drbubb Posted January 1, 2013 Report Share Posted January 1, 2013 Measured in Gold / Charts by G0ldfinger / Link to here : http://tinyurl.com/gei-GFX ================================ Latest Still on target... http://gold.approxim...lver_watch.html http://gold.approxim...es_RPI-adj.html /source: post#4642 : http://www.greenener...ic=4058&st=4640 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 1, 2013 Author Report Share Posted January 1, 2013 MORE: (1) Who's right? http://gold.approxim...lver_watch.html (2) http://gold.approxim...old_charts.html Chart of the month (January 2013) They say history does not repeat, but it rhymes sometimes. If, for the purpose of this little column, we assumed that gold price history rhymes from time to time, we would possibly first note, that ever since gold assumed its multi-decade low in 1999 (the infamous Brown Bottom) and then, a year or two later, started its rise in a now more than a decade long bull market, there have been five prominent price spikes: on 2001-05-21 with $288.35, on 2003-02-05 with $385.00, on 2006-05-12 with $725.75, on 2008-03-17 with $1,023.50, and on 2011-09-05 with $1,896.50 (prices are LBM AM Fixings). If we number these price spikes from 1 to 5, we can see that 1 and 2, respectively 3 and 4, are closer to each other. Expressed differently, they seem to come in pairs. Further more, the rise within the pairs (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) was 34% and 41%, while from one pair to the next (2 to 3 and 4 to 5), if we assume that the most recent fifth spike belongs to a pair as well, it was 89% and 85%. If we take the middle of these respective moves, and also extrapolate the times between them into the future, we could try and guess what a sixth (second spike in a third pair) and a seventh price spike (first spike in a fourth pair) could look like (see also chart below). Our guess would be 2013-06-24 with $2,603.37 (spike 6) and 2015-01-29 with $4,865.73 (spike 7). So, should you be surprised if you would see a $1,000 move in gold in the first half of 2013? We think you shouldn't. Best wishes for 2013 from the Approximity Gold Team! === /see: http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=2874&st=29760 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 2, 2013 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2013 No infl.adj. for Yen, sorry. Here is the rest: http://gold.approxim...Silver_LOG.html http://gold.approxim...ld_JPY_LOG.html http://gold.approxim...lver_watch.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted February 27, 2013 Author Report Share Posted February 27, 2013 (This fits here too): UK HOUSE PRICES - expressed in Gold /source: http://www.sharelynx.com/chartstemp/UKHousePrices01.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 9, 2013 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2013 LINK: http://gold.approxim...old_charts.html Interesting. We may see that downthrust, on the next Upthrust in Gold. In other words, once it starts, a big portion may be delivered quickly, as support will be broken. I believe: A weaker Pound may not save the UK Housing market, especially if inflation (higher gold) forces rates higher Thanks GF, nice to have your input around here from time to time. I wonder how long before we enter that green circle? Let's hope as fast as you can say 'gold silver ratio'? That chart and forecast simply was a knockout..as was the bounce back to 52. If we do go into the Green circle, it might also take a little longer than show - as the last time did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted April 7, 2013 Author Report Share Posted April 7, 2013 Could you wang these onto the chart thread of GF's? Thanks. BTW where the hell is that thread? Done ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 14, 2013 Author Report Share Posted July 14, 2013 GF's "Sell Plan" Do you have a sell plan? If not yet, what will you want to see before beginning to develop one? == == Contrary to a single stock someone may trade, gold - for me - is a long-term macro-"trade" (investment). Also, it is macro in a global sense. It is political. Because it is political, I can't come up with all the brilliant ways politicians may screw up over the next decade or so. I look at my quantitative fundamental indicators, but politics will have to be in line too. A "Volcker" at the Fed again? Unlikely, I suppose, but who knows. With Obama, Bernanke (and maybe Yellen), Draghi, Carney and Abe in place, given the fundamental quantitative indicators, I can only conclude: "very strong buy"! Yeah. I agree with that. And more importantly, so does Kyle Bass - who remains a long term bull on Gold: . http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rQdlifGg7eI . What I was really asking was: Are you tracking closely the other indicators such as the Gold-to-Oil ratio (which I know you look at) - as a key indicator to tell you WHEN to sell Gold? . . For me, something like a 25:1 Ratio, of Gold-to-WTI would get me thinking of switching out of Gold into Oil, or maybe out of Gold altogether. . Have you got a long term chart showing Gold-to CRB ? . If you like this "Ratio" approach to valuing Gold, what else would you look at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueNorth Posted July 24, 2013 Report Share Posted July 24, 2013 Gold-to-CRB is key to what Institutional Advisors (Bob Hoye, Ross Clark) use as their proprietary index. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted August 19, 2013 Author Report Share Posted August 19, 2013 GF's Gold Target Where's "There", GF? I think we could see $1500-1600 by October, perhaps sooner Jake's response / as posted on the Main Gold thread Well, despite being made to sound a fool-especially in a time where house prices are rising and gold has been falling-I'll have a crack at the definition of 'there' for GF according to his Gold to UK house prices chart. He is rather good at charts. So... he sees on the charts a number between 55 and 80 ounces of gold will buy you the average UK house. The average UK house is now 163k. Let's say 165k. 165k divided by 85 is 1,941. And 165 divided by 55 is 3000. So 'there' could be anywhere between GBP1900 and GBP3000/oz = USD2,971and USD4,692. Gold at present is GBP 875/oz or USD1,360. Seems crazy unless you remember Gold started at USD252/oz or GBP157 about 13 years ago..(around 1.60 to GBP)...thus Multiple of 5.5. Gold only needs to double here to make GF's chart start to look realisticaly mouthwatering. eg gold at GBP1750x80 ounces=140,000. With all the damage and debt, printing and trouble we are seeing-yet papering over-it is not beyond the realm of reason to imagine that gold will go far higher than these numbers. And/Or it may not. House prices and stocks may well simply fall-although you'd be seen a fool to suggest so right now...all the more reason to think it, IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted November 18, 2013 Author Report Share Posted November 18, 2013 Update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Posted November 19, 2013 Report Share Posted November 19, 2013 Looking unlikely to drop into those circles anytime soon BUT I thought that re the gold silver ratio before it dropped straight into the target area. Perhaps another glance at that old chart will act as a "pick me up" tonic. (scroll up a few posts to see that drop on the gold Soled ratio) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrew Posted May 24, 2015 Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 Sadly GF's gold.approximity site seems to have gone. If anyone has info on how to find those great charts please let me know. The wayback machine seems to be of little help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted May 24, 2015 Author Report Share Posted May 24, 2015 He used to visit here from Time-to-time. If he pops back in, maybe he can give us a new link, or even update some charts here, on this thread. Whichever he likes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Posted June 5, 2015 Report Share Posted June 5, 2015 He used to visit here from Time-to-time. If he pops back in, maybe he can give us a new link, or even update some charts here, on this thread. Whichever he likes... Dominic will know where/what's become of him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Dominic will know where/what's become of him.I'm a bit curious/worried of late as to what has happened to GF and approximity. Dominic, do you still visit here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted July 5, 2015 Author Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Dominic posts maybe 1-2 times a month these days, and sometimes less than that GK himself might post once or twice a year. But we may see him more than that, if/when Gold resumes it s Bull market. What price do you think we need to see to confirm that the Gold Bull is back? Martin Armstrong says that Gold will start to rally in 2016 after a stock crash later this year. The core economy (the US) will be the last one to collapse, in his view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Posted July 8, 2015 Report Share Posted July 8, 2015 I wonder of his thoughts now on the inflation/deflation debate. Wtf happened to his site? His thoughts on Greece, living in the fatherland would be interesting, too. Really just like to hear he's alive and wasn't on that doomed flight from SPain to Germany. His complete(?) absence here gives me the shivers as he was such a confident poster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrew Posted July 8, 2015 Report Share Posted July 8, 2015 I seem to recall that GF said in the past that he was doing some work for a hedge fund, hopefully there is a simple answer for his absence such as he isn't allowed to publish any of his work while this is going on ? Anyway I wish him all the best and offer my sincere thanks for helping educate so many of us. GF if you get to read this thread ........ I thank you Sir !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 25, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 25, 2016 DOW to GOLD Ratio 200 Years Since 1928 (to 2009) since 1910 (to 2015), Log scale ... w/ fewer lines Three Years : Dec. 2013 to Dec. 2016 GLD / Gold : 5-yrs : 3-yrs : 2-yrs : 12-mos / 10d // Last: $107.93 : Gold: $1133.6 : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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