Jump to content

Recommended Posts

  • 2 weeks later...
  • Replies 30.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • G0ldfinger

    2616

  • romans holiday

    2235

  • drbubb

    1478

  • Steve Netwriter

    1449

The Unfolding Global Insolvency (& Reboot) - partial summary, v 0.3

We are now in the biggest global economics shock in History.
There are bound to be long term consequences, from the high slide in supply & demand,
And the shock to global liquidity.
Even with the massive money printing, banks are bound to be very cautious with their lending.
They will hold onto the cheap funds they get from Central banks.  Debt will be difficult and
Expensive to obtain, the further a company or an individual is, away from the favored circle
Of first class corporations, that banks will be willing to lend to.
Many lower quality credit borrowers will be tardy in paying, or will outright default.
Baby boomers with their funds in the stock market, will be pulling them out, so they can
Assure their retirements, which are suddenly looking much less secure.  

OUR GLOBAL ECONOMIC SYSTEM IS NOW AT RISK
What is at risk, is the solvency of the entire system, and confidence in the Dollar standard.
The system has been weakened by years of blowing up bigger and bigger bubbles in
state & corporate debts, and in over-valued stock markets.  Coming demographic changes,
and mainly retirement of baby boomers, who will want to live on savings and pensions
will put extra pressure on Valuations.  Because of low rates, retirement funds are largely
invested in the stock market, leave the system fragile, and highly vulnerable to any loss
of confidence in insecure “promises” - ie we have shaky debts and fiat currencies.
Ultimately,  a Debt jubilee may be the only way to “cure” the problem of excessive debts.
A “solution” of the type seems inevitable.  This could be the end of the Dollar and the Euro,
Replacement with a New currency is likely, perhaps a crypto backed by gold, or linked to
the SDR (ie a basket of global currencies.) In this crisis, spending will slow as people will
be cautious, and economic growth will take years to recover to pre-Covid levels.

(That is my own quick summary & some personal thoughts… Still in process !!
On this excellent 120 page report, the Unfolding) : >
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nWQVpbyeVqwB1qHHVXs1G19b9_iUvrX9/view

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 3 months later...
  • 4 weeks later...

GLD ($132.14) vs TLT ($132.44: r-100%) from 5.Jul.19 : Oct-19: 10d / 9.4.20: GLD:$181.64 / TLT:$162.74= r-111.6%

Chart is updated from time to time

Xx4SsR8.gif

NEW PUSH above $2000 Gold may start next week

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...
  • 1 month later...

2020 ELECTION FOR SALE to Dem Billionaires?
"I am Proud to be an American. God bless the USA" COURT SYSTEM, if i can come thru at this critical time!

PRECIOUS?  WOW!  
My Gold stocks & Silver calls are Soaring today... as people see massive corruption revealed and that the US election has been a dumpster fire of Dem cheating and attempted election buying....                   
GLD/ Gold :  182.84 +$4.03, +2.28%
SLV/ Silver : $23.37 +$1.13. +5.06%
GDXJ/ Jr’s : $58.66 +$4.46, +8.22%
AGQ/ 2 Slv: $47.92 +$4.52. +10.4%
====
The Dems have taken Election manipulation to a whole new level, and markets are scared.
See thread:
2020 ELECTION FOR SALE to Dem Billionaires
>

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 year later...

DXY / US Dollar heading back down?

Dlq9Sph.png

David Hunter@DaveHcontrarian
Jan 21
The U.S. dollar is rolling over & that means lots of other currencies will be doing well vs USD.CAD & AUD look poised for nice runs as do the Euro & GBP. One that will surprise many is the South African Rand,currently .065 & heading for .086.I continue to expect fall in USD to 80

One More Melt-up Coming Before the 80% Correction in 2022 | David Hunter   >

==

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 months later...

ANSWERING A REQUEST from Jerpy

( Your trading thoughts are always great to read, along with a monthly or “whatever” time frame diary.

Shame the number of visitors to the metals section dropped off, that was good in its hay day for ideas.

Bad....err spam posts above creeping in lol. The bickering that caused a lot of people to drift away I feel. My personal choice was to stay out of contentious topics, respectfully allowing opposite opinions but I feel too many get wound up in debates and don’t know how to do this.)

Are you on VIBER? 

If so, send me a PM and I can add you.  I have an active commentary about Precious metals and markets there.

I am thinking about moving it to GETTR.   And might even add it to TWTR, if Musk takes over there, and ends the censorship

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

NENNER's CYCLES of WAR and GOLD

+ Up to 1/3 of our population may die in the next war !

+ Gold cycle is up until 2027. Resistance is $2500, and then as high as $40K!

+ "Gold's short term cycle turned up this week" (yesterday, from when he said it)

eHJH082.gif

Gold's L.T. Cup & Handle : Explanations: Handle should end in top 1/3 or upper 1/2

Third of Global Population Killed in Next War Cycle – Charles Nenner

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 months later...

UGL has Opened up a BIG GAP to the upside of GDX... once again, like in Q2.2020

GDX ($27.22) vs. UGL ($55.72), 2x Gold .... update: Falling Ratio: 48.9%

1tHalBf.gif

Ratio: GDX ($27.22) / UGL ($55.72) = 48.9%. "Normal Range" is 50-60%

2wBRAHt.png

==

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 6 months later...

HK GOLD, hk2840, still looking good, at HK$1,335 (= $1830 /10.78= 169.8 x7.85)

4IE2WCc.gif

===

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 2 weeks later...

IS SILVER TOO CHEAP??

Updated: Gold:$1980, GLD:$184 (/10.76), UGL:$64, AGQ:$27, SLV:$21, GDX:$30.6

iPNVRcX.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A MELT-UP SCENARIO may be more likely in Gold & Gold stocks than general indices

UGL (2x Gold), AGQ (2x Silver) and Gold stock indices: update: $63.55, $30, $30, $36

o1o3tuL.gif

A MELT-UP, if we see one, with likely be preceded by a jump in TLT, >200d MA

6zlVBVM.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 7 months later...
  • 3 months later...

GOLD CFTC data supports Rally potential : Highest Price yet, for good set-up

q55Hw8r.jpeg

GLD/ Gold. Fri. 2.17.24: Last: $186.34 = $2,015 (10.81x)

khCvaSE.gif

GOLD % corrections, getting smaller and smaller :
03.08.22: $193.30 > 11.03.22: $150.57: $43, -22.1% 
05.04.23: $191.36 > 10.05.23: $168.30: $23, -12.0% 
12.28.23: $192.89 > 02.13.24: $183.78: $ 9.,  - 4.7% 
======

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...