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US Real Estate ... IYR, HGX, PHM


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Updated May'23:

O vs IYR : 4.98% Yield at 61.39, vs. 2.96% Yield at 83.47 -

O, TLT fr. May'22: '20: '15: TLT shows 2.49% at 105.70, while TYX= 3.73%

cOAbZAv.gif

'15:

Vaiu6ga.gif

===

PHM OverValued at $67? But PE is only 6x

PHM- etc ... 10yr chart: since 2013: Apr.21: $67.13, PER: 5.79, Yield: 0.95%

8CxVF3L.gif

10yr chart: since 2013:

Nsxlx2p.gif

Other charts:

HGX / PHLX Housing Index ... All Data : 3-yrs : 12mos / 10d

http://i273.photobucket.com/albums/jj235/jimolsen2/AG/HGX-all_zpsgjbktnlq.gif

 

PHM / Pulte Group Ltd ... All Data : 3-yrs : 12mos / 10d

http://i273.photobucket.com/albums/jj235/jimolsen2/AG/PHM-All_zpsz6z5xheg.gif

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The Chinese haven't lost their buying appetite... apparently

Mar 28 10:54am:

Boom. A serial dealmaker in China just fired another salvo in the bidding war over Starwood Hotels.

More

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  • 6 years later...

10 YEARS may be Too Short... for a Long cycle Peak

PHM-vs. HGX, TLT... since Apr.2021: 2020: 2002: All: 10yr: 5yr: Ytd: 10d /

Last: $39.23, $372, $97.5

4elWXOF.gif

since 2020: Apr.2021: 2002: All: 10yr: 5yr: Ytd: 10d /

6bX61ja.gif

2002: All: 10yr: 5yr: Ytd: 10d /

yHqnLgU.gif

The US Cycle... we have only had about 10 yrs up from the 2011 low.  Normally it is about 14 years. 

Could there be a last Gasp ahead

===

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  • 6 months later...

PHM : OverValued at $67? But PE is only 6x

PHM- etc ... 10yr chart: since 2013: Apr.21: $67.13, PER: 5.79, Yield: 0.95%

paNr4Z8.gif

10yr chart: since 2013:

Nsxlx2p.gif

 

 

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O vs IYR : 4.98% Yield at 61.39, vs. 2.96% Yield at 83.47 -

O, TLT fr. May'22: '20: '15: TLT shows 2.49% at 105.70, while TYX= 3.73%

cOAbZAv.gif

'15:

Vaiu6ga.gif

===

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