drbubb Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Week : CCLI : CMMI : RobinPl: Tregun : Dynast : Clovell/ IslHarb: ParkAv: Waterf : Sorrent : TArch : C'ribC : TaikSh. Numb.: ( #1) (#2,4): ( --#6): (--#7): (--#8) : (--#9)/ (--#7) (--#8): (-#12) : (--#13): (-#14) (#-3) : (#21) ==== . . 12/07: 131.61 132.65: 15,470 : 19,408 : 24,716 : 22,200 /11,731: 12,334 : 13,879 : 15,805 : 21,654 : 6,681 : 14,032 : 11/30: 130.46 131.44: 15,447 : 19,379 : 24,679 : 22,167 /11,650: 12,430 : 13,910 : 15,841 : 21,703 : 6,275 : 12,678 : Comment: Wow! Latest figure released today:TAIKOO SHING : Adjusted Unit Price: HK$14031.83 Announced on 2014/12/12Prev. Week: $12,678 - that's up 10.7% in one week!This estate has been an interesting benchmark to watch.The jump could be a "one week wonder", or something more meaningful> http://hk.centadata.com/cci/cci_e.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviathan Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Every Picture Tells a Story – Hong Kong and UK House Prices Different markets same 18 year house price cycle – 9 years apart? Hong Kong Centaline Price Index http://hk.centadata.com/cci/images/ccli_chart.png Nationwide UK House Price Index Not sure if the charts come out ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviathan Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/graphs/generated/homepage.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviathan Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 UK (excluding London) has now definitively bottomed and Hong Kong is in the very last leg up into a blow off top like the UK in 2007 prior to the inevitable crash and 4 years of real price falls. Look at the 18 month of price uncertainty in UK 2004-2005 and the final blow off top in 2007 and compare to now in HK where 18 months of sideways price action (start 2013 to mid 2014) is now being resolved to the upside. If it follows UK pattern then 18 final months of rapidly accelerating price increases to sometime in 2015-2016 and will be followed by crash and 4 years of real house price corrections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 12, 2014 Report Share Posted December 12, 2014 Every Picture Tells a Story – Hong Kong and UK House Prices Different markets same 18 year house price cycle – 9 years apart? Hong Kong Centaline Price Index http://hk.centadata.com/cci/images/ccli_chart.png Nationwide UK House Price Index Not sure if the charts come out ok Normally, the cyclical students say: 14-years up and 4 years down So: 1997 + 18 = 2015 Or: 2003 + 14 = 2017 Thus: I expect a Peak in 2015-2017 : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 17, 2014 Report Share Posted December 17, 2014 SUPPLY SURGE in Hong Kong? Target for New Homes raised to 480,000 by 2025 - says SCMP "More public and private flats are to be built in the next decade - but critics say its not enough and not all sites are secured" + The boost is only 10,000 - to 480,000 by 2025 + HK is still "having difficulties finding enough land" (and get planning permission) + So totals are not guaranteed. BREAKDOWN: : 190,000 - private housing (almost 20,000 p.a.) : 200,000 - public rental housing : 090,000 - subsidised flats, for sale (where the extra 10K were added) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 17, 2014 Report Share Posted December 17, 2014 KENNEDY TOWN Rent Rise? The SCMP is expecting a 3-5% rise in Kennedy Town rents, thanks to the opening of the new MTR station there It is due to be opened Dec. 28th. Some who want to rent there, may be wise to sign leases during the "quiet" holiday season Some think that the rents have already gone up, since the Rents there have been firm since the line was announced 5 years ago. But I reckon that more potential tenants will be willing to look there, because it is NOW more convenient to reach. Kennedy Town has attracted many expats, since it emerged as a magnet for eating and drinking places, about two years ago. RENTS have been firm all over HK, for most of this year. A chart in today's SCMP shows a rise over the least 6-9 months : + From about $23.60, to perhaps $25.20 per sf - that's a 6.8% rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 Want to buy in Tung Chung? Now may be your moment "Sun Hung Kai Properties will sell some of its new homes at prices below secondhand flats in the area" A 412-sellable-sf One-BR unit costs $3.69 million Or HK$8,903 pssf after all sweetners By comparison: Apts for resale are offered at HK$8650 or $10,780 pssf (per Centatline) I see different figures in the Centaline index for Caribbean Coast. But the SHKP offering has pushed prices down there: Latest Caribbean Coast : Gross : $6,160 / Net : $8,259 pssf Historical : "the first batch of units at The Visionary... were sold for HK$7,671 pssf last Nov.2013" Week : CCLI : CMMI: RobinPl / IslHarb ParkAv /C'ribC : TaikSh. ==== . . 12/21: 132.69 133.76: 15,524 /11,155: 12,664 / 6,160 : 13,504 < Psf, Gross 11/30: 130.46 131.44: 15,447 /11,650: 12,430 / 6,275 : 12,678 10/26: 129.39 130.04: 15,510 /11,460: 12,308 / 6,356 : 12,668 09/28: 128.14 128.33: 15,414 /11,687: 11,807 / 6,346 : 12,705 . . . 06/29: 121.19 121.42: 14,044 /10,490: 11,560 / 6,081 : 12,134 . . . 03/30: 117.22 116.40: 13,695 /10,342: 11,405 / 5,695 : 11,392 . . . Efficiency -NA- --NA -: 82.24% /74.89% 74.31%/ 74.58%: 87.32% 12/29: Prices / NetSF: 17,519 / 14,397: 16,586 / 7,734 : 12,524 < Pssf 12/29: 119.07 118.19: 14,407 / 10,783: 12,325 / 5,768 : 10,936 < Psf, Gross 11/24: 120.39 119.64: 13,672 / 10,499: 12,000 / 5,961 : 10,864 10/27: 119.50 118.67: 12,717 / 10,576: 11,958 / 5,768 : 10,869 Efficiency -NA- --NA- : 82.24% /74.89%: 74.31%/ 74.58%: 87.32%12/30: Prices / NetSF :18,221 / 13,929 : 15,020 / 8,116 : 13,359 < Pssf12/30: 115.78 114.25: 14,985 / 10,432 : 11,161 / 6,053 : 11,665 < Psf, Gross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 HUGE SURPLUS predicted in Hong Kong (To be Used for Housing?) HK govt believes there will be budget surpluses in the next three years 2014-15 : Surplus estimate raised from HK$9.1 Billion to $30 Billion (/7.2 million = HK$4,167 per person) But: HK "needs to build 200,000 public housing units" And it "still lacks $100 Billion needed" More Than One Million Living in Poverty in Hong Kong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traineeinvestor Posted December 31, 2014 Report Share Posted December 31, 2014 Given the government's track record of making wildly inaccurate budget forecasts and equally impressive record of squandering taxpayer's money, I place precisely zero reliance on the forecast of budget surpluses. HK already has more people living in free or heavily subsidised housing that in private sector housing - when will it stop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traineeinvestor Posted January 4, 2015 Report Share Posted January 4, 2015 SHK sold all 300 flats in it's latest Tung Chung development in less than 7 hours: http://www.scmp.com/...ties-sold-out-7 "Properties on sale included flats with one or two bedrooms and net floor areas ranging from 408 to 645 sq ft, priced at HK$4 million to HK$6 million. Many buyers had their eyes on the smaller one-bedroom flats, which had sold out by early afternoon, according to the property agents. The cheapest flat was a 412 sq ft unit on the first floor priced at HK$4.09 million before the discount - or HK$9,948 per square foot in terms of saleable area. After the discount of up to 10.5 per cent, the price would be HK$3.66 million, or HK$8,904 per square foot." 13,800 people registered as prospective buyers of the units. This bit at the bottom of the article caught my attention: "Midland Realty expected average home prices in the New Territories to go up by 10 per cent over the next year, passing the HK$10,000 per square foot mark." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2015 Report Share Posted January 4, 2015 Time to Sell? There seems to be a rush of people who want to view my flat. I just bought one in Chiang Mai, so it may be time... If I can get the right price The SHKP flats in Tung Chung had poor layouts - Maybe people are tired of waiting, and just want to buy. If we get another leg up in the next few weeks, I expect we will soon see new cooling measures. Then, economic issues may hit later in the year. We are now in the 2015-17 "Window" where the cycles predicted a peak in HK prices Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviathan Posted January 6, 2015 Report Share Posted January 6, 2015 Interesting anecdotals Dr B. Out of curiousity when you advertise a flat for sale do you consider the bank valuation (and if so which one Bank of China, Hang Seng or HSBC) as a good proxy for the asking price? If the market is entering an exuberance phase maybe xxx Bank valuation plus 5-10% would be a good asking price for the property? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 6, 2015 Report Share Posted January 6, 2015 Interesting anecdotals Dr B. Out of curiousity when you advertise a flat for sale do you consider the bank valuation (and if so which one Bank of China, Hang Seng or HSBC) as a good proxy for the asking price? If the market is entering an exuberance phase maybe xxx Bank valuation plus 5-10% would be a good asking price for the property? A good question. Normally (for flats I sold before), I might tell the agents that I was looking for a price maybe 3-5% or so above bank valuation, but was prepared to negotiate. But I would only negotiate against a "close offer". Then I would want to see a bid, at perhaps Bank Valuation, which I then might counter. The agents are always asking "what's your bottom price" - and I would say it's near X, but get your client to view it first, and make an offer. "I won't cut my price further, unless I see a firm bid or have an interest from a serious buyer." (What the agents want you to do is lower your price before they view it; Give you a bid, and then ask you to lower it again. I won't play that game.) My present flat, has a special Negotiating problem : the bank valuation is inaccurate, Both HSBC and BoCh are too low, I know this, because I have previously refused offers, $200K and $250K ABOVE bank valuations - and I would have sold had the buyer moved up perhaps $40-50K. The agents negotiated poorly in that case. The problem is: my flat is on a high floor, and is a special unit. It has a 10% higher ceiling, and a much better view, than the flats below it, Can you see that in these photos? The way the bank values the flats in this building is; For each higher floor, the value improves by $40K or so. But the improvement (in the view) which occurs at the level of my flat is very dramatic, and justifies a much bigger increment over the lower floors. This is as obvious as can be. But most buyers resist paying much more than bank valuation. And the one flat (or so) above mine is not for sale, so there's no way to demonstrate that enhanced value to the banks... until my flat is sold. I am not sure how to address this problem, apart from waiting for the right buyer to come along. It will be interesting to see what happens. I will get more flexible, if/when I think the market is getting close to the Top. In my building, BofChina presently values my particular flat at $120k above HSBC. Based on recent sales, BofC's valuations are more accurate for my building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leviathan Posted January 6, 2015 Report Share Posted January 6, 2015 Thanks for the detailed reply Dr B. Agreed on negotiating approach - request purchaser to view and make an offer is sound then once offer received you can counter offer if within a potential closing range. I suspect most purchasers do expect to conclude at close to bank valuation - and only move above this when the market is moving up quickly and they get scared they will have to pay more if they miss out on the property. As for asking price I note a number on the market now at around 5-10% above bank valuation. My own experience is Bank of China valuation is typically the highest, HSBC in the middle and Hange Seng lowest but this may vary by block. In my block BoCh is 200k higher than HSBC valuation. As to your specific challenge re bank valuation not reflecting view/ceiling I would expect either that eventually someone will recognise the additional value or just as likely if the market takes off towards the expected top then someone will pay a higher price anyway through exuberance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2015 Report Share Posted January 7, 2015 DATA BACK-UP. below ... in this post ============= Yes. It's a funny thing. The potential buyers see the Flats (with same layout) on a lower floor. They they tell the agent: "I don't want THIS flat (with a restricted view), I want the flat on the higher floor, with the better view." Then they expect me to sell at / near the bank valuation. I refuse, of course. I have been stuck in this standoff for a long time. I have come very close to selling, and twice was negotiating "within the fees", meaning that if the Agents were willing to cut their commission enough, I would have sold. The agent refuse to accept the required cut in commission. Another negotiating Tip I have used: I will usually draw the line, as say: "I will not pay the full 1% commission below X. If you want me to go below that price, then I will split the cost with you the agent. So every HK$10,000, we cut from the price, HK$5,000 will come off your commission." Since half of the reduction, comes the agent's pocket, he will push hard for the highest possible price, === === As for asking price I note a number on the market now at around 5-10% above bank valuation. My own experience is Bank of China valuation is typically the highest, HSBC in the middle and Hang Seng lowest but this may vary by block. In my block BoCh is 200k higher than HSBC valuation. That is the same relationship I see in my building. But for the older flat owned by my partner, I am seeing something different: ======= Old flat : Newer Bldg. (not my flat, ie a lower floor)HSBC : $ 3,330K : $ 7,580K :BofCh : $ 3,140K : $ 7,690K :H vs B : +$ 190K : ( $ 110 K ) ======================= DATABANK BACK-UP === Hong Kong property Outlook - and Data Base === : Data-backup-no.341 "I think HK is on its way into a Long Cycle top... in the 2015-17 time frame" - post #4-Feb.2011 : update Hi all, Kung Hei Fat Choi! I have followed with interest for some time now, the excellent information this site gives. A lot of us appreciate the time Dr Bubb in particular, takes to share his knowledge and expertise.I was hoping Dr Bubb and others could share some recent opinions on the state of the HK housing market and how the new government anti-speculative measures will impact the market long term. I'm looking at buying in Tung Chung at the moment but am cautious in being sucked into buying high in the cycle. Tung Chung has many positives (low vacancy/ new hospital/ macau bridge/ new airport construction projects, etc) but I guess there's risks to the world economy that may change things.Caribbean Coast centadata link -- http://hk.centadata.com/cci/cci_e.htmIn other posts on this site (especially UK discussions), I have seen various diagrams depicting the way and timing of cycles. Where would you describe HK's current status on the cycle? Is it time to wait for a correction? Seems a long way off with cashed up citizens and record low interest rates.Look forward to generating fresh HK discussion here and also contributing further. Thanks!= = =DATABANK Week : CCLI : CMMI : RobinPl: Tregun : Dynast : Clovell/ IslHarb: ParkAv: Waterf : Sorrent : ThArch : C'ribC : TaikSh. Numb.: ( #1) ( #2,4): (---- #6) : (--- #7) : (--- #8) : (-- #9) / (--- #7) (--- #8): (- #12) : (-- #13): (-#14) (--#-3) : (---#21) ==== . . 05/10: 141.37 142.68: 16,540 : 19,897 : 24,380 : 22,761 /12,969: 12,893 : 16,610 : 17,121 : 22,153 : 6,155 : 13,883 : 05/03: 141.46 143.28: 16,452 : 19,792 : 24,251 : 22,640 /12,845: 13,366 : 16,569 : 16,679 : 25,687 : 6,975 : 14,409 : 04/26: 141.22 140.98: 15,525 : 19,924 : 24,413 : 22,792 /12,721: 13,315 : 16,558 : 16,625 : 22,813 : 6,260 : 14,347 : 04/19: 140.04 141.27: 15,497 : 19,890 : 24,370 : 22,752 /12,664: 13,255 : 16,503 : 16,608 : 22,737 : 6,591 : 14,228 : 04/12: 141.60 143.12: 15,507 : 19,902 : 24,386 : 22,766 /12,623: 13,614 : 16,591 : 16,697 : 22,848 : 6,941 : 14,240 :04/05: 142.36 143.90: 15,526 : 19,927 : 24,416 : 22,794 /12,599: 13,336 : 15,210 : 16,742 : 22,910 : 7,005 : 14,997 :03/29: 139.70 140.95: 15,432 : 19,807 : 24,269 : 22,657 /12,651: 12,994 : 14,335 : 16,578 : 22,658 : 6,984 : 13,906 :03/22: 140.05 141.81: 15,403 : 19,768 : 24,222 : 22,613 /12,622: 12,950 : 14,298 : 16,535 : 22,626 : 7,012 : 14,485 :03/15: 139.03 140.70: 15,381 : 19,740 : 24,187 : 22,581 /12,624: 12,951 : 14,280 : 16,514 : 22,598 : 7,008 : 13,363 : 03/08: 138.80 140.46: 15,315 : 19,656 : 24,084 : 22,485 /12,689: 13,019 : 14,298 : 16,535 : 22,627 : 6,965 : 13,663 :03/01: 137.12 138.67: 15,638 : 19,619 : 24,039 : 22,442 /12,437: 12,761 : 14,187 : 16,406 : 22,450 : 6,883 : 13,630 :02/22: 136.20 137.34: 15,679 : 19,670 : 24.101 : 22,500 /12,641: 11,792 : 14,180 : 16,398 : 22,439 : 6,573 : 13,319 : 02/15: 137.20 138.52: 15,672 : 19,661 : 24,091 : 22,491 /12,640: 11,791 : 14,193 : 16,412 : 22,459 : 6,570 : 13,932 : 02/08: 136.64 137.46: 15,719 : 19,719 : 24,161 : 22,557 /11,447: 12,821 : 14,244 : 16,473 : 22,541 : 6,255 : 13,515 : 02/01: 136.35 138.01: 15,557 : 19,517 : 23,914 : 22,325 /11,533: 12,649 : 14,197 : 16,146 : 23,227 : 6,692 : 13,945 : 01/25: 134.03 135.01: 15,587 : 19,554 : 24,903 : 22,368 /11,378: 12,466 : 13,970 : 17,147 : 21,797 : 6,538 : 12,627 : 01/18: 134.64 135.73: 15,608 : 19,581 : 24,936 : 22,398 /11,366: 12,311 : 13,997 : 17,179 : 21,838 : 6,079 : 13,586 : 01/11: 133.64 135.35: 15,570 : 19,532 : 24,875 : 22,343 /11,333: 12,465 : 14,030 : 17,331 : 21,891 : 6,145 : 12,554 01/03: 133.34 134.43: 15,556 : 19,515 : 24,853 : 22,323 /11,234: 12,546 : 13,953 : 15,674 : 21,770 : 6,538 : 12,883 : st.2015 12/28: 132.45 133.50: 15,491 : 19,434 : 24,750 : 22,230 /11,083: 12,582 : 13,947 : 15,883 : 21,760 : 6,141 : 13,301 : 12/21: 132.69 133.76: 15,524 : 19,476 : 24,803 : 22,279 /11,155: 12,664 : 13,973 : 15,913 : 21,801 : 6,160 : 13,504 : 12/14: 132.81 133.92: 15,516 : 19,465 : 24,790 : 22,267 /11,134: 12,640 : 13,976 : 15,916 : 21,805 : 6,534 : 12,264 : 12/07: 131.61 132.65: 15,470 : 19,408 : 24,716 : 22,200 /11,731: 12,334 : 13,879 : 15,805 : 21,654 : 6,681 : 14,032 : 11/30: 130.46 131.44: 15,447 : 19,379 : 24,679 : 22,167 /11,650: 12,430 : 13,910 : 15,841 : 21,703 : 6,275 : 12,678 11/23: 130.16 131.47: 15,423 : 19,355 : 24,650 : 22,140 /11,599: 11,952 : 13,862 : 15,787 : 21,628 : 6,247 : 11,960 11/16: 129.61 130.95: 15,343 : 19,249 : 24,514 : 22,018 /11,444: 11,793 : 13,796 : 15,712 : 21,525 : 6,157 : 12,397 11/09: 129.69 130.55: 15,443 : 19,373 : 24,673 : 22,162 /11,428: 11,793 : 13,833 : 15,688 : 21,582 : 6,368 : 12,111 11/02: 129.40 130.11: 15,425 : 19,351 : 24,644 : 22,136 /11,564: 11,934 : 13,883 : 16,349 : 21,661 : 6,205 : 11,801 10/26: 129.39 130.04: 15,510 : 19,410 : 25,681 : 22,203 /11,460: 12,308 : 14,534 : 16,313 : 21,613 : 6,356 : 12,668 10/19: 129.38 130.11: 15,503 : 19,385 : 25,648 : 22,174 /11,438: 12,156 : 14,520 : 16,297 : 21,592 : 6,356 : 12,668 10/12: 129.83 130.46: 15,545 : 19,437 : 25,717 : 22,233 /11,539: 11,673 : 14,573 : 16,356 : 21,671 : 6,274 : 13,178 10/05: 127.65 128.40: 15,423 : 19,350 : 25,602 : 24,326 /11,773: 12,151 : 14,254 : 16,243 : 21,520 : 5,943 : 12,368 09/28: 128.14 128.33: 15,414 : 19,337 : 25,584 : 24,310 /11,687: 11,807 : 14,297 : 16,292 : 21,585 : 6,346 : 12,705 09/21: 127.46 128.06: 15,362 : 19,272 : 25,498 : 24,228 /11,712: 11,780 : 14,240 : 16,226 : 21,498 : 6,028 : 12,711 09/14: 126.80 127.51: 15,331 : 19,234 : 25,448 : 24,180 /11,652: 11,720 : 14,192 : 16,171 : 21,425 : 6,048 : 12,669 09/07: 126.14 126.59: 15,307 : 19,203 : 25,407 : 24,142 /11,463: 11,827 : 14,221 : 16,205 : 21,470 : 5,979 : 11,985 08/31: 126.94 127.33: 15,374 : 19,288 : 25,519 : 24,248 /11,282: 11,775 : 13,831 : 16,210 : 21,478 : 6,076 : 12,612 08/24: 126.20 126.64: 13,664 : 19,235 : 25,449 : 24,182 /11,227: 11,960 : 14,562 : 16,206 : 21,472 : 5,855 : 12,268 08/17: 125.31 125.59: 14,534 : 19,208 : 25,414 : 24,148 /11,036: 11,900 : 14,531 : 16,172 : 21,426 : 5,842 : 12,530 08/10: 125.66 125.64: 14,552 : 19,230 : 25,443 : 24,175 /11,143: 11,871 : 14,557 : 16,200 : 21,464 : 5,870 : 12,540 08/03: 124.00 124.22: 14.174 : 19,101 : 23,273 : 24,013 /11,036: 11,966 : 14,555 : 15,188 : 21,306 : 5,809 : 12,404 07/27: 123.54 124.24: 14,125 : 19,035 : 25,186 : 23,931 /11,119: 11,707 : 14,532 : 15,381 : 21,271 : 5,810 : 11,552 07/20: 123.20 123.70: 14,148 : 19,065 : 25,225 : 23,968 /10,995: 11,647 : 14,379 : 15,343 : 21,218 : 6,325 : 11,768 07/13: 123.36 123.87: 14,140 : 19,055 : 25,211 : 23,956 /11.009: 11,661 : 14,386 : 15,350 : 21,228 : 6,313 : 12,468 07/06: 123.32 123.71: 14,176 : 19,103 : 25,276 : 24,017 /11.017: 11,670 : 14,398 : 15,363 : 21,245 : 6,100 : 12,413 06/29: 121.19 121.42: 14,044 : 18,925 : 25,040 : 23,793 /10,490: 11,560 : 13,875 : 14,279 : 21,119 : 6,081 : 12,134 06/22: 121.16 121.12: 14,072 : 18,963 : 25,090 : 23,841 /10,526: 11,891 : 13,912 : 14,317 : 21,176 : 5,953 : 12,13906/15: 119.89 119.81: 14,073 : 18,964 : 25,091 : 23,842 /10,602: 11,865 : 13,904 : 14,309 : 21,163 : 5,645 : 11,719 06/08: 119.23 119.11: 14,041 : 18,922 : 23,789 : 23,789 /10,950: 11,771 : 13,864 : 14,267 : 21,103 : 5,630 : 11,724 06/01: 118.37 118.04: 13,237 : 19,155 : 24,962 : 23,718 /10,748: 11,356 : 13,789 : 14,274 : 22,134 : 5,592 : 11,294 05/25: 119.07 118.64: 13,747 : 19,239 : 25,073 : 23,823 /10,624: 11,594 : 13,192 : 15,379 : 22,987 : 5,603 : 11,149 05/18: 118.56 117.75: 13,729 : 19,215 : 25,041 : 23,794 /10,373: 11,319 : 13,124 : 17,042 : 22,871 : 5,947 : 11,21905/11: 118.86 117.90: 13,716 : 19,196 : 20,016 : 23,770 /10,361: 11,246 : 13,127 : 17,044 : 22,874 : 5,653 : 11,34605/04: 118.12 117.22: 13,742 : 19,232 : 25,062 : 23,814 /10,286: 11,120 : 13,069 : 16,969 : 22,773 : 5,713 : 11,24804/27: 118.40 117.57: 13,708 : 19,186 : 23,880 : 23,757 /10,189: 11,148 : 13,036 : 16,927 : 22,717 : 5,660 : 12,592 04/20: 118.31 117.41: 13,721 : 19,204 : 23,903 : 23,780 /10,206: 11,167 : 13,040 : 16,932 : 22,723 : 5,786 : 12,523 04/13: 119.04 117.94: 13,754 : 19,250 : 23,960 : 23,836 /10,291: 11,260 : 13,109 : 17,021 : 22,843 : 5,627 : 12,587 04/06: 118.82 117.99: 13,702 : 19,177 : 23,869 : 23,746 /10,254: 11,421 : 13,066 : 15,442 : 22,769 : 5,698 : 12,555 03/30: 117.22 116.40: 13,695 : 19,167 : 23,856 : 23,734 /10,342: 11,405 : 12,450 : 15,732 : 22,687 : 5,695 : 11,392 03/23: 118.42 117.73: 13,721 : 19,203 : 23,901 : 23,778 /10,407: 11,478 : 12,487 : 15,779 : 22,754 : 5,484 : 11,681 03/16: 118.25 117.60: 13,721 : 19,203 : 23,902 : 23,779 /10,405: 11,475 : 12,478 : 15,768 : 22,738 : 5,453 : 11,316 03/09: 117.18 116.29: 13,727 : 19,212 : 23,913 : 23,789 /10,439: 11,513 : 12,479 : 15,769 : 22,739 : 5,596 : 11,295 03/02: 118.02 117.12: 13,705 : 19,182 : 23,875 : 23,752 /10,379: 11,446 : 12,905 : 15,774 : 22,747 : 5,787 : 12,011 02/23: 117.77 116.91: 13,694 : 19,166 : 23,855 : 23,732 /10,513: 11,594 : 12,941 : 15,910 : 21,563 : 5,758 : 11,892 02/16: 117.59 116.52: 13,697 : 19,170 : 23,860 : 23,737 /10,575: 11,663 : 12,943 : 15,912 : 21,567 : 5,800 : 11,004 02/09: 118.08 117.34: 13,747 : 19,239 : 23,946 : 23,823 /10,543: 11,627 : 13,772 : 15,920 : 21,577 : 5,796 : 11,016 02/02: 118.31 117.32: 13,732 : 19,218 : 23,920 : 23,797 /10,474: 11,552 : 13,779 : 17,536 : 21,588 : 5,785 : 11,410 01/26: 117.56 116.47: 14,122 : 19,229 : 23,240 : 23,811 /10,128: 11,262 : 13,670 : 17,397 : 21,418 : 5,809 : 10,552 01/19: 118.20 117.19: 14,441 : 19,225 : 23,236 : 23,806 /10,207: 11,350 : 13,710 : 17,449 : 21,481 : 5,854 : 11,317 01/12: 117.71 116.65: 14,391 : 19,159 : 23,155 : 23,724 /10,222: 11,367 : 13,703 : 17,440 : 21,470 : 5,698 : 11,331 01/05: 118.94 118.08: 14,377 : 19,139 : 23,132 : 23,700 /10,482: 11,839 : 13,703 : 17,710 : 21,650 : 5,820 : 11,409 st.2014 Efficiency -NA- --NA- : 82.24% : 78.96%: 78.27%: 83.50%/74.89%: 74.31%:78.37%: 75.51%: 75.24%:74.58%: 87.32% 12/29: Prices / NetSF : 17,519 : 24,292 : 29,616 : 28,444 /14,397: 16,586 : 17,758 : 23,636 : 29,001 : 7,734 : 12,524 12/29: 119.07 118.19: 14,407 : 19,180 : 23,181 : 23,750 /10,783: 12,325 : 13,926 : 17,849 : 21,820 : 5,768 : 10,936 12/22: 118.95 117.86: 14,427 : 19,207 : 23,213 : 23,782 /10,575: 12,086 : 13,868 : 17,774 : 21,728 : 5,801 : 10,965 12/15: 118.61 117.49: 14,431 : 19,212 : 23,219 : 23,789 /10,441: 11,933 : 13,813 : 17,704 : 21,642 : 5,807 : 10,627 12/08: 118.96 118.16: 13,247 : 19,816 : 23,177 : 23,746 /10,543: 12,050 : 13,280 : 16,816 : 21,662 : 5,796 : 10,712 12/01: 119.53 118.56: 13,311 : 19,911 : 23,288 : 23,859 /10,601: 12,116 : 13,518 : 16,875 : 21,739 : 5,792 : 10,786 11/24: 120.39 119.64: 13,672 : 19,916 : 23,294 : 23,866 /10,499: 12,000 : 13,485 : 16,834 : 21.979 : 5,961 : 10,864 11/17: 120.13 119.39: 12,715 : 19,917 : 23,295 : 23,867 /10,481: 11,979 : 13,469 : 16,814 : 21,954 : 5,795 : 11,986 11/10: 119.93 119.16: 12,706 : 19,904 : 23,280 : 23,851 /10,494: 11,994 : 13,471 : 16,817 : 21,957 : 5,816 : 11,696 11/03: 120.72 120.03: 12,730 : 19,940 : 23,323 : 23,896 /10,454: 11,949 : 13,485 : 17,051 : 21,980 : 5,984 : 11,872 10/27: 119.50 118.67: 12,717 : 19,920 : 23,299 : 23,871 /10,576: 11,958 : 13,468 : 17,029 : 21,339 : 5,768 : 10,869 10/20: 120.08 119.41: 12,718 : 19,921 : 23,301 : 23,871 /10,597: 11,982 : 13,477 : 17,040 : 21,353 : 6,039 : 11,709 10/13: 119.87 119.11: 12,715 : 19,917 : 23,296 : 23,868 /10,514: 11,603 : 13,757 : 17,006 : 21,620 : 5,995 ; 11,741 10/06: 119.83 118.97: 12,707 : 19,905 : 23,281 : 23,853 //9,989 : 11,647 : 13,779 : 17,034 : 22,341 : 5,980 : 11,986 09/29: 120.00 119.37: 12,691 : 19,879 : 23,251 : 23,821 /10,051 : 11,719 : 13,787 : 17,043 : 22,353 : 6,004 : 11,950 09/22: 121.08 120.61: 12,783 : 20,024 : 23,421 : 23,996 /10,039 : 11,706 : 14,348 : 16,502 : 21,352 : 6,267 : 12,453 09/15: 120.84 120.39: 12,779 : 20,018 : 23,413 : 23,988 /10,035 : 11,701 : 14,336 : 16,489 : 20,664 : 6,291 : 12,45809/08: 121.94 121.32: 12,816 : 20,076 : 23,841 : 20,076 /10,014 : 11,463 : 14,379 : 17,234 : 21,115 : 6,303 : 12,48909/01: 120.86 120.44: 12,669 : 19,845 : 23,211 : 23,781 /10,046 : 11,858 : 13,777 : 17,202 : 21,076 : 6,329 : 12,48408/25: 119.85 119.17: 12,697 : 19,889 : 23,263 : 23,834 /10,018 : 11,826 : 13,759 : 17,179 : 21,047 : 5,686 : 11,85308/18: 119.79 119.54: 12,631 : 19,787 : 23,143 : 23,711 /10,007 : 11,813 : 13,722 : 15,069 : 20,993 : 5,686 : 11,75108/11: 119.30 118.69: 12,661 : 19,833 : 23,197 : 23,766 // 9,934 : 11,062 : 14,795 : 15,059 : 20,980 : 5,343 : 11,78108/04: 120.41 119.74: 12,684 : 19,869 : 23,239 : 23,809 /10,159 : 11,312 : 14,931 : 15,198 : 21,172 : 5,935 : 11,88007/28: 120.95 120.29: 13,445 : 19,903 : 23,279 : 23,850 /10,076 : 11,850 : 14,920 : 15,186 : 22,183 : 6,021 : 12,00107/21: 120.61 120.36: 13,374 : 19,799 : 23,157 : 23,725 /10,101 : 11,880 : 14,410 : 15,136 : 22,110 : 6,059 : 11,55707/14: 120.14 119.82: 13,366 : 19,786 : 23,142 : 23,710 /10,136 : 11,921 : 14,401 : 15,126 : 21,910 : 6,054 : 10,99807/07: 119.69 119.11: 13,387 : 19,818 : 23,180 : 23,749 /10,136 : 11,920 : 14,415 : 16,132 : 21,930 : 6,236 : 10,46406/30: 121.88 121.58: 13,502 : 19,987 : 23,377 : 23,950 /10,111 : 11,890 : 14,432 : 16,152 : 21,957 : 6,233 : 12,02106/23: 121.22 120.64: 13,416 : 19,861 : 23,229 : 23,800 /10,019 : 11,783 : 14,413 : 16,129 : 21,927 : 6,320 : 12,16206/16: 119.96 118.69: 13,454 : 19,916 : 23,294 : 23,866 /10,045 : 11,813 : 14,449 : 16,186 : 21,983 : 5,949 : 11,62206/09: 120.74 119.57: 13,470 : 19,940 : 23,323 : 23,895 /10,072 : 11,845 : 14,463 : 16,186 : 22,004 : 6,360 : 12,25606/02: 120.14 118.81: 13,429 : 19,879 : 23,251 : 23,822 /10,251 : 11,947 : 14,531 : 16,262 : 22,107 : 6,435 : 12,00905/26: 119.06 118.31: 13,430 : 19,881 : 23,253 : 23,824 /10,026 : 11,649 : 13,760 : 15,031 : 21,826 : 6,130 : 11,84705/19: 118.79 117.85: 16,070 : 19,830 : 23,193 : 23,763 // 9,971 : 11,585 : 13,751 : 15,021 : 21,851 : 5,883 : 11,91205/12: 118.58 117.61: 16,066 : 19,825 : 23,188 : 23,758 // 9,981 : 11,597 : 13,752 : 15,021 : 21,852 : 6,032 : 11,77205/05: 118.51 117.60: 16,089 : 19,853 : 24,180 : 23,791 /10,564 : 11,268 : 13,716 : 14,983 : 21,795 : 5,973 : 11,32604/28: 118.84 118.08: 16,008 : 19,754 : 24,060 : 23,672 /10,673 : 12,150 : 13,755 : 15,024 : 21,857 : 5,877 : 11,71004/21: 118.71 117.70: 16,036 : 19,788 : 24,101 : 23,712 /10,676 : 12,158 : 13,775 : 16,117 : 21,888 : 5,750 : 11,87804/14: 120.12 119.35: 16,052 : 19,807 : 24,124 : 23,736 /11,207 : 12,198 : 13,807 : 16,155 : 21,939 : 5,795 : 11,93604/07: 121.83 121.29: 16,080 : 19,843 : 24,168 : 23,779 /11,373 : 12,379 : 13,891 : 16,253 : 22,072 : 6,174 : 12,00803/31: 123.01 122.22: 16,163 : 19,945 : 24,292 : 23,900 /11,419 : 12,430 : 13,956 : 16,329 : 22,176 : 6,160 : 12,13103/24: 123.45 122.72: 16,175 : 19,960 : 24,311 : 23,919 /11,428 : 12,439 : 13,964 : 16,339 : 22,190 : 6,184 : 12,15903/17: 123.66 122.98: 16,180 : 19,966 : 24,318 : 23,926 /11,336 : 12,339 : 13,936 : 16,305 : 22,144 : 6,441 : 12,30203/10: 122.09 121.41: 16,128 : 19,901 : 24,239 : 23,848 /11,413 : 12,423 : 13,916 : 16,283 : 22,114 : 6,420 : 11,51903/03: 121.95 121.27: 15,168 : 19,889 : 24,224 : 23,834 /10,549 : 12,383 : 13,374 : 16,263 : 22,087 : 6,403 : 11,93402/24: 121.64 120.97: 14,242 : 19,941 : 24,287 : 23,896 /10,917 : 12,147 : 13,168 : 16,227 : 22,037 : 6,325 : 11,93902/17: 121.58 120.27: 14,241 : 19,940 : 24,286 : 23,894 /10,894 : 11,901 : 13,212 : 16,667 : 22,112 : 6,586 : 12,02202/10: 121.73 120.41: 14,280 : 19,994 : 24,352 : 23,960 /10,889 : 11,896 : 13,211 : 16,666 : 22,111 : 6,350 : 11,80502/03: 120.66 119.40: 13,692 : 19,900 : 24,237 : 23,847 /10,547 : 12,114 : 15,331 : 16,609 : 22,036 : 6,215 : 12,30901/27: 119.13 117.60: 15,144 : 19,818 : 24,138 : 23,749 /10,670 : 11,039 : 15,262 : 16,685 : 21,937 : 6,336 : 12,14901/20: 118.38 116.61: 15,133 : 19,803 : 24,120 : 23,731 /10,664 : 10,993 : 15,260 : 16,683 : 21,241 : 6,281 : 11,81501/13: 115.93 114.29: 14,982 : 19,605 : 23,879 : 23,494 /10,429 : 10,751 : 13,108 : 16,490 : 22,215 : 6,202 : 11,21401/06: 115.60 113.93: 14,994 : 19,621 : 23,898 : 22,244 /10,478 : 11,211 : 12,741 : 16,502 : 22,231 : 6,071 : 11,041 st.2013Efficiency -NA- --NA- : 82.24% : 78.96%: 78.27%: 83.50%/74.89%: 74.31%:78.37%: 75.51%: 75.24%:74.58%: 87.32%12/30: Prices / NetSF : 18,221 : 24,835 : 30,512 : 26,639 /13,929 : 15,020 : 16,257 : 21,606 : 29,492 : 8,116 : 13,35912/30: 115.78 114.25: 14,985 : 19,609 : 23,883 : 22,244 /10,432 : 11,161 : 12,740 : 16,316 : 22,189 : 6,053 : 11,66512/23: 115.18 113.61: 14,092 : 19,603 : 23,876 : 22,237 /10,514 : 11,719 : 12,753 : 16,332 : 22,210 : 5,957 : 11,42912/16: 114.97 113.50: 14,072 : 19,574 : 23,840 : 22,024 /10,527 : 11,733 : 12,744 : 16,319 : 22,193 : 5,988 : 11,28812/09: 114.57 113.20: 14,037 : 19,527 : 22,150 : 22,150 /10,229 : 11,699 : 12,715 : 16,283 : 22,144 : 5,995 : 10,89212/02: 114.38 112.52: 14,035 : 19,523 : 23,778 : 22,146 /10,423 : 11,896 : 13,656 : 17,883 : 22,324 : 5,978 : 10,81011/25: 115.05 113.11: 16,570 : 19,594 : 23,865 : 22,227 /10,293 : 11,749 : 13,633 : 17,853 : 22,286 : 6,042 : 11,59011/18: 116.17 114.32: 16,597 : 19,626 : 23,904 : 22,264 // 9,815 : 11,584 : 13,602 : 17,811 : 22,234 : 6,198 : 11,69511/11: 116.81 114.20: 16,717 : 19,768 : 25,410 : 22,424 // 9,984 : 11,784 : 14,531 : 16,714 : 22,466 : 6,361 : 11,52811/04: 116.07 113.81: 16,666 : 19,708 : 23,167 : 22,356 // 9,975 : 11,646 : 12,887 : 16,680 : 22,420 : 6,194 : 10,91110/28: 114.35 112.33: 16,564 : 19,587 : 23,025 : 22,039 // 9,925 : 10,805 : 12,736 : 15,744 : 22,906 : 6,137 : 11,46110/21: 112.25 110.37: 16,336 : 19,318 : 22,708 : 21,735 // 9,864 : 10,738 : 12,649 : 15,583 : 23,432 : 6,146 : 11,31710/14: 111.19 109.41: 15,804 : 19,268 : 22,649 : 21,679/ 10,048 : 10,897 : 12,901 : 15,555 : 20,753 : 5,814 : 11,09110/07: 111.11 109.21: 14,469 : 19,337 : 22,730 : 21,756 // 9,780 : 11,298 : 12,407 : 16,922 : 20,729 : 5,904 : 10,79809/30: 110.14 108.55: 14,400 : 19,246 : 22,623 : 21,652/ 10,018 : 10,804 : 12,341 : 15,017 : 20,620 : 5,657 : 11,48509/23: 109,81 107.88: 14,478 : 19,348 : 22,745 : 21,770/ 10,099 : 10,892 : 12,809 : 15,602 : 21,015 : 5,628 : 10,70009/16: 108.17 106.05: 14,340 : 19,164 : 22,528 : 21,563/ 10,089 : 10,880 : 12,784 : 15,572 : 20,975 : 5,556 : 10,26209/09: 108.80 107.02: 14,343 : 19,169 : 22,534 : 21,568 // 9,976 : 10,785 : 11,176 : 15,506 : 19,828 : 5,498 : 10,57809/02: 107.99 105.85: 14,360 : 19,191 : 22,559 : 18,625 // 9,952 : 10,837 : 11,891 : 16,102 : 19,822 : 5,561 : 10,58208/26: 106.89 105.17: 14,324 : 19,144 : 22,504 : 18,580 // 9,622 : 11,021 : 11,811 : 15,995 : 22,319 : 5,404 : 10,53808/19: 107.18 105.22: 14,342 : 19,168 : 22,532 : 18,603 // 9,671 : 10,741 : 12,197 : 16,052 : 22,612 : 5,447 : 10,89308/12: 106.85 104.85: 14,311 : 19,126 : 22,483 : 18,563 // 9,638 : 10,815 : 12,324 : 16,031 : 22,582 : 5,412 : 10,29208/05: 105.78 103.33: 14,313 : 19,128 : 22,486 : 18,565 // 9,659 : 10,988 : 12,822 : 16,052 : 22,612 : 5,162 : 10,20807/29: 106.54 103.71: 14,375 : 19,212 : 22,584 : 18,646 // 9,663 : 11,145 : 12,879 : 16,123 : 20,313 : 5,345 : 10,68907/22: 104.93 101.99: 14,275 : 19,978 : 22,426 : 18,516 // 9,362 : 11,096 : 12,831 : 16,063 : 20,124 : 5,123 : 10,21107/15: 104.25 101.41: 12,156 : 19,067 : 22,414 : 18,506 // 9,247 : 10,960 : 12,759 : 15,974 : 20,011 : 5,114 : 10,06107/08: 105.01 102.33: 12,511 : 19,078 : 22,427 : 18,516 // 9,262 : 10,978 : 12,772 : 15,990 : 20,031 : 5,031 : 10,75907/01: 105.46 103.13: 12,586 : 19,193 : 22,562 : 18,628 // 9,300 : 10,976 : 12,762 : 15,491 : 20,569 : 5,179 : 10,51806/24: 104.60 102.33: 12,489 : 19,045 : 22,387 : 18,484 // 9,241 : 10,906 : 12,712 : 15,430 : 20,487 : 5,185 : 10,54606/17: 104.14 102.01: 12,435 : 18,963 : 22,291 : 18,404 // 9,232 : 10,896 : 12,686 : 15,399 : 18,599 : 5,110 : 10,53006/10: 103.82 101.35: 12,457 : 18,997 : 22,330 : 18,437 // 9,225 : 10,589 : 12,699 : 15,415 : 18,618 : 5,070 : 10,18506/03: 104.01 101.85: 12,455 : 18,993 : 22,326 : 18,433 // 9,252 : 10,620 : 12,686 : 15,398 : 18,598 : 5,205 : 11,09305/27: 104.00 101.72: 13,777 : 19,733 : 22,334 : 18,440 // 9,643 : 10,710 : 12,740 : 15,465 : 18,678 : 5,253 : 10,65905/20: 103.94 101.89: 13,697 : 18,052 : 22,306 : 18,416: 10,004 : 10,404 : 12,716 : 15,435 : 18,642 : 5,137 : 10,87705/13: 103.35 101.46: 13,698 : 17,972 : 22,206 : 18,334 // 9,798 : 10,367 : 12,401 : 15,314 : 17,941 : 5,083 : 10,18605/06: 102.89 101.40: 13,588 : 17,828 : 22,028 : 18,187 // 9,967 : 10,532 : 12,295 : 14,219 : 17,491 : 5,013 : 10,71904/29: 101.12: 98.90 : 13,579 : 17,815 : 22,012 : 17,031 // 9,841 : $9,904 : 11,634 : 14,648 : 17,423 : 5,054 : : 9,92204/22: 102.17 100.05: 13.644 : 17.901 : 22,118 : 17,113 // 9,793 : 10,022 : 11,636 : 14,651 : 17,426 : 5,221 : 10,66304/15: 102.50 100.71: 13,610 : 17,856 : 22,064 : 17,856 // 9,390 : 10,442 : 11,661 : 14,682 : 17,463 : 5,017 : 10,88604/08: 101.79: 99.76 : 13,800 : 17,866 : 22,075 : 17,080 // 9,493 : 10,477 : 11,668 : 15,102 : 17,473 : 4,865 : 10,58104/01: 101.17: 99.15 : 13,795 : 17,860 : 22,067 : 17,074 // 9,550 : 10,401 : 11,641 : 14,441 : 18,548 : 4,871 : 10.38403/25: 100.06: 97.97 : 13,723 : 17,766 : 21,952 : 16,985 // 9,296 : 10,105 : 11,346 : 13,907 : 18,359 : 4,926 : 10,37303/18 : 99.17 : 96.75 : 12,738 : 17,747 : 21,928 : 16,966 // 9,230 : 10,160 : 11,380 : 13,949 : 18,414 : 4,766 : : 9,85003/11 : 98.41 : 95.72 : 12,691 : 17,682 : 21,848 : 16,904 // 9,165 : 10,089 : 11,358 : 15,071 : 19,152 : 4,736 : : 9,61503/04 : 96.69 : 94.28 : 11,591 : 17,531 : 21,662 : 16,760 // 9,029 : $9,937 : 11,244 : 14,269 : 18,960 : 4,751 : : 9,72802/26 : 95.15 : 93.14 : 11,515 : 17,416 : 21,520 : 16,650 // 8,449 : $9,638 : 11,145 : 13,031 : 21,504 : 4,808 : : 9,70202/19 : 94.38 : 92.10 : 11,515 : 17,416 : 21,520 : 16,650 // 8,580 : $9,784 : 11,160 : 13,048 : 20,058 : 4,770 : : 9,49902/12 : 95.01 : 92.68 : 13,132 : 17,364 : 21,455 : 16,600 // 8,659 : $9,874 : 11,210 : 13,107 : 20,148 : 4,768 : 10,03802/05 : 95.04 : 92,63 : 13,988 : 17,384 : 21,481 : 16,620 // 8,576 : $9,779 : 11,185 : 13,078 : 20,103 : 4,790 : : 9,87301/29 : 94.47 : 91.91 : 13,981 : 17,377 : 21,471 : 16,613 // 8,770 : $9,663 : 11,145 : 13,031 : 20,031 : 4,730 : : 9,88401/22 : 94.75 : 92.17 : 13,994 : 17,392 : 21,490 : 16,627 // 8,762 : $9,654 : 11,152 : 13,039 : 20,043 : 4,871 : : 9,87501/15 : 94.31 : 91.66 : 13,986 : 17,383 : 21,478 : 16,618 // 8,762 : $9,655 : 11,146 : 13,032 : 20,032 : 4,667 : : 9,86401/08 : 94.16 : 91.25 : 14,014 : 17,417 : 21,520 : 16,651 // 8,780 : $9,674 : 12,250 : 13,060 : 20,075 : 4,630 : : 9,29501/01 : 95.47 : 92.41 : 14,080 : 17,499 : 21,622 : 16,729 // 9,135 : 10,399 : 12,435 : 13,257 : 20,378 : 4,631 : : 9,160 st.201212/25 : 96.68 : 93.89 : 14,091 : 17,513 : 21,639 : 16,743 // 9,100 : 10,147 : 12,431 : 13,252 : 20,371 : 4,610 : : 9,87712/18 : 96.81 : 94.03 : 14,104 : 17,529 : 21,659 : 16,758 // 9,109 : 10,157 : 12,436 : 13,258 : 20,379 : 4,620 : : 9,88212/11 : 97.10 : 94.37 : 14,128 : 17,560 : 21,697 : 16,787 // 8,950 : $9,980 : 12,379 : 13,196 : 20,285 : 4,619 : 10,35712/04 : 98.13 : 94.30 : 14,189 : 17,635 : 21,790 : 16,859 // 9,016 : 10,054 : 12,435 : 13,257 : 20,131 : 4,834 : 10,379 200710/28:: 59.36 : 57.22 : Historical Data : http://202.72.14.52/...rchHistory.aspxOTHER LINKSAXpat Forum :: http://hongkong.asia...-kong-property/Cental-Data :: http://hk.centadata.com/cci/cci_e.htmGEI secret-- :: http://www.greenener...p?showtopic=920 : hidden threadTLB history :: http://hk.centadata.com/eptest.aspx?type=2&code=EGPPWPPJPW&info=tr&page=0Show Flats- :: http://www.gohome.co...ew-property/en/Price Track :: http://eng.data.28hse.com/TLB mo.est :: xx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 10, 2015 Report Share Posted January 10, 2015 2015-17 : we are now in the Window for a Cyclical Peak in HK property Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 17, 2015 Report Share Posted January 17, 2015 Wow!How wrong some were - like THIS forecast• The market has turned and entered a downtrend. Residential prices will be heading south in the coming few years, but significant corrections are not expected amid a low mortgage rate environment. The only uncertainty will be from the US—the possible tapering of QE3 and interest-rate rise—but this is not expected until 2015 or 2016.• Mass home prices will drop 10-15% in 2014, due to cooling measures and increased supply.==A 10-15% DROP?? What actually happened?=======Week-Yr. : CCLI : CMMI : TaikSh : CentPark : CaribCo :12/28/14: 132.45 133.50: 13,301 : 12,582 : 6,141 :12/29/13: 119.07 118.19: 10,936 : 12,325 : 5,768 :CHANGE:+11.2% +13.0%: +21.6% : 02.1%: +6.5% : ======= > see: http://hongkong.asiaxpat.com/default.aspx?pagename=forum&ThreadID=770f30a2-3019-469d-8657-ee46f38c99e9 The Miss? About 25% ! LOOKING FORWARD: The Standard / Thu. Jan. 15, 2015... on Housing Policies (pg.4)"The next five years will see 30 percent more private homes built annually,as well as untried models to provide subsidized flats..."The government expects:In 2015 to 2019: 14,600 average per annumwas past 5 yrs. : 11,400... 1980-2004 .. : 28,000Est . in 2014 .... : 20,000Colliers said: "the govt is not able to control housing supply,doubting the target can be met." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 23, 2015 Report Share Posted January 23, 2015 HK Property prices are headed towards a possible resistance level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 25, 2015 Report Share Posted January 25, 2015 Calculations: on the two 2BR flats; Ave.of 2BR - $10.148M / 0,565= $17,961 Times : 84% - $ 8,524M / 0,565= $15,087 ========= CCLI index (End.Jul): 123.54 / (Last): 135.73 : +9.87% 49CBankV (End.Jul): $xx / ========= $8,524K x 109.87% = $9,365k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 A Hot Wave of Sales at Long Beach ======= (per Midland) Block Floor : - Date -- : $Price- / Net = per Sq.Ft : Gross = per Sq.Ft TW5 : Mid. : 30/01/15 : $8.68M / 558 = $15,556 : 742 = $11,698 TW6 : Mid. : 30/01/15 : $8.28M / 546 = $15,165 : 742 = $11,159 TW5 : Low : 26/01/15 : $8.68M / 556 = $15,612 : 743 = $11,682 Tw3 : High : 25/01/15 : $8.65M / 549 = $15,756 : 741 = $11,673 TW5 : Mid. : 25/01/15 : $8.80M / 564 = $15,603 : 752 = $11,702 TLB Index - per Centaline Nearby Park Avenue/ Cent. Park - in TKT : update Meantime, a down week in the CL Index Week : CCLI : CMMI : RobinPl: Tregun : Dynast : Clovell/ IslHarb: ParkAv: Waterf : Sorrent : TArch : C'ribC : TaikSh. Numb.: ( #1) (#2,4): ( --#6): (--#7): (--#8) : (--#9)/ (--#7) (--#8): (-#12) : (--#13): (-#14) (#-3) : (#21) ==== . . 01/25: 134.03 135.01: 15,587 : 19,554 : 24,903 : 22,368 /11,378: 12,466 : 13,970 : 17,147 : 21,797 : 6,538 : 12,627 : 01/18: 134.64 135.73: 15,608 : 19,581 : 24,936 : 22,398 /11,366: 12,311 : 13,997 : 17,179 : 21,838 : 6,079 : 13,586 : Private flat supply hits 8-year high - SCMP Number of completed units up 89pc last year + 15,700 units completed in 2015 + construction started on 17,300 units, up from 14,100 in 2013 + starting the transition to a period of more sustainable flat supply + some 74,000 new homes expected over next 3-4 years (74,000/4 = 18,500 per year) + Supply expected to be maintained at 15,000 -18,000 in the next few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 31, 2015 Report Share Posted January 31, 2015 LOHAS can also be compared with Caribbean Coast, in Tung Chung. (similar prices)And, of course, to Park Central in TKO, and Taikoo Shing (TKS) on HK Island.LOHAS has for a long time been about 50% of TKSmo: CariC: Lohas: PkCen: TaikSh: L/TKS :13 : 6,336 : 6,146 : 7,551 : 12,149 : F. : 6,325 : 6,315 : 8,650 : 11,939 : M : 6,160 : 6,339 : 8,372 : 12,131 : 52.3% A : 5,877 : 6,295 : 7,661 : 11,710 : M : 6,130 : 6,074 : 7,810 : 11,847 : J. : 6,233 : 6,170 : 8,237 : 12,021 : 51.3% Jl : 6,021 : 6,189 : 8,387 : 12,001 : A : 5,686 : 6,116 : 7,854 : 11,853 : S : 6,004 : 6,064 : 8,204 : 11,950 : 50.7% O : 5,768 : 6,020 : 7,872 : 10,869 : N : 5,961 : 6,084 : 7,847 : 10,864 : D : 5,768 : 5,910 : 7,797 : 10,552 : 56.0%14 : 5,809 : 6,146 : 7,722 : 10,936 : F. : 5,758 : 5,692 : 7,970 : 11,892 : M : 5,695 : 5,901 : 7,777 : 11,392 : 51.8% A : 5,660 : 5,666 : 7,246 : 12,592 : M : 5,603 : 5,913 : 7,756 : 11,294 : J. : 6,081 : 5,845 : 8,066 : 12,134 : 48.2% Jl : 5,810 : 6,044 : 7.817 : 11,552 : A : 6,076 : 6,070 : 8,796 : 12,268 : S : 6,346 : 6,159 : 8,944 : 12,705 : 48.5% O : 6,356 : 6,236 : 8,336 : 12,668 : N : 6,275 : 6,296 : 8,801 : 12,678 : D : 6,141 : 6,296 : 9,242 : 13,301 : 47.3%15 : 6,538 : 6,356 : 9,168 : 12,627 : 50.3% I think the 50% discount to TKS is too big, especially since properties at LOHAS Park are new, and TKS is very old. I see it narrowing over time, as: + More trains roll into LOHAS (it is now 1:3 or 1:4), and + More shopping is added at LOHAS in future years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted February 3, 2015 Report Share Posted February 3, 2015 Cooling moves ready as housing heats up Adam Xu / February 03, 2015 All necessary steps will be taken to prevent the local housing market from overheating, said Secretary for Transport and Housing Anthony Cheung Bing- leung amid frenetic price rises in resales of both private and public units. In the meantime Hong Kong Monetary Authority chief executive Norman Chan Tak-lam said the property market faces an uncertain outlook with interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve on the horizon, but there is room for more anti-cyclical measures should an upward cycle be confirmed. The Transport and Housing Bureau will report results of its review of the Special Stamp Duty and Buyer's Stamp Duty to the Legislative Council's House Committee next month. Cheung said that had the stamp duties not been introduced in 2012 and 2013, local property prices would have jumped even higher. >more: http://www.thestandard.com.hk/news_detail.asp?we_cat=11&art_id=153895&sid=43812316&con_type=1&d_str=20150203&fc=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traineeinvestor Posted February 3, 2015 Report Share Posted February 3, 2015 "All necessary steps will be taken to prevent the local housing market from overheating ..." Not sure which local housing market he's talking about but a lot of people have been claiming that the HK housing market has been overheated for a few years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted February 3, 2015 Report Share Posted February 3, 2015 Yes. The WARNING loses its force when they fail (have failed?) to act I reckon they will do something before CNY My suggestion would be to collect a 1% surchage (per annum) on loans, and then rebate it, when the property is sold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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