drbubb Posted January 3, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2019 TOP ... : Chan-GE : MP : PP : Charts2 : Acore : Fringe : : : : 3d : ag : au : 10d-Gvs.UK : >News : DrRp : AJo : Fox : WRH : Arc : RenA : Rvd : FxN : BTC all data: 8yr: 4yr: 3yr: 12mo: 6mo 1mo 10d: 10d 5d / SLV-lv ===== SILVER up to resistance with opening Gap SLV / Silver ... update : 10d : Last: $14.68 SIL / Silver shares ... update : 10d : Last: $25.50 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 3, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2019 DRUDGE Articles of interest 1. China 'lifts mysterious veil' by landing probe on far side of the moon China 'lifts mysterious veil' by landing probe on far side of moon...Lunar base? 2. Is it a UFO? Multiple people report seeing flying red sphere off SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 3, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2019 Gran Columbia Gold shows textbook breakout... with rising volume (here's hoping, it will be followed by other miners) GCM vs- MUX, CCO ... update : 3.18 +0.23: +7.80%, $2.59 UNCH, $15.23 -1.49% GCM ... longer term : C$3.18 +0.23: +7.80%, vol.: 287,194 / YrH: C$3.45 Meantime, NGD: 0.8991 +0.0738 +8.94% / Open: 0.8499 / High: 0.90 / Low: 0.8301 Vol.: 4,049,029 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 APPLE BLAMES CHINASTOCK PLUNGES 10% 142.19 -15.73, -9.96% Open: 143.98 / High: 145.72 / Low: 142.00 / vol. 90,437,026 AAPL / Apple ... update : Zuckerberg halts FACEBOOK stock sale as value plummets over privacy gaffes...GOOGLE shifting billion$ to tax haven Bermuda... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 WTI Crude is bouncing off support near $43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 The China Syndrome : A potential Double Whammy (if Chinese capital is withdrawn from global markets) The Risk of Crowding Out is real mcgcapital says: January 4, 2019 at 5:59 am From @lisaabramowicz: Just the interest payments on China’s non-financial debt totalled about $3 trillion last year, equal to roughly 22% of the nation’s GDP, according to @vshih2. At this point, China is borrowing more money just to cover the interest payments on its existing debt. And this is worth a read – https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/nov/07/a-chinese-recession-is-inevitable-dont-think-it-wont-affect-you Selected paragraphs below: “Former US Federal Reserve chair Ben Bernanke famously characterised this much-studied phenomenon as a key component of the “global savings glut”. Thus, instead of leading to lower global real interest rates, a Chinese slowdown that spreads across Asia could paradoxically lead to higher interest rates elsewhere – especially if a second Asian financial crisis leads to a sharp draw-down of central bank reserves. Thus, for global capital markets, a Chinese recession could easily prove to be a double whammy.” “When the advanced countries had their financial crisis a decade ago, emerging markets recovered relatively quickly, thanks to low debt levels and strong commodity prices. Today, however, debt levels have risen significantly, and a sharp rise in global real interest rates would almost certainly extend today’s brewing crises beyond the handful of countries (including Argentina and Turkey) that have already been hit.” “Nor is the US immune. For the moment, the US can finance its trillion-dollar deficits at relatively low cost. But the relatively short-term duration of its borrowing – under four years if one integrates the Treasury and Federal Reserve balance sheets – means that a rise in interest rates would soon cause debt service to crowd out needed expenditures in other areas.” > Tony C's Blog: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2019/01/02/wednesday-update-650/#comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 https://raymondjames.bluematrix.com/sellside/EmailDocViewer?encrypt=e3444d10-943b-4a7b-993a-40c9837293bd&mime=pdf&co=raymondjames&id=ECM-ResearchDistribution@RJLAN.RJF.com&source=mail Thanks Raymond James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 CHINA & COPPER - EXCERPT from an interview with Frank Holmes TGR: What is your crystal ball telling you? Do you think the Trump Administration will be able to negotiate trade settlements with China? FH: I think if anyone's going to be able to do it, it's definitely going to be Mr. Tough Guy, who likes that role. I don't like his style, but he's the master of game theory. I was out with a young PhD who went to Stanford applying game theory to macroeconomic models, and she was telling me that most of her friends couldn't stand that she said Trump was going to win. In her reasoning, she says it's not about liking him; rather, he's a master of applying game theory. And when you look at what he's done and what he continues to do, then it looks like the odds could favor Trump is going to win because China needs us, we don't need it. It needs our $13 trillion economy. TGR: Along the same lines, do you think that interest rates are about to peak or have peaked? The Federal Reserve chair has modulated his talk in the last month or so. FH: I think the Fed is going to look at Christmas sales and tally the numbers. But what's going to happen in the first quarter of next year is all the tax benefits for the lower corporate tax break are going to be gone for the growth in our corporate earnings. That's going to slow down the year-over-year growth rate. A lot of quant funds use this momentum, looking at not only revenue last quarter over forward quarters, but cash flow last quarter over forward quarters and earnings last quarter over forward quarters. This year it's been ripping. It's been very, very healthy and strong for the public companies. But that year-over-year change is going to start having a new base starting next year. TGR: So in a sense it's uncharted waters. FH: Yes. I think one has to make sure that they're balanced in their equation of debt to equity. But there's no doubt the Fed seems to be on a suicide mission with raising rates. I was in D.C. recently, and I had the wonderful experience of going to the Chinese embassy and hearing about free trade and trade and all the related issues. And then I went over to Capitol Hill and the Senate and listened to debates and discussions. I think the Chinese underestimated how many Americans distrust them. I guess they like buying cheap products at Walmart. But it's not just a Trump versus them. It's both Democrats and Republicans. It's one thing where the New York Times agrees with Trump and the Washington Post. I think that was the underestimation. TGR: Let's turn to commodities. What commodities do you think will do better than others in 2019? FH: Copper is one of the commodities that took it on the chin faster with the PMI turning negative, and it's probably oversold. And there's not a big growth of supply. If you believe in the electrification of the world, the growth in data centers, the growth in the Amazons and the Googles of the world, then you know they all need these data centers, and they all need copper wiring. And then you come along with Tesla and other electric cars, and they all use five, six times the amount of copper than a gasoline-powered car. I don't believe that trend is going to leave us... . . . TGR: What's your outlook on precious metals? FH: I remain very bullish on gold. I remain bullish because there is peak gold. There was peak oil. In 2005 that was a great concern until the frackers came along. There are no frackers for the gold space, though. ....But the process for bringing a mine on-stream and getting the necessary permitting is still a very, very long cycle. I think that gold supply is going to continue to dwindle. Reserves are going to peak and they're going to slide. Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/opinion/independent-reports/2018/12/28/frank-holmes-looking-back-looking-ahead#je2pdoWSqGgCd6hh.99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 4, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2019 COPPER may put in an important Low right here near $2.55 FCX Copper & FCX : chart : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2019 As I expected, the high-beta Drillers are moving up faster than OIH OIH etc- RDC, MDR, ESV ... update This move has benefited my OIL SECTOR PORTFOLIO, which is up $7,548 (ignoring TV) Sym. / Price : x-Qty: $-Value: Strike : Pmt.: $Surplus -Cost-: Profit : RDC : $ 9.50 : x2500= 23,750: $6.C : $15.0K: $ 8,750: $7,275: $1,475 MDR : $ 7.66 : x2500= 19,150: $5.C : $12.5K: $ 6,650: $6,400: $0,250 ESV : $ 4.18 : x5000= 20,900: $2.C : $10.0K: 10,900: $8,400: $2,500 Total: =========== > 63,800: ==== : $37.5K: 26,300 : 22,075 $4,225OIH : $15.19: x3700= 56,203: 20.C: $74.0K: (17,797) 21,120 $3,323 : $7,548 $4,225/3700: $1.14: $14.05 $3,323/3700: $0.90: $14.29 I value this Portfolio against a Notional 3,700 shares of OIH at b/e $14.29 = $52,873 So +$7,548 is like a 14.3% gain in just a few days - on a portfolio "funded" by excess Buying Power ====== OIH-etc / Daily ... update: == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2019 Will Gold-in-US$ begin to close the Gap? MNT.t is Gold in CAD ... GLD -vs.MNT : update : vsHK101/PSEI : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 5, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2019 Thursday's Opening GAP UP troubled me. And I did some modest selling on Thursday. Friday brought a Gap down UGLD (3x Gold) vs. Gold ets (1x) ... 10d SLV+: w/UGL : wSlv,Sil / 3m : 6m : 1yr : 2yr : 5yr : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2019 The Canadian dollar opened Friday on a strong note, rising to a high not seen in two weeks against the U.S. dollar. The loonie strengthened up to 75 cents. Both Canada and the U.S. reported modest job growth in December 2018, with 93,000 jobs Canada added on an increase in part-time hiring, while the U.S. added 312,000 jobs that month. Canada’s national unemployment rate was 5.6% in December, with St. John’s Newfoundland posting the largest growth at 7.5% while Vancouver (4.4%) and Victoria (3.8%) were in the basement. Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/news/newswire/2019/01/04/loonie-rises-as-more-canadians-gain-employment#Qws6u2UagDWG2TjH.99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2019 The Japanese YEN was also in the News this week The sharp move at the beginning of the year suggests the DOLLAR may have a bad year USD in JPY ... 10d : There was a FLASH CRASH on Wed. Yen climbs on safe-haven appeal amid China growth fears CNBC-3 Jan 2019 The yen rallied against the dollar and euro on Thursday as investors sought the perceived safety of the Japanese currency after a shock ... 'Flash crash' moves hit currencies as yen spikes on Apple and ChinaFinancial Times-2 Jan 2019 Japanese yen soars as 'flash crash' sweeps currency marketInvesting.com-2 Jan 2019 The Yen-Inspired 'Flash-Crash' Is an Ugly Omen Bloomberg-3 Jan 2019 The currency’s surge isn’t just about thin liquidity. A weakening dollar and yuan make the BoJ’s efforts to lessen the yen’s appeal look pretty futile. The sharp appreciation of the yen in the twilight zone between U.S. and Asia trading days isn’t just an overreaction to poor results from Apple Inc. in thin trading (Japan doesn’t return from its New Year holiday until Friday). It is a portent of the struggles ahead for the country’s central bank in 2019. It’s going to be harder than ever to keep the currency from strengthening. Two major obstacles have sprung up to thwart the Bank of Japan’s valiant attempts to weaken the yen: The U.S. Federal Reserve potentially ending its quarterly tightening cycle and the slowing Chinese economy. The latter was shown starkly by Apple’s lower revenue forecast. A depreciating Chinese yuan and a dollar no longer propped up by rate hikes make the BoJ’s herculean effort to generate inflation and growth look almost futile. Barring intervention, on which Japan has a terrible record, it looks out of ammunition and ideas to get the currency under control and boost exports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2019 ==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg : 03/29 : 06/29 : 09/28 : 10/26 : 11/30 : 12/31 : 01/04 : Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : GLD- : 109.61 : 123.65 : +12.8% : 125.79 : 118.65 : 112.76 : 116.77 : 115.54 : 121.51 : 121.44 : SPY- : 223.53 : 266.86 : +19.4% : 263.15 : 271.28 : 290.72 : 265.33 : 275.65 : 249.92 : 252.39 : SPX- : 2238.8 : 2673.6 : +19.4% : 2691.3 : 2718.4 : 2914.0 : 2658.7 : 2760.2 : 2506.8 : 2531.9 : Sp/Au 194.4%: 204.2%: ====== : 219.0%: 216.7%: 243.6%: 215.3% : 226.2%: 195.6%: 196.9% : WTIc: $53.72 : $60.42 : +12.4% : $64.94 : $74.15 : $73.25 : $67.59 : $50.93 : $45.41 : $47.96 :XLE : $75.32 : $72.24 : - 4.09% : $67.41: $75.94: $75.74 : $66.48: $66.11: $57.35: $59.87 : OIH-: $33.35 : $26.05 : - 11.9% : $23.87 : $26.27: $25.19 : $21.14: $18.80: $14.03: $15.19 : OI/X : 44.3% : 36.06% : ====== : 35.41% : 34.59%: 33.25%: 31.80%: 28.44%: 24.46% : 25.37% : Ngas: $3.350 : $2.950 : - 11.9% : $2.730 : $2.920 : $3.010 : $3.220 : $4.600 : $2.940 : $3.044 : Cop'r: $2.510 : $3.305 : +31.7% : $3.030 : $2.970 : $2.810 : $2.740 : $2.790 : $2.630 : $2.650 : Soyb : 1000.0 : 950.00 : ====== : ----------------------> 845.50 : 857.75 : 895.00 : 895.00 : 921.50 : Weat : 408.00 : 426.25 : +4.47%: 451.00 : 501.25 : 509.00 : 505.25 : 516.00 : 503.25 : 517.00 : Corn : 352.00 : 350.75 : - 0.36% : 387.75 : 371.25 : 356.25 : 367.75 : 378.00 : 375.00 : 383.00 : CRB- : 192.51 : 193.86 : +0.07% : 195.36 : 200.39 : 195.16 : 195.51 : 181.74 : 169.80 : 173.35 :DBA : $19.97 : $18.76 : - 6.06% : $18.18: $18.03: $16.91 : $17.72: $17.29 : $16.91: $16.94 : D/crb: 10.37% : 9.67% : ======: r9.31% : r8.99% : r8.66% : r9.06% : r9.51% : R9.06% : R9.77% : Xle/D: r-3.770 : r-3.850: +2.14%: R3.707 : R4.212 : R4.479 : R3.750 : r3.823 : R3.391 : r3.534 : DXY- : 102.38 : $92.30 : - 9.85% : $89.81 : $94.47 : $95.13 : $96.13 : $97.20 : $96.16 : $96.20 : TLT- : 119.13 : 126.86 : + 6.49% : 121.90 : 121.72 : 117.27 : 114.99 : 115.33 : 121.51 : 122.11 : ===== Gold : 1151.7 : 1309.3 : +13.7% : 1327.3 : 1254.5 : 1196.2 : 1235.1 : 1220.2 : 1281.3 : 1285.8 : Au/hd: r1.401 : r1.58E : ====== : r-1.569 : r-1.532 : r-1.612 : r1.64E : R1.602 : R1.61E : r1.611 : Hold : 822.17 : 830.00 : +01.0% : 846.12 : 819.04 : 742.23 : 755.est : 761.74 : 796.0E : 798.25 : WPM : $19.32 : $22.27: +15.3% : $20.37 : $22.06 : $17.50 : $16.40 : $15.64 : $19.53 : $19.36 : GDX- : $20.92 : $23.24 : +11.1% : $21.98 : $22.31 :$18.52 : $19.06 : $19.09 : $21.09 : $21.30 : Gdxj : $31.55 : $34.13 : +8.18% : $32.15 : $32.70 : $27.36 : $28.27 : $26.59 : $30.22 : $31.28 : SIL-- : $32.11 : $32.64 : +1.65% : $30.72 : $28.88 : $24.23 : $23.91 : $23.05 : $25.02 : $26.00 : /SLV: R2.053 : R2.042 : - 0.54% : R1.994 : R1.910 : r1.765 : R1.731 : r1.730 : R1.723 : R1.765 : SLV- : $15.64 : $15.98 : +2.08% : $15.41 : $15.15 : $13.73 : $13.81 : $13.32 : $14.52 : $14.73 : Silvr : 16.580 : 17.150 : +3.44% : 16.268 : 16.200 : 14.710 : 14.66? : 14.350 : 15.540 : 15.790 : PHM : $18.38 : $33.34 : +81.4% : $29.49 : $28.75 : $24.77 : $23.93 : $26.52 : $25.99 : $27.20 : EEM- : $35.01 : $47.30 : +35.1% : $48.28 : $43.33 : $42.92 : $38.67 : $41.08 : $39.06 : $39.69 : ShCm: 3103.7 : 3307.2 : +6.56% : 3168.9: 2847.4 : 2821.3 : 2598.8 : 2588.2 : 2494.0 : 2514.9 : PhpSi: 6840.6 : 8558.4 : +25.1% : 7979.8: 7193.7 : 7276.8 : 7076.2 : 7367.9 : 7476.0 : 7761.1 : XLF- : $23.25 : $27.19 : +16.9% : $27.57: $26.59 : $27.58 : $25.26 : $26.83 : $23.82 : $24.26 : IWM- : 134.85 : 152.43 : +13.0% : 151.83: 163.77 : 168.55 : 147.48 : 151.83 : 133.90 : 137.19 : F/iwm 17.24%: 17.84%: ===== : 18.16% : 16.24%: 16.36%: 17.13%: 17.67%: 17.79%: 17.68 %: BTC-- : $948.5 : 13,100 : x13.8X : $7,401 : $5,883 : $6,652 : $6,396 : $3,979 : $3,770 : $3,747 ==== : Fye'16 : Fye'17 : +-%chg : 03/29 : 06/29 : 09/28 : 10/26 : 11/30 : 12/31 : 01/04 : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 JAMES DAMORE, the fired Google engineer, is still looking for a job Checkmark Diversity with James Damore Does anyone on the Left give a damn about what happens to a genuine victim of injustice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 Gold has climbed to Key Resistance near $1300 (/10.6= GBS-$122.6) GBS-etc ... since 2008 : Last: $120.83 GLD ... since 2009 : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 HIGHER LOWS - HK Property stocks may have put in an important Low Wharf & Henderson... & HK10 - HLG After restructuring, Wharf may now be a "development-oriented" version of HL Symbol Company : YrLow : Last-- : change: PE-R. HK 04/ Wharf Hld.: $18.70: $20.85: +11.5%: 3.89: HK 10/ H.Lung Gr. : $19.12: $20.10: +5.12%: 4.60: HK 12/ Henderson: $36.15: $41.20: +14.0%: 5.79: HK101/ H.Lung Pr.: $13.90: $15.34: +10.4%: 7.71: HSI--/ Heng Seng-- : 24,541: 25,836: +5.28%: N/A : Chart : hk4 & hk12 ... update : w/hk10 : "the Pack" : "The Pack" has slid lower, with HSI on top === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 Flows of Physical Gold and Silver In Trusts and Funds Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5bwMQrcdp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 MOVING "LIKE BATS ... out of H3LL" It has been a good start to the year for some stocks I own and have mentioned prominently here. "BATS" ... update : The best flying bat so far is... ESV / Ensco Plc ... update : Last $4.47, up about 35% in less than 10 days Just a few days ago, I bought June.$2C, paying $1.68. Now with Intrinsic value (at $4.47) of $2.47, so +47% Meanwhile, MUX would be in the Rats portfolio, ...and may stay there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 7, 2019 Here is the biggest Rat ... which thank goodness is NOT in my portfolio Apple stock has dropped 38 percent in 90 days On October 3, the stock was selling at 232.07 per share, and while the price has fluctuated and the market in general has plunged in that time period, the stock has been on a downward trend for the past couple of months and has lost approximately $87 a share since that October high point. Read more: WHAT REALLY HAPPENED | The History The US Government HOPES You Never Learn! http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/#ixzz5bwcy1CRB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2019 One of the "Bats" - my second largest position. Added 100k+ shares a few days ago: 'splosive! $0.195 +0.035, Percent Change: +21.88% Open: 0.165 / High: 0.195 / Low: 0.165 / Volume: 2,207,806 WM / Wallbridge ... 10d : 6mo : : 6mo : === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2019 Another Bat took off ! CKG.t / Chesapeake Gold ... 10d : 6Bats : Last: $2.15 + 0.20 +10.26% Up from $1.57 (12/21) to $2.15 in 8 trading days - that's 36.9% I have only a few of these. shudda added more w/ 20-20 hindsight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2019 A DOLLAR BULL makes his argument Mostly, it is the "last man standing" argument The US Dollar vs Gold: The Final Showdown - Brent Johnson https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ASvl7St02Qs == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 8, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2019 ( Here's how someone else explains Options & Uses them to manage risks) Using Gold And Silver Options As A Strategic Investment Tool - Patrick Ceresna He talks about Trading the Cycles... Average length: about Nine Months (my own work finds short cycles of 4-6 months) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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