webmaster Posted February 26 Report Share Posted February 26 Possible Top - Late July update: I said: "570 looks iike a good TARGET" : High so far was: 565.16 SELLING WINDOW AHEAD in 2024? SPY vs. GLD. SLV : SPY, from 2000, $544; "SPY-570 looks iike a good TARGET for a possible peak in the S&P500" QQQ Below: 2023: SPY-2020: I have been waiting for this Seasonal opportuniity. At the beginning of 2023 I said: "STOCKS: BULLISH Set-up for 2023.." (SPX: 3,999, now 12.7% higher at 4,508. Ytd, QQQ is up 42.1% from 266 to 378.) Along the way, I resisted - rightly, it turns out - the temptation to get Bearish. Because I thought stocks could hold uo until late AUG. We are now in the Timeframe where it could make sense to Sell. Ideally, the QQQ might continue to Rally to 400 or so. Current level is 378. So that would be perhaps 6% higher. It may not get that far, so STAY ALERT NOW. (Given that PSEI is well off its 2023 high of 7,138, Fri's close of 6,181 was -13.5% off that level. It may make sense to hedge PSEI with QQQ or SPY puts since the downside in the US indices appears much bigger in a global stock market slide, if we see that.) - from a post on my Viber market chat, 9.1.2023 VIX at 13.75 : 2023: 10d: (12mo R: 11.81 to 30.81 ) VIX at 13.50 suggests the level of complacency is very high. And you will see level like that when SPX is putting in a Top GLD (x), SLV (x) vs. HK2823 (xx) \IWM / Russell-2000 vs. SPX, TLT/ Bonds ... 2000: 2009: Edited 23 hours ago by webmasterWHY so many are still on the SIDELINES of the Gold Share market: 'Big Rally' (in Stock indices) Could Last Until May, Then Markets Turn 'Ugly' | Chris Vermeulen/ He speaks what many seem to think: "I don't want to touch miners until I see a strong Uptrend in Gold, and some strength in the sector, and we are not seeing that now." >30 min > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted February 26 Report Share Posted February 26 GDX.v.UGL >2020: 7/'22: oct'17: GDX-$26.66 UGL-$61.28= 43.5% /TLT-$93.9 2020: Oct'17: A near perfect set-up for Gold, a long term Cup&Handle. But the breakout is not confirmed until Gold clear $2,070. After $2,070, Wadsworth sees "Many hundreds of Dollars of price rise" in Gold. Gold shares are also super cheap, but typically outperform fro short periods like a year or so. Time : v.UGL: GLD, pct.: GDX, pct. : GDXJ, pct.: JNUG, pct. : Rgld, Mult.: 02.23: 61.28: 188.6, 3.1x: 26.66, 43.5% 32.32, 53%: 24.05, 39%: 106.8, 1.74x Ye’23: 63.87: 191.2, 3.0x: 31.01, 48.6% 37.91, 59%: 33.89, 53%: 121.0, 1.89x Ye’22: 55.27: 169.6, 3.1x: 28.66, 51.9% 35.65, 65%: 36.17, 65%: 112.7, 2.04x Ye’21: 59.81: 171.0, 2.9x: 32.03, 53.6%: 41.93, 70%: 64.13, 1.07x 105.2 1.76x Ye’20 68.20: 178.4, 2.6x: 36.02, 52.8%: 54.24, 80%: 120.6, 1.77x 106.4 1.56x ==== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted March 7 Report Share Posted March 7 GOLD has a way to go yet (Target?: maybe GLD-$212+ x10.81= $2,292) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted March 21 Report Share Posted March 21 David Hunter now says his Gold target (before the big bust) is $3,000+ ... and sometime AFTER the bust, $20,000 > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted March 28 Report Share Posted March 28 Michael Oliver may be Right... Quick move to GDX-$40... GDX: Quick 20%+ GAIN if brk'out over $31? (says Michael Oliver) Precious Metals & Political Chaos: Gold, Silver & Changing World Order > Precious Metals and Political Chaos: Gold, Silver and a Changing World Order === RE SILVER / Someone commented on my chat: " very interesting point about silver ...one of the speakers did research on possible suppression of silver price through JP Morgan and he found out that the suppression is being made by the Chinese through JPMorgan ...they want lower prices because of the use of silver by solera panels producers additionally recently there has been exercise of deliveries on Comex by Indian companies as the Indian gov is subsidiazing the production of panels " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted April 4 Report Share Posted April 4 GOLD's DECADE? ( It has taken some time, & patience to get here. Maybe the Golden Decade -for Gold Stocks- is about to start, but the time since the thread started has been pretty decent for Gold,): Adam Hamilton: From a Cyclical Low to a Super Bull - Why This Could be Gold's Decade > Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted April 9 Report Share Posted April 9 SILVER PARTY just getting started. Target High; yr End... or early Next: $60-70 $60-$75 Silver In This Melt-Up Phase | David Hunter (Gold Target is $3,000 in "Pre-Bust" period == Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted June 14 Report Share Posted June 14 SPEED LIMIT, about to be broken at QQQ-$480? SPY-$544? QQQ . Last: $477. PER: n/a, Yield: 0.51%, (R: 342.35 to 478.39 ) SPY . Last: $542. PER: n/a, Yield: 1.24%, (R: 409.21 to 544.12 ) IWM . Last: $200. PER: n/a, Yield: 1.34%, (R: 161.67 to 211.87 ) TLT: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted June 30 Report Share Posted June 30 SET up for another Run? After Silver broke out, and is correcting into summer SLV/ Silver : 2010: SLV (26.57) , GLD ($215 x10.8= $2,322), vs. US-SPY ($544), and China 50 (12.34) SIL ($31.19, 117% of SLV), etc./ SLV is 12.4%% of GLD; SIL is 84.1% of AGQ ($37.09) === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted June 30 Report Share Posted June 30 SELLING WINDOW AHEAD in 2024? SPY vs. GLD. SLV : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted July 1 Report Share Posted July 1 SPY, from 2000, $544; "SPY-570 looks iike a good TARGET for a possible peak in the S&P500" Options prices at jun.28.24: $544, Vix12.44% strike: Dec24: Ja25: Apr25: Ja26 / Dec24: Ja25: Apr25: Ja26: / 550c-550p x $600C $3.89: $5.18: 10.97: 30.40 / P 54.98: 54.98: 54.98: 56.86 / $570C 13.29: 15.56: 24.06: 46.43 / P 27.56: 28.52: 31.66: 40.38 / $550C 24.48: 26.94: 36.12: 58.58 / P 17.56: 18.86: 22.89: 32.42 / $500C 63.19: 65.07: 73.27: 93.18 / P $6.43: $7.45: 10.82: 19.04 / x ===== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted July 21 Report Share Posted July 21 PEAK IN? We might have seen the Peak in SPY-to TLT at 6.04 Ratio. But I think it will come in Aug-Sept. now (subject to change. 5 Years: SPY-to-TLT SPY-to-GLD ratio === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
webmaster Posted July 25 Report Share Posted July 25 QQQ TOP? Could be in... but normally the high is retested. Like last time QQQ: 463.38 -17.24, -3.59%; -x% off H. PER: n/a, Yield: 0.58%, Range: 342.35 to 503.52 : SPY: === Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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