Okay, the following is my very naive and simple deduction.
How many gold investors believe gold is just another commodity and how many believe it is a safe haven?
From what I can gather just by listening,looking and learning, those that believe that gold is just another commodity are still in the majority.
Therefore I would expect gold to track oil for a little longer, altough I would expect a divergence from parallel as those who buy into gold as a safe haven gradually tip the scales and begin to outnumber those who view it as just another commodity.
Meanwhile, one has also to contend with the speculators who have piled into gold as a commodity and double guess their actions. Personally I think there COULD (and that's a very big could) be a retracement back to $850 but that could be more wishful thinking than anything else. That apart, the sky's the limit.
You will note that I have excluded all market manipulators and expert gold traders from my naive prognosis. That is because I am old enough to realise that so-called experts are not the gods I once supposed them to be, they are just other human beings more or less like me and those whom I socialise with and their individual and therefore collective expertise is probably not any greater than mine and my cohort of friends and acquaintances. I've long since stopped believing in the expert in any field of endeavour, save, perhaps, brain surgery which does require a certain amount more delicacy than the average butcher.