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Great charts and I think you will be proved right - with the stockmarkets at a bottom as they were in early December 1974 when gold peaked, I think gold is likely to fall further as a new cyclical bull market in stocks begins.

well, let me make some comments to the charts, this is not a final bottom in stocks, it is just a retracement for a couple of months. there is more pain to come in the 5th wave. Also, gold & stocks should rise at the same time after they bottom together, so the safe heaven play is temporary thing.

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Great charts and I think you will be proved right - with the stockmarkets at a bottom as they were in early December 1974 when gold peaked, I think gold is likely to fall further as a new cyclical bull market in stocks begins.

 

Hmm . . . If it transpires that the Citi does sleep after all, then I'd expect gold to sell-off. Don't get me wrong here - I'm not nailing my colours to Ker's mast here as I happen to think that TA is largely irrelevant in this more news-sensitive gold market. No, assuming the usual suspects actually have anything left to be forcibly sold, I think the drop is certain if only because gold has been one of the few winning plays in the commodities complex and because its price has been ironed out, big time, in recent forced-selling.

 

Still, the nationalization of a hugely symbolic name like Citigroup's may just be enough to send the buck down to where it belongs. Pork scratchings and Babycham for everybody. Hurrah ! :lol:

 

PS a cheeky buy stop entry on GBP/USD on a break of £1.53 for the next couple of days might be entered into my dusty old trading platform . . .

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Doesn't look like it has been falling in GBP and lots of other currencies. Which country are you from Catflap? I am guessing the UK by your avatar.

 

From the UK - yes it's doing really well atm @ £537/oz and will probably go higher still but will it really go higher in 2009 especially if the £ strengthens against the $ and stocks are rallying? :unsure:

 

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I can't see how it wont. If GBP goes down, gold goes up. Is GBP going up, nope!

 

From the UK - yes it's doing really well atm @ £537/oz and will probably go higher still but will it really go higher in 2009 especially if the £ strengthens against the $ and stocks are rallying? :unsure:

 

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Great charts and I think you will be proved right - with the stockmarkets at a bottom as they were in early December 1974 when gold peaked, I think gold is likely to fall further as a new cyclical bull market in stocks begins.

Does anyone else think that gold is more likely to rise than stocks, although I could very well imagine both to rise from here?

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I am hoping for one more big dip in gold before the end of the year, so I can buy more, but think that it may not happen.

 

I think in six months time we will realise, with hindsight, that the huge premium on physical coins over spot price, which developed in October 2008 was the signal that confirmed a fundamental shift to gold.

 

i bought gold for the fist time during the big dip in September, since then it has more than held up in euro despite all the market turmoil. I bought as an insurance - the 10% approach. But am now happy to increase that if the price dips again.

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Does anyone else think that gold is more likely to rise than stocks, although I could very well imagine both to rise from here?

 

As inflation kicks in, both will do well, gold better I think.

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http://www.coininvestdirect.com/main.php?a...rate=pound_rate

Krugerrand: buy £544.58 sell £596.78

 

http://www.goldline.co.uk/bullionCoinsPage.page?coinId=48

Krugerrand: sell £ 611.00

 

http://www.goldline.co.uk/bullionCoinsPage.page?coinId=71

Britannia: sell £ 616.50

 

http://www.proaurum.de/preisliste.jsp?action=showList

Krugerrand: buy EUR 637.50, doesn't sell

Philharmoniker: buy EUR 631, sell EUR 675 (3 weeks wait)

 

http://www.proaurum.ch/preisliste.jsp?action=showList

Krugerrand: buy CHF 970, sell CHF 1058.50

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