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Philippines Gold Miners : APX vs PX, BC etc


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UPDATE, DEC...  APX is getting some help from rising UGL/ Gold

PX vs APX: APX / PX  : Prem.?= Ratio:  ========= : UGL :  apx%
12.12.23:    2.88 / 2.96: (0.08)=  97.3% ( - 2.7% disc.): 59.25: 4.86%

11.06.23:    2.65 / 2.87: (0.22)=  92.3% ( - 7.7% disc.): 60.61:  4.37% *11.03 ugl
9.13.23 :     2.50 / 2.75: (0.25)=  90.9% ( - 9.1% disc.): 56.46: 4.43%
7.27.23 :     3.04 / 2.97: +0.07 = 102.4% (+2.4% prem) 59.36: 5.12%
7.03.23:     2.42 / 2.79 : (0.37)=  86.7% (-13.3% disc):  58.42: 4.14%
5.04.23:     3.20 / 3.05: +0.15 =  104.9% (+4.9% prem) 67.47: 4.74%

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APX since 2015:  2020: Last: P 2.87

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GLD - semi-annual: from 2022: Last: 177.30 : APX: 2.50, is 4.42% of UGL (56.53)

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APX vs PX :  2.42 +0.06 / 2.79 +0.07... (0.37 under) = Ratio: 86.7%

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===:  APX :  PX  : prem.:  Ratio :     disc.
4.26: 2.90 : 3.19 : (0.29): 90.9%: - 9.09%
4.27: 2.84 : 3.17 (0.33): 89.6%: - 10.4%
4.28: 2.99 : 3.11 :  (0.12) : 96.1 %: - 3.86%
5.02: 2.89 : 2.90: (0.01): 99.7%: - 0.34%
5.03: 3.05 : 2.98: + 0.07 : 102.3% +2.35%
5.04: 3.20 : 3.05:  + 0.15 : 104.9% +4.92%
5.05: 3.07 : 3.10 :  (0.03) : 99.0%: - 0.97%:
 . . .
7.03: 2.42 : 2.78 :  (0.36) : 87.1 %: - 12.9%:
7.04: 2.48 : 2.80 :  (0.32) : 88.6%: - 11.4%:
7.05: 2.48 : 2.73 :  (0.25) : 90.8%: - 9.20%:
7.06: 2.52 : 2.79 :  (0.27) : 90.3%: - 9.70%:
Fri. : 2.60 : 2.77 :  ( 0.17) : 93.9%:  - 6.10%:

July 7th Update:  PX > APX

PAIRS Trade... Swap from PX (2.77, -0.02) > APX (2.59, +0.07) is starting to bear fruit!  Moved from APX at 87.1% > 93.5% of PX

I used the Pairs-trade swap from PX into APX (last week and at the beginning of this week), as a low-risk way to trade out what seemed like a bad foray into PX stock.  Now it APX rises back to a premium, I will have a decent profit out of a possible mistake

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  • 5 weeks later...

APX down... from recent High at 3.05, Yr.H at 3.27: Tuesday 8.02 drop on heavy volume. 20.35M

8.07 : APX ( 2.72 +0.02) - PX ( 2.84 +0.02) : 0.12 discount for APX

8.02 : APX ( 2.74 - 0.20) - PX ( 2.88 -0.11 ) : 0.14 discount

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APX down as US Debt downgrade to AA+ delivers higher rates, lower gold.              

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  • 1 month later...
C06339: Apex Mining press release - 1

"Better by 19% versus 1H 2022" APEX MINING 1H 2023 GROSS REVENUES HIT P5.7B

The consolidated gross revenues of Apex Mining Co., Inc. and its subsidiaries in the first half of 2023 reached P5.7 billion —19% higher than the P4.8 billion it reported for the same period in 2022.

Meanwhile, the consolidated net income in 1H 2023 was P1.4 billion (P168 million lower versus 1H of 2022). For 1H 2023, Apex Mining's Maco Mine operations milled a total of 378,564 tonnes — 3.0% lower than the same period in 2022. Quarter on quarter, the tonnes milled in the second quarter of 2023 is 7% higher.

The second quarter's ounces of gold produced is also 11% higher than the first quarter. Moreover, 2Q Au and Ag ounces sold are 17% and 19% higher, respectively, versus Q1. In Q1 2023, the company encountered many challenges, including an earthquake swarm as well as prolonged and heavy rainfall and landslides, that led to intermittent work stoppages for risk assessments and safety checks. All these disruptions totaled 5.74 workdays.

Despite these disruptions, gold recovery was at 87.34% — practically the same in the same period in 2022 (87.78%). Silver recovery rate was slightly lower at 72.14% against last year's 75.77%. The higher average realized gold price of $1,953/oz during the year (versus $1,901/oz in 2022) pushed the revenues up by 19% in 1H of 2023. Ore gold grades averaged 1% lower at 3.93 grams per tonne compared to the 1H of 2022 at 3.95 grams of gold per tonne. Based on the Mine Reserves and Resource Certifications of 2021, Apex Mining's Maco Mine has enough reserves and resources to continue at the targeted production rate of 3,000 tonnes per day until 2032. The ongoing exploration program for MPSA 225 and the acquisition of the Asia-Alliance Mining Resources Corp. assures Apex Mining of future gold resources as the extensions of existing mining veins in Maco Mine spill over to the tenements of AAMRC.

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PX vs APX: APX / PX  : Prem.?= Ratio:  ========= : UGL :  apx%
11.06.23:    2.65 / 2.87: (0.22)=  92.3% ( - 7.7% disc.): 60.61:  4.37% *11.03 ugl
9.13.23 :     2.50 / 2.75: (0.25)=  90.9% ( - 9.1% disc.): 56.46: 4.43%
7.27.23 :     3.04 / 2.97: +0.07 = 102.4% (+2.4% prem) 59.36: 5.12%
7.03.23:     2.42 / 2.79 : (0.37)=  86.7% (-13.3% disc):  58.42: 4.14%
5.04.23:     3.20 / 3.05: +0.15 =  104.9% (+4.9% prem) 67.47: 4.74%ACZn6Av.gif

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GLD - semi-annual : from2022: Last: 177.30 : APX: 2.50, is 4.42% of UGL (56.53)

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===

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APEX in recovery mode?  APX: 2.57 +0.04, 57.64: 22.42x,  CHEAP if >22x

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PX vs APX: 9.20: 2.57 / 2.75: (0.18)= R: 93.5% (- 6.5%) UGL: 57.78, 22.48x Beg. 5.02RvYtd:

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Date    :  APX  /  PX : Prem= Ratio disc/prem:  UGL : x APX : at 22.x or higher, APX is cheap!
9.20.23: 2.57 / 2.75: (0.18) =  93.5% ( -6.5%): 57.64: 22.42x
9.13.23: 2.50 / 2.75: (0.25) =  90.9% ( -9.1%): 56.46: 22.58x
8.31.23: 2.73 / 2.80: (0.07) =  97.5% ( -2.5%): 58.47:  21.41x
7.31.23: 2.93 / 2.95: (0.02) =  99.3% ( -0.7%): 60.58: 20.68x
6.30.23  2.36 / 2.72: (0.36)=  86.8% (-13.2%) 58.24: 24.68x

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  • 2 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...

APX is Riding with UGL (2x Gold)

APX (2.28) vs PX (2.70) : 0.42 discount, 84.4%.  / UGL (51.45) = 4.43%

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Update, Nov.6th : APX is doing some catch-up:  2.65 +0.06, +2.62% / UGL: $60.61= 4.37% 10d:

PX vs APX: APX / PX  : Prem.?= Ratio:  ========= : UGL :  apx%
11.06.23:    2.65 / 2.87: (0.22)=  92.3% ( - 7.7% disc.): 60.61:  4.37% *11.03 ugl
9.13.23 :     2.50 / 2.75: (0.25)=  90.9% ( - 9.1% disc.): 56.46: 4.43%
7.27.23 :     3.04 / 2.97: +0.07 = 102.4% (+2.4% prem) 59.36: 5.12%
7.03.23:     2.42 / 2.79 : (0.37)=  86.7% (-13.3% disc):  58.42: 4.14%
5.04.23:     3.20 / 3.05: +0.15 =  104.9% (+4.9% prem) 67.47: 4.74%ACZn6Av.gif

APX's GAP up filled (or mostly filled) on volatile Wednesday.  GAP is from P2.32

APX vs. UGL, 2x Gold: O:2.50, H:2.52, L:2.36, cl.: 2.45, Unch., /UGL ($53.19)= 4.61% 10d:

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  • 2 weeks later...

"Record quarterly income for APX. First time they reached PHP 1 billion in a quarter"

===== : 2021 :  2022 : 9mo’22 : 9mo’23 :  Q4.est:  2023.E
Revs.    :  7.41B: 10.31B:     7.5 B :      8.7 B :
x pct.   : 10.8%:  32.4%    32.4%    33.0%E
Net Inc.:  803M: 3.34B:   2.43Be   2.87Be :  1056M:   3.93B
X pct.   :  89.5%: 89.5%  x 89.5%:  x89.5% : x89.5%
Earns.? :  719.M: 2.99B:    2.17Be    2.57Be :   945M:
E.P.S.   :  0.1154:  0.48 :   0.349 :   0.412e :   0.152 :   0.564e
Divs.     :   0.00  : .0106 :   .0106 :    0.053   :
% EPS  :     n/a   : 2.0% :     3.1% :     12.9%  :  Policy=10%*
Sh. OS  :   6.23B: 6.23B:
Last: P2.62 / PER-4.68= P0.56.  Div 0.053= 2.02%

*Apex Mining Co. Inc. announced a new dividend policy entailing a cash dividend in an amount equivalent to 10 percent of its net income based on its consolidated audited financial statement for each year.

The dividend policy comes with a proviso that there is sufficient unrestricted retained earnings to cover the cash dividends.

Update: UGL (2x Gold) was us about 1.7% yesterday on the positive CPI news.  That would be 2.58 for APX (2.54 x1.0168,+0.04) would be a reflection of earnings news.

APX-PX : 2.54 - 2.80= (0.26): 90.7%. UGL-blue: / 57.69= 4.40%

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Previous (8.14.23)

C06339: Apex Mining press release - "Better by 19% versus 1H 2022"

APEX MINING 1H 2023 GROSS REVENUES HIT P5.7B The consolidated gross revenues of Apex Mining Co., Inc. and its subsidiaries in the first half of 2023 reached P5.7 billion — 19% higher than the P4.8 billion it reported for the same period in 2022.

Meanwhile, the consolidated net income in 1H 2023 was P1.4 billion (P168 million lower versus 1H of 2022). For 1H 2023, Apex Mining's Maco Mine operations milled a total of 378,564 tonnes — 3.0% lower than the same period in 2022. Quarter on quarter, the tonnes milled in the second quarter of 2023 is 7% higher. The second quarter's ounces of gold produced is also 11% higher than the first quarter. Moreover, 2Q Au and Ag ounces sold are 17% and 19% higher, respectively, versus Q1. In Q1 2023, the company encountered many challenges, including an earthquake swarm as well as prolonged and heavy rainfall and landslides, that led to intermittent work stoppages fo

(Updated, Nov. 14, 2023)

"APEX MINING REPORTS 17% HIGHER NINE-MONTH REVENUES"

The consolidated gross revenues for the nine months of 2023 (ending September 30) of Apex Mining Co., Inc. and its subsidiaries reached P8.7 billion — 17% higher than the P7.5 billion it reported for the same period in 2022. The consolidated net income, however, was lower by 6% at P2.3 billion compared to P2.5 billion as of 30 September 2022.

Its Q3 2023 net income earned grew higher by P129.6 million or 14% versus the third quarter net income in 2022. Still as of 30 September, the combined operations of Apex Mining's Maco mine in Davao de Oro and the Sangilo mine in Benguet (operated by its subsidiary Itogon-Suyoc Resources) milled a total of 701,713 tonnes —2% higher than the same period in 2022.

The consolidated gold ounces sold by these two operating mines for the three quarters of this year reached 77,652 (6% higher than the same period in 2022 at 73,219 ounces). The Maco mine, despite encountering many challenges in Q1 2023, maintained an 87% gold recovery rate in its Maco ore processing plant — practically the same as 2022's. The higher average realized gold price of $1,913/oz during the year (versus $1,817/oz in 2022) and favorable Philippine Peso to US Dollar exchange rate also helped push the revenues up in 2023. ISRI's Sangilo mine milled 104,270 tonnes in the first three quarters of 2023, 15% higher than the tonnes milled in the same period in 2022, at a grade of 3.51 grams per tonne of gold. Gold recovery rate was 86%.

Based on the Mine Reserves and Resource Certifications of 2021, Apex Mining's Maco Mine has enough reserves and resources to continue at the targeted production rate of 3,000 tonnes per day until 2032. The ongoing exploration program for MPSA 225 and the acquisition of the Asia-Alliance Mining Resources Corp. shores up Apex Mining's future gold resources as the extensions of existing mining veins in Maco Mine spill over to the tenements of AAMRC.

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  • 4 weeks later...
  • 3 weeks later...
  • 2 weeks later...

MARC  to APX, is getting cheap again

MARC, shorter term:

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MARC (0.93) / APX (2.94)= 31.6% vs. UGL($62.55 ) 4.70%mVaji8T.gif

Time  : Marc: APX : Ratio :  UGL: A-/Ugl :
Ye’22  : 1.20 : 1.85 : 64.9%: 54.78: 3.38%:
8.24-  : 0.66 : 2.70: 24.4%: 57.17:  4.72%:
8.30-  : 0.75 : 2.70 : 27.8%: 58.79:  4.59%:
Ye’23  : 1.08 : 3.00 : 36.0%: 63.87: 4.70%:
1.16.24: 0.93 : 2.94 : 31.6%: 62.55: 4.70%:
Target? 0.90 : 3.25 : 27.7%: $64? : 5.08%?

MARC (0.87) slid on THU to as low as 0.86

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