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Van

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Everything posted by Van

  1. Now in 2016... Nationwide London HP: £457,000 Gold in GBP: £757 Ratio: 603 ounces
  2. With Crude @ $32 and gold @ $1100, I make it that we are seeing a historical extreme in the Gold:oil ratio: 1100/32 = 34.3 http://www.macrotrends.net/1380/gold-to-oil-ratio-historical-chart = 0.03 Oil/Gold ratio Is this cheap? http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/dominic-frisby/is-oil-cheap-compared-to-stocks
  3. Looking stronger today. In hindsight, last week's interest rate decision looks to have put in a "lower high" in DXY. If so, the chances are good that gold has just put in a very long term double-bottom.
  4. Estate Agents say: It's a one-way bet! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35102130 House prices to rise 50% in 10 years, say estate agents Market top?
  5. Almost down to the 2008 low now. This plunge is effing insane.
  6. Important to note that neither GDX or Silver confirmed the recent new low in gold, and now we have a bounce today, things are looking much stronger. Could be a big short squeeze coming.
  7. BTL investors will be hit with a 3% surcharge: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34922738 Property value/Standard rate/Buy-to-let/second home rate (April 2016) Up to £125,000 0% 3% £125 - £250,000 2% 5% £250 - £925,000 5% 8% £925 - £1.5m 10% 13% over £1.5m 12% 15% those 5% and 8% bands are quite a significant uplift, imo.
  8. Trying to pick a bottom here.. tricky. Tight stop in place.
  9. New lows being touched.. looks like another leg down for Crude.
  10. Actually reasonably impressed with gold "only" down 1.5% following such a strong job report. Better to get it out of the way - only then can the bottom be "in".
  11. Downtrend looks like it has legs, and even BDEV has joined in now.
  12. Housing prices are in a bubble given the economic conditions, the BoE effectively admits: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34741331
  13. What a vicious beat down in the last 6 sessions, all because the market is stupid enough to actually think the Fed will follow through with their lip service.
  14. I'm liking what I see in the behaviour of silver - begun to hold up better than Gold during the selloffs, and then outperform on the way up. In fact it has just managed to poke its head above its 133dma. A very bullish sign for the PM sector in general.
  15. Turned around now after a disastrous US jobs report. Anyone who still thinks the Fed will tighten is delusional.
  16. What an utterly dejecting week for Gold - down all 5 days. Not bull market behaviour at all.
  17. Gold stocks went UP yesterday even despite gold going down - a very significant divergence (that needed to happen for the bull case).
  18. One thing that I have learnt in watching markets for 10 years is that it's stupid to make predictions that are against the major TREND. You won't catch the turns, but you will be protected from having your money or your reputation on the wrong side of a major move. Often a new trend won't emerge for a year or so, but better to be late than be wrong.
  19. Silver looking better than Gold since recent bloodbath. A good sign that we really have put in the bottom. Just 1% away from breakout from a double-bottom formation.
  20. Gold & silver looking good for a "higher low" pattern here. The 34dma has turned up. Now if it can take out 1170 on a rally from here then we have a higher high confirmed.
  21. 1079 and falling. So feeble - can't even manage a bounce. Bottom could easily still be 20-30% away.
  22. Yes, very ugly. "10% if your wealth into PMs and hope it does badly." is not bad investment advice. Gold:Sil ratio is now 75.
  23. The gold bugs have been complete idiots for the last 3 years. I include myself in this. No doubt the bottom will fall out of the recovery at some point, but if you held gold you are sitting on very substantial losses. Don't even mention silver. Where's the bottom? here? $1000? $800? No one has a clue at the moment. All that we know is that the price is falling and continues to go lower.
  24. The pain is never ending. What a turd. Dow/Gold ratio is now 14.
  25. It's death by a thousand down days right now.
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