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drbubb

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  1. GROWING Prosperity Westward SHoP and West 8 masterplan extends Philadelphia skyline across the Schuylkill River . http://www.dezeen.com/2016/03/11/masterplan-philadelphia-shop-architects-west-8-extend-skyline-across-schuykill-river/
  2. ESTIMATING YIELDS, City-wide It is interesting to play with these numbers, and see what they tell us (but keep in mind the House prices and Estimated rents come from different sources) RENTALS /vs. House Prices (different sources!) ==== -------------- 2015 ----------- : ------------ 2016 ----------- : Mon. House- : RENT : Yield% / House- : RENT : Yield% / Jan. $140.0k: $0000 : 000.0% / $000.0k : $1491 : Feb. $138.0k: $0000 : 000.0% / $000.0k : $1548 : Mar. $133.3k: $0000 : 000.0% / $000.0k : $1513 : Apr. $130.0k: $1489 : 12.76% / May $135.0k: $1526 : 13.56% / June $145.0k: $1518 : 12.56% / July $150.0k: $1515 : 12.12% / Aug. $155.3k: $1458 : 11.27% (summer slump?) Sep. $000.0k: $1478 : Oct. $000.0k: $1503 : Nov. $000.0k: $1458 : Dec. $000.0k: $1458 : ==== House prices ---- : Rental estimates :
  3. Philly-1 : Interview with Jimmy Ngai of Jubilee Capital Mar 10, 2016 Interview with Jimmy Ngai of Jubilee Capital of Hong Kong. We talk about property investment in Philadelphia. Jubilee has an excellent structure for investing with an 11% Pre-tax yield, and it is guaranteed for 3 years - often with a BUYBACK OPTION. Philadelphia is the 4th most walkable major city in the USA, and has much lower prices, and higher yields than New York City, San Francisco, Chicago, or Boston . With job growth and new skyscrapers being built, is showing rapid gentrification.
  4. The interviewer tries to dig a bit deeper here Bo Polny Gold 2020 Forecast Must Watch Interview Published on Mar 1, 2016 Financial analyst Bo Polny from Gold 2020 Forecast goes head to head with Herschel36 in a pre recorded interview recorded on Feb 22nd 2016, exerts of the interview to be played live on Truth is Stranger Than Fiction on The Beat 106fm Weds March 2nd.
  5. An Amazing Correlation with Silver - Why? I have no idea why Hang Lung Group (HK10) and these mainland Chinese shopping mall stocks should correlate with Silver. But if you look closely at these stocks, you will see that they really do. HK10 vs. SLV ... and also HK848, HK1212 ... 10-years : +HK207 : +GLD (orange) Anyone have any ideas why this correlation may be occurring?
  6. HK:10 / Hang Lung Group (HLG) .... 3-mos : 6-mos : 2-yrs : 5-yrs : All / Last: 21.75 : -0.20 : -0.91% / MALL news from today's SCMP / / 1 / Malls face slimmer profits amid economic slump Restaurants, entertainment venues and fast-fashion flagship stores added to attract your shoppers + Several mainland store chains have posted profit warnings, reflecting weaker retail sales, an economic slowdown, and an e-commerce boom + Joy City Property (which has malls for young consumers) warned of a 50-60 percent drop in profits for 2015 + Shenzhen-based Maoye International expects its 2015 profits to drop 80%, and was downgraded from B1 to Caa1 + Life Style international, and upscale mall owner, reported a 10% drop in profits, and closed its mall in Shenyang in Dec. Malls are reacting by adding more Restaurants, and entertainment venue; including other malls like Wanda Plaza. Some analysts are predicting better results in 2016, after the changes. "Department stores are doomed, said analyst David Hong, ..."adding that even among shopping malls, only those located in prime areas of bigger cities would survive due to population inflows" "you need to have strong bargaining power and maintain good relationships with tenants." Hang Lung, which invests in luxury shopping malls in the mainland, said sales of upmarket goods continue to fall as brands put expansion plans on hold. Joy City Props. / HK:0207 ... 3-mos : 6-mos : 2-yrs : 5-yrs : All : Last : $1.05 : -0.02 : -1.87% Maoye Int'l Hld / HK:0848 ... 3-mos : 6-mos : 2-yrs : 5-yrs : All : Last : $0.82 : -0.01 : -1.20% Life Style Int'l / HK:1212 ... 3-mos : 6-mos : 2-yrs : 5-yrs : All : Last / $9.61 : -0.04 : 0.41% / 2 / Q&A interview with Maureen Fung Sau-yin of SHKP (China) Her background: key person behind three large shopping malls: one in HK, and two in Shanghai w/ combined are of 3.1 million sf: APM Mall (630k sf) in Kwun Ton, the IFC mall in Pundong, and the iAPM mall at 999 Haui Hai Zhong Rd., Shanghai She was witnessed the boom and bust cycle in HK's retail market. + HK malls are located near MTR stations, and are experiencing rental growth, despite the diminshing number of big spenders from mainland china + Landlords of malls, have to react to changing customer behavior... there's still room for development in the food & beverage sector which could help attract shoppers to stay longer + There's an opportunity to attract foreign brands who are established in mainland china, to HK + In China, online shopping seems to be focused mainly in second and third tier cities (which have fewer shopping malls) And online buyers do not focus on luxury items. China had US$45mn in online shopping, and HK had $1.53 billion New Construction: from now to 2018, there will be an average of 1.6 million Sq M of new shopping space each year
  7. Larry Nichols is rallying the people... to fight election fraud Herein he tells an inspiring story about the Alamo, and implores people to join him in the fight, to stop the elites from stealing the election from Trump MP3 : http://mediaarchives.gsradio.net/nichols/030716.mp3 One of his listeners in Ohio called in to describe a possible dirty trick being used on the Ohio ballots. He also wants his listeners to get a list of delegates in their state Please listen, and help, if you can. (I will !)
  8. Will Trump's success in the Primaries delay the stock market crash? THAT was Craig B Hulet's opinion in his recent interview for C2C It has been noticed that we are beginning to see Job losses in Hong Kong, much like early 2008: / 1 / BAML, BNP Paribas, Goldman, JP Morgan all cutting bankers and traders in Hong Kong It’s not been the best start to 2016 for bankers in Hong Kong. Bonuses have been generally poor and now global banks are quietly set to trim more of their underperforming front-office staff. In a typical year roughly 4% of Hong Kong bankers and traders lose their jobs because they haven’t performed up to scratch over the previous 12 months. But in 2016 this percentage is likely to about double, say headhunters who are speaking to an increasing number of bankers who have been cut or fear they might be soon. This is all in addition to the much larger-scale layoffs that Barclays, Deutsche Bank and Standard Chartered have already announced in Asia. Unsurprisingly, Hong Kong will be affected by Goldman Sachs’ decision to axe about 10% of its fixed income staff globally in March, instead of the usual 5% / 2 / My understanding is that it is not just banks that are cutting. Friends of mine who work for major corporations have said that management positions in particular are being axed with lower level staff being asked to take on roles previously undertaken by more senior (expensive) staff. I read recently that this was indeed the case with one of the major airlines. And this has been exacerbated by the outsourcing of so many roles such as security and facilities management as the successful bidder needs to drive down costs, particularly staff costs, to win the tender. I expect the situation to worsen as corporate profits fall or fail to rise due to the world economy and this will most likely impact housing prices. (My reaction was): This reminds me of 2008. The cracks were appearing early in the year, and then in the summer the bad news flowed, as stock markets crashed. Firms like Lehman Brothers went bust, or got taken over. That's when the worst job losses started... That may be what lies ahead this year: a stock crash - and hefty job losses. There's a cycle at work, and the big picture is predictable imho. The only thing that might now stop the stock crashes - is the elites do not want to make it easier for Trump to get into the White House. So they may now do all possible now to delay the inevitable crashes into 2017.
  9. A REALISTIC ASSESSMENT - of the 2016 election Craig B Hulet 3 3 2016 "I did not expect to see the rise of Trump so easily..." - CH "Pat Caddell says the establishment cannot stop Trump, because they cannot recognize the legitimate concerns motivating the people who vote for him." "But... NOTHING CAN BE DONE without the Congress.... He cannot achieve anything, if he has alienated everyone." (When talking about Hillary as President) : "THAT does scare me." "I think there's something wrong with Hillary... something's wrong with her emotionally, and psychologically." (comment from Youtube): Troll of the Year One thing Hulet is right about is Hillary. He makes her out to be crazy. She isn't crazy, but demon possessed. Thats what happens when you worship Molech like her and her creepy husband.
  10. Non-Confirmation? GDX performed better than UGLD (gold x3) yesterday MAR: SPY- : Chg : volume/ VIX : GDX: +-chg: -GLD- : Chg: volume: x10.?? WTI.Cr: -DXY- -Chg.- : --TLT- : Chg : Posts/Views cum'l 01: 198.11 +4.55 : 133.M: 17.70 : 18.57 - 0.81: 117.77 - 0.87 : 13.0M: 1232.7 $33.89* 98.373 +0.223 : 128.43 - 2.30 / 09, 009 : 048, 048 02: 199.00 +0.89 : 92.2M: 17.09 : 19.05 +0.48: 118.68 +0.91 : 8.69M: 1240.5 $34.73* 98.183 - 0.190 : 128.96 +0.53 / 02, 011 : 062, 0,120 03: 199.78 +0.78 : 91.6M: 16.70 : 19.82 +0.78: 120.73 +2.05 : 18.4M: 1264.9 $34.69* 97.640 - 0.543 : 129.43 +0.47 / 02, 013 : 062, 0,182 04: 200.43 +0.66 : 117.M: 16.86 : 19.71 - 0.11: 120.54 - 0.19 : 16.2M: 1260.1 $36.33* 97.224 - 0.416 : 128.60 - 0.83 / 05, 018 : 067, 0269 # 07: 200.59 +0.16 : 85.8M: 17.35 : 20.40 +0.69: 121.14 +0.60 : 9.18M: 1268.0 $37.98* 97.057 - 0.167 : 128.56 - 0.04 / 00, 029 : 000, 0500 ========= UGLD versus GDX ... 3-months / 10-d : 2-d : two days : / 10-d : 2-d :
  11. Foxtons is under pressure Max Keiser mentioned it in a recent podcast Keiser Report: Bankers and miracles (E884) The attempt at using the banker's miracle of money printing is failing, and asset values are headed down It looks like FOXT may be set to break below important support FOXT.L / Foxtons ... update
  12. (I received this message by email): This articles says a 30% drop in HK residential in 2016 is possible. Commercial seems more stable. Hong Kong Residential Sales Plunge 70% in February The property slump in Hong Kong is showing very few signs of abating. Residential home sales are now at a 25-year low. Bloomberg's Sree Vidya Bhaktavatsalam reports... VIDEO at link == (To which I responded): 30% - 40% from the Peak (Sept. 2016) is possible. But I don't think it will all happen in 2016 . Based on the cycle, I think it will take 3-5 years to 2019-2021 Look at the different points in the Cycle between HK & the USA: I think trading-the-Cycle will work better in an undervalued City like Philadelphia. Rather than say NY City
  13. (I received this message by email): This articles says a 30% drop in HK residential in 2016 is possible. Commercial seems more stable. Hong Kong Residential Sales Plunge 70% in February The property slump in Hong Kong is showing very few signs of abating. Residential home sales are now at a 25-year low. Bloomberg's Sree Vidya Bhaktavatsalam reports... VIDEO at link == (To which I responded): 30% - 40% from the Peak (Sept. 2016) is possible. But I don't think it will all happen in 2016 . Based on the cycle, I think it will take 3-5 years to 2019-2021 Look at the different points in the Cycle between HK & the USA: I think trading-the-Cycle will work better in an undervalued City like Philadelphia. Rather than say NY City
  14. ROCKWELL - one of the Top 10: + The Proscenium .( 0,994 replies - 262.3k views) =============== The online tours are getting slicker: "...a virtual tour of the model units for towers Kirov and Sakura. Allow one to experience and visualize the layout and finishes of one of the units from the said towers." Sakura Link: https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=nLWdn5ZC2y6 Kirov Link: https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=8oT5j7Mezcv
  15. $16M Shopping Center Planned for Fairhill's Abandoned Lots Nine acres of junk yards and vacant lots will be transformed into 85,000-square-feet of retail by Melissa Romero Feb 29, 2016 Plaza Allegheny at 400 W. Allegheny Avenue, A rendering : Plaza Allegheny A large swath of land comprised of mostly junk yards is poised to become a large mixed-use, retail shopping center in the Fairhill neighborhood of North Philly. Dubbed Plaza Allegheny, construction on the nine-acre site at 400 West Allegheny Avenue will begin at tomorrow's groundbreaking ceremony, the Mayor Jim Kenney's office announced today in a press release. The $16 million Plaza Allegheny will be a 85,000-square-foot retail shopping center and bring 140 jobs to the neighborhood, which at one point was a bustling manufacturing area and home to a predominantly Latino community. As factories began to shut down, the Fairhill turned into a string of vacant lots and junk yards. According to a retail brochure for Plaza Allegheny, the center is expected to deliver in April 2016. The following retailers are currently on board: Save a Lot, Advance Auto Parts, Little Caeser's, Dunkin Donuts, and Subway.
  16. Giant step in Philly growth March 4, 2016 Artist’s rendering of the future view from 30th Street looking at the planned Drexel Square parks. For far too long, Philadelphia was a punchline, never getting the respect it deserved, even from city residents. Not anymore. Philadelphia today is synonymous with urban comeback and growth. Over the past 25 years we've gone from being a symbol of urban distress to being a leader of America's urban renaissance. The big question for the future would seem to be: Can creative commercial development be a catalyst for sustainable social progress? We'd like to answer that question with an emphatic "yes." Ambitious commercial development directly tied to a specific community agenda represents the best hope for an inclusive future for Philadelphia. Drexel University and Brandywine Realty Trust share that belief, and we are backing our conviction with a $3.5 billion investment in a project called Schuylkill Yards, on the west bank of the Schuylkill adjacent to Amtrak's 30th Street Station and Brandywine's Cira Center office towers, and at the gateway to Drexel's main campus. The master plan for Schuylkill Yards made public Wednesday reveals some game-changing influences for Philadelphia's growth. This 14-acre development will be the largest in the city's history. It will include spaces designed for innovative start-up companies, research laboratories, and corporate offices, along with residential building, retail, and hotel space, and ample open green horizons. At the end of the 15- to 20-year construction phase, this will be an appealing neighborhood that combines commercial buildings with some of the most welcoming public spaces in urban America, a civic commons unlike any other. . . . Long-term plans also call for Drexel to explore new avenues for its long-standing partnership with the Philadelphia School District. This means deepening our investment to help ensure that young people in West Philadelphia get the education they need to enroll in schools like Drexel or the University of Pennsylvania and someday work in one of the knowledge-based firms that take root in Schuylkill Yards. Its strategic location encourages easy collaborations with University City's rich mix of higher education, medical, and scientific institutions. This level of collaboration is in keeping with the concept of urban innovation districts, and Schuylkill Yards has been inspired in part by the work of Bruce Katz of the Brookings Institution, a prominent authority on innovation districts. In terms of the city's long-term development, this is a giant step ahead in Philadelphia's growth westward, as Center City and University City come together as the heart of one vibrant district, tied together by the ribbon of the Schuylkill River. This is a future the whole city can take pride in, and one that should offer opportunity to all Philadelphians. Read more at http://www.philly.com/philly/opinion/20160304_Giant_step_in_Philly_growth.html#RWUwP4DSBCWsPd3X.99 INNOVATION Neighborhood Drexel’s massive development project calls for national and international corporate partners seeking to attract the pool of academic and professional talent from Drexel. Furthermore, the Innovation Neighborhood will serve as a hub for start-ups by creating educational, employment and other opportunities for Philadelphia residents. The proposed neighborhood will include market-rate and student housing options in response to the needs of the surrounding neighborhoods, as well as street-level retail spaces that are expected to enliven the project’s major buildings and create pedestrian corridors along JFK Boulevard and Market Street. Additionally, green spaces and streetscapes will interconnect the project’s buildings creating a unique sense of mobility, while parking will be integrated in the overall plan in strategically located structures. > https://www.cpexecutive.com/post/drexel-launches-rfp-for-revolutionary-innovation-neighborhood-in-university-city/
  17. INSANE Amounts of money are being spent to try buying elections But most of it seems wasted - Let's put an end to this insanity ! Koch brothers believe Trump unstoppable now By Jim W. Dean, Managing Editor on March 5, 2016 Charles and David Koch, two of the US Republican Party’s biggest donors, say they will not attempt to stop GOP presidential front-runner Donald Trump from scoring the nomination, because he seems unstoppable now. “We have no plans to get involved in the primary,” said James Davis, a spokesman for Freedom Partners, the Koch brothers’ political network, Reuters reported Wednesday. The report said that the Koch brothers believe money spent against Trump would be wasted since all previous attacks on the New York billionaire have failed. The brothers have also reportedly soured somewhat on spending big on presidential elections, having bankrolled failed 2012 Republican candidates Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney. The Koch brothers wield significant financial and political influence on US politics, both directly and indirectly, via various advocacy and lobbying organizations. The brothers are the sons of Fred C. Koch, who founded Koch Industries, the second-largest privately held company in the United States. The brothers have contributed heavily to conservative campaigns and think tanks. They are among the best-known Republican donors, and potential GOP candidates court their favor. But the brothers are throwing their massive wealth and sophisticated organization into the Republican presidential primary for the first time. The Kochs have resisted jumping into presidential campaigns in the past because they had doubts in the value of the investment. The Kochs spent some $400 million on US politics in 2015 and are planning to cash out about $900 million to shape this year’s presidential election. == > http://www.veteranstoday.com/2016/03/05/koch-brothers-believe-trump-unstoppable-now/
  18. JAZZ .... Does it live up to its online popularity? Jazz Residences has the most popular thread on SSC - But what is it like as a place to live? The Pool at Jazz I visited 2-3 flats there late in 2015. I was impressed with the lobby, and also the amenities. In fact, i had a very positive opinion... Until I saw the actual flats. I was not keen on the layouts of the 1BR flats. The Bedroom part was right next the window, and the living room area was in the middle of the space, without a view, except though the bedroom. The main problem, which blocked the light, was the partition separating the bedroom from the living room area. If I lived there, i would not want to spend much time in the flat except when I was sleeping - the LR seemed like a hallway, and claustrophobic. (I should say, this is a personal opinion, which maybe others may not share,) Having said this, the suggested Rental prices looked reasonable for 1 BR flats, in the location. Here's another opinion - this is from SSC - but keep in mind, it comes from an owner of another property, not a Jazz owner: Posted : September 29th, 2015 by R. L. ====== I am renting out my unit to a Singapore expat. my other friend is renting his one to a Malaysian expat. for renters working in RCBC, GT International and other offices in this part of Ayala, they prefer Oriental Gardens Makati than say Jazz. Jazz which commands the same price but so much inferior in terms of quality, unit size and location. personally I was satisfied with my unit when it was delivered. and i was particularly impressed with the toilet tiling and finishings. so much better than my experience with smdc, dmci and avida. overall i did not have any major issues with my punchlist. my only complaint was with the elevator layout. and sometimes i wish i got a bigger unit from the beginning. sayang kasi it was still well priced during pre selling / 2 / : January 13th, 2016 S.C. - owner at Jazz: Quote: Originally Posted by Bso. does anyone know for sure how many years warranty is there from turnover date? poor workmanship are now starting to appear i heard. I was told by the former property manager that it was 6 months, but when I accompanied my friend for her turn-over, the SMDC rep said it was one year. In any event, 18 months after the turn-over of my Tower A unit, I can see defects such as creaking tiles and grout powder coming out of my floor both in my living room and my bedroom. The funny thing is, nobody has lived in my unit. I only get to visit it for an hour every month when I pay my dues. So I can't attribute the problem to wear and tear. I have a good mind to change the whole flooring but the property manager is charging P30k as major renovation bond plus P3k admin fee. (A minor renovation like the installation of a split-type ACU is P10k bond plus P1k admin fee.) They will only return the bond after the work but keep the admin fee for themselves. / 3 / : October 12th, 2015 B. L. / Re : Tower C and Tower B Quote: Originally Posted by Homerjkev Not moved in yet to my unit in C Tower. Can anyone tell me how do you reach your tower from the street level? Only one point of entry around Jazz? I'm presuming that you enter from street level and take a certain lifts up to the accommodation towers? How secure is this.. is the lift coded in anyway to your key? Many thanks.. The entrance to tower c is at the back .... Actually am renting a unit at tower c ,I like the ambience ,, and the unit inside is nice facing amenities and makati skyline ... The only drawback is just the entrance but overall is a thumbs up... Am here waiting for the turnover of my unit at tower B ...I felt tower B unit owners were shortchanged compared to tower c but maybe SMDC balanced it out ...my unit at tower B facing makati skyline... My split type AC is 1/5 hp for a 32 sqm ..tower c is 2 hp for a 28 sqm.. Tower b has only 1 smoke detector in the living room ... Tower c have 2 SD , in the LR and the BR... At tower c you can enjoy the Balcony for relaxation because the AC BLOWER is facing out of the balcony while in my unit at tower b the hot air blows towards the balcony NOT out of the balcony... So I need to shut off my AC , had to wait for half hour for the hot air from my AC BLOWER to dissipate before I could use my balcony.... The only plus of Tower b is the LOBBY .It's just like a five star hotel.. And the pick up drop off point of tower b entrance is well laid out.... But over all like Staff ... Security visibility ,, you'll feel very safe... The area is quiet... Garbage is collected 3x a day.... Overall Jazz Condo setting is just like a hotel... All the basics needs of traveling people or tenants are here...
  19. The Gold Cycle of 4-6 months suggests a Low in late March/ April ... update : See thread : An unusual success : On the last ytrading day of 2015, I bought 50x GLD March $103 calls at about $2.25 I sold the last 20 of these at about $17. That's 7.55X times what I paid for them. This is an extraordinary gain on what were near ATM options. I rarely expect to make more than 3-4x my investment on an Options trade. But someone said to me earlier, let me know when you have another good trade. And I did signal it here, as I was doing it. So I ask people to remember this trade, the next time you want to criticize or laugh, because I have lost the premium I invested in an options trade. That happens fairly often - but the big profits like this one can more than redeem the losing trades.
  20. The Gold Cycle of 4-6 months suggests a Low in late March/ April ... update
  21. Paradoxically... Even though I am watching for signs of Inflation, I think we may get a correction in Gold, which has run up too fast imho. I have sold some (but not all) of my Gold, and late last week I bought Puts on Gold and Gold shares. The maturities go out to April and June. I expect to be reversing these positions, and adding to my longs if/when the 4 month Gold cycle bottoms in perhaps late March/ or April The correction may have started on Friday, with the Pop & Drop Reversal; GDX-vs-UGLD (I was happy to find that someone agrees with my assessment): MP3 : Big Picture : http://www.financialsensenewshour.com/broadcast/fsn2016-0305-1.mp3 Technician Tom McClellan: The Gold Rally Has Been Overdone – Pull-Back Coming Mar 5 – Jim welcomes back Tom McClellan of McClellan Financial Publications. Tom believes the markets have been in a bear market rally off the January/February lows. He sees another down-leg in March, leading to a more meaningful... . . . As to gold, Tom believes the rally this year has been overdone, and he expects gold will pull back soon, at least short-term. Tom also covers oil, interest rates, and the possibility of negative interest rates in the US. Also in this segment, Ryan Puplava === A trending move can go either upward or downward, and this indicator will not tell us which. To get that answer, we have to turn to other tools. One can either watch for whichever direction a breakout goes and run with it, or one can look elsewhere for guidance about the direction that is more likely. For that answer, a couple of other charts are showing a compelling message. Data from the weekly Commitment Of Traders (COT) Report, published by the CFTC, show that commercial traders of gold futures have returned to a big net short position, much like what they were showing last October just before the drop to a lower price low. The commercial traders are the big money, and thus presumed to be the smart money. When they get to a big skewed position as a group, relative to what they have been doing recently, prices usually move in the direction that this group is betting on. A similar message comes from the gold bullion ETF, GLD. Money has been pouring into GLD at the most rapid rate since early 2009, as investors are chasing the recent gold price pop. Those extra purchases can skew the share price, and so in order to keep the share price close to the net asset value, the sponsoring firm (State Street Global Advisors) issues more shares, and uses the proceeds to buy more gold bullion. This last chart looks at GLD assets, measured in terms of how far the total assets number is away from its own 50-day moving average. When there is a rapid rush like this into GLD, it is a sign of excessive speculation worthy of a top for gold prices. So based on these sentiment indications, the likely direction for the new trending move suggested by the Choppiness Index would be downward. = > http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/tom-mcclellan/gold-preps-new-trending-move He sees a Low in early April, followed by another Low in October (which could be lower) And one of those lows could be the end of the Bear market.. Note: April + 4mos = Aug. Tom McCl's website :: http://www.mcoscillator.com/
  22. (I started a new thread around this theme): http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=20681 Will surprise inflation wreck the Stock Market? Oil, Copper, and the CRB have fallen a long way, and maybe have started an important bounce, and even a Bull market "Big Three" Charts (SPY, GLD, DXY) ... 10d-Intraday : 6mos-D : 2yrs-D : 5yrs-D // CUvsGLDvsCRB CRB / Commodity Research Bureau index - on its own CRB- long term - up to 2012 ... & showing the recent Low near 155 Here's one voice talking "Inflation Ahead" Is Inflation Around the Corner? The world is awash in worries about deflation, but here in the US it appears that inflation is making a comeback. If this new trend continues, it may catch a lot of investors off guard. Inflation, or the lack thereof, drives financial markets... . . . overall inflation took a nose dive lower, nearly crossing the sharp 0% line (which would mark the transition into deflation). We can see that that the collapse in headline inflation pulled core inflation down with it, but to a much lesser extent. Now, over the last few months, inflation has begun to rebound (black arrows). Many people find this phenomenon strange when they consider that oil is still trading close to its recent lows, near $35/barrel. “Doesn’t oil need to rise for inflation to pick up?” they ask. The answer is no; it doesn’t. It just needs to stop going down. The reason oil took such a toll on overall inflation is because oil itself was experiencing massive deflation. The price of oil, when compared to its price a year earlier, kept on falling and falling. But now, oil has been sharply suppressed for over a year, and this effect is diminishing.
  23. The Art of the Deal? Will it Save Trump and his family? (I shared my comment in the original post with Robert Steele / see thread / - and he had THIS reaction I also asked him if he was still anti-Trump, as I know he had an idea of how to get Bernie Sanders elected): Robert David Steele said: I was never anti-Trump, I wrote the below piece as an attempt to get him and his staff to listen: CounterPunch, August 14, 2015 Counter-Coup: How Trump Can Win* I agree that it could be -- but probably will not be -- a confrontation between us and them. Unlike Perot, Trump could go the distance, and unlike Perot, Trump will "make the deal" to save his life when they make it clear to him they will kill him, his wife, and all his children if he crosses them once in power -- just as Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton rolled over and played dead once in office. You have interesting perspective, but I cannot deal with a flood of information. I have been trying to connect to Trump via Roger Stone without result after being blown off by the campaign staff. We have a strong piece coming out today -- Trump is a genius at one level, and his own worst enemy at another. = unquote = *Steele's article makes several powerful points, with which I mostly agree: EXCERPTS: Counter-Coup: How Trump Can Win by Robert David Steele Martin Luther King was assassinated when he took on the military-industrial complex. John F. Kennedy was assassinated by a cabal led by Lyndon B. Johnson that included rogue elements of the CIA, the Cuban mafia, Texas energy, New York money, and the Zionist state of Israel – both George H. W. Bush and Yitzhak Rabin were in Dallas on “the day,” Israel being angry over both the curtailment of its nuclear program and the plans to require all Jewish organizations receiving direction or funding from Israel to register as “agents of a foreign power.” Since then the only credible threat to the neo-fascist 1% has been Ross Perot – so he and his daughter were threatened with assassination. Perot made a strategic decision, sound at the time, to yield to larger forces he could not confront... The times, they have changed. America is in a revolutionary state – most of the pre-conditions of revolution, including the concentration of wealth and the loss of government legitimacy in the eyes of a majority, exist in the USA today, right now. What we do not have just yet is what is called a precipitant. A burning monk, a Tunisian fruit seller – or the assassination of Donald Trump. If Donald Trump were to be assassinated tomorrow, I believe that both senior Republican leaders and the Koch Brothers as well as selected media personalities would be at risk of multiple uncoordinated largely spontaneous assassination attempts, many successful. These people have no idea just how angry – and capable – a very large number of veterans, blue collar hunters, and others are right now. Donald Trump can get through this attack cycle – it is the GOP leadership and its financial puppet-masters, notably the Koch Brothers and their ilk, that are going through a psychotic break-down. Trump scares them for all the right reasons. Steele goes on to make Seven suggestions, which range from impractical (Hire a Latino Deputy Campaign Manager) to brilliant (Sponsor a Balanced Budget Web Site) - though maybe I cannot truly recognize which is which. But will Trump listen? Maybe eventually, but not yet... since his attention is elsewhere.
  24. This video makes reference to a documentary about RFK It is worth a listen, and it captures a magic moment from my youth, when many of us thought Robert Kennedy might win back the leadership role that had been stolen from his brother This was recorded two years again when people were protesting Israel's war crimes in Gaza: ""What is missing now is a major figure from inside Washington who is willing to speak out aaginst the War... What we need now is a major figure, a Robert Kennedy who is willing to run against this War effort." (Strangely, Donald Trump has emerged as a powerful voice against the war and in favor of ordinary people in their battle with establishment politics. It is Deja Vu all over again.) Robert Kennedy and the Moral Courage we Need in Gaza What other parallels can be drawn? Was RFK's demise really what the official story accepted the MSM say it was? Sirhan's shooting of RFK certainly seems like a case of mind control : thread And there is solid evidence of a second shooter: The big question is WHO were the real plotters of RFK's assassination? And WHY was he killed? (was it because he was seen as a threat to elites that took power after his brother's death?) RFK was willing to take on the political elites - and take a fresh look at the Big Picture Isn't this exactly what Trump is doing in the 2016 campaign?
  25. The Most important election in US History? (this is an email that is making the rounds) Re: an article that I received by email: Why Donald Trump won’t be elected president - from the Washington Post > https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/why-donald-trump-wont-be-elected-president/2016/03/03/50dafd0e-e169-11e5-9c36-e1902f6b6571_story.html?wpisrc=nl_az_most You need to "take from whence it comes" the arguments in that highly-biased article. Zionist owned news media are now in league with the Donor class that is financing the War candidates, like Hillary, Rubio, and Cruz. They are scared shitless that Trump might win, and put an end to the Wars-for-Israel that are dragging down America. Along with that, Trump wants to re-examine 9/11, revamp the faltering US health care system, and stop the invasion of the US by illegal immigrants. The elites and the Deep State that control the political and economic agenda of America must feel highly threatened by the issues that Trump is raising. The way that the controlled media is attacking him now makes their frightened reaction very obvious. This is the most important election in American history, and it has the potential to reverse the Coup D'etat by the Globalists that goes back to 1963 and the conspiracy to assassinate JFK. I have been researching this a long time, and the reality of a coup, and shift in power to a powerful elite is the only explanation that fits the facts of all the political dramas and wars that have unfolded over the past several decades. Here's my record, monitoring the outrageous bias that we have seen in once-respected media like the NY Times. and the Washington Post over the last several weeks, as the panic by elites and the media has become more and more hysterical. Hillary vs. Trump - the Pattern of Press Bias > http://www.greenenergyinvestors.com/index.php?showtopic=20626 And here's a video which sketches out the Timeline we have seen since the Coup d'etat that goes back to JFK"s time: > America After the Coup pt1: Leader of the Decaying World It is essential that we wake up as many people as possible, and take back our country from the elites that now control it, and who are quickly draining the USA of its remaining wealth. We now have a political leadership that has been bought by special interests. The most noxious and dangerous thing is the way the donor class is driving the US to fight wars that do not serve our country's interests. We need to stop this before we are dragged into WW3. ===== POLLS : http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
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