kernull
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Posts posted by kernull
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this chart may be a technical indication that the bottom in deflation has been hit, and inflation has began, on break of 110 down, this asumption will be confirmed
http://i430.photobucket.com/albums/qq30/ke.../tbond-1113.png
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gold should not go lower than 660 if usd does not go higher than 90
http://i430.photobucket.com/albums/qq30/ke...monthly-max.png
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if they don't start any rally tomorrow, we may put all the lows this week, and begin a considerable rally with a duration until mid january
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Sell gold for oil? What would make oil go up now? Is it not possible to see oil continue its slide to 40?
i see this to be very complicated, 50 is a major support, it may happen on the next wave down in spring.
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good find, however my buy area for silver (this week or earlier next week) is at 7.60 , because (10+5)/2=7.50 (half distance) ... and this guys targets 6.00 , will have to study more on that one, so far channels show 6 is difficult to reach on current trend, but nothing will suprise me on these markets
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we topped for today , this week will be all down in everything and up on the dollar, the big downday should be tomorrow.
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i think 650 on the daily is more precise low than my previous forecasted 600 level on 4hrs chart
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guys, the buck may go higher, and the DOW could put a new low to 7500 next week
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it seems that this chart confused some people, but this is not the bottom in price, this bottom in the momentum, the prices can go lower on lower momentum.
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"You may choose the one you believe the most". Hilarious!
Can I say it might just track sideways within a range?
yep, might today, we still have trading space in the triangle
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we may have hit the bottom in the momentum, and we probably will be hitting a weekly bottom next week
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(if you ask my personal opinion, i am on the bear side)
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I asked Ker the same(ish) question a couple of weeks ago. Response here.
I agree that sometimes Ker's forecasts appear to be contradictory when taken at face value. However, I think
(and Ker can confirm) that all that's happening is Ker is making a prediction based on an event occurring and then later if that situation isn't met, providing a revised forecast. e.g. "if we break 750 we'll see 790 before going lower" ... then 6 hours later "we didn't make it through 750 so we're off to 680 now".
I'd never trade based solely on someone else's predictions and charts - but if I wanted to, I think I would find it hard to based on Ker's charts. I also feel that producing two (or three) different predictions based on looking at daily and weekly (and monthly) charts is interesting but doesn't really provide any tradable info. The complex bit is combining input from *all* the time period charts, as well as fundamentals and external factors to make an informed prediction.
I can't do it. So right now I don't try. Ker does seem to have a reasonable rate of success but it's difficult to follow when the call gets cancelled/changed.
well , thats what market does, it goes back and forth, in a straight bull or bear trend we shouldn't break supports so easily, this means, we are going through a correction (corrections behave in disorder), and that is not a good time for long term moves, only for short term. Also, i provide charts for information, not for trading, this would be too much responsability for me and that's not the key.
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Nice chart!
I am optimistic we will see 15...just a matter of when!
sorry, attempt failed, now we are going lower. i will post the update when i see the bottom
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Ker are you suggesting it will hit $680 and then soar to god knows what?
well, i don't know, but current price level isn't holding
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Only a sucKer would trade gold using Technical Analysis.
lol, this is the most stupid thing I read, but if you have anything further to say, private msg, don't flood the forum please
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I'm confused! Help is appreciated.
these days, who doesnt!
i don't know, if you want to the most imparcial thoughts, see the weekly chart i just posted (longer timeframe is more solid), but on the daily it is bullish.
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new charts, guys
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Ker,
I would like to see you do that with a log scale.
IMO linear charts are OK for short periods (because the growth rate line can be approximated to be a straight line), but on longer scales, I think it can be dangerous.
good point Steve! Now it makes sense why my daily chart wants to go sub 660
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Hi Ker,
do you ever do analysis on Silver?
not yet, i am waiting for gold to hit bottom first. but looks like silver made a nice bottom already, i think after the elections we could see some good advances upwards
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i don't know if gold will hit 350 or not , it could happen, but right now it is not clear at all, what we can clearly identify is the bottom when it occur, and it looks flat for around 3 months, like in this old chart:
http://i430.photobucket.com/albums/qq30/ke...big-takeoff.png
GOLD
in Gold, FX, Stocks / Diaries & Blogs
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excellent article, I will be looking for patterns in the charts to time the explosion