Jump to content

marceau

Members
  • Posts

    908
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by marceau

  1. I wonder if the BBC will report it on the main news if Gold does breach 1,000. Surely they'll be able to sandwich it in between the dire news of the banks, houses, jobs, higher petrol prices and general inflation.

     

    Of course, if there is any news on Maddie all these issues will get pushed to one side.

     

    Priorities my boy...

     

    Don't forget Diana. :lol:

  2. OK here is the question. Does gold retreat to the 800s like oil did when it breached 100 (oil went back to 88)?

     

    Or does it hit every newspaper and news show around the world and quickly run-off to 1,200?

     

    That's a tough one..

     

     

    I think it's going through. I would have doubted it more had it not been for yesterday's sell off, but that will have suckered so many into going short or staying out that there are still a lot of buyers out there.

     

    I vote for $1100 before any significant pullback.

  3. I have my own theory on Juniors, and that is they rely on capital markets for money (which is tight) and use a lot of energy prospecting (oil) which is expensive.

     

    The juniors best chance, and investors to, is a buying from one of the majors like Goldcorp, Barrick, or Newmont. Bubb is an expert on Juniors and mining, so when he gets back hopefully he can weigh in. That is if he is isn't mad at us for setting up shop over here.

     

     

    I agree Pluto, the impact of higher oil prices and capital costs are hampering the prospects of the junior miners. There is a thread on this very subject in the Mining section of this site. However, I think $1000 will really kick the juniors into action.

     

    I also own some Royal Gold (RGLD) and the Silver Wheaton (SLW), both of which have very few issues with cash or production costs due to the way they derive their income. It is in these that I am hoping to see some big upwards moves over the next few weeks due to short covering. There is a thread on RGLD in the mining section with some excellent analysis by Dr Bubb and others (admittedly, I mostly use it to moan about RGLD failing to keep up with the gold price).

  4. Also people thinking we are in the same situation as the great depression. They somehow think that gold certificates and silver coins are the same thing as fiat paper. :D:D

     

     

    They can't know much about the depression then. Gold was about the only thing that kept its value during that period (and mining shares quickly recovered).

  5. Over at hpc somebody asked about the main gold thread in the "Gold going mental" thread. So, I tried to help with this post:

     

    Unsurprisingly, it was deleted 3 minutes later. I just want to help those who say they are interested. :D

     

     

    Leave them to it and let them wallow in their own ignorance. I'm sure they will be trying to console themselves with all the dollars RB has told them to buy. :D

  6. These corrections are what is required to the PMs into orbit. The short sellers that pile in for the "big one" and nervous nellies all end up buying back in at higher prices - adding rocket fuel at 1000 octane.

     

     

    Absolutely. In fact I think yesterday's drop will allow gold to overshoot $1000 by a considerable margin. Thank you weak hands!

  7. I stuck to my guns yesterday and didn't sell a thing, in fact I would have added if I'd had cash to hand. Gold investors seem to be the nerviest lot I've ever encountered, permanently bricking it every time there is a rise (even a highly ordered and steady one like the rise since Christmas), and turning excessively gloomy at the slightest fall.

     

    It's enough to make me think that they have never owned any equities before, as the 'one step back, two steps forward' stuff we've seen in gold is nothing unusual in bull market terms and we have barely had any of the infamous 'rubber underpants' volatility which PMs often produce.

     

    The big help with gold at the moment is that buying the dips has been made so easy by the cartel. The blatant signals given by their clumsy attempts to orchestrate price drops are giving plenty of clear opportunities. God bless them, I say!

     

    I like to follow the old adages:

     

    1. Let your winners run.

     

    2. Let the bull market make you a genius!

  8. Today was a buying op. for all the procrastinators and alike. With all the banks ready to keel over deflation is not an option on the table.

     

     

    Absolutely. In fact with the DOW so close to the 12000 precipice I can't see the Fed waiting until the 12th for the next rate cut. I reckon there will be an emergency one this week.

  9. Dow Jones to Gold ratio 12.6 to one ounce, that doesn't look to bad to me.

     

     

    True. :lol:

     

    The drop has been pretty unnatural to be honest, gold got hit way harder than anything else today and (as usual) with little reason. I'm hoping it was just a tree shake before the move over $1000, but I could be wrong. Either way, I haven't sold a thing!

  10. Hello all, just popped in to offer my support and say that this thread is much appreciated no matter which site it is on. :rolleyes:

     

    Have been a long time lurker on GEI and it is truly excellent, good analysis, open minded and troll-free. In fact I find so little to argue with on here that I rarely have reason to post, everyone else puts things across so well!

×
×
  • Create New...