DrBubb's Diary - April 2018 Trading - v.111

[drbubb]

Dr.B's Trading Diary : 2018. Diary's 111th Month,

8 years+ since 3/09 Low : Fresh New Peak in Dec.: Dow closed 2017 @ 24,719

Top of Page Charts (Odd) : Channel-GE : MP : PP : Charts : Acore : Fringe : Ag B E G H :

CORSI EXPOSES TRUTH | TRUMP RECRUITED BY MILITARY!!!

 

================

DrBubb's Diary - April 2018 Trading - v.111

The Fed's Racetrack: Gold (GLD) vs Stocks (SPY) : update :vs.CRB : GLD-hr : SPY-hr : GLD/SPYratio

The Fed's money-printing has maintained confidence in markets - but the money has gone not only into stocks, but also into other areas. For many months, money flowed into commodities like Gold, pushing prices higher even faster than stocks, as the chart above shows. But since Gold's peak in Aug.2011, stocks have outperformed gold. Since then, these two assets have tended to trade counter-cyclically to each other.

Gold in EURO - very worthwhile to track

Short Term:

Medium Term - 3 Years: Gold-inEUR

US Stocks: "SPX-in-Euros" .. SPX-to-EUR or SPY-to-FXE  .. update

Ratio - SPX/Euro has often moved in a nice clear channels

DrBubb's "Early Warning System"

Leading Ratio ... LQD:TLT-Weekly-3yrs : TLT-vsLQD : Copper : HG price : CU price : SPY-10/11 : SMH-6mos

I reckon that the LQD-to-TLT ratio should move in harmony with stocks, or maybe LEAD stock moves. If they are moving in different directions, then one should be cautious. (However, the value of this indicator has become suspect in recent years, after giving some false warnings.)
=====
Bullish Percentages :
BPNYA- : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
BPGDM : http://stockcharts.c...!Lh14,3]&pref=G
NASIT - : NAMOT : Summation Indices

INFLATION Watch / "Big Three" (SPY, GLD, DXY) .. 10d : 6mo-D : 2yr-D : 5yr-D // CU-etc

 

RECORD : CU may lead GLD and SPY
======

US Fed'l Debt // Formula: (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :

end07: $09.23 > 0,722 : 072.2 : $082.46 : $146.21 : -63.75: 56.398% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 17.05: ==== : $ 32.99 :

end08: $10.70 > 0,897 : 089.7 : $086.52 : $090.24 : -$3.72: 95.878% : $20.0e: XX.X% :: $ 29.09: ==== : $ 26.18 :

end09: $12.31 > 1,089 : 108.9 : $107.31 : $111.44 : -$4.13: 96.294% : $30.0e: XX.X% :: $ 42.26: ==== : $ 26.44 :

end10: $14.03 > 1,294: 129.4 : $138.74 : $125.75 : $12.99: 110.34% : $43.71: 31.51%: $ 43.09: $0.62: $ 32.35 : $ 00.29 :

end11: $15.22 > 1,435: 138.0 : $151.99 : $125.50 : $26.49: 121.11% : $29.29: 19.27%: $ 34.87: - 5.58: $ 28.88 : $ 04.60 :

end12: $16.43 > 1,570: 151.0 : $162.02 : $142.41 : $19.61: 113.77% : $30.34: 18.73%: $ 40.45:-10.11: $ 27.95 : $ 13.48 :

end13: $17.35 > 1,689: 162.4 : $116.12 : $184.69 : -68.57 : 062.87% : $22.27: 19.18%: $ 38.37:-16.10: $ 24.25 :$815.00 :

end14: $18.14 > 1,783 : 171.4 : $113.58 : $205.54 : -98.04 : 55.26% :: $18.09: 15.93%: $ 41.62:-23.53: $ 24.89 :$316.20 :

end15: $18.83 > 1,865 : 179.3 : $101.46 : $203.87 :-102.41: 49.77% :: 2.135 : 2.140%: $ 35.29:-00.00: $ 20.61: $433.50 :

end16

(2016)
01/29: $19.01 > 1,886 : 180.0 : $108.05 : $193.65 : - $85.60: 55.80% :: 2.060 : 1.907% $ 31.20:-00.00: $ 19.99: $375.00 :
02/29: $19.13 > 1,900 : 181.3 : $118.64 : $193.56 : - $74.98: 61.29% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 30.00: -00.00: $ 20.00: $434.00 :
03/31: $19.26 > 1,916 : 182.8 : $117.64 : $205.52 : - $87.88: 57.24% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.77: -13.17: $ 20.60: $415.00 :
04/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $123.65 : $206.33 : - $82.68: 59.93% :: 2. ??? : 1.000% $ 33.53: -12.45: $ 21.08: $4 ??.00 :
05/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $116.06 : $209.84 : - $93.78: 55.31% :: 2.080 : 1.792% $ 33.65: -12.34: $ 21.31: $526.10 :

06/30: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $126.47 : $209.48 : - $83.01: 60.37% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
07/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $128.98 : $217.12 : - $88.14: 59.40% :: 2.0 ?? : 0.000% $ 00.00: -00.00: $ 00.00: $0
08/31: $19.0E > 1,885 : 181.3 : $124.78 : $217.38 : - $92.60: 57.40% :: 2.080 : 1.667% $ 37.08: -16.85: $ 20.23: $570.00 :

=====
ye'16 : $20.0E > 1,8 xx : 18x.x :

Date-: DebtTr > G.Eqv /10.40 : - GLD - : - SPY - : -DIFF- : - ratio - : -- CU -- : cu/gld : - FXI - : cu-fxi : - DBA- : - BTC - :

======

"GOLD Formula" is : (Fed'l Debt - $4.0 Trillion ) x 119 +$100 : US Govt Debt :: http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

The FED must be pleased with the way that money has flowed into stocks, away from Gold. / notes : a b c

[drbubb]

DAILY MONITOR

Month: -SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY-- -Chg- : --TLT-: Chg : Posts/Views cum'l
2015
12-31: 203.87 - 2.06: 91.2M: 18.21 : 13.72 +0.06: 101.46 +0.04 : 3.81M: 1060.5 $37.07* 98.693 +0.413: 120.58 +0.54 : 02, 086/ 051, 1,913

 2016
03-31: 205.52 - 0.50: 79.4M: 13.95 : 19.97 - 0.26: 117.64 +0.54: 9.17M: 1233.9 $38.11* $94.63 - 0.10 : 130.61 +0.92 : 03, 096/ 1618, 4,518
06-30: 209.48 + 2.82: 143.M: 15.63 : 27.71 +0.56: 126.47 +0.63: 15.1M: 1324.7 $48.40* $95.81 +0.05 : 138.90 +0.51 : 0?, 055/ 060, 1,941
09-30: 216.30 +1.62: 98.7M: 13.29 : 26.43 - 0.26:  125.64 - 0.43: 10.8M: 1317.1 $48.24* $95.42 - 0.10 : 137.51 - 1.24/ 04, 096 : 1191, 6,335
12-30: 223.53 - 0.82: 86.9M: 14.04 : 20.92 - 0.83: 109.61  - 0.68: 8.79M: 1151.7 $53.72* 102.38 - 0.27 : 119.13 + 0.18/ 03, 096: 9396, 13876  

2017
01-31: 227.53 - 0.02 00.0M: 12.09 : 23.93 +0.78: 115.55 +1.68: 0.00M: 1211.8 $52.80* $99.74 -0.62 : 119.84 +0.57/ 08 120 : 4554, 10255
02-28: 236.47 - 0.64 69.6M: 12.92 : 22.85 +0.01: 119.23 +0.11 8.29M: 1253.9 $54.01* 101.48 +0.32 : 121.74 +0.45/ 09, 085 : 4109, 7,634
03-31: 235.74 - 0.55 56.2M: 12.37 : 22.81 +0.26: 118.72 +0.25 8.14M: 1251.2 $50.60* 100.22 -0.07 : 120.71 +0.35/ 10, 120: 17.4K, 23202
04-28: 238.08 - 0.52 50.4M: 10.82 : 22.23 +0.42: 120.77 +0.38 8.86M: 1268.3 $49.33* $99.04 - 0.15 : 122.35 +0.27/ 12, 098: 5178, 11915
05-31: 241.44 - 0.06 00.0M: 10.41 : 22.69 +0.10: 120.62 +0.48 0.00M: 1264.8: $48.32* $97.21 +0.00 : 124.14 +0.05/ 04, 106 : 976, 6,918
06-30: 241.80 +0.45 49.4M: 11.18 : 22.08 + 0.13: 118.02 -0.30 6.79M: 1242.3: $46.04* $95.64 +0.09 : 125.12 - 0.29/ 04, 095 : 723, 5,020
07-31: 246.77 -0.14 42.9M: 10.25 : 22.86 - 0.05 : 120.75 +0.06 3.82M: 1273.8 $50.17: $92.90 - 0.43 : 124.04 +0.15/ 00, 094 : 800, 5,056
08-31: 247.49 +1.48 75.8M: 10.59 : 24.72 +0.56 : 125.82 +1.46 11.3M: 1322.2 $47.23: $92.62 +0.06 : 127.99 +0.38/ 03, 091 : 894, 5,034
=====
09-29: 251.23 +0.88 60.7M: %9.51 : 22.96 -0.20 : 121.58 - 0.63 8.77M: 1284.8 $51.67: $93.07 - 0.06 : 124.76 +0.28/ 08, 067 : 1346, 4,235
10-31: 257.15 +0.40 42.7M: 10.18 : 22.48 - 0.28 : 120.67 - 0.46 3.76M: 1277.5 $54.20: $94.54 +0.01 : 124.46 +0.04/ 03, 101 : 1158, 2,371
11-30: 265.01 +2.30 104.M: 11.28 : 22.47 - 0.03 : 121.10 - 0.94 7.84M: 1276.7 $57.40: $92.97  - 0.09 : 125.12 - 0.42/ 03, 079 : 545, 2,180 :1436
12-29: 266.86 - 1.01 60.8M: 11.04 : 23.24 +0.04 : 123.65 +0.80 7.55M: 1309.3 $60.42 : $92.30 - 0.20 : 126.86 +0.20/ 05, 107 : 000, 1590

====

---: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l:

JAN

30: 281.76 - 2.92 116.M: 14.79 : 23.45 - 0.23 : 126.80 - 0.55 9.37M: 1340.0 $64.50 : $89.05 - 0.37 : 122.01 - 0.72/ 04, 107 : 072, 1335
31: 281.90 +0.14 97.6M: 13.54 : 23.75 +0.30 : 127.65 +0.85 13.0M: 1343.1 $64.73 : $89.11 +0.06 : 122.73 +0.72/

FEB
28: 271.65 - 2.78 101.M: 19.85 : 21.35 - 0.14 : 125.00 - 0.13 4.52M: 1317.9 $61.64 : $90.73 +0.07 : 118.75 +0.75/ 00, 076 : 000, 1093

MAR
29: 263.15 +3.32 104.M: 19.97 : 21.98 - 0.01 : 125.79 +0.06 6.84M: 1327.3 $64.94 : $90.01 -0.13 : 121.90 +0.59/ 00, 67: 000, 0880

APR
02: 257.47 -5.68 000.M: 23.62 : 22.23 +0.25 : 127.26 +1.47 0.00M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $90.18 +0.17 : 121.88 -0.02/
03: 260.77 +3.30 118.M: 21.10 : 21.91 -0.32 : 126.30 -0.96 5.99M: 1337.3 $63.51 : $90.07 -0.11 : 120.94 -0.94/
04: 263.56 +2.79 112.M: 20.06 : 21.87 -0.04 : 126.45 +0.15 7.08M: 1340.2 $63.37 : $90.16 +0.09 : 120.69 -0.25/
05: 265.64 +2.08 76.2M: 18.94 : 21.97 +0.10 : 125.80 -0.65 5.28M: 1328.5 $63.54 : $90.53 +0.08 : 119.79 -0.90/
06: 259.72 -5.92 151.M: 21.49 : 22.07 +0.10 : 126.39 +0.59 6.05M: 1336.1 $62.06 : $90.07 -0.46 : 121.10 +1.31/
09: 261.00 +1.28 000.M: 20.77 : 21.98 -0.09 : 126.82 +0.43 0.00M: 1340.1 $63.42 : $89.62 -0.45 : 121.30 +0.20/
10: 265.15 +4.15 98.1M: 20.47 : 22.26 +0.28 : 127.12 +0.30 5.23M: 1345.9 $65.51 : $89.61 -0.01 : 121.08 -0.22/
11: 263.76 -1.39 82.6M: 20.24 : 22.75 +0.49 : 128.11 +0.99 12.1M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $89.53 -0.08 : 121.51 +0.43/
12: 265.93 +2.17 64.9M: 18.49 : 22.47 -0.28 : 126.62 +1.49 7.99M: 1341.9 $67.07 : $89.77 +0.22 : 120.62 -0.89/
13: 265.18 -0.78 76.8M: 17.41 : 22.89 +0.42 : 127.45 +0.83 6.69M: 1347.9 $67.39 : $89.77 +0.00 : 120.90 +0.28/
16: 267.33 +2.18 55.2M: 16.56 : 22.80 -0.09 : 127.63 +0.18 4.58M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $89.41 -0.36 : 120.94 +0.04/
17: 270.19 +2.86 00.0M: 15.60 : 22.93 +0.13 : 127.75 +0.12 0.00M: 1349.5 $66.52 : $89.61 +0.20 : 121.27 +0.33/
18: 270.39 +0.20 51.0M: 15.61 : 22.98 +0.05 : 127.85 +0.10 6.71M: 1353.5 $68.47 : $89.69 +0.08 : 120.30 -0.97/
19: 268.89 - 1.50: 75.5M: 15.96 : 23.06 +0.08 : 127.60 -0.25 8.64M: 1348.8 $68.33 : $89.95 +0.05 : 119.32 -0.98/
20: 266.61 - 2.28: 88.0M: 16.88 : 22.71 - 0.35 : 126.63 -0.97 9.06M: 1338.3 $68.40 : $90.26 +0.31 : 118.46 - 0.86/
23: 266.57 - 0.04: 56.2M: 15.67 : 22.41 - 0.30 : 125.62 - 1.01 6.77M: 1324.0 $68.64 : $90.88 - 0.05 : 118.49 +0.03/
24: 262.98 - 3.59: 00.0M: 18.02 : 22.40 - 0.01 : 126.23 +0.61 0.00M: 1333.0 $67.70 : $91.26 +0.38 : 117.95 -0.54/
25: 263.63 +0.65: 86.8M: 17.84 : 22.20 - 0.20 : 125.41 - 0.82 5.85M: 1322.8 $68.05 : $91.19 - 0.07 : 117.16 --0.79/
26: 266.31 +2.68: 59.6M: 16.24 : 22.59 +0.09 : 124.97 - 0.44 7.46M: 1417.9 $68.19 : $91.56 +0.37 : 117.98 +0.82/
27: 266.56 +0.25: 50.2M: 15.41 : 22.73 +0.14 : 125.50 +0.53 5.34M: 1323.4 $68.10 : $91.53 - 0.05 : 118.89 +0.91/
30: 264.51 - 2.05: 65.0M: 15.93 : 22.28 - 0.45 : 124.59 - 0.91 9.59M: 1319.2 $68.57 : $91.86 +0.27 : 119.10 +0.21/ 074, 0,630
===
01: 264.98 +0.47: 62.2M: 15.49 : 22.31 +0.03 : 123.71 -0.88 7.49M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.46 +0.64 : 118.41 -0.43/
02: 263.20 -1.78: 86.4M: 15.97 : 22.38 +0.07 : 123.65 -0.06 7.61M: 1000.0 $00.00 : $92.51 +0.05 : 118.28 -0.13/
03: 262.62 -0.58: 136.M: 15.90 : 22.65 +0.00 : 124.28 +0.63 4.86M: 1312.7 $68.43 : $92.44 -0.07 : 118.81 +0.53/
04: 266.02 +3.40: 71.1M: 14.77 : 22.65 +0.00 : 124.54 +0.26 5.81M: 1314.7 $69.72 : $92.57 +0.13 : 118.99 +0.18/

 

 

[drbubb]

Long Term Charts updated from time-to-time, to at least: June 30, 2017

Prices---- > YrE.'16 : YrE.'17 : change
Gold ------ : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% :
GLD ------ : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% :
Ratio ------: r10.51 : r10.59 :
GDX ------ : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% :
GDXJ ---- : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% :
SLV-------- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% :
SHcomp : $0,000. : $3,307. :

IWM / etf for Russell-2000 - 12/31/16 : $134.85,  12/31/17 : $152.46 :

... All : 10-yrs : 12mos // SPY ... : To-End-2015 : last-12mos

EIGHT KEY CHARTS
=================

SPY / S&P500 etf - (UP) ...SPY: to 12/31/16 : $223.53,  12/31/17 : $266.86

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but may be rolling over soon

.
TLT / T-Bonds etf - (DOWN) ... TLT: to 12/31/16 : $119.13,  12/31/17 : $126.86

All / 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Made an important Peak in 2016 (?) identified in prior chart here !

.
UUP / USDollar x2 etf - (Peaking?) ... to 12/31/16 : $26.46,,  12/31/17 : $24.03

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is still UP, but looking very tired

.
USO / Oil etf - (Battling DOWNtrend) ... to 12/31/16 : $11.72, 12/31/17 : $12.01

All / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : 10yrL : Price is battling that old Downtrend

.
XLE / Oil stocks - (Fighting back UP) ... to 12/31/16 : $75.32,  12/31/17 : $72.26

ALL / Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : TREND is DOWN, reversing?

.
OIH / Oil service - (Fight DOWNtrend) ... $11.72, 2016  ,  12/31/17 : $26.05

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Major Bottom in place?

.
GLD / Gold etf - (Reversing Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : 109.61,  12/31/17 : $123.65

All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversing to Up?

.
GDX / Gold stocks - (Breaking Downtrend?) ... 12/31/16 : $20.92,  12/31/17 : $23.24

GDX ... All : Cal'13 : 3 years : 4 years : 5yrs : 10yrs : Reversed to Up in 2016 maybe?

.

HUI Chart - price data goes back further ... 12/31/16 : 182.31, 2016 range: $99.19 to 286.05 : +199.4% - beta 7.64

All-data-update :

China's Shanghai index last bounced of a support level near 2,600
ShComp 12/31/16 : 3103.6, 2016 range: 2638.3 to 3538.7 : +34.12% - beta 1.305

CN : SHcomp ... All-Log : All-Data

===== other CHARTS =====

10yrs : SLV : GDXJ : / log : AGQ : PSLV : UGL : ??

PHM +, GDXJ -, RGLD -, HK:HSI +, HK:12 -new,

[drbubb]

Gold's 4-6 months Cycle:

For months, I have been saying: "Low due near year-end maybe?"

"Next Cycle Low (in GDX) could be Dec. 2017" - it was! ... prior : update

GLD, updated: 1-yr: 2-yr : 3-yr : update : prior / UK:GBS: $115.50/ HK-2840 : HK-3081:

HISTORY: The longer history of the cycles looked like this: 2013-15 :

: Low, Dec.15th,2016: 1129.8 / $103.04 = 10.96 / intraday: 1123/$103= 10.90

Look what happened after that Dec.2015 Low - a Nice Rally ! .....And then once again after a Dec. 2016 Low:

TMF (2x Bull etf of Long TBonds, like TLT)

These prices tend to move together : TMF, GDX, UGLD, SLV : Bonds, Gold stocks, Gold, and Silver.  And they have been moving in a shared 4-6 months cycle

TMF-etc... 2-yrs : 5-yrs : 6-mos : update / 10-d : prior month chart showed a divergence - but Gap of UGLD-TMF narrowed

TMF-etc.10d ... update: Chart below is updated to 2/01/2018

[drbubb]

BRADLEY Model : "TURN dates"

SPY... 2015-2018: 12-31-16: $223.53 / 12-29-17: $266.86 : +19.4%

2016 : +Jan. 5, -May 10, +June 1, -July 5, +??, -Sep. 28, +Nov. 29

2017 : +Dec. 29, -Apr.17, +Apr.29, -Jun.21, +Aug.19, -Sep.7, +Dec.3, /

2018  : -Jan.4, +Jan.17

Model for 2017-8?: 2017 : 2016 : 2015 :

===

Historical TURN: Bonds peaked first in 2015, then the Dollar, then stocks...

TLT... 2015-2018 : 12-31-16: $119.13 / 12-31-17: $126.86 : +6.49%

USD trade-weighted dollar:

DXY ... 2015-2018 : DXY-all-data : 12-31-16: $102.36 / '17: $92.28 : -9.72%

sym: ye.2016 : ye.2017 : %.chg : 2017-H :
SPY : $223.53 : $266.86 : +19.4% : 268.60 :
TLT : $119.13 : $126.86 : +6.49% : 129.57 :
DXY : $102.21 : $92.282 : -9.72% : 103.82 :
Djia  : $19,763 : $24,719 : +25.1% : 24,876 :
GLD-: $109.61 : $123.65 : +12.8% : 128.32 :
EUR-: $1.0520 : $1.2001 : +14.1% : 1.2093 :
Dj/E : E18,786 : E20,597 : +9.64% :
PHP-: P49.606 : P50.009 : +0.00% : 52.006 :
====

OTHER Indices : USO : GLD : GDX : PHM : IYR : UGLD-vsGDX : : IMGHST.co

[drbubb]

Bitcoin fell back on its first attempt at $20,000 (so far)

"But the 2-3 months cycle may be bottoming around year-end.

Clif High thinks the price will be at $13,000 in Feb. & will reach $64k - 100k during 2018, in next wave."

(In edit - at 3/3/2018):

Bitstamp -12month chart ... update

BTS .. 12 mo w/ Cycles - bottomed nr. End-Jan.? OLD cycle / 8yr: 12mo : b5  BTC 10 5d

BTS - all data : 1yrL: 12mo: 5mo: 2mo:

All-data

=====

12/31: 0.5481 x13100+0000=7180:+070:13150Mar(3950):7208/(3950:54.8%)
01/31: 0.5955 x10240-(000)=6098/0079:10319Mar(1100):6145/(0500:08.1%):+0397:10637 +600
02/28: 0.6100 x10950-(- 50)=6680: -100:10950Mar(-800):6680/(-750:11.2%):+0100:11048 +025,-.007: 11.6
MAR
03/06: 0.6155 x10880-(200)=6696:+045:10925Mar -1600:6724/-2350:34.2%: --550:11085 +205, -.011: 11.7
======
-Bonus: 0.225 x 12750= $3337; x10925= $2458: 4266: H:4588 / 0322/0.405=$795: $11,720

[drbubb]

The Demise of "Fakebook" (Facebook) is now readily Imaginable

Zuck may have 'ucked himself & FB by being too greedy and harvesting too much

How it was:

Symbol Company : YrE.' 15 :  YrE. '16 :  +1yr.chg : YrE. '17 : +2yr.chg : $-Last- : +change : P/ER : earn.ps
FB      / Facebook  : $104.66 : $115.05 : +  9.93% : $176.46 : +68.60% : $189.35 : +80.92% : 36.70 : $5.16 :

Latest

FB      / Facebook  : $104.66 : $115.05 : +  9.93% : $176.46 : +68.60% : $157.20 : +50.87% : 29.14 : $5.39 :

Versus SPX - etc : update

> new thread: Death of Facebook

[drbubb]

TRUMP TRADE ROW

Will Emerging markets benefit?

That is the theory of Mr John Denn of London-based Ashmore Group PLC who thinks that developed countries like China and Europe will be hit, and Emerging markets less so

EEM vs. SPX, UKX ... update

But US stocks (SPX) have long been weaker than Emerging Mkts / EEM

 

[drbubb]

Two Bear etfs - Pulled back from Resistance

FAZ and TZA ... update

This chart suggests they may be "basing" for a move higher

[drbubb]

Latest: Wheat up, while US Stocks stay weak

==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :   03/02 :  : 03/09 :  03/16 :  03/23 : 03/29 : 04/06 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1323.4 :  1324.0 : 1312.3 : 1349.9 : 1327.3 : 1336.1 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.39 : 125.39 : 125.54 : 124.60 : 127.61 : 125.79 : 126.39 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 275.45 : 269.08 : 278.87 : 274.20 : 258.05 : 263.15 : 259.72 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2743.2 : 2762.1 : 2691.3 : 2786.6 : 2752.0 : 2588.3 : 2640.9 : 2604.5 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 207.5%: 206.5%: 203.4% : 210.5%: 209.7%: 191.7% : 199.0% : 194.9% :
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  17.285 : 16.710 :16.470 : 16.610 : 16.270 : 16.580 : 16.268 : 16.360 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $16.22 : $15.66 : $15.56 : $15.63 : $15.39 : $15.58 : $15.41 : $15.43 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $72.46 : $66.95: $68.45 : $67.31 : $66.77: $67.41: $67.35 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $65.45 : $61.25 : $62.04 : $62.41 : $65.88 : $64.94 : $62.06 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== :  r21.52 : r-20.43 : r21.61 : r-21.34 : r-21.03 : r-20.48 : r-20.44 : r-21.53 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.795 : $2.850 : $2.690 : $2.730 : $2.690 : $2.630 : $2.730 : $2.700 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.230 : $3.190 : $3.120 : $3.140 : $3.110 : $2.993 : $3.030 : $3.060 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 430.75 : 446.75 : 500.00 : 489.25 : 467.75 : 460.25 : 451.00 : 472.25 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 351.25 : 361.50 : 385.25 : 390.50 : 382.75 : 377.25 : 387.75 : 388.50 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 193.45 : 197.44 : 194.12 : 195.15 : 194.46 : 195.25 : 195.36 : 192.25 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.97 : $19.39: $19.35 : $19.19 : $18.87: $18.18: $18.72 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== : 9.73%  :  9.61%  : 9.90% :  9.92%  :  9.87 % :  9.66% :   9.31% :   9.74% :
Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: r-3.981 : r-3.820 : r3.453 :  r-3.537 : r3.508 : r-3.538 : r-3.707 : r-3.600 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $92.01 : $89.19 :: $89.91 : $90.87 : $90.19 : $89.48 : $89.81 : $89.78 :
====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1323.4 : 1324.0 : 1312.3 : 1349.9 : 1327.3 : 1336.1 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.589 : r-1.587 : r-1.588 : r-1.562 : r-1.59E : r1.569 : r1.554 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 841.35 : 833.98 :  833.73 : 840.22 : 850. E : 846.12 : 859.99 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $22.91 :  $21.49 : $21.57 : $21.43 : $22.12 : $21.98 : $22.07 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.13 : $19.32 : $19.72 : $19.72 : $20.40 : $20.37 : $20.60 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $32.29 : $31.73 : $31.73 : $31.41 : $32.78 : $32.15 : $32.39 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $30.70 : $28.95 : $30.04 : $29.38 : $28.65 : $29.49 : $30.03 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.05 : $48.13 : $49.75 : $49.21 : $46.89 : $48.28 : $47.08 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3462.1 : 3254.5 : 3307.2 : 3269.9 : 3152.8 : 3168.9 : 3131.1 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8810.8 : 8458.6 : 8372.5 : 8238.2 : 7970.8 : 7979.8 : 7945.7 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.36 : $28.44 : $29.70 : $28.87 : $26.82 : $27.57 : $27.17 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 153.83 : 152.35 : 158.92 : 157.80 : 150.05 : 151.83 : 150.36 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : =====  : 0.1836 : 0.1909 : 0.1867 : 0.1869 : 0.1830 : 0.1787 : 0.1816 : 0.1807 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840 : $8,800 : 11,117 : $8,750 :  $8,370 : $8,562 : $7,401 : $6,589 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :  03/02 :  : 03/09 :  03/16 :  03/23 :  03/29 :  04/06 :

 

[drbubb]

GDXJ's cycle may be bottoming

[drbubb]

20,000 Brainwashed SJW ideologues will determine what is Hate Speech at Fakebook

(Btw the 1st Amendment supports Free Speech, & does not ban anything called Hate speech, but these ill-educated Useful Idiots may not care)

“Hate speech is one of the hardest, because determining if something is hate speech is very linguistically nuanced. You need to understand what is a slur and whether something is hateful, not just in English, but a majority of people on Facebook use it in languages that are different across the world.”

Facebook has developed and deployed AI tools to find terrorist propaganda, Zuckerberg said, and nearly all ISIS and al Qaeda content that is removed from Facebook is flagged before “any human sees it.”

“That’s a success in terms of rolling out AI tools that can proactively police and enforce safety across the community,” Zuckerberg said. “Hate speech, I am optimistic that over a five to 10 year period we'll have AI tools that can get into some of the nuances, the linguistic nuances of different types of content to be more accurate in flagging things for our systems, but today is just not there on that.”

The Facebook CEO said that by the end of 2018, the company will have 20,000 employees devoted to security and content review.

> https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/mark-zuckerberg-optimistic-ai-tools-to-flag-remove-hate-speech-on-facebook-will-be-developed-in-5-10-years

The truth seems to be that hate speech is anything that will make these idiots uncomfortable.

If you are with me, you may think that it is IMPORTANT to make young progressives uncomfortable, when they are blocking non-PC Truths

[drbubb]

BTS ... 1-mo

[drbubb]

The Zuck-in' Highlights

Zuckerberg's Senate hearing highlights in 10 minutes

If Zuck was honest, we would talk about his CIA connections.
He's on the wrong page when he talks about Fake News & Hate Speech.
His idea of real news is CIA Lies.
His idea of Hate Speech is probably ALLOWED by the 1st Amendment.
Almost No one cares about hurting the feelings of 20-something SJW's.
Merely telling THE TRUTH hurts the feelings many brainwashed young idiots

[drbubb]

Gutted like a Fish here... But much more work needs to be done.

"A platform for all views".  Right. Sanctimonius BS from Zuckerberg

[drbubb]

Bitcoin, the Biggest Bubble in History, Is Popping

The greatest bubble in history is popping, according to Bank of America Corp.

The cryptocurrency is tracking the downfalls of the other massive asset-price bubbles in history less than one year out from its record, analysts lead by Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett wrote in a note Sunday.

The cryptocurrency has fallen more than 65 percent since peaking in December at $19,511. Bitcoin rose 2.2 percent to $6,750 on Monday.

[drbubb]

Trump was Persuaded to Run... Allowed a legal Coup d'etat

CORSI EXPOSES TRUTH | TRUMP RECRUITED BY MILITARY!!!

I find Corsi's remarks credible, though they will be mind-blowing for many.
Especially for those who have gorged themselves at the fake new troughs of CNN, MSNBC, etc

[drbubb]

Gold Up on War fears... but the rally may not last

WHICH is it?

Gold Surges to 7-Wk High On Safe-Haven Buying NewsApr 11

Gold Prices Off Highs Following Hawkish Fed Minutes NewsApr 11

Trump Missile Threat Pushes Gold Prices To Two-Week High  NewsApr 11

Weak Inflation Data Push Gold Prices To Session Highs Kitco NewsApr 11

VIDEO NEWS: Kevin O'Leary Is Wrong; Gold Miners Will Outperform - ...Video NewsApr 11

=====

Gold and silver prices were ending the U.S. day session with solid gains Wednesday, on safe-haven demand. Gold hit a seven-week high today and silver notched a two-month high. There is elevated anxiety in the marketplace at mid-week regarding U.S. military intentions after Syria used poisonous gas on its civilians. President Trump tweeted today, warning Russia that U.S. missiles are coming and that Russia won’t be able to shoot them down. He also said Russia should not be aligning with an “animal” (Syria’s Assad) that gasses his own people. June Comex gold futures were last up $15.30 an ounce at $1,361.00. May Comex silver was last up $0.209 at $16.805 an ounce.

. . .

Gold prices pushed to session highs after U.S. inflation data came in weaker than expected.

Wednesday, the U.S. Labor Department said its U.S. Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% in March, after increasing 0.2% in February. The drop was weaker than expected as consensus forecasts were calling for an unchanged reading.

The decrease in inflation pressures did not have a major impact on the annual data. For the year CPI rise 2.4%, its highest read in a year.

Monthly core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.2%, following a 0.2% increase in February. The data was in line with economist expectations.

Annual core inflation jumped to 2.1% last month, its highest level in more than a year.

The weak inflation data was positive for the gold market, which is also benefiting from rising geopolitical tension. Ahead of the report gold was trading at a two-week high after President Donald Trump issued a warning on Twitter, of imminent military action in Syria. June Comex gold futures last traded at $1,258.20 an ounce, up almost 1% on the day.

While gold is sees as an inflation hedge, analysts have said that weak prices pressure could help gold because it will keep the Federal Reserve from aggressively raising interest rates.

Markets will get a better read on the opinions among central bankers later this afternoon when the minutes from the March monetary policy will be released.

Although core CPI has now pushed above 2% for the first time in more than a year, economists don’t think it will prompt the Fed to move any quicker than previous expected.

. . .

[drbubb]

15 Memes Mocking Mark Zuckerberg’s Senate Hearing

Getty/Chip Somodevilla

by Charlie Nash11 Apr 2018762

A plethora of memes were forged during Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s congressional hearings on Tuesday and Wednesday. Here are some of the highlights.

Robot Zuck

Matthew Teague

Mark Zuckerberg’s manner has always reminded me of someone, but I could never quite grasp hold of it.

Just now it hit me, watching him testify ...about Data.

Everything is Fine Zuck

Creepy Joe Biden
Winklevoss Twins
Senators' Questions
Facebook Memories

Booster Seat
Reptile Zuck

[drbubb]

DIFFERING Views

Cryptos Can Tumble Down To Zero At Any Time For Any Reason — ... Kitco NewsApr 11

Bond King Jeff Gundlach Says Gold Could Rally $1,000 ... Kitco NewsApr 11

[drbubb]

TZA - bear etf - may be basing

[drbubb]

Thoughts from BEFORE the Bombs dropped

What struggled in the first quarter? Stocks, bonds, basically everything MarketWatch

7 reasons to stop worrying and instead stick with stocks MarketWatch

[drbubb]

TAME PRICE MOVES

Gold up just +0.9% on the Week, as Bombs drop in Syria late Friday.

==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :   03/02 :  03/29  : 04/06 :  04/13 :
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1323.4 :  1327.3 : 1336.1 : 1347.9 :
GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.33 : 126.39 : 125.39 : 125.79 : 126.39 : 127.45 :
SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 273.42 : 275.45 : 269.08 : 263.15 : 259.72 : 265.18 :
SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2743.2 : 2762.1 : 2691.3 : 2640.9 : 2604.5 : 2656.3 :
Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 207.5%: 206.5%: 203.4% : 199.0%: 194.9%: 197.1%:
Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% :  17.285 : 16.710 :16.470 : 16.268 : 16.360 : 16.660 :
SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $16.22 : $15.66 : $15.56 : $15.41 : $15.43 : $15.68 :
XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : -4.09%: $74.97 : $72.46 : $66.95: $67.41: $67.35 : $71.41 :
WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $61.44 : $65.45 : $61.25 : $64.94 : $62.06 : $67.39 :
Au/Wt:  r-21.4 :  r-21.7 : ====== :  r21.52 : r-20.43 : r21.61 : r-20.44 : r-21.53 : r20.01 :
Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.795 : $2.850 : $2.690 : $2.730 : $2.700 : $2.730 :
Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.230 : $3.190 : $3.120 : $3.030 : $3.060 : $3.070 :
Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47% : 430.75 : 446.75 : 500.00 : 451.00 : 472.25 : 472.50 :
Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 351.25 : 361.50 : 385.25 : 387.75 : 388.50 : 386.25 :
CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 193.45 : 197.44 : 194.12 : 195.36 : 192.25 : 199.70 :
DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : -6.06%: $18.83 : $18.97 : $19.39: $18.18: $18.72 : $18.91 :
D/crb: 10.37% :  9.67% : ====== : 9.73%  :  9.61%  : 9.90% :  9.31% :   9.74% :   9.47% :
Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: r-3.981 : r-3.820 : r3.453 :  r-3.707 : r-3.600 : r-3.776 :
DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $92.01 : $89.19 :: $89.91 : $89.81 : $89.78 : $89.50 :
====
Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1322.3 : 1337.3 : 1323.4 : 1327.3 : 1336.1 : 1347.9 :
Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r1.584 : r-1.589 : r-1.587 : r-1.569 : r-1.554 : r-1.557 :
Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 834.86 : 841.35 : 833.98 :  846.12 : 859.99 : 865.89 :
GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $23.67: $22.91 :  $21.49 : $21.98 : $22.07 : $22.89 :
WPM: $19.32 : $22.27 : +15.3% : $21.95 : $21.13 : $19.32 : $20.37 : $20.60 : $21.24 :
Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $34.48 : $32.29 : $31.73 : $32.15 : $32.39 : $33.49 :
PHM: $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $34.54 : $30.70 : $28.95 : $29.49 : $30.03 : $29.29 :
EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $49.13 : $49.05 : $48.13 : $48.28 : $47.08 : $47.57 :
ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3391.8 : 3462.1 : 3254.5 : 3168.9: 3131.1 : 3159.1 :
PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 8770.0 : 8810.8 : 8458.6 : 7979.8: 7945.7 : 7900.0 :
XLF-  : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $28.41 : $29.36 : $28.44 : $27.57: $27.17 : $27.46 :
IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 154.75 : 153.83 : 152.35 : 151.83: 150.36 : 153.95 :
F/iwm 0.1724 : 0.1784 : =====  : 0.1836 : 0.1909 : 0.1867 : 0.1816 : 0.1807 : 0.1784 :
BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : 15,840 : $8,800 : 11,117 : $7,401 : $6,589 : $8,000 :
==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg :  01/05 :  02/02 :   03/02 :  03/29  : 04/06 :  04/13 :

Silver-to Gold Ratio - on likely Support level at/near 12.2% (AU/AG: 82X)

[drbubb]

BITCOIN Price ... BTS-5mo :

Update: 4/16: now at key resistance: 8400

[drbubb]

GOLD & Silver Poised?  Maybe

Silver shares / SIL: Global X Silver Miners

SIL- etc ... update

 

GOLD READY FOR HUGE RUN HIGHER - Keith Neumeyer

Silver is cheap:

GOLD- to- Silver Ratio is over 80:1

SIL (silver shares) look Cheap relative to GDXJ (Junior Gold shares):

Ratio: SIL -to-GDXJ

==