drbubb

It is in the nature of Junior miners and explorers that they tend to spike upwards, when there's a sudden rise in buying interest. And those surges are often followed by big falls. The danger inherent in these stocks is one reason that I only occasionally discuss stocks that I am buying on this website - with a few interesting exceptions. I don't want to be accused of GEI being involved in a "pump and dump" operation, it has a different mission - Sharing information - not extracting a quick profit for its posters. I think those who do write about stocks in the Junior sector will inevitably be accused of assisting dump-and-pumps. In a way, I am glad this discussion and this sort of mud-slinging came to this thread. It highlights the risk in investing in the sector.

Using faster than light communications, I suppose "The human body has the same elements as a transistor, and can generate signals influencing far-away phenomenon" I loved the idea of an experiment where the Ph of water at a distance could be changed by human thought

Many newsletter writers own shares in companies that they write about. In fact, I think it is legal, so long as they declare in writing that they own some. I don't know the exact infraction he was accused of, or what the settlement was. Do you? Many here write bullish comments about Gold. I assume that they own some. If they were required to reveal that they had acquired the shares cheaply, a long time ago, or were being paid some gold to post about it, how would you feel?

You'll have a field day with this one, JD: QUANTUM COMMUNICATIONS: The Science behind telepathy and faster-than light communications David Sereda, interviewed by Mel Fabregas MP3: http://www.americanfreedomradio.com/archive/Veritas-Radio-32k-111911.mp3 Veritas Radio with Mel Fabregas and his special guest David Sereda talking about the quantum communication device he built and sent a question out on August 20th, and a voice answered him. A voice from the Pleiades.

(here's Thom's latest): Thom Calandra: Four Actions to Take Right Now December 2, 2011 SAN FRANCISCO – This is one of those “Things You Must Do Before The New Year.” Here at Torrey Hills Capital’s Baby Bulls, I am altering that hackneyed come-on to this: Four Actions For Right Now. (Whose New Year are we talking about, anyway?) 1. Buy low. Tax-loss selling season has driven more than several metals equities to prices not seen since 2009. These include Platinum Group Metals (PLG and T.PTM), Great Basin Gold (GBG and T.GBG), Great Panther Silver (GPL and T.GPR) and Canaco Resources (V.CAN). I own all four, and there are others in my portfolio that are depressed and deserve a look-see, including Golden Valley Mines (V.GZZ), Solvista (V.SVV) and Gold Standard Ventures (V.GV). (See portfolio holdings link below.) PLG, GZZ, GV and GPL are investor-outreach clients of Torrey Hills Capital – meaning the firm, including me, can benefit if stock options we have received in payment for services rise in value. (All photos Thom Calandra) / see: http://babybulltwits.wordpress.com/category/thom-calandra/ By coincidence, I have been watching (even buying in one case) some of these myself

That is based on what my friend has said, and also an email response to the above: "have to ackbowledge all that sec material ... part of the fabric now i guess"

I heard of that case, and I can recall reading Thom's columns back then. In fact, I got some useful ideas from those old columns, and I think his ideas were well-supported by facts and were not pure ramping. Whatever the problem was, Thom is past it now, lessons learned. Friends in London have put Thom in touch with me, and they speak well of him.

Does anyone read Thom Calandra's Blog ? thomcalandra Location: Tiburon CA Website: http://www.babybulls.com Bio: Thom is a private investor and a writer. ========== I will be meeting Thom for next weekend, and will try to pass on questions that people might have ========== thomcalandra : on biotech end: bcrx$ missing in action this flu season? Dec. 2 at 7:11 AM thomcalandra still to purchase among metals equities: riverstone resources $RVS.CA ... more solvista Dec. 2 at 7:10 AM thomcalandra I Bought today: Added to Scorpio Gold $SGN.CA and Xtra-Gold $XTG.CA $XTGR. Both are clients of www.babybulls.com, www.torreyhillscapital.com Dec. 2 at 5:00 AM thomcalandra Global Equity Indexes Fall 15% In 1 Day? Say, Friday Or Monday? Yes. Fiscal, geopolitical and Mideast terror are likely drivers for selloff. Dec. 2 at 4:58 AM thomcalandra Metals equities green on screen: Silver -- $EXK, $FSM, $AG /source: http://stocktwits.com/thomcalandra

I know some of you do not read DrB's Diary. Here are some charts that may help to generate some trading ideas

I have started buying again. And am awaiting a chance (SOON?) to buy at below $30 - possibly "with both hands" Some may be shaken out soon. But I am encouraging people to see that currency risks may mean we soon have an ideal buying opportunity Do not be afraid to learn about options, and use them!

They would make such good tenants. The EA's should organise a photo album to travel with the New Property shows in Hong Kong

"£239,950 Offers in Excess of £220,000" I bet they would jump at £199,999 - but it is probably worth £170,000 or less (image added): LESS! Maybe £145,000, headed to £120,000

UP AGAIN Last [Tick] $13.29 + $0.55 / % Change 4.32% Open $13.17 / Day High $13.44 / Day Low $13.14 Volume 705,651 ... A bit more than GDX : GDX USDMARKET VECTORS GOLD MINERS ETF Last [Tick] $56.73 + $1.94 / % Change 3.54%

Sorry. Yes, it occurred to me that I had seen his name before, and maybe asked you about him. But he seems to be getting more and more press. I suppose the subject of UFO's interests many people. Since Iran is "behind a curtain" for most of us in the West, we find it easy to believe that there may be all sorts of secret projects originating there. It's a bit like the rumors we used to hear about what was going on "behind the Iron Curtain." Of course if there are ET's in touch with TPTB, it is also possible that other groups of ET's (or even the same ones) might be in touch with those countries that are officially rivals (or sometimes enemies?) of the US.

Where there's smoke there's fire… Several days after reports started leaking out that the Government of Ecuador was about to sign new mining contracts with mining companies, President Rafael Correa was quote by Reuters saying that his government is "within days" of finalizing these contracts. Deputy Mining Minister Federico Auquilla told Reuters earlier this week that Canadian-listed Kinross Gold Corp and Ecuacorriente would soon sign contracts for two projects worth $3 billion in total. While no details have been released, it has been widely speculated that the new agreement would include upfront royalty payments, along with a final royalty rate that is closer to what the government is demanding. Kinross owns the very rich Fruta Del Norte gold project, that it gained control of when it acquired Aurelian Resources several years ago. The Fruta Del Norte deposit contains 13.7 million ounces of contained gold and 22.4 million ounces of contained silver. With the total resource contains 58.9 million tonnes grading 7.23 g/t gold and 11.8 g/t silver according to the last resource estimate. Other companies with exposure to Ecuador include Dynasty Metals and Mining (DMM) along with Ecuacorriente which is developing its Panantza-San Carlos copper deposit and IAMGold (IMG), which plans to develop its Quimsacocha gold-copper-silver mine.

I found this chart very enlightening - and have posted it in three places. No one has commented about it yet - Perhaps I need to explain it. Here's some data that goes with it: 2002 7,361,600 : + 39,200 : + 0.54 % 2003 7,364,100 : + 02,500 : + 0.03 % 2004 7,389,100 : + 25,000 : + 0.34 % 2005 7,456,100 : + 67,000 : + 0.91 % 2006 7,512,400 : + 56,300 : + 0.76 % 2007 7,556,900 : + 44,500 : + 0.59 % 2008 7,620,000 : + 63,100 : + 0.83 % 2009 7,753,600 : +133,600 : + 1.75 % 2010 7,825,200 : + 71,600 : + 0.92 % What we saw in 2009 (right at the bottom of the GFC!), the Population of Greater London rose by 133,600 people in a single year! That sort of rise was what was previously seen only in the great boom of London in the 1890's (actually my data shows that Greater London added an average of 116,004 people per annum in 1892-1899), and then again after WW2 when people were flooding back into London. Funny thing was: 2007 was the peak in house prices, and property prices were falling fast in 2008. New home construction had all but stopped, and now suddenly there was a big surge in people moving to Greater London. No wonder rents have pushed up !

I am double-or-triple-posting this here, so I can be sure people will see it (It is also on the -3% Drop in Asking prices thread- and the London Population thread in GPC.)

Here are the actual and update figures from : a new thread

Investors Short HK Property Stocks on China Slowdown Fears 24 Nov 2011 | By: Abby Schultz Investors have turned bearish on Hong Kong’s property market, shorting stocks of real estate developers with fortunes closely linked to demand from mainland China. Hong Kong’s big property companies have little exposure to the mainland as most of their business is concentrated in Hong Kong, with the exception of a few. But, they aren’t immune to what’s happening there as mainland Chinese make up a huge percentage of property buyers in Hong Kong. In the third quarter, 51 percent of buyers of primary real estate were from the mainland, according to a survey by Hong Kong property agency Centaline. In addition, analysts expect property prices in Hong Kong to fall at least 10 to 15 percent next year as the territory's economy slows. As a result, investors have been shorting stocks of most large property developers listed on the Hang Seng Index over the past six months, according to data from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Short-sales as a percentage of trading volume for Sino Land [0083.HK 9.36 -0.25 (-2.6%) ], for example, rose to more than 25 percent in September and October from less than 17 percent in May and 14 percent in June, according to the data from the exchange. Since the start of the year, share prices of property firms Sun Hung Kai [0016.HK 91.70 -0.75 (-0.81%) ], Cheung Kong Holdings [0001.HK 84.90 -0.25 (-0.29%) ] and Henderson Land Development [0012.HK 36.90 -0.15 (-0.41%) ], have all fallen more than the 18 percent drop for the broader market [.HSI 17689.48 -245.62 (-1.37%) ]. “If you look at the history of Hong Kong, property prices either go up significantly, or they go down significantly,” Wee Liat Lee, an analyst at Samsung Securities, said. “Some hedge funds have taken a view, ‘if we’re sure about the direction, maybe the fall will be much bigger,” Lee said. According to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch report sent to clients in October, property stocks have room to fall even more if the economy continues to slide. “If we take the trough valuation in 2008 into consideration, there could still be a 30 percent type of downside to go, before Hong Kong property prices reach bottom," the report said. Michael McGowan, lead manager of the Forward International Real Estate Fund, which invests in non-U.S. real estate stocks, says, “The predominant reason for these shorts is probably to hedge macro uncertainty out of China or Europe, and people don’t even know the property companies themselves. They are big and liquid and you can short them.” Many of these stocks, too, are included in “baskets” created by brokerages as a means for hedge funds to short the Hong Kong market, McGowan said. /more: http://www.cnbc.com/id/45424509

A "Window of Opportunity" is nearly here... GOLD & SILVER SUPPORT NEARBY ?? I may buy some Calls on GLD today (with one hand, if not with both) GLD is getting very near to important support ... update GLD support is about $160.80 (144d MA) : GLD-2mos.chart SLV support is about : $ 29.70 (377d MA) : SLV-2mos.chart (Though the opportunity looks to be similar, I am not quite so bullish as when I said "back up the truck" exactly on the last low - But I do expect to be buying calls.)

Population statistics for London Year Population 1 Fewer than 5,000 500 Fewer than 5,000 1066 Est 5,000 - 40,000 (William the Conqueror) 1600 Est 200,000 1650 Est 350,000 1300 Est 50,000 - 100,000 1700 Est 700,000 1801 958,863 1821 1,378,947 1841 1,948,417 1861 2,803,989 1881 3,815,544 (or Greater London 4,776,661) 1891 4,211,056 (or Greater London 5,633,332) 1899 6,528,434 (Greater London) 1939 8,615,245 (Greater London) - population's peak 1951 8,196,978 (Greater London) 1961 7,992,616 (Greater London) 1971 7,452,520 (Greater London) 1981 6,805,000 (Greater London - midyear est) 1991 6,829,300 (Greater London - midyear est) 2001 7,322,400 (Greater London - midyear est) 2002 7,361,600 (Greater London - midyear est) 2003 7,364,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2004 7,389,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2005 7,456,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2006 7,512,400 (Greater London - midyear est) /source: http://www.londononline.co.uk/factfile/historical/

Population statistics for London Year Population 1 Fewer than 5,000 500 Fewer than 5,000 1066 Est 5,000 - 40,000 (William the Conqueror) 1600 Est 200,000 1650 Est 350,000 1300 Est 50,000 - 100,000 1700 Est 700,000 1801 958,863 1821 1,378,947 1841 1,948,417 1861 2,803,989 1881 3,815,544 (or Greater London 4,776,661) 1891 4,211,056 (or Greater London 5,633,332) 1899 6,528,434 (Greater London) 1939 8,615,245 (Greater London) - population's peak 1951 8,196,978 (Greater London) 1961 7,992,616 (Greater London) 1971 7,452,520 (Greater London) 1981 6,805,000 (Greater London - midyear est) 1991 6,829,300 (Greater London - midyear est) 2001 7,322,400 (Greater London - midyear est) 2002 7,361,600 (Greater London - midyear est) 2003 7,364,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2004 7,389,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2005 7,456,100 (Greater London - midyear est) 2006 7,512,400 (Greater London - midyear est) /source: http://www.londononline.co.uk/factfile/historical/

70% reduction in population, even a 30% or 50% drop in population would bring a huge crash in prices to below "replacement value" - as in Detroit. Prices there typically trade for below the cost of land or below the price of the bricks - unless it is a particularly nice neighborhood - and there are a few nice walkable parts of Detroit and its suburbs

Max gets it - Cameron gains a new position on "the list" and a new name

What? German property prices rising faster than Gold prices? Have we got that right?