HollandPark Posted October 12, 2006 Report Share Posted October 12, 2006 Some have mentioned these ratios to me, and I want to start following them more closely. Here are Long term charts: John Roque's Dow-to-Gold ratio: ... 2005 Forecast: chart // Current Weekly : current ... from the GoldMoney website. ...and DrBubb's posting contained this current chart : We are ON RESISTANCE just below 21 ounces And here's the ratio for SPX-to-Gold : chart Looks like there is resistance right around 2.36/2.40. Using current figures... SPX : 1,358 Gold: $571.00 Ratio: 1358 / 571 = 2.378 Gold ounces to Buy the SPX and with Dow at 11,925: Ratio: 11,925/ 571 = 20.88 ounces ... updated chart # # # # A.Cutten's charts : http://www.geocities.com/arthurcutten/jesse.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 13, 2006 Report Share Posted October 13, 2006 woke up to find... Dow up big, but Gold rose more, so the Ratio was lower than I left it: SPX Ratio: 1363/ 574.9 = 2.371 (was 2.378) .... Gold ounces to Buy the SPX Dow Ratio: 11,948/ 574.9 = 20.78 (was 20.88) So if I bought my puts a bit too soon, it's okay. I am much more long gold, and that side is winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 14, 2006 Report Share Posted October 14, 2006 Nice move in Gold on Friday : up over $10 ! : as the Dow/Gold ratio falls GLD : $ 58.57 : +1.08 / Volume: 3,078,900 / Percent Change: +1.88% GDX : $ 35.79 : +1.09 / Volume: 977,200 / / Percent Change: +3.14% Dow : 11,960.51 +12.81 / Volume: 295,095,640 / Percent Change: +0.11% Ratios:: Dow/Gold : 20.42 // GDX/GLD : 61.11% This is what can happen off a turnpoint, as identified in the chart in the Header # # # News Report ... Oct 13, 2006 Stocks rebound on rise in commodity prices SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Toronto stocks rose Friday on a rebound in commodities prices as the sudden onset of winter in the northeastern United States sparked an increase in energy prices. The S&P/TSX Composite Index (CA:SPTSX: news, chart, profile) rose 189 points, or 1.6%, to 11908.57. A recovery in crude prices helped propel the TSX's energy index 3.3% higher. EnCana (CA:ECA: news, chart, profile) (ECA : encana corp com. :$ 45.90+1.42+3.19%) gained 3.4% and Suncor Energy (CA:SU: news, chart, profile) (SU : suncor energy inc com : $72.50+2.68+3.84%) added 3.9%. Canadian Natural Resources (CA:CNQ: news, chart, profile) (CNQ : canadian nat res ltd com : 46.72+1.45+3.20%) gained 4%. Gold followed crude oil higher, spurring the TSX's materials index to a 2.5% gain. The gold subindex rose 3.8%. Barrick Gold (CA:ABX: news, chart, profile) (ABX : Barrick Gold : $29.79+0.67+2.30%) closed up 2.7% and Goldcorp (CA:G: news, chart, profile) (GG : goldcorp inc new com: $22.73+1.02+4.70%) picked up 4.5%. Glamis Gold (CA:GLG: news, chart, profile) jumped 4.9%. Nickel miner Inco (CA:N: news, chart, profile) (N : INCO Limited: $75.21-0.10-0.13%) edged up 0.1% and aluminum maker Alcan (CA:AL: news, chart, profile) (AL : Alcan Inc: $41.18+0.53) rose 1.6%. Mining company Teck Cominco (CA:TCKB: news, chart, profile) (TCK :$ 68.54+2.39+3.61%) rose 4.4%. Combined, the energy and materials sector represent about half of the TSX composite index. = = (put this thread in the header??) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chas and dave Posted October 14, 2006 Report Share Posted October 14, 2006 I've read and listened to so many items lately - great. I like this comparison, and timing looks like everything. I wonder if the present situation of DOW/FTSE etc up, and lowish energy & gold etc will hold through to US elections in early Nov, or should the VIs have planned a mild October election date? Or, as US & UK seem to be taking no meaningful move to tightening the money supply through IRs, could this loose money inflate these stock market indices right through to the New Year, now that housing doesn't look so good? I would be very scared to have large amounts invested here as it looks a long way down. Started and then scrubbed several comments last few days - this winter just looks like a very entertaining time, and felt I had to register an interest. (BTW, anyone care to start a thread explaining to me how money is 'destroyed', rather than individuals racking up debt & negative equity, and banks writing off bad debt against profits. Ain't got to grips with that yet.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 19, 2006 Report Share Posted October 19, 2006 Henry W. sees a move up in gold shares from here: more: http://www.elliottfractals.com/marketview_interview.html # # # Cyclical expect fred starkey is very keen on silver. He sees a low arounf nov.4th-6th, and then a takeover. His target is $18 by the first quarter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted October 19, 2006 Report Share Posted October 19, 2006 STOCKS-TO-BONDS RATIO Here's another interesting ratio: SPX / TLT (the etf for Ten Year Bonds) ... update Also at/near an extreme, = = = Here's how SPX looksin ratio to Gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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