well, I think whatever who it would be, it filled the demand for those silver orders that were below 12.50. and as silver prices are moving in channels, we had previous channel established in range of 12.50 - 14.00 (for the last 2 weeks), once channel is broken, the next step is to retest the support of previous channel which is 12.50. When 12.50 reached market would feel unsure and would need to retest the low of 12.00
I pick the 10.80 as a bottom line for the chanel because on a weekly 10.80 has 2 confirmations, 11.50 only one. We might however get a pretty good bounce from 11.50, if we reach it at 16 sep (this is the FED interest rate statement, may be a point for dollar retracement)
yeah! good point. for example in december contract, the open interest increased, with the price going down:
http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV/C8
this means -> a lot of shorts
if they cover, we will have pretty good rally back