ahead." > https://twitter.com/DaveHcontrarian GDX ... update (w/500d ma) : Last: $34.74, +72.7% upside? / GDXJ: $46.72, +114% upside David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian .. Jul 13 As I hinted at last week,I have raised my equity targets. My new targets are S&P 5000, DJIA 40,000 & Nasdaq 18,000. My target for RUT remains unchanged at 2900. The final melt-up run into the secular top is underway & should steepen in the weeks ahead. This bull is not done yet. SPX ... update (w/500d ma) : Last: $4,374, +14.3% upside? / Nasdaq: $14,645, +22.9% upside SLV, GLD, SPY : w/XLE... from 11/2019: shs: YTD: 10d/ SLV: $24.33 , GLD:171.04, SPY:436.24, XLE:50.81 @7.14.2021 previoua SLV: $25.53 , GLD:176.04, SPY:414.94, XLE:52.16 @5.21.2021 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 16, 2021 A Look at the Gold Stocks -to Gold ratio GDXJ-toGLD, now at 27%, despite the Gold price being strong (David Hunter thinks that GDXJ could hit $100 this year, and GLD $234- ie Gold $2500/ 10.7 - that would be a 42.7% ratio. His target for GDX to Gold is: 60/234= 25.6%, up from the current 17%. ) In fact, I should be looking at the comparison of Gold shares to UGL, the 2x Gold etf, because Gold shares are a leveraged play on Gold Here's the GDX to-UGL ratio (5 years) ...And the GDX to-UGL ratio (5 years) At yesterday's Low of 76%, it was very close to the bottom of the Normal 75%-87.5% range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 16, 2021 The Power of the Fed (full documentary) | FRONTLINE "They increased enormously the Wealth at the Top. And Inequality." 145,212 views .. Jul 14, 2021 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted August 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2021 GBS.L / Gold etf ... update / Last; GBS- $167.77 London Gold etf = $1,800 Are we in a Blue Box (peaking formation), or a Green Box (continuation)? current action looks like both. Probably GREEN, because we are not so far from an important Low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted August 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted August 6, 2021 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian Aug 1 Gold & silver remain poised for big upside in the coming mos.Both metals bottomed in March & have spent the past 4 mos backing & filling,further discouraging frustrated investors.They're now ready to emerge from this consolidation & make a big run. Gold to $2500 & silver to $50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted September 3, 2021 Author Report Share Posted September 3, 2021 Stocks PEAKING? Or Set for "spikey" Breakout? SPY etc ... update: 10d: SPY: $453.19, up 21.2% from YE-2020 ($373.88), vs: GLD/Gold ($178.36) > $169.25, -5.11% Precious Metals & Gold shares have lagged... update: 10d: UGL-$59.33, -13% from 68.20, GLD-$169.25, -5.1%, 178.36, since Ye2020 AGQ etc... fr. 2016: AGQ: $39.98 Hunter's comments; David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian 9h I see a lot of skepticism toward this equity market rally & even more toward the the metals & miners.I remain very bullish of equities & metals & expect sharply higher prices directly from here.SPX 5000,DJIA 40,000, Nasdaq 18,000, Gold 2500, silver 50, GDX 60, GDXJ 100,SIL 75,SILJ 35. ... Aug 30 The market is just beginning its final melt-up leg into a secular top. Cyclical stocks, including transports, are just emerging from a 4 month consolidation & will join growth/tech to drive the markets sharply higher. S&P to 5000+,DJIA to 40,000+,Nasdaq to 18,000 & RUT to 2900. Forecast from Sep. 2nd: HUNTER: Ye2020: 9/02 > Forecast, % SPX — 3,756 : 4,537 > 5,000, +10.2% DJIA — 30,606 : 35,444 > 40,000, +12.9% Nasdaq 12,888 : 15,331 > 18,000, +17.4% Gold — 1,894 : 1,810 > 2,500, +38.1%UGL. — 68.20 : 59.33 > $104. +75.3%* GDX. — 36.02 : 32.50 > 60.00, +84.6% GDXJ — 54.24 : 42.62 > $100., +135% Silver — 26.37 : 24.00 > 50.00, +108% AGQ — 51.28 : 37.75 > 110.00, +191%* SIL — 45.62 : 40.03 > 75.00, +87.3% SILJ — 16.31 : 13.34 > 35.00, +162.% ==== * My own forecast, based on Hunter’s% Ratio: GDX to SPY: "Normal range" seems to be 9%, +/- 2%. Now 7.35% GDX vs. SPY, GLD ... 2016: Timing : GDX : GLD : SPY : gd/S r: gd/G r: Spy/G Ye2004: 00.00: $43.80: 120.87: ??.0%: ??.0%: r2.?? Ye2005: 00.00: $51.58: 124.51: ??.0%: ??.0%: r2.41 Ye2006: 39.91: $63.21: 141.62: Ye2007: 45.83: $82.46: 146.21: 31.3%: 55.6%: r1.77 Ye2008: 33.88: $86.52: 90.24: Ye2009: 46.21: 107.31: 111.44: Ye2010: 61.47: 138.72: 125.75: 48.9%: 44.3%: 90.6% Ye2011: 51.43: 151.99: 125.50: Ye2012: 46.39: 162.02: 142.42: Ye2013: 21.13: 116.12: 184.69: Ye2014: 18.38: 113.58: 205.54: Ye2015: 13.72: 101.46: 203.87: 6.73%: 13.5%: r2.01 Ye2016: 20.92: 109.61: 223.53: 9.36%: 19.1%: r2.04 Ye2017: 23.24: 123.65: 266.86: 8.71%: 18.8%: r2.15 Ye2018: 21.09: 121.25: 249.92: 8.44%: 17.4%: r2.06 Ye2019: 29.28: 142.90: 321.86: 9.09%: 20.5%: r2.25 Ye2020: 36.02: 178.36: 373.88: 9.63%: 20.2%: r2.10 Ye2021: 06.30. : 33.98: 165.63: 428.06: 7.94%: 20.5%: r2.58 09.03. : 33.28: 171.06: 453.08: 7.34%: 19.5%; r2.65 ===== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted September 13, 2021 Author Report Share Posted September 13, 2021 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian .. Still a Contrarian SPX-etc. update: SpT: 10d/ T: TvF:2: SxS: / SPY: 445.44 -1.9% off YrH, IWM: 221.62 -5.5% off, XLF: 37.58 -3.7% off, Sep 10 Foreign currencies across the board are turning up & should see big rallies vs USD in coming weeks & months. Euro,GBP,CAD,AUD & even Peso & Brazilian Real poised to move up sharply while DXY heads for 85 & probably 80. This is what the metals are waiting for. It's coming. DXY-etc. update: GdT: 10d/ GLD: 170.00, UGL: 445.44 -1.9% off YrH, GDX: 221.62 -5.5% off, XLF: 37.58 -3.7% off, FxeG: UDN#1-FxFx: #2-FxGl: 10d/ FXE: 110.14 +1.1% abv.YrL, Eur: 1.179, FXB: 133.28, +1.85% abv, FXC: 77.35 +5.4% abv, Sep 8 Investors came back from the holiday weekend in a cautious mood. I don't expect that caution to lead to much of a market decline.FAANGs & semis look good & I expect airlines, homebuilders, materials, miners, industrials & financials to resume their upside runs soon. S&P to 5000+. Sep 3 Lumber & copper along with many other commodities topped out in early May & spent the summer in corrective mode.They're turning back up & will see sharp rallies in coming months.Lumber to $1000 & copper to $6.Inflation expectations to rise as will interest rates. 10yr to 2 1/2%. GLD-in FXE -> essentially, Gold in Euro / DrCopper: $4.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted September 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2021 Silver BUY zone: $21.75-22.75, and low yesterday was $21.58! This call looks impressive so far, he expected "one more drop in Silver" into that Buy zone, and we may have seen that yesterday. I haven't heard this megaphone technique he uses at Sniper before: Excellent Interview ! Francis Hunt: Silver Will be The Shooting Star > === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2021 HUNTER's final rally, Dead Ahead? Indices: SPX, PSEI, GDX . update: 4438.3 +18.2%, 7183.1 +0.61%, $43.99 -18.9%, YTD: -0.03% at 10/15 Adam Taggart @menlobear. Oct 9 MELTUP THEN MELTDOWN @DaveHcontrarian still forecasts up to an 80%(!) crash, but he expects the market to first shoot up over 20%(!) before things roll over... . 2 . David Hunter @DaveHcontrarian. 19hr ago Both precious metals & industrial metals are poised for sharply higher prices in the weeks & months ahead. Gold,silver,copper & even steel stocks all are beginning what will be big rallies. Gold to $2500, silver to $50, copper to $6,GDX to $60,GDXJ to $100,SIL to $75 & SILJ to $35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2021 Complete retrace of disinflation... back to 20% And "biggest financial crisis the world has ever seen" A Future Of 20%+ Inflation? | David Hunter On What Comes After The Next Market Crash (PT2) ===. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2021 Chris V. Is now Bullish on Gold stocks - Rightly, I think! Chris Vermeulen: Dollar Collapse Could Trigger New Highs in the Metals > Charts ready ! update - "Gold's rally is a late cycle phenomenon" TPRFF: $4.30 (gcm: C$5.34), GOLD: $19.62, UGL: $60.44 (GLD: $171.21, gold: $1830, r:10.69) === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 DXY / US Dollar heading back down? David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian Jan 21The U.S. dollar is rolling over & that means lots of other currencies will be doing well vs USD.CAD & AUD look poised for nice runs as do the Euro & GBP. One that will surprise many is the South African Rand,currently .065 & heading for .086.I continue to expect fall in USD to 80 One More Melt-up Coming Before the 80% Correction in 2022 | David Hunter > == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Watching the USD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted February 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2022 RATIO: GDX-to-SPY: $34.50 / 434 = 7.95% Ratio: GDX-toSPY is above the Year End low, near 6.3%. Last was 7.95%. It is Time for a Rally back to 13.77% or Higher maybe ?? GDX alone ... ALL: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 10d / Last: $34.50, bouncing off 987d MA at just below $29. YrL: $28.83 . ALL: SPY alone ... ALL: 10yr: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 10d / Last: $434, down -9.6% from Year end high of $480 ALL: Log scale === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted March 4, 2022 OPPOSITE? Or Similar Forecast? Depends on Timing, I suppose Felix Zulauf: 20%+ Market Drop By Summer, Then Bull Market Through 2024 Caused By Fed Pivot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 11, 2022 Author Report Share Posted March 11, 2022 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarianMar 8 UPDATE Gold & silver have broken above important resistance levels & are early in big up moves. I continue to forecast gold to $2500 & silver to $50. Both are minimum expectations & will likely be raised. The miners are also beginning big bull moves.GDX to $60,GDXJ $100,SIL $75 & SILJ $35 > https://twitter.com/DaveHcontrarian Feb 28 In the melt-up, both growth & value will play as will both large & small caps. The leading groups include semis, FAANG,materials,industrials,miners,airlines,autos & homebuilders. I think both the energy stocks & the financial stocks will lag as oil & interest rates decline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lyb Posted March 12, 2022 Report Share Posted March 12, 2022 Very bullish view. However, the rally we have seen reminds me of the rally of 2005. It is clear now that inflation is not under control, and we will have to live with negative real interest rates. Here at GEI there has been much talk about the prospect of runaway inflation in the past, and now this is real. This will alleviate the world debt problem at the expense of the creditors. Platinum may be a good investment now, given the real possibility of substituting for palladium (most palladium comes from Russia) and its use in hydrogen fuel cells. Any thoughts on this? https://platinuminvestment.com/files/541296/WPIC_Platinum_Quarterly_Q4_2021.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted March 14, 2022 I tend to be amazed at how cheap Platinum became relative to Gold. For decades it used to trade at a premium, and often a steady premium] x x Platinum supply and demand – updating 2021 estimates and 2022 forecastsTotal platinum demand rose 21% (+283 koz) quarter-on-quarter in Q4’21, with ongoing strong demand from the industrial andjewellery segments supplemented by improving automotive demand, despite ongoing semiconductor shortages. This was helpedby improved but still negative investment demand, with ongoing strength in bar and coin demand offset by continued reductions inETF holdings and stocks held by exchanges (primarily NYMEX), albeit at lower rates than in Q3’21. In the platinum market a furthersign of the positive sentiment towards the metal emerged... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted April 15, 2022 Author Report Share Posted April 15, 2022 ANSWERING A REQUEST from Jerpy ( Your trading thoughts are always great to read, along with a monthly or “whatever” time frame diary. Shame the number of visitors to the metals section dropped off, that was good in its hay day for ideas. Bad....err spam posts above creeping in lol. The bickering that caused a lot of people to drift away I feel. My personal choice was to stay out of contentious topics, respectfully allowing opposite opinions but I feel too many get wound up in debates and don’t know how to do this.) Are you on VIBER? If so, send me a PM and I can add you. I have an active commentary about Precious metals and markets there. I am thinking about moving it to GETTR. And might even add it to TWTR, if Musk takes over there, and ends the censorship Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted May 20, 2022 Author Report Share Posted May 20, 2022 BOND MARKET will Lead the STOCK MARKET, says David Hunter " the Bond market has done the tightening... and is setting the tone" David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian 11hr ago - May 19th We're at or near important inflection points in many markets.Rates have topped & bonds look ready to run.USD appears poised for a big reversal to the downside.Silver & gold & the miners are beginning big runs to the upside & the equity markets are bottoming & poised for a melt-up TLT / Long Term Treasury Bonds ... YTD: 3mo: 2mo / Last: 117.18 +0.28, +0.24% yrL: 112.62 DXY / Trade-weighted US Dollar ... YTD: 3mo: 2mo / Last: 389.46 - 2.40, - 0.61% yrL: 385.15 IWM / Russell 2000 small Caps... YTD: 3mo: 2mo / Last: 389.46 - 2.40, - 0.61% yrL: 385.15 David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian For those of you who haven't seen it yet, here is my latest interview that I did on May 10th with Tom Bodrovics on PalisadesGold Radio. It will provide you with my latest thinking on the markets & all things macro. Here's a better link: David Hunter: Bond Market is Going to Force the Fed to Pivot - May 12th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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