drbubb Posted May 19, 2020 Report Share Posted May 19, 2020 By-the-Letters Tour & some PHL traded stocks in downtrends ION broke free from the lockstep down -trend, and then... Wow! RCI-ION-etc . 2018: RCI-etc: 7/'22: 2022: 10d: 3.21.23/ RCI: 0.45. reit3, FLI: DOGs: MegSh: TM-stock Picks... 2021: 2022: 7/22: Flip: YTD: 10d: rci, apx, fli, cdc Flip: Starting with "4x S-Stocks" ... charted Together... ALL: 10yr: 5yr: 1yr: 10d/ S-symbol-4cos : in 2020 : Dec.'22 Update follows Old chart It started with SMC - San Miguel Corp I was asked by a friend: "Should I buy SMC, the blue chip now?" I said, I will look at the chart and some other data for you... That gave me the idea for this new thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted May 20, 2020 Author Report Share Posted May 20, 2020 Four "S" Stocks: Charts & Metrics SMC / San Miguel Corp ... All-data: Last: 96.40 +0.40 Chart comment: Wait for 80, or maybe even 50... and should "make sense to look at the numbers too" / 2 / SM / SM Corp. ... All-data / Last: 810 , holding company for SM Group Ideal buy point might be near 500, if PHL stocks get hit again, & that level holds on a retest. / 3 / SMPH / SM Prime Holdings ... All-data / Last: 29.50 , main entity of SM Group SMPH is back into (the lower half of) its strong up-channel. However, the fact it broke below this briefly in March suggests it may be broken eventually I see support then in the region of 18-20, and think now that this would hold, if tested / 4 / SHNG / Shang Properties. ... All-data / Last: 2.68 , property developer, with a Greater Manila focus SHNG has traded basically sideways over almost 10 years. It trades on its dividend yield as a proxy for a bond, since it is closely held. At 2.68 it is not far from the bottom of a long term up-channel. update - mid-July: 3.21 ==== Four "S" Cos / + ALI (AyalaLand)Company/Symbol: ----range--- : xPrice : Div.P : Yield%: PEratio: Earns: DvCov : San Miguel- SMC- : 72.50-187.5 : P94.55: 1.400 : 1.48% : 13.96 : 6.773 : r4.84 SM Corp. - SM. - : 506.5-1,100. : P808.5: 9.140 : 1.13% : 21.85 : 37.00 : r4.05 SM PrimeH- SMPH: 19.90-43.35 : P29.45: 0.350 : 1.19% : 22.31 : 1.320 : r3.77 ShangProp- SHNG: P2.45-P3.47 : P 2.68 : 0.183 : 6.81% : 3.468 : 0.773 : r4.22 AyalaLand - ALI - : 19.44-53.85 : P32.05 : 0.529 : 1.65% : 15.64 : 2.050 : r3.88 ===== Div Cover was high for these five stocks near 4X. But dividend yields were very different. I prefer to gain the High yield, and also i like to buy a stock with a Low PE Ratio. This all points me to SHNG, which I have bought. It will help enhance my PHP income. Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %Ern. CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: BkVal.: BV/sh: YrEnd %-NW SMC- : 2018: 1,024.B P6.63: P1.40: 21.1% 31.0 /2.379B/ 801.6B: 337.7B: 142.0: 147.0: 103.% SM. - : 2019: 506.3B 37.00: P9.12: 24.6% 53.1 /1.205B/ 404.3B: 382.6B: 317.6: 1,043: 328.% SMPH: 2019: 120.1B P1.32: 0.350: 26.5% 1.69 /28.87B/ 130.1B: 300.9B: 10.42: 42.10: 404.% SHNG: 2018: 12.65B: P0.63: 0.196: 31.1% 0.51 /4.764B/ 10.19B: 32.78B: P6.88: P3.25: 47.2% ALI - : 2019: 168.8B: P2.25: 0.520: 23.1% 2.87 /14.72B/ 228.6B: 211.1B: 14.34: 45.50: 317.% AC - : 2019: 330.9B: 102.9: P8.30: 8.07% 86.0 / 627.M/ 427.7B: 328.8B: 524.7: 785.5: 150.% AGI - : 2018: 156,8B P1.51 : 0.100: 6.62% 2.19 /10.04B/ 192.5B: 172.2B: 17.16: 11.90: 69.3% GtCap : 2019: 226.8B 73.88: P3.00: 4.06% 106. / 215.M / 124.3B: 177.8B: 824.4: 847.0: 103% Dum-: 2019: 00.00B 0.000: 0.000: 00.0% 0.00/0.000B/ 00.00B: 99.99B: P0.00: P0.00: 00.0% :Stock: Year : Revs. : E.P.Sh : Divs: %Ern. CF/sh: shsOS/ LTD.OS: ShEqy: NW/sh: YrEnd %-NW SMC has "heroic" or "reckless" amounts of debt, depending on your point of view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted August 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 16, 2022 ION / Ionetics... update: 3yr: 0.61 == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted September 12, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 12, 2022 YOU CANNOT SNEAK UP on a point like this, without leaving a signature on the Charts. RCI-ION-etc. Cluster ... from 2018: 2019: 2021: RCI-etc-Ytd: update: 9.12.22 / RCI: 0.63 +0.03 vol. 8.7M YTD-ION-etc: / RCI-etc: 0.63 +0.03 xx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted September 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 27, 2022 S-Stocks. ALL: Ytd : SMPH: 32.25 -1.80 / SM: 763.= r4.23%, SHNG: 2.57, SMC: 97.5 (two breaking uptrend) === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted December 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 D is for DOGS, haha A DOG is barking : ION up +17% ... updated 12.07.2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted January 27, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2023 SAN MIGUEL vs. TFHI, TLT From Feb.2020: +FB+Gsmi: 5yr: 2yr: 1yr: 10d Stock: Price : BkVal. Pr/BV: PER : Yield : L-Range-H : SMC : P95.00: 137.3 : 69.2%: N/A : 1.47%: 92.10- 112.5 TFHI : P95.25: 484.7: 19.7 %: N/A : 0.00%: 92.00-125.9 FB. : P47.00: 15.81 : 297.%: 13.4: 3.96%: 34.10- 70.20 GSMI: 115.00: 41.03: 280.%: 7.49: 4.78%: 96.00- 119.0 ==== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 22, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 22, 2023 Time to buy RCI? (at 0.45), based solely on this chart... RCI-ION-etc . 2018: RCI-etc: 7/'22: 2022: 10d: 3.21.23/ RCI: 0.45 (prev.059). reit. FLI: DOGs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted March 28, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 28, 2023 RCI-ION-etc . 2018: RCI-etc: 7/'22: 2022: 10d: 3.21.23/ RCI: 0.45. reit3, FLI: DOGs: MegSh: Mar.28th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drbubb Posted August 2, 2023 Author Report Share Posted August 2, 2023 SMC / San Miguel Corp. 3yr: Ytd: 10d. Last: P 109. SMC Bal.Sheet: Quick & Dirty look - Bn.Php =====: 2022 : 2021 : 2020 : 2019 : Revs. : 1,516.: 946.0: 741.7: 1038.1 T/R’s. : 172.4: 99.1: 74.66: 88.79: A/R;s. : 238.8: 161.8: 124.4: 136.5: Both. : 411.2 : 260.9: 199.0: 225.3: Days. ; 99.0d 100.7d 97.9d 79.2d A/P’s. : 108.0: 88.97: 65.80: 100.4: Ds Rev.: -26.0: -34.3: -32.4: -35.3: NetDays 82.0d 66.4d 65.5d 43.9d ST Debt. 458.8: 303.1: 240.3: 238.3: LT Debt. 972.6: 796.7: 672.4: 641.1: Total. : 1,431. : 1,100.: 1,025: 994.5: Net dbt. 1.113. : 799.7: 677.3: 708.1: Net ?/?: -303.: -172.: -133.: -125.: NN dbt: 810..: 608.: 544.: 583.: Earns. : -12.97: 13.93: 2.97: 21.33: Deprec: 70.10: 46.47: 27.72: 35.24: E+depr.: 57.87: 60.40: 30.69: 53.54:Yrs”CF”: 11.6yr 10.1yr 17.7yr 10.9yr San Miguel Balance sheet shows... SMC is trying to GROW out of its debt bind. But the big jump in new revenues / news business is not highly profitable. Higher leverage and losses, suggest that RISKS are increased. SMC needs to start showing some decent profits, or it may be forced to shrink, to meet its obligations. It does not show in the numbers above, but increased dividend obligations on preferred shares also adds to the risks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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