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Manual labourer

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Posts posted by Manual labourer

  2. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    When the price was 1800 I wished I had bought a lot more back in the 1000-1200 area,and told myself when it revisited that price range I would, I also predicted on Gei we would hit 1275 before 5000.

     

    Now we are back here at 1275 area I am struggling with buying more there is no logic in this other than fear of loss,however the nextime it is at 1800 the urge to buy more will be very strong but the statistical chance of loss on the purchase will far far higher!!

     

    I do now feel the big boys moving the market, whoever they maybe (Isuspect the chinese are hitting the paper market very hard ), have shaken the weak hands out of the game and will now trap the short side sellers with a swift move up!

     

    We shall see icon_crazy.gif

     

    Regards

     

    ML

  4. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Could it be the Chinese beating the price of the paper market down with the mountain of Dollars they own, whilst another arm takes delivery of physical at settlement dates, thus converting Paper Dollars for ounces of gold at market manipulated low price?

     

    Also if you could manipulate the price to below the price of production you could pick up the physical miners at very cheap prices again below true value?

     

    Just a thought, if I owned loads of Dollars and Dollar debt like the Chinese do, I would do this to insure against further QE by the Fed using this postion you could soon corner the physical market and the production market, then when you switched off your paper market beating machine you would be in a very strong position should the dollar go down and a gold back currency be wheeled out?

     

    Regards

     

    ML

  8. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    I use a trading system called Multicharts, there's a tool called Andrews Pitchfork that allows you to examine markets using 'median line analysis'. I'm relatively new to it but its quite powerful since it allows you to look at price structure from a different and sometimes original perspective.

     

    The midline may offer resistance since it provided compelling support on a number of occasions. If gold dismisses it by rising through with little or no resistance that could be interpreted as being very bullish for gold.

     

    If the lower line is broken and it is not immediately recaptured then the trend may be broken but it depends on seeing more detail and doing more analysis if that scenario develops.

     

     

    Cheers !

     

    ML

  9. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Now down precisely to the sliding parallel shown in above chart;

     

     

    gold_zps8064e524.png

    Hi PD,

     

    how did you generate the lines?

     

    Are you advocating the middle line as the next target resistance area.

     

    If the bottom line is broken would this indicate the current uptrend is broken?

     

    Regards

     

    ML

  11. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Replying to myself here, but there was an interesting "Bear Raid" at 01:00 GMT/02:00 BST last night. This is very unusual, and may lend weight to the thesis that the Japanese are involved.

    jpygoldsmash-18-4-2013_zpsad193782.jpg

     

    Quite possible ?

     

    My worry here is the lack of volume on the daily chart for the up move over the last three days.

     

    Another hard push down wouldn't find much resistance.

     

    I suspect we will see a retest of the recent low this Friday when the paper contract buyers wont be be wanting to hold over the weekend!

     

    Whoever is hitting it hard has done a very good job .

     

    The bounce in price so far has been weak

     

    Regards

     

    ML

  12. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Sure

    I agree with that

    But a retest on light volume, if we see that - might be an even better buying opportunity

     

    i think we are singing from the same Hymm Sheet, a nice Doji is forming the daily chart, and we are sitting at an old support of 2011!

     

    Though I wouldn't liquidate here I wouldn't be shocked to see another run to fill up the long contract orders ?

     

    I do see this as a good buying op! :D

     

    ML

  13. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Unless Sentiment goes even further off the charts

     

    I would rather buy gold at its most oversold position than its most overbought in the last fifty years!!!! :wacko::rolleyes:

     

    I am not saying the bottom is in but it is a far better place TO BUY than back at $1850? :huh:

     

    ML

     

    "The price of gold is currently trading more than 4.5 standard deviations below its 50-day moving average, which clocks in at the most oversold reading since at least 1975. The chart below shows the daily overbought/oversold reading for gold based on the number of standard deviations it traded above or below its 50-day moving average. As shown, there have not been very many occurrences where the commodity traded more than 3.5 standard deviations below its 50-day moving average. In fact, there have only been ten."

  15. GOLD

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    This maybe way off the mark, however having given this a little thought, the only time I have seen a sustained selling like the last two days with unrelenting volume,was when Jérôme Kerviel (rouge trader4.9bn) trades where unwound in the S+P over a couple of days. It could be a rogue trader has been caught at the top of the market on the wrong side ?

     

    Regards

     

    ML

  16. SILVER

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Hi ML

     

    Can I ask why you thought they would drop to these levels?

     

    Somebody I can't remember who used to say “Only rockets go straight to the moon"

    That’s the case for Gold and Silver, this action will bring supply back to the market at some point from weak holders!

    The strong hands will collect up late into this fall then distribute it back to another set of weak hands further down the line. Who will buy as it goes back up above 1850-1900 area and Joe public are told it is going to the moon again by the press.It looks bad on a daily basis but if you look at at it, it is just a blip! The underlying fundamentals haven't changed QE is causing real inflation the best hedge against inflation in liquid forms are PM.

    However don't try to catch the falling knife ! Let the market bottom then retest and then buy in !

    Regards

     

    ML

  18. SILVER

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    Gold is already hit $1355!

     

    So we're at the top end of your range, another day like this and we'll be at the bottom end.

     

    Yes I think Silver is stronger than gold and could hold up above 18 but I doubt it, however 18 in silver wont be a shock this market move has been coming for sometime the weak hands will be running for the door, the strong hands will be happy to take it away from them ready for the big move up!

     

    regards

     

    ML

  22. cgnao : From the bunker (2013): JGB Watch, etc

    in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs

    Posted

    for gold to rocket without the pound collapsing other currencies would have to fall against the pound?

     

    If the pound does collapse could foreign money flee UK property?

     

    When the pound collapses, more foreign money will buy the assets at a relatively cheaper price.

     

    IE. When the pound was 2 dollars to the pound compared to when it hits 1 dollar to the pound the assets are half price the smart money will move in just after the IMF bailout when Labour has tried to borrow our way out of a debt driven crisis!

     

    Property in sterling terms is another 10-15 % down from today. The chance to buy up the circa 65% cheaper assets in Dollar terms from the 2007 peaks will keep the foreign money coming into the Uk ! Anybody holding sterling or sterling assets will be shafted harder than they already have been against the Dollar or Gold OR oil etc

     

    Regards

     

    ML

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