Jump to content

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 30.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • G0ldfinger

    2616

  • romans holiday

    2235

  • drbubb

    1478

  • Steve Netwriter

    1449

 

Don't know about the rest of you, but this correction in price of gold and silver is manna from heaven to me. I remember a few months ago wondering would a dip in price ever come. I built up cash in my BV account and sold about 10% of my gold when it hit $1400 and now I am buying all the way back down, and my strong euro is a bonus.

 

I am buying with a three to four year time frame in mind. Think we could get back into the low $1200s but only briefly.

 

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gold fails in the battle for higher risk appetite opportunities

 

Published on: February 02, 2011 at 16:35

 

As Gold makes slow and steady decline, investors are turning to higher risk appetite investments virtually ditching the yellow metal which gave them safe haven for long.

 

Traders and speculators in the international market did not find any reason to go long at the moment because the big hedge funds were keeping money away from the Gold market.

 

http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Gold-f...-36164-3-1.html

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gold fails in the battle for higher risk appetite opportunities

 

Published on: February 02, 2011 at 16:35

 

As Gold makes slow and steady decline, investors are turning to higher risk appetite investments virtually ditching the yellow metal which gave them safe haven for long.

 

Traders and speculators in the international market did not find any reason to go long at the moment because the big hedge funds were keeping money away from the Gold market.

 

http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Gold-f...-36164-3-1.html

 

Hi HG, I notice a steady stream of gold bear articles being posted by yourself of late. Care to add your own comments to these pieces? Or do these articles perfectly sum up what you are thinking currently?

 

Cheers

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hi HG, I notice a steady stream of gold bear articles being posted by yourself of late. Care to add your own comments to these pieces? Or do these articles perfectly sum up what you are thinking currently?

 

Cheers

Hi DS, My core position in Au was purchased below $925 so have a buffer to corrections. I have tried not to buy on the highs and try to remain alert on the falls with prices falling back to say $1250-$1000 or below (if at all possible) would bring me back into the market with remaining funds.

The price certainly got ahead of itself in the run up from the autumn and did not buy into rally up.

Since Au purchases I have bought back into Ag in autumn 2009 which, as we know, went up 82% last year with Au up 28%. I have posted some bearish articles as evidence of bearish market sentiment which probably sums up some current thinking but each to their own etc. Cheers

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hi DS, My core position in Au was purchased below $925 so have a buffer to corrections. I have tried not to buy on the highs and try to remain alert on the falls with prices falling back to say $1250-$1000 or below (if at all possible) would bring me back into the market with remaining funds.

The price certainly got ahead of itself in the run up from the autumn and did not buy into rally up.

Since Au purchases I have bought back into Ag in autumn 2009 which, as we know, went up 82% last year with Au up 28%. I have posted some bearish articles as evidence of bearish market sentiment which probably sums up some current thinking but each to their own etc. Cheers

 

Thanks for that HG. Yes there is quite a lot of bearish sentiment around.

My take is that it might signal we are close to the bottom here.

But who knows... I'm prepared for further falls if they happen.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The FT:

 

http://jsmineset.com/2011/02/02/hourly-act...trader-dan-400/

Precious metals traders in London and Hong Kong said on Wednesday they were stunned by the strength of Chinese buying in the past month. “The demand is unbelievable. The size of the orders is enormous,” said one senior banker, who estimated that China had imported about 200 tonnes in three months.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Given Jim Cramer's track record this perhaps does not bode well for the price of gold in the short term.

 

http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/Jim-Cr...02/02/id/384763

I think it is a good sign the public need to get on board for the final mania stage. I expect he will still be encouraging people to buy just before we reach the end.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think it is a good sign the public need to get on board for the final mania stage. I expect he will still be encouraging people to buy just before we reach the end.

 

Do you think we are that close to the "mania stage" - I still feel we're a few years away.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

TAX

 

Do people realise that if you are based in the UK and you invest in gold sovereigns. You are not liable for capital gains tax on this investment.

 

So if you make £100,000 on your coin investment then you keep the lot.

 

If you choose to invest in shares or an ETF then you are liable for the tax and you only get to keep 72,000 and you have to give the rest to the treasury.

 

For me this is a major reason not to invest in shares. You have a 28% head start over any share investment.

 

I don't think people are aware of this tax free perk.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

IMO, Ther wont be a mania stage in physical gold. Common man wont be able to afford the real stuff when the currencies have hyperinflated. Strong hands and all that.

 

Agreed, talk of a 'mania stage' is only applicable when applied to a bubble. The fiat price of gold merely reflects the increasing worthlessness of paper. There will be a point in the future when the purchasing power of gold vs oil and land will be at its maximum but there will be no collapse.

 

Using the last period of the gold bull - 1970s as a reference is not at all useful because the Western economies were at that time basically sound.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Do you think we are that close to the "mania stage" - I still feel we're a few years away.

I think we could be approaching the start of the mania, more and more people I have been talking to about gold for years are finally asking me about buying. I have always been expecting the mania to start in 2012, but how knows really could start early just depends on how much the printing escalates.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

IMO, Ther wont be a mania stage in physical gold. Common man wont be able to afford the real stuff when the currencies have hyperinflated. Strong hands and all that.

You don't think there will be mania just before the hyperinflation starts as it becomes more and more obvious what is going to happen, I do. True in the final stages of hyperinflation you won't be able to buy it, but I think the mania will start before then.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So, GBP 817 was possibly the bottom.

 

Looks like it might have been. Quite a jump up today. Did not cash out at the peak and was almost lamenting the money I never collected even though I consider myself to be a long term physical holder. Having 'lost' 30K in the last month it is reassuring that I was likely right in not losing my nerve...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like it might have been. Quite a jump up today. Did not cash out at the peak and was almost lamenting the money I never collected even though I consider myself to be a long term physical holder. Having 'lost' 30K in the last month it is reassuring that I was likely right in not losing my nerve...

Think we need to measure wealth in ounces, not 'k'. ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...