DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2018 Trading - v.108

[drbubb]

Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2018. Diary's 108th Month,

8 years+ since 3/09 Low : Fresh New Peak in Dec.: Dow closed 2017 @ 24,719

Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

TIME is running out for Hillary & her coverup team @ the FBI

Tomorrow is Pivotal Day for Clinton Crime Cabal

"If the Heads of the FBI fail to answer, they are in contempt of Congress"

================

DrBubb's Diary - Jan. 2018 Trading - v.108

The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) : update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

Gold in EURO - very worthwhile to track

Short Term:

Medium Term - 3 Years: Gold-inEUR

US Stocks: "SPX-in-Euros" .. SPX-to-EUR or SPY-to-FXE  .. update

Ratio - SPX/Euro has often moved in a nice clear channels

 

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

"Big Three" (SPY, GLD, DXY) .. 10d : 6mo-D : 2yr-D : 5yr-D // CU-etc

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :

end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :

end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :

end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :

end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :

end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :

end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :

end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :

end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :

end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :

end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :

======

"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b c

[drbubb]

DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
03-31: 206.43 - 1.82: 127.M: 15.29 : 18.24 - 0.23: 113.66 - 0.09: 4.38M: 1,185.5 $47.49* 98.406 +0.432: 130.69 +0.28: 00: 000/ 000: 2800
06-30: 205.85 +0.43: 155.M: 18.23 : 17.76 - 0.14: 112.31 - 0.70: 7.54M: 1,172.1 $59.09* 95.516 +0.541: 117.46 -0.82 : 11, 118/ 086, 1887
09-30: 192.13 +0.50: 142.M: 24.50 : 13.74 +0.33: 106.86 - 1.12: 7.19M: 1,114.5 $45.34* 96.282 +0.384 : 123.54 - 0.43: 04: 133/ 104, 2853
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913

 2016
01-29: 193.72 + 4.61: 182.M: 20.20 : 14.21 +0.35: 106.95 +0.41: 7.92M: 1118.4 $33.74* $99.53 +0.95 : 127.30 +1.07 : 02, 072/ 1600, 5,341
02-29: 193.56 - 1.53: 109.M: 20.55 : 19.38 +0.69: 118.64 +1.53: 11.5M: 1239.3 $33.90* $98.15 - 0.03 : 130.98 +0.57 : 02, 076/ 1250, 3,324
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50: 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54: 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* $94.63 - 0.10 : 130.61 +0.92 : 03, 096/ 1618, 4,518
04-29: 206.33 - 1.11: 124.M: 15.70 : 25.83 +1.55: 123.65 +2.36: 18.2M: 1294.9 $45.90* $93.02 - 0.45 : 129.38 +0.33 : 0?, 060/ 400, 3,160
05-31: 209.84 - 0.40: 88.7M: 14.19 : 22.58 +0.30: 116.06 +0.44: 8.06M: 1217.5 $48.83* $95.86 +0.16 : 130.16 +0.31 : 0?, 088/ 070, 2,652
06-30: 209.48 + 2.82: 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63: 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* $95.81 +0.05 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ 060, 1,941
07-29: 217.12 + 0.35: 70.1M: 11.87 : 30.59 +0.84: 128.98 +1.32: 12.9M: 1357.9 $41.60* $95.52 - 1.04 : 141.56 +1.17/ 0?, 064 : 080, 2,785
08-31: 217.38 - 0.62: 71.9M: 13.42 : 25.42  - 0.42: 124.78 - 0.25: 13.2M: 1311.4 $44.70* $95.98 - 0.05 : 139.87  +0.20/ 03, 067 : 237, 5,229
09-30: 216.30 +1.62: 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26:  125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24/ 04, 096 : 1191, 6,335
10-31: 212.55 +0.01: 55.9M: 17.06 : 24.52 +0.71: 121.94 + 0.36: 7.09M: 1273.1 $46.86* $98.44 +0.10 : 131.25  +0.80/ 10, 094 : 1128, 5,808
11-30: 220.38 - 0.53: 92.0M: 13.33 : 20.83 - 0.40: 111.75  - 1.52: 10.9M: 1173.9 $49.44* 101.54 +0.59 : 120.24  - 1.98/ 02, 107 : 629, 5,879
12-30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61  - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 $53.72* 102.38 - 0.27 : 119.13 + 0.18/ 03, 096: 9396, 13876  

2017
01-31: 227.53 - 0.02 00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 +1.68: 0.00M: 1211.8 $52.80* $99.74 -0.62 : 119.84 +0.57/ 08 120 : 4554, 10255
02-28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 09, 085 : 4109, 7,634
03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 $50.60* 100.22 -0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 10, 120: 17.4K, 23202
04-28: 238.08 - 0.52 50.4M: 10.82 : 22.23 +0.42: 120.77 +0.38 8.86M: 1268.3 $49.33* $99.04 - 0.15 : 122.35 +0.27/ 12, 098: 5178, 11915
05-31: 241.44 - 0.06 00.0M: 10.41 : 22.69 +0.10: 120.62 +0.48 0.00M: 1264.8: $48.32* $97.21 +0.00 : 124.14 +0.05/ 04, 106 : 976, 6,918
06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 -0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04* $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/ 04, 095 : 723, 5,020
07-31: 246.77 -0.14 42.9M: 10.25 : 22.86 - 0.05 : 120.75 +0.06 3.82M: 1273.8 $50.17: $92.90 - 0.43 : 124.04 +0.15/ 00, 094 : 800, 5,056
08-31: 247.49 +1.48 75.8M: 10.59 : 24.72 +0.56 : 125.82 +1.46 11.3M: 1322.2 $47.23: $92.62 +0.06 : 127.99 +0.38/ 03, 091 : 894, 5,034
=====
09-29: 251.23 +0.88 60.7M: %9.51 : 22.96 -0.20 : 121.58 - 0.63 8.77M: 1284.8 $51.67: $93.07 - 0.06 : 124.76 +0.28/ 08, 067 : 1346, 4,235
10-31: 257.15 +0.40 42.7M: 10.18 : 22.48 - 0.28 : 120.67 - 0.46 3.76M: 1277.5 $54.20: $94.54 +0.01 : 124.46 +0.04/ 03, 101 : 1158, 2,371
11-30: 265.01 +2.30 104.M: 11.28 : 22.47 - 0.03 : 121.10 - 0.94 7.84M: 1276.7 $57.40: $92.97  - 0.09 : 125.12 - 0.42/ 03, 079 : 545, 2,180 :

====

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

DEC
27: 267.33 +0.00 00.0M: 10.47 : 23.16 +0.00 : 122.23 +0.00 0.00M: 0000.0 $00.00 : $92.67 -0.00 : 126.77 +0.00/
28: 267.87 +0.55 38.6M: 10.18 : 23.20 +0.04 : 122.85 +0.62 5.67M: 1287.2 $59.84 : $92.50 -0.17 : 126.66 -0.11/ 00, 102 : 000, 1436
29: 266.86 -1.01 60.8M: 11.04 : 23.24 +0.04 : 123.65 +0.80 7.55M: 1309.3 $60.42 : $92.30 -0.20 : 126.86 +0.20/ 05, 107 : 000, 1590

JAN
02: 268.77 +1.91 63.2M: %9.77 : 23.82 +0.58 : 125.15 +1.50 11.2M: 1316.1 $60.37 : $91.90 -0.40 : 125.49 -1.37/ 00, 012 : 000, 0057
03: 270.47 +1.70 89.1M: %9.15 : 23.57 -0.25 : 124.82 -0.33 7.89M: 1318.5 $61.63 : $91.57 -0.33 : 126.09 +0.60/ 05, 017 : 050. 0107
04: 271.61 +1.14 70.1M: %9.22 : 23.72 +0.15 : 125.46 +0.64 7.12M: 1321.6 $62.01 : $91.84 +0.27 : 126.07 -0.02/ 02, 019 : 030, 0137
05: 273.42 +1.81 64.0M: %9.22 : 23.67 -0.05 : 125.33 -0.13 5.56M: 1322.3 $61.44 : $92.01 +0.17 : 125.71 -0.36/ 01, 020 : 020, 0157

08: 273.92 +0.50 46.7M: %9.52 : 23.42 -0.25 : 125.31 -0.02 3.52M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.27 +0.26 : 125.63 -0.08/ 00, 033 : 033, 0300
09: 274.52 +0.62 51.4M: 10.08 : 23.11 -0.31 : 124.73 -0.58 8.31M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.42 +0.15 : 123.95 -1.68/ 03, 036 : 030, 0330
10: 274.12 -0.42 54.6M: %9.82 : 23.25 +0.14 : 125.03 +0.30 14.2M: 1319.3 $63.57 : $92.44 +0.08 : 123.80 -0.15/ 00. 037 : 000, 0374
11: 276.12 +2.00 55.6M: %9.99 : 23.38 +0.13 : 125.44 +0.41 5.89M: 1322.5 $63.80 : $91.90 -0.54 : 124.31 +0.51/ 00, 038 : 030, 0404
12: 277.92 +1.80 73.7M: 10.16 : 24.01 +0.63 : 126.96 +1.52 9.08M: 1334.5 $64.30 : $90.90 -1.00 : 124.52 +0.21/ 09, 047 : 074, 0478

15: Holiday
16: 276.97 - 0.95 94.5M: 11.66 : 24.37 +0.36 : 127.17 +0.21 7.90M: 1337.1 $63.73 : $90.39 - 0.51 : 125.04 + 0.52/ 00, 059 : 000, 0650
17: 279.61 +2.64 00.0M: 11.91 : 23.94 +0.54 : 126.14 +0.00 0.00M: 1339.2 $63.97 : $90.48 +0.09 : 124.87 - 0.17/
18: 279.14 - 0.47 87.6M: 12.22 : 23.61 - 0.33 : 125.86 - 0.28 6.20M: 1327.2 $63.89 : $90.46 - 0.02 : 123.71 - 1.16/
19: 280.41 +1.27 114M: 11.27 : 23.65 +0.04 : 126.42 +0.56 7.05M: 1333.1 $63.31 : $90.67 +0.19 : 123.06 - 0.65/ 00, 069 : 000, 0771
22: 282.69 +2.28 69.1M: 11.03 : 23.71 +0.06 : 126.65 +0.23 4.77M: 1331.9 $63.57 : $90.35 -0.32 : 123.18 +0.12/ 00, 077 : 000, 0877
23: 283.29 +0.60 79.5M: 11.10 : 24.10 +0.39 : 127.28 +0.63 6.03M: 1336.7 $64.47 : $90.10 -0.25 : 123.71 +0.53/ 04, 081 : 060, 0937
24: 283.18 -0.11 110.M: 11.47 : 24.60 +0.50 : 128.83 +1.55 11.5M: 1356.3 $65.61 : $89.32 -0.78 : 123.04 -0.67/ 09. 090 : 080, 1017
25: 283.30 +0.12 67.2M: 11.58 : 24.13 -0.47 : 127.97 -0.86 15.0M: 1362.9 $65.51 : $89.20 -0.25 : 124.05 +1.01/ 05, 095 : 040, 1057
26: 286.58 +3.28 00.0M: 11.08 : 24.35 +0.22 : 128.07 +0.10 0.00M: 1352.1 $66.14 : $89.35 +0.15 : 123.59 -0.46/
29: 284.68 - 1.90 77.8M: 13.84 : 23.68 - 0.67 : 127.35 - 0.72 6.90M: 1340.3 $65.56 : $89.42 +0.07 : 122.73 - 0.86/ 00, 103 : 080, 1263
30: 281.76 - 2.92 116.M: 14.79 : 23.45 - 0.23 : 126.80 - 0.55 9.37M: 1340.0 $64.50 : $89.05 - 0.37 : 122.01 - 0.72/ 04, 107 : 072, 1335
31: 281.90 +0.14 97.6M: 13.54 : 23.75 +0.30 : 127.65 +0.85 13.0M: 1343.1 $64.73 : $89.11 +0.06 : 122.73 +0.72/
01: 281.58 - 0.32 75.8M: 13.47 : 23.70 - 0.05 : 128.07 +0.42 8.19M: 1347.9 $65.80 : $88.70 - 0.41 : 120.70 - 2.03/

 

[drbubb]

Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: June 30, 2017

Prices---- > YrE.'16 : YrE.'17 : change
Gold ------ : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% :
GLD ------ : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% :
Ratio ------: r10.51 : r10.59 :
GDX ------ : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% :
HUI  ------ : 000.00 : 192.31 :
GDXJ ---- : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% :
SLV-------- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% :
SHcomp : $0,000. : $3,307. :

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - 12/31/16 : $134.85,  12/31/17 : $152.46 :

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015 : last-12mos

EIGHT KEY CHARTS
=================

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53,  12/31/17 : $266.86

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13,  12/31/17 : $126.86

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46,,  12/31/17 : $24.03

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 12/31/17 : $12.01

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL : Price is battling that old Downtrend

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP) ... to 12/31/16 : $75.32,  12/31/17 : $72.26

ALL / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016  ,  12/31/17 : $26.05

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61,  12/31/17 : $123.65

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92,  12/31/17 : $23.24

GDX ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

.

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

===== other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new,

[drbubb]

Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

For months, I have been saying: "Low due near year-end maybe?"

"Next Cycle Low (in GDX) could be Dec. 2017" ... prior : update

GLD, updated: 1-yr: 2-yr : 3-yr : / UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840 : HK-3081:

HISTORY: The longer history of the cycles looked like this: 2013-15 :

: Low, Dec.15th,2016: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90

Look what happened after that Dec.2015 Low - a Nice Rally ! .....And then once again after a Dec. 2016 Low:

TMF (2x Bull etf of Long TBonds, like TLT)

These prices tend to move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.  And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle

TMF... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos / 10-d : this chart was from end-Nov

TMF-etc.10d ... update: Chart below is updated to 12/29/2017

==

[drbubb]

BRADLEY Model : "TURN dates"

SPY... 2015-2018: 12-31-16: $223.53 / 12-29-17: $266.86 : +19.4%

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, /

2018  : -Jan.4, +Jan.17

Model for 2017-8?: 2017 : 2016 : 2015 :

===

Historical TURN: Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks...

TLT... 2015-2018 : 12-31-16: $119.13 / 12-31-17: $126.86 : +6.49%

USD trade-weighted dollar:

DXY ... 2015-2018 : DXY-all-data : 12-31-16: $102.36 / '17: $92.28 : -9.72%

sym: ye.2016 : ye.2017 : %.chg : 2017-H :
SPY : $223.53 : $266.86 : +19.4% : 268.60 :
TLT : $119.13 : $126.86 : +6.49% : 129.57 :
DXY : $102.21 : $92.282 : -9.72% : 103.82 :
Djia  : $19,763 : $24,719 : +25.1% : 24,876 :
GLD-: $109.61 : $123.65 : +12.8% : 128.32 :
EUR-: $1.0520 : $1.2001 : +14.1% : 1.2093 :
Dj/E : E18,786 : E20,597 : +9.64% :
PHP-: P49.606 : P50.009 : +0.00% : 52.006 :
====

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co

[drbubb]

Relative Valuations : Now over the TOP of 200% Resistance!

SPX -to-Gold Ratio kept pulling back when it hit 2.00 -

"May happen again soon," I said in early May, and it pulled back from 1.98 !

...and then again at 2.01 !

End-Oct. the ratio hit 2.02, and 2.07 at End-Nov. - a breakout?

During Dec. ratio hit 215%, then fell to 204%, with Gold making upturn.

Date----- : - SPY- : - GLD- : Ratio : Comment------------
12-29-08 : $86.91 : $86.35 : 1.006 : SPY-vs-GLD Chart period begins (since first post)
09-06-11 : 116.99 : 182.90 : 0.640 : near Gold peak (of $1800
12-02-15 : 208.53 : 100.69 : 2.071 : near Gold low (of $1045.40; GLD: 100.23)
02-11-16 : 182.86 : 119.05 : 1.535 : near SPX low (of $1810.10; SPY: 181.09)
06-30-17 : 241.80 : 118.02 : 2.049 : Latest: may retest R-2.07+ and rollover
=======
Notes: R-0.64 at Gold peak x 1.618= 1.035 / x 1.618 x2 = 2.070 Target for Ratio & SPY peak?

SPX -toTLT / Bonds floating at high level (on cheap money) - But stocks are even more extreme

TMF (2x bonds) vs. UGLD, GDX, SLV ... 5-years

OLD chart - shows correlation of Gold to TMF

UPDATED chart of the above :

Peak /Last : - TMF - : - TLT - / - UGLD : - GLD-  / - GDX- : - SLV- :

09/07/2017 : $23.33 : 129.78 / $12.69 : 128.13 / $25.49 : $17.10 :
09/29/2017 : $20.87 : 124.76 / $10.76 : 121.58 / $22.96 : $15.74 :
10/31/2017 : $20.00 : 124.46 / $10.00 : 120.67 / $22.48 : $15.00 :
11/30/2017 : $21.12 : 125.12 / $10.47 : 121.10 / $22.47 : $15.51 :
12/29/2017 : $22.11 : 126.86 / $11.14 : 123.65 / $23.27 : $15.99 :
CHART
TMF vs. UGL ... update : shows a (surprising?) close correlation

[drbubb]

Bitcoin fell back on its first attempt at $20,000 (so far)

But the 2 months cycle may be bottoming near year-end.

Clif High thinks the price will reach $64k - 100k during 2018, in next wave.

BTS .. 12 mos w/ Cycles - to bottom now? / 8yr: 12mo : b5  BTC 10 5d

BTS - all data : 12 mos : 5mos :

All

=====

12/31: 0.5481 x13100+0000=7180:+070:13150Mar(3950):7208/(3950:54.8%)

JAN
01/01: 0.5208 x13675+0000=7122:+070:14470Mar(3950):7536/(3950:52.4%)
01/02: 0.5144 x13867+0000=7133:+963:14830Mar(3950):7629/(3950:51.7%): 4292
01/03: 0.4954 x14815(0000)=7339:1135:15950Mar(4000):7902/(4000:50.6%):+2385:17200
01/04: 0.5020 x14585(0000)=7322:+990:15575Mar(4050):7819/(4050:51.1%):+2115:16700
01/05: 0.4754 x15840(0000)=7530:1490:17330Mar(4050):8239/(4050:49.2%):+2115:18300
01/06: 0.4730 x16384(0000)=7750:1126:17510Mar(4050):8282/(4050:48.9%):+2146:18530
01/07: 0.4598 x17200(0000)=7909:1380:18580Mar(4050):8543/(4050:48.9%):+2560:19760
=====
.225 x 12750= $3337; x18580= $4181: 4363

[drbubb]

This is thought-provoking for those on a Spiritual path

Kryon - Prepare For the New Year 2018

"Humans are not hear to be tested" ... but we are here to learn.

"You know there are old souls, and you can see it in their eyes."

"There are no 'have-toos' .  We are here for complex reasons."

"The new-bees who are hear are easily tricked, they do not know why they are here"

Kryon speaks about what is ahead

Kryon - What Will Happen in 2018

Wow! Can we really be moving into a time of greater Integrity?

That will mean getting rid of "bad guys"; draining the swamp, etc and establishing less corrupt leadership in the US and globally

 

[drbubb]

BITCOIN Knowledge Reboot for 2018

You won't be buying a cup of coffee with BTC anytime soon!

/ 1 /

Bitcoin pioneer, Roger Ver, does a great job here of explaining the basics of Bitcoins.

Did you know it costs about $10 to process a Bitcoin transaction,

but only 1 cent for Bitcoin cash? That's a huge difference

Bitcoin: How Does it Work? (Roger Ver Interview)

Bitcoin technology can change the way we vote & how we govern ourselves.

But not everyone thinks that way. If the governments gain control of the crypto markets (and why won't they?), it could lead to financial enslavement.

/ 2 /

"This is a Pump" (& Dump operation)

CATHERINE AUSTIN FITTS - BITCOIN OP DIGITAL SLAVERY & SPACE ECONOMY! DARK JOURNALIST

DarkJournalist

Published on Dec 13, 2017

Human Society vs Digital Slavery & Transhumanism

=====

FORK: 8-02-17 ===== : MktCap / 1-01-18 ===== : MktCap / +%chg.MC
BTC : $ 2,757  100.0% : $45.44B / $13,920 100.0% : $233.5B / +817.8%
ETH : $222.14 8.057% : $20.82B / $773.25 5.555% : $74.77B / +259.1%
BAC : $641.30 23.26% : $10.57B / $2,517.  18.08% : $42.52B / +302.3%
RPL : $0.1765  .0064% : $  8.77 B / $2.2500 .0162% : $86.98B / +891.2%
LTC : $042.93  1.557% : $  2.24 B / $232.53 1.670% : $12.69B / +466.5%
CRD : $000.00  00.00% : $00.00B / $0.7024 .0050% : $18.21B / infinite

====
> https://coinmarketcap.com/

Bitcoin Cash (BAC) was started by Bitcoin (BTC) miners and developers equally concerned with the future of the crypto-currency, and its ability to scale effectively. ... On August 1st, some miners and developers initiated what is known as a hard fork, effectively creating a new currency: Bitcoin Cash.Nov 6, 2017

[drbubb]

FTSE-100 chart

UKX ... 6-mos

[drbubb]

KITCO

Gold Finishes Strong As 2017 Comes To Close  - Dec 30

OUTLOOK 2018: Gold Market Sees Best Year Since 2010 ... Dec 29

OUTLOOK 2018: RBC's Gero Sees Gold Hitting $1,400 By End Of 2018

Bitcoin Bubble Explosion Will Be Mind-Blowing: Gold Pro Jim Rogers

Silver & Gold Summit - Outlook Compilation - Dec 28

While a 13% price gain is absolutely respectable, it is still dwarfed by 25% gains seen in U.S. equities, specifically the Dow Jones Industrial Average. At the same time, it is this strong risk-on environment that has been so prevalent throughout the year that makes the yearly gains in gold so impressive.

2017 began with gold under dramatic pressure, continuing to react to the presidential election held in November of last year. If you recall immediately following the results of last year’s presidential election gold traded $50 higher, trading to an intraday high of $1340, before it made a sharp reversal and sharply lower on the day. From November up until mid-December of 2016, gold prices lost over $200 in value to settle just above $1120 an ounce.

The initial rally which began mid-December of 2016 and continued until the end of February moved gold pricing from $1120 to $1260 per ounce.

Although the fundamentals are entirely different from the beginning of 2016, there are some real similarities in the way this market bottomed in mid-December and rallied from that price point. Based on historical data, a moderate rally in gold will take pricing roughly $100 higher, with a strong rally capable of adding between $160 to $200 in value.

. . .

In an interview with Kitco News, Gero said that he sees gold prices rising to $1,400 by the end of 2018.

Gero said that he is not surprised with gold’s year-end push as it is in line with his unofficial survey conducted during the International Precious Metals Institute (IPMI) conference in late-June. He shared his results with Kitco News, noting that the most bullish outlook was for prices to end the year at $1,950 an ounce, while the most bearish vote was for gold prices to fall to $1,010.

[drbubb]

"I have never seen anything like this"  (bitcoin)

"Not selling Gold, and not buying it... waiting for it to go lower"

"Buying China & Japan"

The Bitcoin Bubble Explosion Will Be Mind-Blowing: Gold Pro Jim Rogers

Bitcoin is a bubble, says legendary investor Jim Rogers. Given recent price movements for bitcoin, he may be right.

> Video: https://www.thestreet.com/story/14426603/1/bitcoin-bubble-jim-rogers.html

xx

[drbubb]

Thiel Makes Monster Bet on Bitcoin...

Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund Makes Monster Bet on Bitcoin

Few mainstream investors have bought large sums of bitcoin, scared off by concerns about cybersecurity and liquidity

Jan. 2, 2018

One of the biggest names in Silicon Valley is placing a moonshot bet on bitcoin.

Founders Fund, the venture-capital firm co-founded by Peter Thiel, has amassed hundreds of millions of dollars of the volatile cryptocurrency, people familiar with the matter...

[drbubb]

Currencies rallied back to a key resistance level at the end of 2017

FX-All : 2018 : 2017 : '16-18 : '15-18 : '14-17 : 2013-18 : since 2010 : w/MA's : >2006 :

[hector]

The only way Jim Rogers & co can be right is if quantitative tightening accelerates this year

I am personally banking on this happening

[drbubb]

BTS ... 2-mos :

[drbubb]

Wikileaks Drops Proof That NY Times Colluded With Hillary Clinton While She Was Secretary Of State

by IWB · January 2, 2018

AFTER THE NEW YORK TIMES ON SATURDAY PUBLISHED A STORY HEADLINED “REPUBLICAN ATTACKS ON MUELLER AND F.B.I. OPEN NEW RIFT IN G.O.P.,” WIKILEAKS COULDN’T STAND IT ANYMORE.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Wikileaks had enough of endless NYT attacks on the Trump administration this past weekend, and decided to drop a bomb on an actual collusion story. Not between Trump and Russia, but between the NY Times and the Clinton State Department. Yesterday, they dropped the proof of the relationship as well as the cover up. Next up, an investigation of the  collusion between Crooked Hillary and the FBI under Comey. Or maybe Wikileaks will  just release the information and save everyone the trouble. Either way, Hillary, the clock is ticking. 

In a late-night post on Twitter, WikiLeaks revealed that a Times reporter used to feed State Department email updates of the stories the paper would be publishing DAYS before the stories appeared.

At the time, Hillary Clinton was the Secretary of State.

> http://investmentwatchblog.com/wikileaks-drops-proof-that-ny-times-colluded-with-hillary-clinton-while-she-was-secretary-of-state/

[drbubb]

Trump's Executive order - part of "a year of Reckoning"

Charle's Ortel: The C|intons are D0NE!! Must See Interview!!

Congress woman was indicted for $800k charity fraud, and sent to jail for 5 years.

Equal justice would mean something more serious for the Clintons

Sooo many levers ... that can be used against the Clintons.

Major donors will have tax problems, if/when the Clinton Foundations is declared to not be a legitimate charity

[drbubb]

Will Grains snap back? Will Oil fight higher, piercing resistance?

Gold has outperformed Grains (DBA) for three years

DBA / x may be set to snap back

Here's Wheat

No snapback, and weaker Oil, if we see that... then Gold's rally may soon falter

Brent Crude Oil

==

 

[drbubb]

Free Podcast - Addicted to Profits
I have uploaded a new podcast on the ongoings on gold , crypto currencies and the strategies we are using for this market. A srtated late last year we are using an unique combination of buying pre ipo private placements in sectors ranging from crypto currency to cannabis to gold and precious metals to base metals. And using put options as hedges. 

Also we are giving a special new year deal of 40 percent on a one year subscription and 50 percent off on a lifetime subscription. I talk about this offer in the podcast. It will end January 7th if you are interested please email me at addictedtoprofits@hotmail.com 

CLICK HERE to listen to this podcast
David Skarica 

[drbubb]

Bitcoins... back on the rise ... 5-mos :

Bitcoin Cash fell to 0.15 BTC ... update

[drbubb]

Gold ETFs Are Doing Something Worth Watching Here - Analysts

Kitco News Jan 5:

This past week, SPDR GLD (NYSE: GLD) – the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund – witnessed its longest positive streak on record after rising for eleven consecutive days before registering a decline on Wednesday.

SPDR GLD last stood at $125.31, down 0.12% on the day. 

Geopolitical tensions related to North Korea and Iran were partly responsible for the current rally, according to Matt Maley, equity strategist at Miller Tabak.

But another significant factor was expectations surrounding the U.S. inflation.

“For the first time in a very long time, the expectation that inflation will become more pronounced in 2018 is also giving gold a bid,” Maley wrote in a CNBC post.

Maley cautioned readers that gold is looking “overbought,” but noted that “if gold and the GLD can break above their 2017 highs of $1,350 and $128, respectively, it would give them both a bullish ‘higher high’.”

Maley is not the only one to praise GLD’s recent activity. Boris Mikanikrezai, precious metals analyst at FastMarkets wrote in his recent blog post that 2018 is “set to be juicy,” adding that his “long GLD position is moving” and to “expect further strength in course of 2018.”

In the meantime, the gold miners ETFs are also looking positive, ETF Trends said in a post.

For example, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX), the largest exchange-traded fund dedicated to gold mining stocks, was up more than 11% in 2017 and the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDXJ) rose more than 8%.

“The bulk of the gains for GDX and GDXJ arrived in the fourth quarter, perhaps signaling that investors are comfortable betting the major gold miners funds will start 2018 on strong notes,” wrote Tom Lydon, president of Global Trends Investments and editor of ETFtrends.com.

[drbubb]

====: Fye'16 : Fye'17 : 01/05'8:

Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : 1322.3 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : 125.33 :
GG-R : r10.51 : r10.59 : r10.55 :
Hold : 1000.0 : 1000.0 : 834.86 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : $23.67:
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : 273.42 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : 2743.2 :
SG-R : r1.944 : 1000.0 : r2.075 :
TLT-- : 119.13 : 126.86 : 125.71 :
GT-R : r9.667 : r10.32 : r10.52 :
PHM : $18.38 : $33.34 : $34.54 :
====
Silvr : 1000.0 : 17.150 : 17.285 :
SLV- : $15.11 : $15.98 : $16.22 :
WPM : $19.32 : $22.27 : $21.95 :
SIL-- : $32.11 : $3264 : $32.78 :
gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : $34.48 :
XLE- : $75.32 : $72.24 : $74.97 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : 1322.3 :
WTIC : $53.72 : $60.42 : $61.44 :
GW-R : r21.44 : r21.67 : r21.52 :
Ngas : 1000.0 : $2.950 : $2.795 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : 193.45 :
Cop'r: 1000.0 : $3.305 : $3.230 :
Corn : 1000.0 : 350.75 : 351.25 :
Weat : 1000.0 : 426.25 : 430.75 :
DBA- : $19.97 : $18.76 : $18.83 :
DX-R : 0.2651 : 0.2596 : 0.2511 :
DXY- : 102.21 : $92.30 : $92.01 :
====
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : $49.13 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : 3391.8 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : 154.75 :
XLF- : $23.25 : $27.19 : $28.41 :
XI- R : 0.1724 : 0.1784 : 0.1836 :
BTC- : 1000.0 : 13,100 : 15,840 :
====: ====== : ===== : ====== :

DBA calls - @$18.83
Jan2019-$18:$1.80-2.75 ($2.28-12.67%)/ 19:$1.25-1.55 ($1.40-07.37%)/ $20:$0.80-1.15 ($0.98-4.90%)
Jan2020-$18:$2.60-5.00 ($3.80-21.11%)/ 19:$2.00-2.70 ($2.35-12.37%)/ $20:$1.45-1.80 ($1.63-8.15%)

===

Jan2019 - $19 call ... update

xx

==

 

[drbubb]

CLINTON Made $48 Million as SecState! FBI has a lot of investigating to do

— Russia is TIP OF THE ICEBERG!

Judicial Watch — not the media, not Congress — has it all!

by IWB · January 5, 2018

Judicial Watch has been on Clinton-State cash machine since 2009! Judicial Watch juggernaut paving the way. FBI has much to look at!
Here’s the vid:

/ 2 /

60 Seconds Of Jim Jordan On Clinton Foundation Investigation

By: Pitchforks

Jim Jordan last night with Laura Ingraham. This is good tv.

Read more: www.whatreallyhappened.com http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz53SNhTEIl

 

/ 3 /

GOP Lawmaker: We Have a Series of Investigations Circling Hillary Clinton Like a Noose

==

[hector]

I haven't really been keeping up with this. Are you suggesting that Hillary may go to jail, for real??