CHARTS : #2 - for Everyday Viewing

[drbubb]

CH#2: #1:  ChGE : MP: PP: / GStk: LQD: News: kit: TonyC jk : EurSil  +kf: krFres uk: HkPh 3A: h101 10: uG :

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Gold Gbs / Usd / AG3d Gld / iwm / CU wti / PreM / Live: SpyAft vSoxx etc F: SPX 12 inv: VIX Tza: DAX world: UKus 2 :

http://www.kitco.com/images/live/t24_au_en_usoz_6.gif : http://www.weblinks247.com/exrate/24hr-euro-small.gif :http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/gold/t24_au_en_euoz_2.gif:

http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_hui_en_2.gif : http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/silver/t24_ag_en_usoz_2.gif: http://www.kitconet.com/charts/metals/base/spot-copper-1y.gif :

http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_russell_en_2.gif http://www.weblinks247.com/indexes/idx24_usd_en_2.gif :

>News : DrRp tld rDT : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : TObs TWYS video: RenA : Rvd : FxN : BubleXmas :

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?m=bitstampUSD&v=1&t=S&noheader=1&height=80&width=750&r=5

/ 8yr: 12m B : 5m 2m 1m : 25 10 5d 2d: bx: bch eth / SLV-lv: SILvG : ukAuStk wGbs  wGcm : Oils : uk:

 >6mo : Dxy : Tlt : Gbs Gld : Gdx J J3 Hui : Slv Sil: DXY 10d: Eur / SPY : IwmSx+ go FL 10d F LT: sw :

#1: 2: 3: 4: 5: X Y Z ?: Bells 10d :3mo/ ff mux gzz gdxj = N: 2: go: Top5 10d U:2 ; gcm bb: wm: MUX :

Silver // OIH comp: 6mo Top5 : nxt5 : drlr : oth : OBell o uo/ 10d Top5 : nxt5 : drlr : oth : bells O uo UK :

CleanUp: Lg.: Bt.: W. : US /

http://www.kitco.com/images/live/silver.gif?0.6058618726160527

Gold

http://www.kitco.com/images/live/gold.gif?0.6926577608530164

Larry P "said he thought he would buy back in 'soon', but did not want to stay long, while the EUR was so weak"

CNY (Yuan) vs. GLD & SLV : 10d : 3mo : CNY, EUR vs Gold etfs-... 5d : 5d-flip : 10d-flip : ugld+ :

GOLD vs Bonds, including TIPS (inflation protected bonds)

Made valuable discovery today, on what drives Gold price / Is it Correlated to TIPS prices?

GLD ($132.14) vs TLT ($132.44: r-100%) from 5.Jul.19 : Oct-19: 10d / 10.21.20: GLD:$180.60 / TLT:$158.70= r-113.8%

Chart is updated from time to time

update / GLD: top $2,089 / $194.45= r10.74 = Gold: $1,878 at 12.23.20 / Gold: $1,830 / GLD: $172.14 =r10.00 5.11.21

GLD to-LTPZ Ratio : 21.4x ... March'2021 Peak in Gold maybe?  r-24+?

==

Gold could be set for a bigger rally.  Will help if Bonds rise...

Gold (GLD) & Bonds (TLT) had correlated for a long time.  but that correlation is weakening. Suggesting some concerns about US govt risk

Looks like GLD / Gold has become a superior "Equity Risk off" Trade to equities.  Gold may be delinking from Bonds now

==

The SWINGS IN GOLD, & cyclical Turns become even more obvious, when you also monitor TIPS prices

TIPS (inflation protected securities) vs Bonds (TLT) & Gold (GLD) ... 5yr :  mirror : fr. X-2014 : 1yr:

==

EUR-etc... 10d : $1.115

Neowave's "Peaking Gold" forecast, might require breaking the historical correlation between Strong EUR / Strong Gold

 

[drbubb]

SLV - Weekly : Daily ... $16.09 @ Mar. 4th, 2020

PSEI-starter ... fr. 2015:  2017 / 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 6mo: 10d / 7,370 + GLO:1,889 / BPI-etc: 10d : 6mo: 5yr /

SLV - Weekly : Daily - 1 year ...

Gold & Silver still looking good, after last week's selloff - March 5th 2020 Update

GOLD to SILVER ratio recently hit a Record High of 100x.  I still like silver

Supported by rising Bonds (TLT), and TIP Bonds (LTPZ)

GLD vs.: SLV, / TLT, & LTPZ ... from 10.May.2020 : $154.16, TLT:$154.67 / SLV:$16.09, LTPZ: $80.67

SLV to-GLD ratio got down to just 10.20%. Bounce or rally may be underway

Gold -toSilver ratio: At 95.27x , which is still very high

GLD -toTLT ratio : 99.67% / For many months, has been swinging a little either side of 100% Ratio

SLV -toLTPZ ratio: 20% : down to a Low below 20% - Note the Cycle

===

[drbubb]

SIL / Global X Silver Miners ETF vs SLV / Silver etf

SIL vs SLV ... 2yr : 1yr : 6mo : From 12/6/17 ... SIL: $25.19 -0.56 / SLV: $14.60 -0.06 / R: 1.725: 5d :

Ratio : SIL -to-SLV is "stuck" near 2.0 (but could break out again): SIL-$30.21 / SLV-$15.78 = R 1.914

== S: Jul15c $0.80 / Jul29c $1.60 : $11,200 : 30.6/15.8= R1.937 -locked!

[drbubb]

JNUG / Jr.Gold shs x3 Bull etf ... 3yrL : 1yr : 6mo : 10d / Last: $9.01 - 0.49 (yr.L: $6.13 / H: 20.50 )

SIL - Global X Silver miners etf - Top 5  : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d 5d / Last: $30.21 -0.31 : - 1.02% / KoZn-10d :

KorZinc -etc- SIL, Fres.L, Poly.L / 5yr : 2yr : 10d ...

FRES.L / Fresnillo PLC : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d / Last: GBP 1,216 - 83 : -6.39% : vol. 2.78 million

08/6/2018: 14:48

It seems JP Morgan have reduced their price target for FRES from 1400 to 1350. HTtps://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/news/AN_1528451335662437800/winners--losers-summary-standard-life-down-as-lloyds-exits-holding.aspx They have done the same to HOC which has fallen in the same way.

Top 5 Holdings : Charts: 10d 5d : Top 10 : Full Holdings (.csv) :

As of 6/7/18

Net Assets %	Sym / Name	Market Price ($)	Shares Held	Market Value ($)
12.60	Poly.L / POLYMETAL INTL	8.91	6,034,946	53,770,653.00
12.43	WPM  / WHEATON PREC MET	22.03	2,407,875	53,045,486.25
11.73	kr:010130  / KOREA ZINC CO	403.16	124,165	50,058,570.69
11.67	Fres.L / FRESNILLO PLC	17.43	2,857,073	49,800,571.99
5.08	Paas   / PAN AMER. SILVER	17.77	1,218,877	21,659,444.29

53.51%

[drbubb]

SLV / Silver vs DBA / Agri ... from Oct.2011 : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo / +SIL : 6mo-w/SIL :

UPDATED - in edit... 7/27/2018

DBA vs. SLV /(Agri.etf vs. Silver etf) ... update fr. 2.14.2017 : fr. 5.14.2015 : fr. 5.24.2013 : w/Eur :

DBA vs. SLV ... update :

update fr. 5.24.2013 : w/Eur :

[drbubb]

Wow. 

Big sudden beat-down in BTC to about 7,200

[drbubb]

EURo versus Gold etf's

EUR vs GLD etc ... update

EUR -etc ... 10d :

GLD / Gold on its own ... update :

==

[drbubb]

CDE / Coeur Mining vs. etc-GLD : etc-SLV ...

http://gabelli.com/Gab_pdf/finan/-123.pdf

[drbubb]

A "useful" (?) look backwards in Time

Might there be more to gain from this old podcast than just nostalgia? 

(Big moves on high were important then, and they still are.)

OVER SIX YEARS AGO - we wondered if GLD / Gold had put in its Top - It had!

Dominic Frisby speaks with Jonathan Davis and Michael Hampton about gold

Geologic8 6 years ago

Seems like the "rubbish" in the podcast was far more accurate than the negative comments from the Gold bulls - who can only see things one way. No wonder those sorts of inflexible "cultists" lose money over time.

 

The Podcast was done in early March 2012, and you can see what happened after the $100 drop

 

Gold - long term

GLD / Gold etf - since inception : GBS.L starter earlier :

Gold - the last three years : GLD-4yr :

Gold Is Approaching an All-Time Inflation-Adjusted Low

JUN 6, 2017

If we use the 1980 formula to measure inflation—the year gold peaked—you can see the current price is near all-time inflation-adjusted lows. In fact, gold is selling at roughly the same level as the early 1970s, when it was illegal to own in the US!

You can also see that the inflation-adjusted high would be a whopping $11,253 per ounce. Gold may or may not get to 5 figures, but this shows it certainly could if it repeated the performance from the 1970s. This data tells us that not only is gold dramatically undervalued at current prices, but the potential upside is enormous. If the gold price were to match the return from the past mania, it would have to rise 9 times from current levels!

Gold (GLD) vs. Resource related etfs, Energy shares (XLE) and Agricultural-Grains (DBA) ... from 2009 : all : 3yr : 6mo :

GBS / Gold Bullion Securites started trading earlier

Gold (GBS.L) vs. Resource related etfs, Energy shs (XLE) & Agricultural-Grains (DBA) ... > 3/2004 : 1/2008 : 3yr : 6mo :

/ since 2008 : Below is updated to 1/4/2019 : GBS-$120.83

[drbubb]

GLD / Gold vs possible inflation bellwethers :

XLE (energy), DBA (grains/food) . update : from 2008: 2yr : 6mo : 10d : sep.2022 update

GLD : turnDate : $-GLD- : $-XLE-  ( Pct. ) : $-DBA-  ( Pct. )
low - 11/12/08 : $70.00 : $44.60 (63.7 %) : $24.61 (35.2 %)
high- 08/22/11 : 184.59 : $62.73 (34.0 %) : $33.30 (18.0 %)
low - 12/17/15 : 100.50 : $60.38 (60.1 %) : $20.17 (20.1 %)
high- 04/11/18 : 128.11 : $70.64 (55.1 %) : $18.90 (14.8 %)
XLE
start 02/24/05 : $43.33 : $43.11 (99.5 %) : --N/A- (NA.0 %)
high- 05/20/08 : $90.90 : $90.39 (99.4 %) : $36.30 (39.9 %)
low - 03/05/09 : $91.99 : $38.37 (41.7 %) : $23.02 (25.0 %)
high- 06/23/14 : 126.85 : 101.29 (79.9 %) : $27.80 (21.9 %)
low - 01/20/16 : 105.37 : $51.77 (49.1 %) : $19.79 (18.8 %)
high- 05/21/18 : 122.48 : $78.91 (64.4 %) : $18.99 (15.5 %)

Ratio : XLE-to-GLD

Ratio : DBA-to-GLD

==

[drbubb]

GLD / Gold vs possible inflation bellwethers :

XLE (energy), DBA (grains/food) . update : GBS : 2yr : 6mo : 10d :

GLD : turnDate : $-GLD- : $-XLE-  ( Pct. ) : $-DBA-  ( Pct. )
low - 11/12/08 : $70.00 : $44.60 (63.7 %) : $24.61 (35.2 %)
high- 08/22/11 : 184.59 : $62.73 (34.0 %) : $33.30 (18.0 %)
low - 12/17/15 : 100.50 : $60.38 (60.1 %) : $20.17 (20.1 %)
high- 04/11/18 : 128.11 : $70.64 (55.1 %) : $18.90 (14.8 %)
XLE
start 02/24/05 : $43.33 : $43.11 (99.5 %) : --N/A- (NA.0 %)
high- 05/20/08 : $90.90 : $90.39 (99.4 %) : $36.30 (39.9 %)
low - 03/05/09 : $91.99 : $38.37 (41.7 %) : $23.02 (25.0 %)
high- 06/23/14 : 126.85 : 101.29 (79.9 %) : $27.80 (21.9 %)
low - 01/20/16 : 105.37 : $51.77 (49.1 %) : $19.79 (18.8 %)
high- 05/21/18 : 122.48 : $78.91 (64.4 %) : $18.99 (15.5 %)

Ratio : XLE-to-GLD

Ratio : DBA-to-GLD

==

[drbubb]

Weak Gold has brought a Ratio to a New high

SPX-to-Gold resistance at 200% is long gone. 235% might be possible.

The TLT-to-Gold Ratio is something I rarely look at...

Weak gold has lifted this ratio.

Silver has been weaker than Gold since mid-2016

[drbubb]

STOCKS VS GOLD – A VICIOUS FALL COMING

The chart I am talking about is the stock market compared to gold. I will take the US market as the example but the ratio chart gold versus stocks could be applied to most stock markets in the world.

If we first look at the Dow/Gold chart since 1997, we find that it topped in July 1999 at 45. This means that one unit of the Dow bought 45 ounces of gold. It then crashed by 87% to 6 in 2011. Since then there has been a steady recovery to the 20 level. In technical terms that means a very normal 38% correction.

So 19 years after the Dow/Gold top in 1999, the stock market is still extremely weak measured in real terms or real money which is gold. And this is in spite of a major recovery in stocks since the 2009 bottom. This bodes ill for stocks. Whether the correction goes a bit higher than the 20 level is irrelevant. The chart shows that stocks have recovered in nominal terms due to massive money printing. But in real terms, stocks are in a long term downtrend since 1999 and this downtrend will soon resume with a vengeance.

DOW GOLD – FOUR CRASHES SINCE 1837: 70%, 90%, 96%, 87%

To understand the longer trend we need to look at a long term chart since 1800. The chart below shows that stocks have been in a long term uptrend against gold for 200 years.

> http://www.investmentwatchblog.com/dow-gold-a-98-fall-next/

[drbubb]

Gold etfs - Is an important bottom in?

GBS / GOLD Bullion Secs.: UK's Gold etf ... all data : Log :

: Log :

==

GLD  ... all data :

HK-2840 / gold etf ... All : Log :

==

[drbubb]

Is SOXX beginning to Warn of A Downturn?

SOXX vs IWM & SPY ... fr. mid-Aug.2013 : 5yr : 2yr : 6mo : 10d

/Last: $179.56 /SPY-$285.67 = r-62.9%, IWM: 168.82

The Ratio (to / SPY) has started down already - but could stall at yesterday's close

[drbubb]

SPX versus UKX (Ftse) & EEM (Emerging Mkt index) ... 10yr : 5yr : 2yr :

SPX vs EEM (Emerging Mkts) ... update

Ratio: SPX-to-EEM

[drbubb]

SOXX-SPY : the Gap Widened... to the downside - maybe be signalling a stock Drop

Ratio Bounced off support at 62% yesterday

fr. 11/1/17 : SOXX: $172.09>183.10 -1.16%,wed

/ SPY: $257.49>289.12 +0.02%:= Ratio: 66.85% > 63.33% : 94.73% (-5.27%)

10d

[drbubb]

Dow Jones peaking area? Switch from Stocks to Gold?

DJIA / DJ Ind. Aver. ... all-data : 10-yr : 5-yr : 2-yr : 6mo : 10d/ Last: 26,743.5

INDU / DJ Ind. Aver.

Dow-toGold

Dow /Gold Ratio

=

[drbubb]

UranOil / Uranium vs USO & CCO.t ... mid2010 : 2015 : 2018 :

: 2018 :

==

[drbubb]

The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond index, linked to trillions of dollars of fixed-income, is on track to post its second-worst showing in history.

TLT - versus GLD and SLV ... update :

Opinion: Is it time to buy the two most-hated assets?

Silver and Treasuries are in the doldrums, making them attractive according to contrarian investing

[drbubb]

Can DBA & GLD lead precious metal shares higher?

DBA-vs: GLD, GDX, SLV, SIL ... update : w/XLE, FCX :

: w/XLE, FCX :

On the longer term charts, the bounce in DBA hardly shows up

GBS-GoldBullion vs: DBA, XLE, EUR ... update :

[drbubb]

Having fun... with the Hang Lung "Stock market predictor indicator"

I stumbled across this "indicator" by accident...

Hang Lung Properties (HK:101) trades in Hong Kong, and closes BEFORE New York stocks open.

Recently, it has been giving reasonably accurate predictions of how IWM / Russell 2000 etf will trade later

HK-101 vs IWM and SOXX ... HIS-10d : +HSI+UKX :

I have some ideas about why this is working, but I want to follow it for more days before talking about those theories

(added in Edit)

Longer term, the highs and lows in HLP lined up with some of the IWM turning points, but not all

HK-101 versus IWM and SOXX ... : weekly chart :

The Magnitude of moves was massively different.  And there was one big MISS on the Low in the middle

[drbubb]

Tech Holders get Zvcked!

SPY vs SOXX, FB, etc ... 10d :

Stock : --11/19-- : - Chg.  : - Pct.- : MktCap : Old.MCp: -1d.chg: SPYpt: income: PER:
FB----- : $131.44 : -$7.98 : -5.72%: $401.0B: $425.3B: -$24.3B: - 0.27 : $19.5B: 20.6 :
AMZN: 1512.29 : -81.12 : -5.09%: $779.1B: $820.9B: -$41.8B: - 0.47 : $08.9B: 87.5 :
AAPL : $185.86 : -$7.67 : -3.96%: $918.4B: $956.3B: -$37.9B: - 0.43 : $59.5B: 15.4 :
NFLX : $270.60 : -15.61 : -5.45%: $124.8B: $129.3B: -$04.5B: - 0.05 : $01.3B: 96.0 :
GOOG: 1020.00 : -41.49 : -3.91%: $740.6B: $770.7B: -$30.1B: - 0.34 : $18.8B: 39.4 :
==== 
Faang: $2963.9 : -138.6 : -4.68%: 2963.9B: 3102.5B:-138.6B: - 1.56 : $108.B: 27.4:
SPY- : $269.10 : - $4.63 : -1.69%: 23.88Tr*: 24.29Tr*: - 410.B: - 4.63 : $1.09Tr 22.0:
NDX- : 6642.92: - 224.1 : -3.26%:

=====

*SPX MktCap was $25.79Tr. at 9/30/18 ($290.72/269.10=1.080) = $23.88Tr

Faang's Drop of -138.6B was 33.8% ($1.56 spy pts) of the $410B drop in SPX

Faang's MarketCap was 12.4% of the $23.88 Trillion MarketCap of the SPX

Without the FAANG's SPX dropped from 21.19Tr to 20.92Tr : that's 1.27%, 3.44pts

[drbubb]

Socialism or Capitalism?

A TRUMP THANKSGIVING VS A OBAMA/CLINTON THANKSGIVING

apital

[drbubb]

US Stocks may have an UP Day on WED

HK: HSI : 25,971 + 131.13 : +0.51% / vs. LOD: 25,495 : +0.00%

UK: UKX: 6,993.4 + 45.48 : +0.65% / vs. LOD : 6,947.9: +0.00%

SPY - etc ... 10-d : flip-to-UKX :