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Perishabull

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  1. I am going to be honest with you mansouryar so please accept what I say in the way that it is intended, as constructive criticism. The presentation is not at the level I would expect to see as a minimum to make even a modest investment, The video is blurred so it is not possible to see you properly. First impressions are very important. Most of the video appears to have been taken in a rather uninspiring setting such as a room with a bare wall with lighting suspended from the ceiling. This means there are shadows that do not make for an agreeable presentation of your persona. Typically when you watch professional broadcasts the head and torso of the presenter will be shown with the head from 1/4 to 1/3 of the way down from the top of the screen. Unfortunately the sound is of very poor quality, it is difficult to hear what you are saying, and especially difficult when you are standing under the chassis of the car. At the start, the phrase "I want to save the world, please be my helper!" is written under the title for the campaign page. This needs to be reworded as it seems a bit overly idealistic and I suspect that this may be if English is not your first language(?). There are large blocks of text that are off-putting, can these not be split into paragraphs to make it flow better? You state "Q. What if everything goes wrong? A. If you think things may go wrong, please guide me as to what to do to prevent such an awful scenario. If you are not sure about this, please participate in small pledges, or spread the word at least." This Q. really reduces the credibility because it appears as if you are unlikely to know why it would go wrong. I suspect what you are trying to say is that you would welcome collaboration and help from others with expertise in the same fields? In the next question you state you would be shocked if you received more than the stated goal, to me this suggests that either you aren't as confident as you perhaps should be or you have inadvertently given readers the perception that you aren't as confident as you should be. What I would like to see; Please consider the above as a minimum. I would like to see a brief introduction from you, your name, age, what is your background? If you have a academic qualifications what are they? What are your areas of expertise? Have you been involved in any successful business before? If so, mention this. You need to have people view your campaign page and feel compelled to contribute, so presentation and content needs to be professional and appear credible. Enlist the help of others, perhaps local film students looking for experience making a film for indiegogo, do you have a budget for that? I hope you receive this in the way that it is intended, certainly don't be disheartened. There are a lot of helpful people around here and elsewhere but you really need to spend more time working on your campaign for indiegogo. PS As a sidenote it is not very unusual to come across people who have bright ideas but are not accustomed to selling themselves. Regards and give me a shout if you think I can help out. PositiveDeviant
  2. Gold futures (August) Gold trade has shifted to the August contract, the Andrew's Pitchfork meshes well with the data with gold snaking along the trendline these last few weeks. Andrew's Pitchfork is slightly unusual, it's an effective method of gaining context over price. It's drawn by taking a significant low, a significant high and another significant low. There are upward and downward sloping trending lines, each should be viewed as a horizon along which price moves, in the example above we can see that gold moved sharply lower during the downward trend section with the downward trendline acting as both support and resistance. It has been steadily climbing the lower up sloping trendline since 17th May.
  3. Well it didn't test the low bit it did test a low;
  4. Geez Bubb, I didn't realise you were selling that much.
  5. The Japanese have had their share of hard times, unfortunately I think another portion is headed their way.
  6. Institutions need to raise capital to cover sudden losses in what WAS a stable JGB market, this is what's driving the dollar higher, and by proxy gold lower. Mass exodus from JGBs is potentially a HUGE black swan event. That's my intuition. Kyle Bass may well be proved right, with quite the style and panache.
  7. It's our perennial favourite the Gold Silver ratio; Mid-February to present Looks like a pennant formation may be coming to a close, assuming it does go higher. 2010 - present Potential resistance? Gold down to $1457 right now and under a lot of pressure from a rising dollar, the dollar index at 82.84, up nearly a whole point on the day...
  8. Someone's bullish on silver... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uMma7pP5Eik&feature=player_embedded#!
  9. Gold small specs have completely capitulated; Even lower than the 2008 low. Gold small specs net long 133 contracts. Longer term chart;
  10. One for the silver bulls from http://blog.kimblechartingsolutions.com/2013/05/30-year-opportunity-is-at-hand-in-silver/
  11. SLW (Grey) with Silver futures (Blue); At silver's recent low SLW hit $21.79, the same level it was at in August 2010, just before silver embarked on it's huge rally.
  12. I use a trading system called Multicharts, there's a tool called Andrews Pitchfork that allows you to examine markets using 'median line analysis'. I'm relatively new to it but its quite powerful since it allows you to look at price structure from a different and sometimes original perspective. The midline may offer resistance since it provided compelling support on a number of occasions. If gold dismisses it by rising through with little or no resistance that could be interpreted as being very bullish for gold. If the lower line is broken and it is not immediately recaptured then the trend may be broken but it depends on seeing more detail and doing more analysis if that scenario develops.
  13. And what about Silver Miners? (ETF SIL) This is the ratio of SIL to SLV; Relative to silver the miners seem good value. SIL; Very recently SIL was trading at a lower valuation than when silver was at $18.
  14. Now down precisely to the sliding parallel shown in above chart;
  15. A different opinion - Tom Winnifrith; Excerpt http://tomwinnifrith...ices-must-crash "Why UK house prices must crash This went out on onefreesharetip.com a few weeks ago but perhaps meriots a wider audience I stand by my view expressed here: It is part of the British DNA that we believe that house prices must always go up. That is not the case. Be warned. Falls of 30% or more are inevitable within the next few years. Of course inflation (the erosion of the purchasing power of the pound) has made house prices a one way bet since the early 1970s. I will not bother serving up a chart just imagine climbing a ski slope. But this is an inflation given gain. It simply reflects, to misquote Harold Wilson that the pound in your pocket is worth far less than it was. You might note that in 1971 you could buy an ounce of gold for £14. Today that will cost you more than £1000. The destruction in the purchasing power of Sterling during the past 42 years has meant that all physical assets look, in headline terms, like smart bets, housing included. You cannot live in a bar of gold but it has actually been a better bet than UK house prices. So as it happens has been am 1870 Wisden cricket annual, but again you cannot live in it. House prices have not, as anyone who bought in 1987 will remember, moved in a straight line. There are periods when they fall sharply. That happens because a) they get overheated and because there is one of two external shocks: either a sharp rise in unemployment or a sharp rise in interest rates and either of those two triggers mean that large numbers of people with mortgages cannot pay, default and become forced sellers. For the feature of housing as an investment as opposed to, say shares or gold, is that the market is very illiquid. If Kylie Minogue moves into your street and there is a sudden demand from dirty old men to buy housing there too, prices will rise very sharply as there will be far more demand than supply and each transaction will set a new benchmark price for the whole street. But Kylie can live in only one place at a time. If you suddenly face a few forced sellers in your street and there is no rush of buyers each will compete to shift their property as quickly as possible and each time one sale goes through that sets a new benchmark – a lower one. And that is what will happen at some stage soon. At this point I bring to your attention a chart which shows average UK house price to average income ratios over time. You will see that the long run average is c4. Of course the ratio is very rarely exactly 4 it tends to get ahead of itself and then correct below mean and then bounce above mean. Right now we are at a level ( above mean) seen only twice before in living memory. The first time was in 1987 when Chancellor Lawson engineered a housing bubble with the announcement that in 1988 he would abolish double MIRAS. Folks rushed to buy in 1987 and the ratio headed just above 5. Look what happened next? Er..oh – the value of your house just halved. The second time was in 2007 when Gordon Brown pumped money into the UK system with his vast ( unsustainable deficits) and when credit was easy and base rates low. Then came the 2008 global crisis and the ratio crashed again. But not back to 4. And over the past couple of years that ratio has pushed higher and we are once again at 5+ and the amber warning lights are flashing. You might ask why has the ratio climbed once again? It is not that average incomes are falling but the reason – as ever – is political. The Coalition reckons that rising house prices wins votes. It is probably correct. And so taxpayers cash is being blown in a myriad of ways to push prices up – we are being bribed with our own dosh. Banks have been given cheap money to lend which is passed on via cheap mortgages. There are numerous schemes to help first time buyers onto the property ladder. That they need assistance at all is down to a benefits system which underwrites sometimes exorbitant rent bills for those who have never worked ( see today's latest installment of the increasingly vomit inducing tale of Heather Frost here). Landlords know that housing benefit picks up the tab and can thus afford to charge more so pushing up both rental and purchase prices for those who do actually work. The whole system is not sustainable and is pretty ludicrous to boot and at some stage the realities of the UK Government deficit will force an overhaul which will inevitably lead to a total de-rating of house prices. That is probably a good way off (at least until well after the next Election). But interest rate rises are not so far off. The UK lost its AAA credit rating last week. That should mean that the Government has to pay more to issue bonds to fund its gaping deficit which will push up interest rates generally. Moreover there are clear inflationary pressures in the system. At some stage base rates will have to increase and – assuming that the banks do not take a margin hit, a safe enough bet – that means sharply higher mortgage costs."
  16. Daily Express excerpt; "House prices to rise £10,000: Biggest increase for 3 years CONFIDENCE in the housing market has soared to its highest level in three years with prices forecast to rise by £10,000 this summer. By: O'GradySarah Published: Fri, April 26, 2013 Property values are expected to rise by an average of £10,152 Almost three-quarters of homeowners expect values in their area to increase by an average of 4.5 per cent, according to a survey. That would put an extra £10,152 on the average home worth £225,601, property experts say. The good news comes as official figures showed higher than expected growth in the economy for the first three months of the year. Mark Dyason, director at mortgage broker Edinburgh Mortgage Advice, said: “The results of this survey are yet more proof of the deep-seated appeal of bricks and mortar. There’s no doubt the property market is coming back to life. There’s a lot more confidence and urgency and news that the economy actually grew in the first three months of the year will put a further spring in people’s step. “Instrumental to the recovery of the property market is the first-time buyer who has been buoyed by very competitive rates at ever higher loan-to-values. “Properties that might have languished on the market for months and months last year are now being fought over.” Both the numbers of people forecasting a house price increase by the end of the summer and the size of the anticipated rise are the highest since a quarterly survey of 4,000 owners began in 2009. Lawrence Hall, of property search website Zoopla.co.uk which commissioned the research, said: “The housing market has seen a number of positive events in recent weeks including the Budget and growing confidence from homeowners is a significant step towards a recovery. “With first-time buyer lending gradually increasing and mortgages becoming more readily available, there is real belief that the property market is starting to turn a corner and finally drag itself out of the hole since the financial crisis.” He said measures such as the Government’s £80billion Funding for Lending Scheme has helped fuel a surge in price." The property market is fizzing with positivity, says Richard Sexton There’s no doubt the property market is coming back to life Mark Dyason, director at mortgage broker Edinburgh Mortgage Advice The scheme has offered mortgage lenders access to cheap money to pass on to homebuyers. And from 2014 the Help to Buy Scheme will give Government guarantees to support up to £130billion of higher loan-to-value mortgages." http://www.express.co.uk/news/property/394866/House-prices-to-rise-10-000-Biggest-increase-for-3-years
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