bitbigt

Personally, I probably am generally deluded about many things - but that doesn't exclude being lucky about what I invest in !

Expecting gold to slide to 865 before its next step up, I decide this morning to stop looking at it for a few days (to avoid the pain of watching the fall) But at 4.50pm GMT today, my curiosity got the better of me, and I had a quick peek ...I'm now smiling

Chill comrades!

Reading to the end, his argument is fully predicated on "the dollar may yet spike to new highs!?" Well a. I doubt it - the recent spike was all about repattriation of dllars, and that can only happen once b. even if there is a small further spike upwards, the word 'spike' says it all a spike is a short term, abbarrent jump up followed by a correction back down. I'm a long term holder, waiting for the higher prices that will come in next few years, so a transient spike is irrelevant anyway.

Guys - looking at recent price activity of gold and silver, I am incredibly impressed at the resilience shown at these levels, especially since we've seen dollar strengthening and deflation warnings everywhere you turn. I really start to think we're at a key upward turning (rocket) point in the price of PMs. Additionally, bond markets and some commentators are now just starting to consider inflation risks again. So if even just a little evidence of further economic weakness appears (e.g., worse than expected earnings reports and bank problems), and/or some evidence for inflation returning becomes apparent in the next few weeks/months, we really could be - right now - on the launchpad for the moon! ....I feel it in me bones!!!

Up she goes

Who was it that, at the beginning of January, polled us all for an 'end of January' prediction survey? Is there a plan for summarising the outcome, and running another?

Great post Steve!

USD 925!!! WELL DONE EVERYONE ...I SEE I LEFT IT IN SAFE HANDS

midday: Looks like gold is starting on a nother price jump ...just as I have to go traveling for 4 days, with litle/no acess to internet. So I'm trusting you all to keep an eye on it for me :-)

Aha - cgnao is Mr T ...But please don't get insulting, just because we don't all share your 'completely' doom laden view of the future. It is a good day when the honest value of gold starts to be realised. And if you are right and there is major disaster ahead, then a rising gold price will mean those of us holding gold will at least be able to exchange it for a fair value of some other asset (even if that has to be food and weapons!!)

Today's price rise was impressive, and IT HELD its top! A very good sign!!!

Your lack of precision (in bold) shows how relaxed you are about this - and rightly so!!!!

Been away from 'puta most of the day, and just logged in to find..... ...I've now doubled the value of my initial GBP gold investment I'm a happy camper!

It has (conspiracy thoughts brewing...) Try this instead: http://www.bullionvault.com/gold-price-chart.do

THERE SHE BLOWS - golds gone vertical! (to £608 in GBP, and still rising) edit: now 611

Glad you liked my childsplay. In fact, it was the result of today's project in our kindergarden - the teacher told me I did well and gave me 2 gold stars [bTW: I am in IT and the public sector!]

/_\ | | | | | | | | | | * * * * * * ...on the launchpad . . . . . .

I basically agree, but we shouldn't under-estimate the further damage GB could do... Net new mortgage lending in UK peaked at about £50B per year, meaning new money creation from that source was probably in the range £10B - £50B per year for each of the last 10 or so years. Lets say 300B total. I can quite imaging the government borrowing many tens of billions more to restimulate the economy. Indeed, the US is probably looking at creating a trillion or more. But in the end - all the sums just add together anyway. All the new money created over last decade still exists, and will have its effect on inflation over next few years. The new money that is now to be printed as part of the crazy 'quantitative easing' just adds to the pot. And remember, the other main consideration is the impression people have. A lot of new money has been created, but the government and media spin has made people think deflation is the big danger. The fact that people are now talking so blatantly about printing new money could change the way the masses think about these things - so they instead start to worry about the likelihood of inflation. Once the masses start to see the world that way, thats when gold will go ballistic. Hopefully, tomorrow's newspaper headlines will take us one big step further along that road.

"LETS PRINT MORE MONEY" - front page main headlines on the Daily Mail tomorrow. Similar headlines to be in The Times and other national newspapers. Deflationists take note!!!!!!!

Looks to me like PPT levers started to get pulled as soon as silver shot up 2% in 10 minutes at start of US trading, passing that 11.5 level. Indeed, they really got busy today - silver down 6%, 3.5%, oil down 15%. Laughable really - they keep inflating the money supply, and concomitantly try to hold down these inflation indicating commodities. It can ony get harder and harder to keep these prices suppressed as money supply increases - eventually the top will blow open.

I'd average into silver and oil, over 1-2 months

oooohh... you can't get away with mistakes like that on this forum ...and here it is in USD. The '-10%' section correlates simply with the USD getting unreasonably strong for a period, due to repatriation of panicking dollars. That effect is largely now finised with, and so a compensatory upswing in PoG should follow (and has already started) over 1 month, annualised rate is +170% over 3 months, annualised rate is -10% over 6 months, annualised rate is -10% over 1 year, annualised rate is 0% over 5 years, annualised rate is +25% ...sometime yet then

Not sure what you mean.... Fact is you'll have made £5 if you invested £15 one year ago in gold - i.e., a 33% profit!! And look at the general pattern that's emerging... over 1 month, annualised rate is +180% over 3 months, annualised rate is +70% over 6 months, annualised rate is +55% over 1 year, annualised rate is +33% over 5 years, annualised rate is +35% My point is there's a very nice accelerating uptrend in place just now, and with the expected volatility as few percent up or down in any one day must not be over-interpreted.

Profit taking and easing tensions now that world is slowly 'accepting' Israels incursion (occupation) of Gaza. Uptrend still very much intact, just stand back and look at a several week/month chart.