webmaster Posted February 26, 2024 Report Posted February 26, 2024 SPY : for 2024-25: $610 -10% > $550 .. (R: 466.43 to 609.07 ) ... See: Larry Wms 2025 SPY ($595) - US is 70%! HK2823 (13.77), UKX (8,117), PSEI (6,529) >> IWM ($222) SPY ($599) / TLT($93) =6.44x, IWM ($241, 2.59x); XLF ($51.26, 55.1%) XLF ($51.26, 55.1%) Top watch: Late July update:"570 looks iike a good TARGET" High to 11.20: $600 SELLING WINDOW AHEAD in 2024? SPY vs. GLD. SLV : SPY, from 2000, $544; "SPY-570 looks iike a good TARGET for a possible peak in the S&P500" QQQ Below: 2023: SPY-2020: I have been waiting for this Seasonal opportuniity. At the beginning of 2023 I said: "STOCKS: BULLISH Set-up for 2023.." (SPX: 3,999, now 12.7% higher at 4,508. Ytd, QQQ is up 42.1% from 266 to 378.) Along the way, I resisted - rightly, it turns out - the temptation to get Bearish. Because I thought stocks could hold uo until late AUG. We are now in the Timeframe where it could make sense to Sell. Ideally, the QQQ might continue to Rally to 400 or so. Current level is 378. So that would be perhaps 6% higher. It may not get that far, so STAY ALERT NOW. (Given that PSEI is well off its 2023 high of 7,138, Fri's close of 6,181 was -13.5% off that level. It may make sense to hedge PSEI with QQQ or SPY puts since the downside in the US indices appears much bigger in a global stock market slide, if we see that.) - from a post on my Viber market chat, 9.1.2023 VIX at 13.75 : 2023: 10d: (12mo R: 11.81 to 30.81 ) VIX at 13.50 suggests the level of complacency is very high. And you will see level like that when SPX is putting in a Top GLD (x), SLV (x) vs. HK2823 (xx) \IWM / Russell-2000 vs. SPX, TLT/ Bonds ... 2000: 2009: Edited 23 hours ago by webmasterWHY so many are still on the SIDELINES of the Gold Share market: 'Big Rally' (in Stock indices) Could Last Until May, Then Markets Turn 'Ugly' | Chris Vermeulen/ He speaks what many seem to think: "I don't want to touch miners until I see a strong Uptrend in Gold, and some strength in the sector, and we are not seeing that now." >30 min >
webmaster Posted February 26, 2024 Report Posted February 26, 2024 GDX.v.UGL >2020: 7/'22: oct'17: GDX-$26.66 UGL-$61.28= 43.5% /TLT-$93.9 2020: Oct'17: A near perfect set-up for Gold, a long term Cup&Handle. But the breakout is not confirmed until Gold clear $2,070. After $2,070, Wadsworth sees "Many hundreds of Dollars of price rise" in Gold. Gold shares are also super cheap, but typically outperform fro short periods like a year or so. Time : v.UGL: GLD, pct.: GDX, pct. : GDXJ, pct.: JNUG, pct. : Rgld, Mult.: 02.23: 61.28: 188.6, 3.1x: 26.66, 43.5% 32.32, 53%: 24.05, 39%: 106.8, 1.74x Ye’23: 63.87: 191.2, 3.0x: 31.01, 48.6% 37.91, 59%: 33.89, 53%: 121.0, 1.89x Ye’22: 55.27: 169.6, 3.1x: 28.66, 51.9% 35.65, 65%: 36.17, 65%: 112.7, 2.04x Ye’21: 59.81: 171.0, 2.9x: 32.03, 53.6%: 41.93, 70%: 64.13, 1.07x 105.2 1.76x Ye’20 68.20: 178.4, 2.6x: 36.02, 52.8%: 54.24, 80%: 120.6, 1.77x 106.4 1.56x ====
webmaster Posted March 7, 2024 Report Posted March 7, 2024 GOLD has a way to go yet (Target?: maybe GLD-$212+ x10.81= $2,292)
webmaster Posted March 21, 2024 Report Posted March 21, 2024 David Hunter now says his Gold target (before the big bust) is $3,000+ ... and sometime AFTER the bust, $20,000 >
webmaster Posted March 28, 2024 Report Posted March 28, 2024 Michael Oliver may be Right... Quick move to GDX-$40... GDX: Quick 20%+ GAIN if brk'out over $31? (says Michael Oliver) Precious Metals & Political Chaos: Gold, Silver & Changing World Order > Precious Metals and Political Chaos: Gold, Silver and a Changing World Order === RE SILVER / Someone commented on my chat: " very interesting point about silver ...one of the speakers did research on possible suppression of silver price through JP Morgan and he found out that the suppression is being made by the Chinese through JPMorgan ...they want lower prices because of the use of silver by solera panels producers additionally recently there has been exercise of deliveries on Comex by Indian companies as the Indian gov is subsidiazing the production of panels "
webmaster Posted April 4, 2024 Report Posted April 4, 2024 GOLD's DECADE? ( It has taken some time, & patience to get here. Maybe the Golden Decade -for Gold Stocks- is about to start, but the time since the thread started has been pretty decent for Gold,): Adam Hamilton: From a Cyclical Low to a Super Bull - Why This Could be Gold's Decade >
webmaster Posted April 9, 2024 Report Posted April 9, 2024 SILVER PARTY just getting started. Target High; yr End... or early Next: $60-70 $60-$75 Silver In This Melt-Up Phase | David Hunter (Gold Target is $3,000 in "Pre-Bust" period ==
webmaster Posted June 14, 2024 Report Posted June 14, 2024 SPEED LIMIT, about to be broken at QQQ-$480? SPY-$544? QQQ . Last: $477. PER: n/a, Yield: 0.51%, (R: 342.35 to 478.39 ) SPY . Last: $542. PER: n/a, Yield: 1.24%, (R: 409.21 to 544.12 ) IWM . Last: $200. PER: n/a, Yield: 1.34%, (R: 161.67 to 211.87 ) TLT:
webmaster Posted June 30, 2024 Report Posted June 30, 2024 SET up for another Run? After Silver broke out, and is correcting into summer SLV/ Silver : 2010: SLV (26.57) , GLD ($215 x10.8= $2,322), vs. US-SPY ($544), and China 50 (12.34) SIL ($31.19, 117% of SLV), etc./ SLV is 12.4%% of GLD; SIL is 84.1% of AGQ ($37.09) ===
webmaster Posted June 30, 2024 Report Posted June 30, 2024 SELLING WINDOW AHEAD in 2024? SPY vs. GLD. SLV :
webmaster Posted July 1, 2024 Report Posted July 1, 2024 SPY, from 2000, $544; "SPY-570 looks iike a good TARGET for a possible peak in the S&P500" Options prices at jun.28.24: $544, Vix12.44% strike: Dec24: Ja25: Apr25: Ja26 / Dec24: Ja25: Apr25: Ja26: / 550c-550p x $600C $3.89: $5.18: 10.97: 30.40 / P 54.98: 54.98: 54.98: 56.86 / $570C 13.29: 15.56: 24.06: 46.43 / P 27.56: 28.52: 31.66: 40.38 / $550C 24.48: 26.94: 36.12: 58.58 / P 17.56: 18.86: 22.89: 32.42 / $500C 63.19: 65.07: 73.27: 93.18 / P $6.43: $7.45: 10.82: 19.04 / x =====
webmaster Posted July 21, 2024 Report Posted July 21, 2024 PEAK IN? We might have seen the Peak in SPY-to TLT at 6.04 Ratio. But I think it will come in Aug-Sept. now (subject to change. 5 Years: SPY-to-TLT SPY-to-GLD ratio ===
webmaster Posted July 25, 2024 Report Posted July 25, 2024 QQQ TOP? Could be in... but normally the high is retested. Like last time QQQ: 463.38 -17.24, -3.59%; -x% off H. PER: n/a, Yield: 0.58%, R: 342.35 to 503.52 : x SPY: TQQQ (74.27) ===
webmaster Posted November 17, 2024 Report Posted November 17, 2024 Overbought - Over-enthusiasm measures / VIX (16.14), TZA (11.93, 73.9%), SKF (33.51, 48.2%)- vs SPY (586, vs yrH: 600), IWM (228.5), / SPY (xx, vs.yrH: x), IWM (xx, x%), INDU (xx, x%) ===
webmaster Posted November 21, 2024 Report Posted November 21, 2024 TOP-Seeking Charts, thru leveraged, & ultra-plays, Long and Short / QQQ ($503): TQQQ (77.2, 15.3%); IWM (231, 45.9%); XLF (49.5, 9.8%) .. w/SPY (590.5) w/SPY (590.5); .>compare: PSQ ($38.41) etc az: / PSQ ($38.55) : TZA (11.59, 30.1%), FAZ ($5.96, 15.5%).. w/VIX (16%) yrLo: PSQ ($37.57) : TZA (10.02, 27%) FAZ ($5.73. 15.3%) VIX (10.0%) yrHi: QQQ ($515.5) : IWM ($242), XLF (50.25) az2: / PSQ ($38.55) ax : SKF ($32.40) Lev-Bears may bottom with ye'24 PEAK? TURNS ##: date’yr : PSQ : QQQ : IWM: TZA, %-Psq : XLF : FAZ, %-Psq / VIX : >> x5 / L1 : 6.30.20: 95.00: 247.6: 143.2: 21.20 22.3%: 23.14: 17.71, 18.6%/ 30.43 H : 1.04.22: 54.25: 396.5: 225.0: 26.11 48.1%: 40.57: 17.15, 31.6% / 16.91 L2: 12.28.22: 75.40: 260.1 : 170.5 : 37.73 50.0%: 33.82: 19.95, 26.5%/ 22.14 L3: 10.27.23: 56.75: 342.3: 162.2: 39.84 70.2%: 31.45: 23.57, 41.5%/ 21.27 h? : 11.21.24 : 38.41: 505.0: 234.4: 11.04, 28.7%: 50.17: $5.75, 15.0%/ 16.87 === / L/H Low /H: 37.57: 515.6: 242.4: 10.02, 26.7%: 50.39: $5.67, 15.1%/ 10.62 === SPY : 1993: 2008: 2020: Target: maybe $670 XLF : 2008: 2020: Upside Target: maybe $50-55? IWM, Target: $242? / SPY, Target: x? XLF: $50.17 ( vol. 16%) : Strike mar-x: bid -offer: MarQ: jun-x : bid -offer: JunQ: q>q : $52P: $2.38: 2.25-2.92: 2.59 : $2.90: 2.81- 4.00: 3.40: 0.81, +31.3% $50P: $1.50: 1.47- 1.94: 1.71 : $2.10 : 1.92- 2.42: 2.17: 0.46, +26.9% $48P: $0.89: 0.86-1.15: 1.00 : $1.40 : 1.28- 1.79: 1.53 : 0.53, +53.0% cheap? $51P> 2.00-2.72: 2.36 : (15.4%v) cheap? : 2.85-3.45: 3.15<$53P : (13.6%v) ==== 52-48 $1.49: >> :$1.59: $1.50: $1.87: %52P: 62.6% >> 61.4% 51.7% 55.0%
webmaster Posted November 22, 2024 Report Posted November 22, 2024 XLF Components : /XLF ($50.17), JPM (x, x%), BAC (x, x%), COMPANY SYMBOL TOTAL NET ASSETS Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Cl B BRK.B 13.38% JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM 9.52% Visa Inc. Cl A V 7.29% Mastercard Inc. MA 6.46% Bank of America Corp. BAC 4.25% Wells Fargo & Co. WFC 3.05% S&P Global Inc. SPGI 2.62% Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS 2.48% American Express Co. AXP 2.42% Progressive Corp. PGR 2.36% ===
webmaster Posted November 22, 2024 Report Posted November 22, 2024 Five Financial Markers - only BKR-B looks cheap JPM ($245, 4.88x) /XLF($50.17); BAC (46.46, 92.6%), AXP ($293, 5.84x), MA ($515, 10.3x) Sym. 11.21: %xlf: BkV. : %BV: PER: EPS : Div. : Yield : Yr.L: Yr.H: OpVol Tar. Rat. Q3a: Q4e JPM $245., x% 115.2: 213% 13.6: 18.01 : 5.00: 2.04%: 153.- 248: 00.0% 242 OW 4.37: 3.88: BAC 46.46 x% 35.37: 131%: 16.9: $2.75 : 1.04: 2.24%: 29.3-47.0: 00.0% $49 OW 0.81: 0.78: AXP $293, x% 42.20: 694% 21.6: 13.56 : 2.81: 0.96%: 163.- 297.: 00.0% 280 Hld 3.49: 3.01: MA $515, x% $8.09: 63.6x 39.0: 13.21: 2.63: 0.51%: 404.- 534: 00.0% 567 OW 3.89: 3.71: Bkr.b $472. x% $437.: 108% 9.54: 49.5 : 0.00: -n/a-: 351.- 484: 00.0% 509 OW 4.68: 4.50 XLF $50.17 100% Size: $44.7B ===: ==: 0.00: 00.0%: 35.2-50.4: 16.0% ===
webmaster Posted November 29, 2024 Report Posted November 29, 2024 SPY ($599) / TLT($93) =6.44x, IWM ($241, 2.59x); XLF ($51.26, 55.1%)
webmaster Posted December 22, 2024 Report Posted December 22, 2024 CH#2: #1: UGL retraced 50% (-$16 to $91) of its Big 2024 Gain ($75 > $107=$32) TMF(tlt)-ugl-hod >Aug.'23: Flip-HOD: $79.38 +3.11, +3.3% @ 03.04.24 : $66.07,
webmaster Posted December 26, 2024 Report Posted December 26, 2024 SPY : for 2024-25: $610 -10% > $550 .. (R: 466.43 to 609.07 ) ... See: Larry Wms 2025
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